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By Shivanand Swamy, CEPT University. Transforming Transportation 2011. Washington, D.C. January 27, 2011.
Citation preview
Prof. H.M. Shivanand Swamy
Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport, CEPT University (An Initative of Ministry of Urban development, Government of India)
CITY STRUCTURE & URBAN MOBILITYPOLICY OPTIONS
INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS
Work in Progress
CITY STRUCTURE & URBAN MOBILITY
Urbanisation is an inevitable outcome of development process.
How we structure them will determine how efficient the mobility is and how sustainable the outcomes
are!
Urban Landuse - Transport Scenario
Cities are Sprawling Network Inadequacies
Declining Public Transport Low Investments
Supply Side Focus Poor Enforcement
Multiple Institutions Education of People
Urban Transport Focus – Since 2006 (NUTP & JnNURM)
OUR PROBLEM VEHICLE OWNERSHIP (CARS/1000 popn)Delhi – 117Ahmedabad – 50Bangalore - 50Chennai - 45Mumbai - 25
But increasing rapidly
8% of Population – 20% Incremental Vehicle Ownership of the state
Congestion-Accessibility-MobilityAir QualityUrban Sprawl
BEST BUS SYSTEM CITY -BANGALORE
HYDERABAD BANGALORE (853 sq. kms) AHMEDABAD (344 Sq.Km)
HYDERABAD BANGALORE AHMEDABAD
Population Density (Urban Built in persons/sqkm ) 10526 9378 17441
Population Density (Urban Sprawl in persons/sqkm) 6265 5869 15574
Compactness index 0.60 0.63 0.90 Arterial road Density 1.47 1.40 1.85 Public transport Use 48% 51 22%NMV Use 21% 24% 32%Trip Length (total) km 10.5 11 5.7Vehicle km/capita 10.81 8.90 6.4Road fatalities per 518 865 263
POPULATION (Million) 8.0 8.0 6.0
760 sq.km)
Road Network Structure – Focus on Roads & not Network
8
Ahmedabad Bangalore
Hyderabad
A Result of Lagged /
Disjointed Planning
Response/
radialsrings
Major Rings and Radial Roads
BRTS Network
Subways
Flyovers
Widened ROW
Widened carriageway
Proposed ROBs,RuBs, Flyovers
Proposed ElevatedBRT Corridor
One way BRT loop
River Bridges completed
ROBs completed
RuBs completed
LEGEND
NETWORK COMPLETION
HYDERABAD BANGALORE AHMEDABAD
HYDERABAD BANGALORE AHMEDABAD
Population Density (Urban Built in persons/sqkm ) 10526 9378 17441Population Density (Urban Sprawl in persons/sqkm) 6265 5869 15574Compactness index 0.60 0.63 0.90
Arterial road Density (KM/Sq.KM) 1.47 1.40 1.85 Public transport Use 48% 51% 22%
NMV Use 21% 24% 32%
Trip Length (total) 10.5 11 5.7
Vehicle km/capita 10.81 8.90 6.4Road fatalities 518 865 263
POPULATION (Million) 8.0 8.0 6.0
Road Structure
11
Ahmedabad Bangalore
Hyderabad
At the micro-level /
neighborhood
HYDERABAD BANGALORE AHMEDABAD
HYDERABAD BANGALORE AHMEDABAD
Population Density (Urban Built in persons/sqkm ) 10526 9378 17441Population Density (Urban Sprawl in persons/sqkm) 6265 5869 15574Compactness index 0.60 0.63 0.90 Arterial road Density (KM/Sq.KM) 1.47 1.40 1.85
Public transport Use 48% 51% 22%NMV Use 21% 24% 32%Trip Length (total) 10.5 11 5.7Vehicle km/capita 10.81 8.90 6.4Road fatalities 518 865 263
POPULATION (Million) 8.0 8.0 6.0
Streets on which Commercial activities are allowedJobs scattered Trips distributed
MIXED LAND USE PRESENT
Area of Urban Sprawl sqkm
Avg
Trip
leng
th (k
m)
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 16000
2
4
6
8
10
12
f(x) = − 6.16337249462739E-06 x² + 0.0130858481049057 x + 3.14706952523415R² = 0.893607476895986
Avg Trip length (km) Vs Area of Urban Sprawl sqkm
URBAN SPRAWL LEADS TO INCREASE IN TRIP LENGTH
Road Density km/sqkm
Vehi
cle
km p
er c
apita
0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.000.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00f(x) = 2.34488001510592 x² − 12.0902033154392 x + 17.4923322248674R² = 0.794285164094566
Vehicle km per capita Vs Road Density km/sqkm
DENSER NETWORKS REDUCE VEHICLE KMS
% Public Transport
Vehi
cle
km p
er c
apita
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.000.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
f(x) = 0.000669585680388643 x² + 0.0713477574410145 x + 3.49642568140726R² = 0.760145734083349
Vehicle km per capita Vs % Public Transport
LONGER TRIPS BRINGS MORE PEOPLE ON TRANSIT !
