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The future role of education
in the developed world(short version)
Frederic De Meyer
Institute for Future Insights
China and India are producing more scientific and engineering graduates than the developed countries taken together;
In Europe, the percentage of the working population aged between 15 and 64 will decline from 67.2% in 2007 to 57% by 2050;
By 2025 1.8 Billion people will live in areas with absolute water scarcety, causing new migration waves to water-rich regions;
BRIC countries are already accounting for 11% of the Forbes top 2000 leading companies, new competition for business in the developed world...
What is the role of education in dealing with these challenges?
Climate change(water shortage; lost crops;
draught, ...)
Digital divide(gap rich-poor widening)
New waves of (im)migration
Ageing population
GenY
Consumerization of IT
Globalization 3.0
Social EntrepreneurshipRising middle class in
emerging
Global Grid(crowdsourcing, open
innovation, desintermediation, ...)
New culture
New skillsNew competitors
Education
New business tools(gamification, virtual
company, shared value, open source, ...)
Alternatives(social learning, e-learning,
...)
Global mobility(brain drain, war for talent, ...)
Which forces are at play for developed countries’ education system?
Frederic De Meyer
How new migration patterns will change the focus ofeducation sector in the developed world
Global warming will likely increase water shortage and wasted harvests (amongst other)
Increasing emigration to North Global mobility: GenY to move to growing countries?
Brain drain and ageing population will make developed countries look for skills globally, selective immegration
Digital devide will lead to new economic migrations
Pressure on education system to:
- offer inclusive education for new migrants;- adapt education curriculum for better understanding of new cultures, promote multiculurality to avoid frictions;- adapt curriculum to retain young talents;- focus on key skills where shortage might occur.
Brain drain from West to East
Frederic De Meyer
A cultural shift in society needs to be translated into new educational standards
Ageing population will be required to work longer... But will they work differently or do different work?
GenY requires different working environment (permanent feedback; flexibility; open communication; ...)
Crowdsourcing,Open innovation,
Social entrepreneurship, ...
Consumerization of IT: people (especially GenY) will increasingly want to use personal technologies in their professional environment
Cloud Computing,Virtualization
Pressure on education system to focus on reconversion of elderly workers.
Pressure on education system to use personal technologies in learning methods
Pressure on education system to adapt to GenY students aspirations and needs.
Teach Use
New Collaboration tools VVVVV VVVVV
Social networks VVV VVVV
Cloud Computing VVVV
Augmented reality VVV
Introducing new tools and technologies in the educational environment:
Frederic De Meyer
Brazil
2%
China5% India
3% Russia
1%
Rest
89%
Education will need to focus on teaching new skills
Developed economies will loose global weight in future: Competitiveness will
be determined by:- Ability to innovate;- Efficiency gains;- Ease of multicultural collaboration;- New business models;- Open sourcing.
Frederic De Meyer
Business trends I:- Gamification;- Crowdsourcing;- Open innovation;- Open sourcing;- Mass customization
Business trends II:- Shared Value;- Cradle to cradle;- Corporate citizenship;- Social innovation
Some examples:
(doing good as a core business or using its core business)
Sustainable/ social business practices driven by:- Public opinion;-GenY (employees), War for Talent;- Conscious buying;- Climate change effects;- Self interest (cost, risk).
BRIC Countries now account for more than 10% of Forbes 2000 global leading companies
Pressure on education system to teach new skills:
° Entrepreneurship° Collaboration° Multiculturaility
° Open innovation° Open sourcing° Virtualization
° Innovation° Business modeling° ...
200 best universities, emerging countries with ranking
Sources: Times higher Education University-list Topuniversities
China 37 / 49 / 58 / 120 /
171
49 / 52 / 103 / 153 /
154 / 168
47 / 54 / 105 / 151 /
154 / 177
India 0 163 / 181 187
Russia 0 168 93
Others 147 / 183 138 / 180 / 190 0
TOTAL # 7 12 8
Most popular universities:
4icu.org
Mexico 4 / 193
China 8 / 10 / 12 / 13 / 16 /
23 / 25 / 72 / 187 /
188 / 189
Brazil 29 / 64 / 102 / 106 /
137
India 24 / 28 / 33 / 181
Indonesia 32
Hungary 35
Turkey 38 / 40 / 41
Russia 131
Chile 158
Argentina 166
Thailand 198 / 200
TOTAL # 32
Western education meets new competitors
Frederic De Meyer
As from 2002 China and India produced more science graduates than the developed world together !
Universities in emerging countries represent 3-6% of Top 200 universities, but 15% of most popular universities
New ways of learning:
° e-learning° social learning° gaming° virtual worlds° question value !
Currently scientific papers still come mainly from US, Europe and Japan, but this could chang quickly !
Pressure on education system to:
- Form new partnerships;- innovate learning provision- Attract and retain top students
(Map distorted by # scientific papers in country of residence)
Checklist for education sector
Notes:
frederic de meyerfounder
the institute for future insights-helping you anticipate the future-
Keynote speech at the start of your strategic planning session- or your industry event;
Eye opening workshops for internal planning purposes;Discussions on ways to innovate for the future;
Contact:
[email protected](BE)+32 471 63 95 35www.fredericdemeyer.comtwitter: @fdemeyerget in touch on Linkedin