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Spectrum-Sharing & CBRS Business ModelsDean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis
Spectrum Futures, September 2017
dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com @disruptivedean
Dean Bubley & Disruptive Analysis
Tech/telecom analyst & strategic consulting since 1991 Futurism, Forecasting, Anti-Forecasting, Policy Cross-silo, contrarian, independent Often provocative. Sometimes obscure. Occasionally wrong.
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
Network Tech, Policy & Business Models
Communications Apps & Services Telecom-Futurism
Dedicated spectrum enables limited business models
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
National MNO licences
B2C Prepay & Post-Paid
SubscriptionsIoT Embedded Wholesale, eg
MVNO
Non-MNO licences
Government eg Public Safety
Few corps, eg utilities, rail
Demand for mobile access by many user types
September 2017
Sensors & controls (non-mobile)
Onsite Employees & collaboration
Tenants & Contractors
Onsite Mobile IoT
Guests & visitors Safety & Security
Rethinking the 5G roadmap….
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
Enhanced Mobile
Broadband
Low-Latency
IoTMassive
M2M / IoT
Enhanced Mobile
BroadbandLow-
Latency IoT
Massive M2M / IoT
Fixed Access(pre-5G)
20202017-8 2019-20 2020-22
5G Use-Cases & Probable Timeline
MNOs cannot cover the needs of every vertical
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
WiFi & unlicensed bands: lessons in new business models
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
Many possible stakeholders / models with shared spectrum
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
Government (Telecom Ministry)Spectrum
License Fees + Coverage
goals
Government(Business / Economy)GDP & Tax uplift from
Industry 4.0
Existing MNOs
Cheaper capacity +
vertical oppos
Venue Owners
Higher rent / happy visitors & Neutral Host
$$
Industrial companiesOwned &
controlled IoT connections
(cost/risk calculation)
Niche MNO entrants
Geo-specific license for
new service / rev types
IoT solution integratorEmbedded
WAN ability in similar fashion to WiFi / LoRa
Community / decentralised
Improve off-grid locations, offer neutral-
host or mesh / micropayment
Key ingredients for “4G / 5G private MNOs” emerging
September 2017
Shared & Unlicensed Spectrum
IoT / MVNO / MVNE / Slicing
platformsSmall Cells, MEC
nodes, MuLTEfire
eSIM & RSP
Virtualised Core /
Transport Network
Cloud OSS / BSS
Number ranges &
MNCs
Roaming & Inter-
connect hubs
Devices & chipsets
& Facebook TIP, IoT connectivity specialists, blockchains, AI….
Many possible SP / MNO / VNO types
MNO in Enterprise
Macro spectrum
Local spectrum
Local RAN / DAS
Transport & Core SIM / eSIM IoT / app
platform BSS / OSS Device mgmt
September 2017 Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017
Traditional MNO New PNO Enterprise 3rd-party eg vendor cloud
IoT-type MVNO
Macro spectrum
Local spectrum
Local RAN / DAS
Transport & Core SIM / eSIM IoT / app
platform BSS / OSS Device mgmt
Industrial MNO
Macro spectrum
Local spectrum
Local RAN / DAS
Transport & Core SIM / eSIM IoT / app
platform BSS / OSS Device mgmt
Fully private MNO
Macro spectrum
Local spectrum
Local RAN / DAS
Transport & Core SIM / eSIM IoT / app
platform BSS / OSS Device mgmt
Neutral host
Macro spectrum
Local spectrum
Local RAN / DAS
Transport & Core SIM / eSIM IoT / app
platform BSS / OSS Device mgmt
WAN / FAN NO
Macro spectrum
Local spectrum
Local RAN / DAS
Transport & Core SIM / eSIM IoT / app
platform BSS / OSS Device mgmt
CBRS-type spectrum sharing model could be beneficial
Many different business models IIoT & Industry 4.0 pitch Neutral hosts / Communities Opportunities for MNOs / MVNOs Various options for inhouse / outsourced WiFi experience suggests innovation unbounded
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
www.disruptive-analysis.comdisruptivewireless.blogspot.com@disruptivedean
information@disruptive-analysis.com
Skype:disruptiveanalysisappear.in/disruptiveanalysis
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017
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