YES. But in less mobility intensive cities, Transit supply
has not been given priority.
EFFECTIVE PLANNING – WHAT ARE THE BARRIERS?
• Land Market Distortion– Landuse Planning Process
• Integration (LUT)• Information• Agencies• Human Resources• Activity Schedule
– Land Legislations• 13 legislations
– Information• Ownership Titles
– Taxation• Registration• Stamp Duty• Permission
– Publicly Owned Land Management 17
Urban India-2031 Investment Requirements
INDIA - URBAN TRANSPORTATION SCENE
2nd Largest urban system60% GDP generated from urban areas2001-281 million people in urban areas (28%)By 2026, 535 million people (38% )
5161 towns and cities7 megacities (4 million + population) - may increase to 1428 cities with population 1-4 million13 cities in 0.8 to 1.0 million range, will cross 1 million by next census 40 cities in 0.5 to 1 million population range and balance state capitals
No of Million + cities to increase to 70
19
“The journey so far and way forward”……..
Scenario-1 Sprawling Cities focused on Road & Rail Infrastructure
Size >1 Million 4 to 10 M 1 to 4 M 0.5 to 1 M < 0.5 M
Class SZ-1 SZ-2 SZ-3 SZ-4 SZ-5
Density/hact 100 100 100 100 100
% Area Under Transport 20 20 17 12 9
Road Length-kms/sq.km 10.0 10.0 10.0 8.0 8.0
Avg. Road Width 20 20 17 15 12
Trip rate 1.25 1.25 1.25 1 0.5
Trip Length 11 11 9 5 5
Transit Trips 40 40 35 20 10
% Bus Trips 30 30 30 20 10
Fleet Utilisation 95 95 95 95 95
Vehicle utilization 215 215 215 180 180
Rapid Transit Length 0.5 0.5 0.4 0 0
% Rail network 60 60 20 0 0
Note: Subject of minimum of 10 kms
Scenario-2 Relatively Compact Cities with complete network
Size >1 Million 4 to 10 M 1 to 4 M 0.5 to 1 M < 0.5 M
Class SZ-1 SZ-2 SZ-3 SZ-4 SZ-5
Density/hact 125 125 125 125 125
% Area Under Transport 15 15 12 9 7
Road Length-kms/sq.km 7.5 7.5 7.5 6.0 6.0
Avg. Width 20 20 17 15 12
Trip rate 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.5
Trip Length 9 9 7 5 4
Transit Trips 50 50 40 20 10
%Bus Trips 35 35 35 20 10
Fleet Utilisation 95 95 95 95 95
Vehicle Utilization 225 225 225 200 200
Rapid Transit Length 0.4 0.4 0.3 0 0
% Rail network 50 50 20 0 0
Note: Subject of minimum of 10 kms
Scenario-3Compact cities with complete network and transit focused
Size >1 Million 4 to 10 M 1 to 4 M 0.5 to 1 M < 0.5 M
Class SZ-1 SZ-2 SZ-3 SZ-4 SZ-5
Density/hact 150 150 150 150 150
% Area Under Transport 15 15 12 9 7
Road Length-kms/sq.km 7.5 7.5 7.5 6.0 6.0
Avg. Width 20 20 17 15 12
Trip rate 1 1 1 0.7 0.5
Trip Length 9 9 5 5 4
Transit Trips 60 60 50 30 10
%Bus Trips 35 35 50 30 10
Fleet Utilisation 95 95 95 95 95
Vehicle Utilization 225 225 225 200 200
Rapid Transit Length 0.3 0.3 0.3 0 0
% Rail network 50 50 0 0 0
Note: Metro Subject of minimum of 10 kms
Urban Transport Policy Options (Scenarios)SCN 1: Sprawling Cities focused on Rail and Road Infrastructure
SCN 2: Relatively Compact Cities with Complete network
