CSIS Slides 14 OCT 2014 v2

CSIS / USNI MARITIME SECURITY DIALOGUE SLIDES

14 OCT 2014

CHIEF OF NAVAL OPERATIONS (CNO)

Adm. Jonathan Greenert

Bases

Places

Crossroads

East Coast - Suez Canal 15East Coast - Strait of Hormuz 24East Coast - Strait of Malacca 31West Coast - Yokosuka 14West Coast - Strait of Hormuz 32West Coast - Strait of Malacca 23

Transit Times (in days)

~4 ships

~53 ships(41 non rotational)

~35 ships(22 non rotational)

~10 ships(3 non rotational)

~2 ships

Total : 289 ShipsDeployed: 104 Ships

50,000 personnel Ships deployed (Avg Last 90 Days)

2 Oct 14

~185 ships

0

100

200

300

400

Navy’s Fleet SizeSupply vs Demand

3

108 Ships, FY94

24% of Battle Force108 Ships today

37% of Battle Force

289 Ships

Impacts:• Longer deployments

• Less surge capacity

• Reduced service life

• Shorter turn around

Despite Battle Force size, global demand remains high

454 Ships

Fleet Size

Combatant Commander Need:

~450 ship Navy

Globally Deployed Ships

SHIPS

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

WWII Peak: 3.4M Sailors

Fleet SizeWWII Peak: 6,768 Ships

1917: 289-ship Navy

2014: 289-ship Navy

Unit quality increased over time, but “quantity has a quality of its own”

Personnel

Navy Historical Trends

During Operations ENDURING & IRAQI FREEDOM:• Navy personnel decreased by 67,000 (~17%)

• Battle Force size decreased by 23 ships (~7%)

Location of Crude Oil Carriers on Any Given Day

Energy powers world economies. Unimpeded flow is critical to

ensuring our collective prosperity and security

Ships >5500 DWT © 2014 IHS

Seaborne Trade Growth

Seaborne trade on a steady rise through history.

Projected to more than double again by 2030.

Air

13%

Land

12%Sea

75%

Vo

lum

e:

Metr

ic T

on

s (

milli

on

s)

2013 Trade Split by Value

© 2014 IHS

© 2014 IHS