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Anthony Leather from Frost & Sullivan explains the key concepts behind the SMART Cities concept and how security will be key in enabling their growth.
Citation preview
Delivering Future Cities: Security as a Key Enabler of SMART Cities
Originally presented at IFSEC International15th May 201310.30 - 11.00
Urbanization Challenge
Source: UN Population Division, World Urbanization Prospects
Africa Asia
Euro
pa
Latin Ameri
ca
North Ameri
ca0%
100%
15% 17%
51%
41%
64%
39% 41%
72%78%
81%
62%66%
84%89% 90%
195020072050
50% of the world’s population lives in cities today and 70% of the global population is expected to live in urban environments by 2050
Growth/ Development/ Acuteness of:– Terrorism, Crime and Emergencies– Road congestion– Energy consumption– Gas emission and waste contamination– Demographics
Need/ requirement for:– Clean water and air storage– Effective transportation networks– Reliability and efficiency of energy– Safety and Security– Connectivity and Communication
Key DriversUrban population share by continent
Ability and necessity to transfer current approach of urbanization development to the format of Safe and
Smart Cities
• 50% of the worlds GDP is produced in Cities with over 750k population
• 75% of energy produced is consumed by cities
• 80% of the world Co2 Emissions are from cities
• Security becomes more critical as cities and their infrastructure evolve;
• Cities get bigger (urbanisation) = more and more anonymous threats;
• Increasing pressure on Local authorities to cope with expected and unexpected security threats against citizens
• Large number of potential end-users with real budget is another key driver and a challenge at the same time
• Technology adoption and penetration allows us to think about a connected Safe City
05
1015202530354045
(3) (1) 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
19.Seoul 20. Miami15.Hong Kong13.Philadelphia
* Size of the bubble – GDP 2025
5. Chicago 7.Paris
Popu
lati
on (
mill
ion)
1.Tokyo
2.New York
3. Los Angeles
4. London
10.Buenos Aires
17. Moscow14. Beijing
Ranking based on population and GDP
New definition of Megacity ‘25
U.N. definition of Megacity ‘09
11.Mumbai16. Delhi
9.São
Paulo
6.Mexico
City 8. Shanghai 12. Osaka-
Kobe
18. Guangzhou
Top 20 Megacities in 2025Top 20 Megacities in 2025
* Size of the bubble – GDP 2009* Cities with current or future plans to become Safe Cities
Top 20 Megacities and Safe Cities Projects Top 20 Megacities and Safe Cities Projects -- Ranking (Global), 2009 Ranking (Global), 2009 -- 20252025
Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009. Source: Frost & Sullivan
50% Of The Top 20 Megacities In 2025 Will Be From The Developing Countries
Why are we talking about Cities?
Selected Smart Cities in 2025
Toronto
San Francisco
Vancouver
Paris
New York
London Berlin
Barcelona
Amsterdam
Seattle
Tokyo
Singapore
Calgary
ChicagoLos Angeles
Vienna
Copenhagen
Oslo
Seoul
Beijing
TianjinWuhan
Helsinki
Sydney
Shenzhen
Over 26 Global Cities to be “Complete” SMART Cities by 2025 - More than 50% of Smart cities of 2025 will be from Europe and N. America
Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index, Specific Smart Project Websites for Each City, Frost & Sullivan
Stockholm
Photo Credits: Dreamstime, willgoto.com, tanamatales.com, sol-group.net
The Safe City
Video & Data Analytics
Multi-Agency Collaboration
Integrated System
Automated Processes
Situational Awareness
How SMART drives SAFE and Vice-Versa
SMART Mass Transport: Multimodal Transport Hubs Providing Excellent Air, Rail, Road Connectivity to Other Mega Cities.
SMART Technology:Intelligent Communication Systems Connecting Home, Office, iPhone and Car on a Single Wireless IT Platform.
Satellite Towns: Main City Centre Will Merge with Several Satellite Towns to Form ONE BIG MEGA CITY.
SMART Cars: At least 10% of Cars will be Electric Vehicles. Free Fast Charging Stations at Every Half Mile.
SMART GRID: Infrastructure to Enable Real Time Monitoring of Power Flow and Provide Energy Surplus Back to the Grid.
SMART Energy: 20%of Energy Produced in the City Will be Renewable(Wind, Solar etc).
SMART Buildings: At least 50% of Buildings Will be Green and Intelligent Built with BIPV; 20% of the Buildings Will be Net Zero Buildings.
