Intro By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’s Postsecondary Education System Arizona Postsecondary Commission Phoenix, Arizona November 8, 2007 Tom Mortenson

Intro

By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’sPostsecondary Education System

Arizona Postsecondary CommissionPhoenix, ArizonaNovember 8, 2007

Tom MortensonSenior Scholar

The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher EducationHigher Education Policy Analyst

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY

The Human Capital Economy

• Since about 1973 incomes in the U.S. economy have been redistributed according to educational attainment--away from those with least formal education and toward those with the most formal education. This finding holds for individuals, families, cities and states.• Beginning about 2000 the world became flat and global competition moved beyond blue collar to white collar jobs as well. • Also about 2000 the higher educational attainment advantage of the U.S. workforce began to erode. Other countries are quickly moving past the U.S. in higher educating young adults entering their workforces.

Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org

State Poverty Rates


State Employed/Population Ratio



State Per Capita Personal Income


State Median Household Income




Arizona

• High school graduation• College continuation• College participation by age 19• Interstate freshmen migration• Low income college participation• State tax fund apprpriations











State Appropriations FY2007






Three Forces of Change:

1. Economic change2. Demographic change3. Global competition


1. The Changing World of Work

• Employment by Industry• Income by Education


Total Employment


Distribution of Employment


Goods Producing Employment


Service Providing Employment


Government Employment


Median Annual Male Income


Income by Education for Males


Changes in Income by Education for Males


Median Annual Female Income


Income by Education for Females


Changes in Income by Educ for Females


2. Demographic Change

• Demographic structure• Shift from white to minority• Shift from higher income to lower income students


Demographic Structure of Higher Educ


White High School Graduate Share


White High School Graduate Numbers


Minority High School Graduate Numbers


K-12 Enrollment Approved for Subsidized School Lunches


3. Global Competition in Education

25 to 34 Year Olds with Bachelor’s Degrees:

• 1998: U.S. tied for 1st

• 2002: U.S. 2nd

• 2004: U.S. 5th

• 2005: U.S. 7th

• 2020 (projected): 19th


61.N148FG12


Bachelor Degree Attainment



Change in Bachelor Degree Attainment


Flagship University Tuition & Fees


Comprehensive Coll & Univ T&F


Community College Tuition & Fees


[email protected]

Resources:


Documents

Intro By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’s Postsecondary Education System Arizona Postsecondary Commission Phoenix, Arizona November 8, 2007 Tom Mortenson