SCN 3: Compact, Complete network and transit focused, demand Mangers1. Densities2. Area under Roads 3. Trip Rate4. Trip Length5. Transit Share 6. Rapid Transit7. Rail Share
BUSINESS AS USUAL VERSUS MANAGED GROWTH
Cities Classified 2031 population estimate JnnurmSZ-1: Cities with Popn. >10 Million SZ-2 Cities with Population 4 -10 milSZ-3: Cities with Popn. 1-4 Million SZ-4 Cities with Population 0.5-1mlSZ-5: Cities with Population less than 0.5 million Others: Non-JnNURM Cities
Urban Transport Requirement - 2031 - Network Lengths, No. of Buses, Facilities
SCN-1 SCN-2 SCN-31. Street Infrastructure - Network Length (Kms) 430923 267671 251890
2. Public Transport
2.1Buses 155601 146280 117860
2.2Rapid Transit Network-kms 10304 6130 3866
2.2.1 BRTS Network-kms 5367 37771 2791
2.2.2 Rail Transit-kms 4937 2352 1075
2.3Bus Infartsructure (Numbers)
2.3.1 Depot 2229 2094 1691
2.3.2 Terminals 476 225 476
2.3.3 Workshops 149 146 129
3. Support Infrastructure includes ITS, ATC & Parking. On lump sum basis4. Capacity Building on Lumsum basic for 20 years@ 50 crores per year
Urban Transport Investment Requirements under three policy options
SCN 1:Sprawling Cities focused on Rail and Road Infrastructure
SCN 2:Relatively Compact Cities with Complete network
SCN 3:Compact Cities with Complete network and transit focused
Better growth management can cut investment requirements by more than half
SCN-1 SCN-2 SCN-30
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Investment in Billions - INR
Capacity BuildingParkingITS &ATCWorkshopsTerminalsDepotRail Transit-kmsBRTS Network-kmsBusesStreet Infrastructure
(US $556)
(US $ 376)
(US $ 275)
Population size in the year 2031
1. JnNURM Cities
• SZ-1: > = 10 million
• SZ-2: 4 to 10 million
• SZ-3: 1 to 4 million
• SZ-4: 0.5 to 1 million
• SZ-5: < 0.5 million
2. Non-JnNURM towns
Urban Transport Investment Requirements by Size Class
Larger Cities require disproportionate share of investments
% s
hare
Population SC1 SC2 SC30.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
20%
38% 34% 34%
8%
17%16% 17%
13%
18%18%
20%
58%
27%31% 28%
Capacity Building
Non - JnNURM
SZ - 5
SZ - 4
SZ - 3
SZ - 2
SZ - 1
Urban Transport Investment Requirements under three policy options
SCN 1:Sprawling Cities focused on Rail and Road Infrastructure
SCN 2:Relatively Compact Cities with Complete network
SCN 3:Compact Cities with Complete network and transit focused
Better growth management can cut investment requirements by more than half
%age share of Investment
SCN-1 SCN-2 SCN-3
Street Infrastructure 61.57% 69.11% 75.60%
Buses 1.61% 1.91% 2.45%
BRTS Network-kms 4.39% 4.57% 4.61%
Rail Transit-kms 30.25% 21.34% 13.31%
Depot 0.68% 0.86% 1.04%
Terminals 0.39% 0.57% 0.78%
Workshops 0.11% 0.15% 0.19%
ITS &ATC 0.57% 0.84% 1.15%
Parking 0.39% 0.57% 0.78%
Capacity Building 0.04% 0.06% 0.08%
Grand Total 100% 100% 100%
