Futurecom brazil october_hossein_final_v1

2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23

Hossein Moiin

CTO, Nokia Siemens Networks

Broadband from today to 2015 and beyondChallenges and Opportunities

2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks

Transforming lives &work

Individualisation & socialisation

Clouds/Network are the computer

Transforming all industries

Adoption

Communication technologies as transformation agents

Adaptation Absorption

Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23


Uncertain TIMES Where are the trends leading ?


Example: Brasilians like the Internet experience and are very enthusiastic regarding usage in future


Would upgrade their fixed Internet access at home

Would spend more time on the mobile Internet in the future

Source: Nokia Siemens Networks Broadband study 2009

81%

63%


Where are the bottlenecks and limitations?

Spectrum is a limited resource

The data tornado needs to be managed

Content rich apps challenge long loop copper lines

Streaming & interactivity drive need for low latency networks Cloud computing

adoption will stress the network


The challenge to realize the broadband opportunitiesNeed for highly scalable networks @ lowest cost per bit

Voice/data revenue growth 3% YoY

0%

200%

400%

600%

800%

1000%

1200%

20150 Bn$

500 Bn$

1.000 Bn$

1.500 Bn$

2.000 Bn$

2.500 Bn$

3.000 Bn$

Broadband data and new subscribers drive growth …

2009

Voice

Data

Voice

Data

But there will be a gap between traffic and revenue growth

Traffic growthof 50% YoY

Subs growthof 10% YoY


The blueprint for an “indiversal” networkCustomer & value centric - evolve to the Network of One

One Agileoperation

One Simplifiednetwork

One Flexibleservice delivery

Holistic approach to efficiency and experience


How to meet near-term demands for broadband @home?

FTTC/B with VDSL2is the most cost effective way to satisfy the need for 50 Mbps per household


It becomes difficult to satisfy bandwidth hunger with today's access technologies

upstream downstream

50 50 100Mbps

Web surfing

HDTV

Video Sharing

Super HDTV

Gaming

Applications bandwidth demand100Mbps

ADSL

ADSL2+

upstream downstream

GPON

Docsis3.0

VDSL2

50 50

Access technology capabilities (today)100Mbps

100Mbps

3x HDTV

Surfing

Gaming


Next Generation Optical Access – NGOA1)Shaping the colorful future of broadband access

PhotonicIP core

Passive splitter

Longdistance office

UD-WDM

OLT

1) Nokia Siemens Networks research project 2) depending on choice of cascaded splitter / filter design

Passive optical distribution network

One wavelength per customer: unshared 1Gbps symmetrical

Passive filter/combiner

Up to 100 km reach2) and high splitting factor of 1000 2)


Technology evolution supports mobile broadbandHigh data rates in the most efficient way

The ultimate mobile broadband experience with LTE and LTE-A



Enabling the mobile broadband experienceCapacity and coverage count

of cells carryof the traffic

for rural coverage for high capacity


Heterogeneous Networks The Combined Benefit of Wide & Local Area

Wide Area• Majority of cells • Beyond 300 m

Medium Area• Share growing• 100-300m

Hot spots• Share growing• 10-100m

Indoor• Share growing• 1-10m

Femto

LTE

TD-LTE

LTE-ATD-LTE-A

GSM

HSPA+WiFi


Delivering the mobile broadband experience meansmore base stations, more cell sites and higher backhaul capacity

PDH vs Ethernet:Annual Mobile Backhaul Service Charges per Connection

Source: Infonetics Research (2010)Source: ABI Research 2010

21% of CAPEX for mobile backhaul

Backhaul is going to IP/Ethernet for lowest cost per bit and to fit with all-IP services


Full-packet mobile backhaul networkevolution starts today via any access media

LTE ready backhaulProvide synchronization, meet latency targets and optimize connectivity between NodeBs

eNodeB/NodeB/BTS

HSPA

LTE

LTE-A

GSM/EDGE

copper

fiber

microwave

IP/Ethernet

Access Aggregation

NG backhaulLeverage technologies like NGOA, packet microwave radio, LTE-A relaying


Providing an “Identity” bridge between Connectivity and Applications

Applications

Connectivity

GSMGPRSEDGE

HSPALTE

WLANWiMAX

DSLPON

Mobile TVAdvertising

E-Mail

Payments

Social Networks

IPTV

Gaming

ID Provider

HTTPDigest

GAA/GBA

OpenID SAML

2.0

MAP

EAP RADIUS

Diameter

Identity Management



Internet

Cellphones

Laptops

Adoption

Adaptation

Absorption

Smart Phones

eReaders

Objectsconnected

Connectedcar

A market on the moveDevelopment of smart ‘things’ & the “indiversal” network



We need to work collectivelly as an industry to provide enriching services and ensure CSPs real growth.

LTE, SON and all-IP transport networks will enhance the end user broadband experience.

CSPs will have the corner stones to integrate web and network providing enriching services.

Mobile broadband is a key technology component to increase Brazilians’ digital inclusion.


Thank you
