Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Talk given in Italy in November 2011. What are the kinds of issues we'll be facing over the next 20 years -- and how do we deal with them?
Citation preview
READY OR NOT
THE 20 YEAR CHALLENGE
Jamais CascioResearch Fellow, Institute for the Future
November 30, 2011
WHY FUTURISM?
WHAT WILL THE NEXT 20 YEARS LOOK LIKE?
WARNING:TURBULENCE
AHEAD
CLIMATE: STRESS AND RESPONSE
RESOURCES: DEPLETION AND COLLAPSE
TRANSPARENCY: THE INVISIBLE BECOMES VISIBLE
CONNECTIONS: GLOBALLY LOCAL
ECONOMIES: THE NEED FOR RESILIENCE
MAKING: ATOMS AND BITS
HUMAN AUGMENTATION: HUMANITY AND MORE
SCENARIOS
REPERCUSSION
REINVENTION
REVOLUTION
FORESIGHT:the capacity of a system to anticipate the consequences of present-day actions; to understand the implications of past choices; and to spot weak signals of change.
RESILIENCE: the capacity of a system to tolerate disturbance without collapse, to withstand shocks, to rebuild itself when necessary, and to improve itself when possible.
PLAY: Embracing Turbulence.