INDIA - URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS 2011-31
2011 - 2031 India Urban Infrastructure Requirements–Urban Transport –Billion US $ 375 Billion) • Average US $ 18 Billion• Average 15000 km roads/year• Average 7500 new buses/year• Average 100 kms of metro network/year• Average 200 Kms of BRT network
28
PART 3
SOME GOOD PRACTICES
• Provides Overall Development Framework– Overall Direction of Urban
Expansion– Landuse Zoning– City level road network– City Level Infrastructure (Utilities
& Amenities)– Reservations of Land for other
Public Purposes– Development Control
Regulation/rulesAhmedabad DP’s1965,1975, 1987, 2002 ,2012
2 Stage Process Under the Gujarat Urban Development and Town Planning Act-1976Land Management
Development Plan
Under the Gujarat Urban Development and Town Planning Act-1976Land Management Process
• A land readjustment tool to adapt land for urban use– Reconstitution of land holdings– Appropriation of land for public uses
without acquisition – Local level road network– Local level social and physical
infrastructure– Land Bank for Urban Poor– Infrastructure Cost Recovery
• Land appropriation compensation adjusted against land value increments due to infra. provision
• Land for Financing of infrastructure (15%)
Town Planning Scheme (TPS)
Under the Gujarat Urban Development and Town Planning Act-1976Town Planning Scheme
Land Area for Public Purposes– Appropriation of land for
public uses upto 50% – Road Network –upto 20%– Local level social and
physical infrastructure (upto 5%)
– Land for Economically Weaker Section Housing (upto 10%)
– Land Bank for Financing of infrastructure (upto 15%)
464 Sq .Km
308 Sq .Km
T.P Schemes in Ahmedabad
Around 63% of the total area of AMC is under Town Planning Schemes.
Walled City Area
Airport and Cantonment
Density – 150 persons/haArea - 666 sqkm
Density – 125 persons/haArea - 800 sqkm
Density – 100 persons/haArea - 1000 sqkm
Density – 75 persons/haArea - 1333 sqkm
Density – 150 persons/haArea - 666 sqkm
Density – 125 persons/haArea - 800 sqkm
Density – 100 persons/haArea - 1000 sqkm
Density – 75 persons/haArea - 1333 sqkm
US $ 450 Ml /yr
US $ 650 Ml /yr
US $ 1000 Ml /yr
US $ 1350 Ml /yr
URBAN TRANSPORT INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS
0 5 10 15 20 25 3051015202530
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
5
10
15
20
25
30
KM
KM
Urban Road Network
Legend
Length (km)
Density (%)
60m wide radials 53.42 0.55
45m wide roads 194.17 1.5
35m wide roads 541.13 3.25
Total Road 788.72(30.86 sqkm)
5.3
Region Area
Area inner SP Ring Road 411.55
Area between SP & Outer Ring Road
581.29
Ring Roads Length(km)
S.P ring road 76.21
Outer ring road 115.68
90.m WIDE REGIONAL RING ROAD
60.m WIDE REGIONAL RADIALS
60.m WIDE RING ROADS 45.m WIDE URBAN ARTERIALS
35.m WIDE SUB-ARTERIALS
BRTS
URBAN ARTERIALS
45 M CROSS SECTION
Urban Arterials
thank you