Source: Google Images
‘SAFE’
‘SAFE’
Operating a Safe or SMART City: Multi – Agency Co - Operation is Critical for Successful City Operations
Energy
Transport
Communications
Citizens(People)
Visitors(People)
Businesses(People & Infras.)
City Operators
Law Enforcers(Fire, Police, etc.)
Service Providers(medical, wastage,)
Infrastructure Operators
City Operators
Past Future
City Infrastructure
City Users
City Users
City Infrastructure
Physical Security &
Safety
Response Management
Mobility Management
Logical Security &
Communication
Energy Management
Building Management
Universal Communication
Centralised Operator
Growth of integration technologies such as PSIM (Physical Security Information Management)
Increased connectivity between citizens and agencies through smart technology
Command and control systems shared across multiple city departments (Energy, Waste, Security, Transport etc)
Increased collaboration between agencies (shared systems and intelligence)
Managed Security Services (outsourced physical and IT security services)
Increased spending on predictive analytics & data mining
Base sample: n=49Q1. What future trends related to Urban Security and Safety do you foresee / anticipate in the next 5 years till 2017?
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
51%
33%
24%
22%
16%
12%
24%
27%
29%
41%
45%
37%
18%
29%
24%
27%
29%
37%
6%
12%
22%
10%
10%
12%0.0204081632653062
Will definitely happen Will most likely happen Will probably happen May or may not happenWill not happen
Future Trends in Urban Security and Safety till 2017
Future Safe City Security Trends – all enabled by technology
Note: Figures won’t always add to 100% due to rounding
The Potential Impact of Technologies in the Safe Cities Market
Projected Impact on the Safe Cities
Market
High Impact
Low Impact CertaintyLow High
The Unexpected
Smart Phones
The Expected
City Cloud Solutions
4G network Long Term Evolution
Police Mobile Office
PSIM CCTVs
Video Analytics
Sensors
C3i
Networks & Storage
Anti-Cyber
Next Generation (?)
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
UAV’s
GIS
Data Mining/Fusion
Biometrics
Key Takeaway: Existing and tested technology is the main focus of city’s security. The evolution of computer systems allow the analysis of key information flow. We can underline that with current budgets new technology although having high impact of security may be shelved.
10
AIRPORTS: Free Wi-Fi Access and Real – Time Virtual Monitoring with secure, high-speed, wireless data networking
HOTSPOTS: City-wide Wi-Fi Network (Eg. Sunnyvale, California) with Hotspots in Cafes, Hotels and other important locations
RAILWAYS: Real-Time Wireless Video Surveillance in railways stations for event detection, preparedness, prevention, protection, response and recovery.
EMERGENCY SERVICES: Wireless surveillance connecting fire
and police forces to Central Server for monitoring, control and command
communications
BUILDINGS: Wireless Building Automation
Systems at Homes and Offices Connected to iPhone, Laptop, Car Systems for Easy Control and Communication
GPS: Atleast 75% of automobiles installed with GPS equipment
enabling intelligent traffic management system.
UTILITIES: Smart Meters, Wireless Technology and Sensors enabling Machine to Machine (M2M) communication and monitoring of energy use
CCTV surveillance with built-in Network Card, DVR and LCD Monitor integrated into the wireless platform
4G Mobile technology (LTE, WiMAX) enabling integration into any wireless platform
SATELLITE TECHNOLOGY (such as GALILEO) to provide navigation for aviation, ground and maritime operations
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Integrated Solutions are Required to Enhance Situational Awareness
Access Control, Video Surveillance Intrusion Detection, Biometrics, Perimeter and Occupancy Sensors, Fire Alarm Panels, Detection Devices (Smoke/Heat/Gas/Flame), Fire suppression, Notification and Evacuation
Energy Logistics, Distribution Channels (electricity, water, gas), Utility Monitor, Heat, Lighting, Back-Up Power, Leakage Monitor
Voice/Video/Data, Audio Visual, Structured Cabling, TCP/IP/BAS Protocols, Remote VPN Access, Computer Logon, Network Access Logon, Firewalls, Managed Security Services, Mobile Security, Security Infrastructure
Building Automation, Building Control, Networked Systems, Crisis Management Solution (power, infrastructure damage...)
