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BYRON DEETER Bessemer Venture Partners
BESSEMER’S 10 LAWS OF CLOUD COMPUTING 2016 BYRON DEETER www.bvp.com/cloud @bdeeter
Source: Flickr/Clemens Grün www.bvp.com/cloud 3
Source: Victor J. Blue/Getty Images 4 4www.bvp.com/cloud 4
Source: Shutterstock.com/DeshaCAM
www.bvp.com/cloud 5
Source: HBO/iStock 6 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: Blue Apron Blog 7 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: iStock 8 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source:Flickr/Marco www.bvp.com/cloud 9
Source: Microsoft 10 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 10: ONDEMAND EVERYTHING
Source: Flickr/AJ LEON 11 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: Docusign 12 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: Shutterstock 13 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: PCWallart.com 14 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 09: GROW (EFFICIENTLY) …OR DIE
TOP TIER $10M ARR COMPANY SHOULD GROW 300% YOY
Source:SECfillings.BVPCloudIndexpubliccompanies.T=quarters 15
@ $10mm ARR
@ $100mm ARR
@ $300mm ARR
%YoYGrowth
300%
100%
30%
(Starting From Four Quarters Prior to IPO)
Public Cloud Company YoY Growth Best-In-Class Growth
FASTER GROWTH IS REWARDED – 10% GROWTH = +1.0X IN REVENUE MULTIPLE
Appfolio, Inc.
Atlassian Corporation
Bazaarvoice
Benefitfocus BroadSoft
Castlight Health
Constant Contact
Cornerstone OnDemand
Cvent Demandware HubSpot
Instructure
Intralinks
Jive Software Lifelock
LivePerson
LogMein
Marin Software
Medidata Solutions
Mindbody, Inc
Mobileiron
NetSuite New Relic
Proofpoint
Qualys
RealPage
Salesforce
ServiceNow
Shopify
Textura
The Ultimate Software Group
Veeva
Wix
Workday
Xactly
Xero
Zendesk
-1.0x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x 45 Public Cloud Companies +10% growth results in +1.0x Rev Mult
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
y = 10.181x + 1.1297 R2 = 0.36068
’15-’16 Revenue Growth
2016
Rev
enue
Mul
tiple
Source: 45 companies in BVP Cloud Index. CapIQ www.bvp.com/cloud 16
Source: iStock 17 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 08: SALES EFFICIENCY IS YOUR OXYGEN
Source: iStock 18 www.bvp.com/cloud
www.bvp.com/cloud
CAC PAYBACK PERIOD =
(Months)
TOTAL SALES & MARKETING COSTS OF PRIOR QUARTER
NEW CMRR ADDED IN PRIOR QUARTER X GROSS MARGIN % OF THE BUSINESS
CUSTOMER ACQUISITION COST - CAC PAYBACK
19
20
$10 $15 $23$34
$51
($16) ($24)($36)
($54)
($81)
($8)($12) ($18)
($27)($41)
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5
EFFICIENT CAC PAYBACK = MORE FOUNDER OWNERSHIP ResulKngP&Lfor3companiesgrowingat50%newbookingswithdifferentCACpaybacks
Total cash burn: $106MNew Bookings S&M Costs Cash Flows (Gross Profit – S&M)
1 Yr CAC Payback 1.5 Yr CAC Payback 2 Yr CAC Payback
$10 $15 $23$34
$51
($8) ($12) ($18)($27)
($41)
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5
$10 $15$23
$34
$51
($12) ($18)($27)
($41)
($61)
($4) ($6) ($9) ($14)($20)
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5
Total cash burn: $0M Total cash burn: $53M
Note:Assumed50%growthinnewbookingseveryyear,80%grossmargin,andotherexpensesequal80%ofprioryear’sbookings. 20
Source: iStock 21 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 07: CUSTOMER SUCCESS = COMPANY SUCCESS
1% IMPROVEMENT IN CHURN = $100M+ IN VALUATION
Note:Assumesmonthlynewbookingsincreasesby$5kpermonth.
