Intro By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’s Postsecondary Education System Arizona Postsecondary...

By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’sPostsecondary Education System

Arizona Postsecondary CommissionPhoenix, ArizonaNovember 8, 2007

Tom MortensonSenior Scholar

The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher EducationHigher Education Policy Analyst

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY

The Human Capital Economy

• Since about 1973 incomes in the U.S. economy have been redistributed according to educational attainment--away from those with least formal education and toward those with the most formal education. This finding holds for individuals, families, cities and states.• Beginning about 2000 the world became flat and global competition moved beyond blue collar to white collar jobs as well. • Also about 2000 the higher educational attainment advantage of the U.S. workforce began to erode. Other countries are quickly moving past the U.S. in higher educating young adults entering their workforces.

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org

State Poverty Rates

State Employed/Population Ratio

State Per Capita Personal Income

State Median Household Income

Arizona

• High school graduation• College continuation• College participation by age 19• Interstate freshmen migration• Low income college participation• State tax fund apprpriations

State Appropriations FY2007

Three Forces of Change:

1. Economic change2. Demographic change3. Global competition

1. The Changing World of Work

• Employment by Industry• Income by Education

Total Employment

Distribution of Employment

Goods Producing Employment

Service Providing Employment

Government Employment

Median Annual Male Income

Income by Education for Males

Changes in Income by Education for Males

Median Annual Female Income

Income by Education for Females

Changes in Income by Educ for Females

2. Demographic Change

• Demographic structure• Shift from white to minority• Shift from higher income to lower income students

Demographic Structure of Higher Educ

White High School Graduate Share

White High School Graduate Numbers

Minority High School Graduate Numbers

K-12 Enrollment Approved for Subsidized School Lunches

3. Global Competition in Education

25 to 34 Year Olds with Bachelor’s Degrees:

• 1998: U.S. tied for 1st

• 2002: U.S. 2nd

• 2004: U.S. 5th

• 2005: U.S. 7th

• 2020 (projected): 19th

61.N148FG12

Bachelor Degree Attainment

Change in Bachelor Degree Attainment

Flagship University Tuition & Fees

Comprehensive Coll & Univ T&F

Community College Tuition & Fees

www.postsecondary.orgtom@postsecondary.org

Resources:

Intro By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’s Postsecondary Education System Arizona Postsecondary...

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