Traffic Control & Monitoring (rail, underground, buses, personal vehicles), 24/7 Supply Management (logistics)
Integrated Fire Department, Police and Medical Services, Centralised and Remote Command and Control, Scalable Decision Making Process
Communication Infrastructure is Critical and is the Backbone for Scalability
Universal Communication
Physical Security &
Safety
Response Management
Mobility Management
Logical Security &
Communication
Energy Management
Building Management
12
Advanced Communication Technologies Enable Better Technology Deployment and Interoperability
SATCOM to Increasingly Enable Communication on the Move
Wi-Fi enabled surveillance technology will enable deployment in areas where physical communication
networks are difficult to deploy
4G LTE is allowing real time, high volume and high quality data transfer
from mobile sensors and devices.
Evaluation
Evaluation of Suppliers’ Selecting CriteriaEnd users
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Q18. How important are the following aspects to you in selecting suppliers for security, safety and emergency response solutions? Q20. Typically how well do suppliers perform today against the following aspects?
Impo
rtan
ceWeaknesses
To be observed
Strengths
*83% - Importance average value *79% - Evaluation average value
83%*
79%*40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
Strong reputation in market
Local presence in area of my jurisdiction
Investing time to un-derstand my unique
challenges
Willingness to partner long term
References
Network of partners and contacts
To offer robust, proven solutions
To provide education on new trends
Fostering and driving multi agency collaboration
To offer financing so-lutions
Fostering and Driving multi-agency collaboration is of key importance to End Users
Evaluation
Evaluation of Suppliers’ Selecting CriteriaChannel
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Impo
rtan
ceWeaknesses
To be observed
Strengths
Q19. In your opinion, how important are the following aspects within your client base when selecting suppliers for security, safety and emergency response solutions?Q21. How well do you believe are you as a supplier fulfilling these aspects today?
*83% - Importance average value *79% - Evaluation average value
83%*
79%*40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
Strong reputation in market To offer robust, proven
solutions
References Willingness to partner long term
Network of partners and contacts to provide best solutions from industry
Investing time to un-derstand my unique
challengesTo provide education on new trends
To offer financing so-lutions
Local presence in area of my jurisdiction
Fostering and driving multi agency collabo-
ration
Suppliers have so far not focused on fostering multi agency cooperation through solutions they have offered.
Decreasing budgets
Uneducated customer
Difficult to demonstrate ROI
Difficult tendering process
No clear technology road map
Customer reliant on existing technology
No clear implementation plans
Established local partner network, difficult to get in
Inter agency collaboration
Key Challenges while Selling Security, Safety or Emergency Response Product to Public Authorities
Base: OEM & Channel respondents (n=35), Q22. What are the key challenges your organisation faces selling more security, safety or emergency response product or services to cities / public authorities? Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
83%
54%
49%
46%
29%
29%
26%
23%
6%
Most important challenges:
Decreasing budgets in European markets stands out as a clear challenge from the perspective of the Systems Integrators.
Competitive Environment
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
CNI
Public Safety
Commercial
Residential
System Integration
Technology Cyber/ Network
Network Security
Residential Integrators & Service Providers
Information TechnologyCommercialIntegrators & BuildingTechnology
Security Technology Providers
Defence IntegratorsDefence
Integrators
Communication Providers
The figure below highlights the complexities of the competitive landscape in relation to safe city solutions but also opportunities. Competition, partnerships and future acquisition will occur across application and solution areas.
The Different Types of Safe City projects
PLANNED CITIES MATURE CITIES
• Built from scratch
MATURING CITIES
• Global phenomenon
•Planned infrastructure
•Available funding
•Strong political will
• Consolidated infrastructure
• Developed countries
•Legacy Security Solutions
•Dependent on available budget
•‘Volatile’ political will
• Aggressive, disorganised urbanisation
• Developing countries (but no restricted to)
•Security apparatus do not follow urban growth
•Weak political will
• Budget hardly is compromised
Rapid Safe City Growth in the Middle East & Asia
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Heavy investment in infrastructure, new build and significant upgrade of communication networks in Middle East and Asia will offer the largest opportunities
Significant Infrastructure investment, city/ agency collaboration and new build/ expansion opportunities matched with ability to pay will lead to large deployments
Infrastructure development and new build but city/ agency collaboration poor and/or ability to pay questionable
Retrofit and upgrade opportunities driven by availability of COTS projects or larger deployments in key and high threat cities. To be driven by fiber.
Opportunities limited due to low infrastructure development, limited number of cities or ability to pay.
Conclusions and Predictions for Security
19
• Increased cooperation between private and public sector
• Agencies to collaborate on city wide deployments
• Integration of existing infrastructure
• Increased use of analytics
• Improved and better coordinated response
• End-to-End solution
• Security & Safety increasingly important for attracting investment