Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling

Global to Local Scale, Human, Economic, Ecological, Systems Modelling

Stephen Passmore - Bob Bishop - Peter Head

The Ecological Sequestration Trust

• UK NGO 2011 speed up and scale up transformative urban/rural development• Operate in space between private, public, knowledge and civil society sectors• Leading experts foster integrated systems thinking and collaborative approaches• Develop tools and demonstrators to support implementation of post 2030 agenda

resilience.io - city-region systems model

Risk Management in City RegionsFocus on Integrated approach to Planetary Health

CHEER

The natural world is massively complex

The Atmospheric System The Oceanic System

The Crustal Plate System The Space-Weather System

The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST) and the

International Centre for Earth Simulation (ICES) cooperate to ensure that

City-Regional Models integrate all Earth-System Dynamics

When things go wrong!

Planetary Health Underpins Sustainable Development Goals and New Urban Agenda

Collaboration for transformation “A successful sustainable development agenda requires partnerships between central and local governments, the private sector, academia and faiths/civil society which put people and planet at the centre”

CHEER Collaborative Human, Ecological, Economic ResourcesEnabling system for public goodCommon service infrastructure

CHEER system must be practical and create value

• Social and Physical

• Data driven

• Evidence for investment

• Performance based procurement

• Metrics for SDG delivery

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The role of accessible integrated earth-regional systems modelling for risk-based decision making

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Future Cities Africa

World’s first demonstration of the functionality of the resilience.io prototype model through a sector application in Accra. The outputs highlight relevant resilient solutions and inform policy and/or planning decision-making, investment and links to SDGs.

Cities in Africa to become future proofed to climate, environment and natural resource challenges, so that they are inclusive and resilient, and have growing economies.

Output 3

Sector investigation workshop-Thursday 26th March 2016 ILGS

Investing 1% GDP per year ($40m) in public transport rather than just building roadsincluding dedicated walking and cycling routes

Standards for energy efficient higher quality buildings and training to design and build them

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Global warming, floods and disease

WASH resilience.io prototype requested● Model development

● Set of specifications – http://resilience.io ● 50 Process blocks developed that describe

input output, energy, material and labour● Computer modules built and tested

● ABM & RTN● Three Use cases developed with the GTG

to demonstrate functionality and benefits● Visualisations for decision support and

basic user interface

● Data● 200 plus data sets collected that describe

WASH in GAMA as well as socio-economic, GIS, process and technology.

Urban demonstrator in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area, (GAMA) Ghana

full supplyintermittentno supply sewage pipeline

GAMA Technical GroupCollaborative Laboratory

June Aug Sept Nov Jan Mar May05

101520253035404550 TEST/CA Staff

GAMA Stakeholders

Month 2015-16

Coun

t

MLGRD “helps to consider the complexities and difficulties faced in planning and implementation of WASH sector”Private Sector “Can use resilience.io to better evaluate resilient initiatives and work in PPP to deliver new infrastructure around GAMA”

using resilience.io

Very well received..MLGRD - Good tool in the development of the urban areas, we need such a model.

UoG - resilience.io prototype gives a faster and more accurate solutions for development (urban) planning

AMA - Is important to help in decision making and inform policy

Training - The model is very good, and can help us to improve and prioritise quality decisions in my Assembly

• 3 results workshops including live model runs– 97% think the resilience.io prototype is functional– 71% think resilience.io is suitable to inform policy/investment decision making (high degree)

• Training and installation session– 90% like to be involved in further development & 100% like to use as part of their role/institution

• High level debut event– It’s a great thing for GAMA, a great thing for Ghana, and I believe it will be a great thing for

Africa Robert Ansah - AMA

Sustained finance for equitable green growth Infrastructure investment

Reduced project design cost Speeding up delivery

Permanent revolving fund

Roadmap 2030 -16 cross cutting themes

• Enabling environment to create smart partnerships between national and municipal government, civil society, academia, faiths and the private sector

• How to implement the New Urban Agenda• Addresses 16 cross-cutting themes in an integrated approach