0%Churn(100%renewal+upsell)
1%MonthlyChurn(-1%growth)
1%MonthlyUpsell(+1%growth;NetNegaZveChurn)
~$95M
~$75M
~$115M
ARRinY6
5x
5x
5x
Mult
$475M
$375M
$575M
EquityValue
$95
$75
$115
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6
$ARR
ARRof3DifferentBusinesses
ARR(0%monthlychurn) ARR(1%monthlychurn)
ARR(1%netnegaZvemonthlychurn)
1%Churn=$20MARR=$100MinValuaKon
www.bvp.com/cloud 22
CUSTOMER SUCCESS MANAGEMENT
23 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: iStock 24 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 06: CONTROL YOUR OWN DESTINY… CASH IS KING
12/31/2015
BVPCloudIndex45PublicallyTradedCompanies
IndexedasofJan.2011|@12/31/2015
25
v
www.bvp.com/cloud
BVPCloudIndex45PublicallyTradedCompanies
IndexedasofJan.2011|@2/5/2016
26
$63BN MARKET CAP LOST IN 5 WEEKS
www.bvp.com/cloud 27
PRIVATE CLOUD MULTIPLES ARE TRADING AT A PREMIUM TO PUBLIC CLOUD MULTIPLES… BUT IT CANT LAST
Source: 45 companies in BVP Cloud Index as of 2/4/2016. CapIQ. Note: Private cloud transactions based on 69 private transactions. In the last 6 months, the average ARR multiple paid was 14.0x. BVP Cloud Index multiple and Legacy software multiples are both NTM GAAP revenue.
The public / private gap
will converge
Public cloud multiples are cheap
28
Source: iStock 29 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 05: 5 C'S OF CLOUD FINANCE
Gross Burn Rate
Net Burn Rate
Free Cash Flow
Committed Annual
Recurring Revenue (CARR)
Annual Recurring
Revenue (ARR)
Customer Acquisition Cost
Payback Period
Logo Churn
MRR Gross Churn
MRR Net Churn
Customer Lifetime Value (Gross Margin
Affected)
CARR & ARR CAC PAYBACK CHURN CLTV CASH FLOW
1 2 3 4 5
5 C’s OF CLOUD FINANCE
www.bvp.com/cloud 30
BUILD YOUR DASHBOARD TO FLY YOUR ROCKETSHIP…or RIDE YOUR UNICORN
www.bvp.com/cloud 31
$10 $10 $10 $10
$0
$8
$16
$24
($8)
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4
MULTIPLE WAYS TO BE SUCCESSFUL: KNOW YOUR MODEL AND NAIL IT
Revenue S&M Costs Cash Flows (Gross Profit – S&M)
1 Yr CAC Payback, 100% Retention 2 Yr CAC Payback, 115% Retention
Note:Assumed80%grossmargin,andnootherexpenses.
$10 $12 $13 $15
($8)
$1
$12
$24
($16)
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4
Resultsinsamecashflowaber4years
www.bvp.com/cloud 32
TAKEAWAY: GUARDRAILS FOR VALUATION Representative SaaS Business ($15mm ARR)
CARR % Fwd Growth
1
Good
Better
Best
50-100%
50%
100%+
CAC PAYBACK (Mos)
2
12 - 24
24
<12
CHURN (Monthly)
3
<1%
1-3%
Net negative
CLTV / CAC
4
3-5x
3x
5x+
CASH FLOW (New ARR/Mo Burn)
5
1x
<1x
>1x
www.bvp.com/cloud 33
1x 1% 1yr <-1% MONTHLY GROSS CHURN
>+1% NET CHURN
CAC PAYBACK NET NEW ARR
NET BURN
POST SERIES A: THE 1-1-1 RULE!
www.bvp.com/cloud 34
Source: iStock 35 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 04: THE BEST PRODUCT IS FINALLY STARTING TO WIN
Source:docs.oracle.com
Source: iStock 37 www.bvp.com/cloud
Source: Slack
38
Source:NewRelic
LAW 03: THE ASCENDANCY OF DEVELOPERS
40
$0.0
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$30.0
2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Reuters.
Uber Growth Global bookings, in billions
Mapping
Payments
Communication (Messaging/Voice)
SSO
Customer Engagement
Storage $0.6 $2.9
$10.8
$26.1
www.bvp.com/cloud
APIS TO ACCELERATE YOUR BUSINESS
41
LAW 02: INSPIRE (AND HIRE) WITH VISION Source:iStock 42
Vision - The dream; a team's true north. Primary objective is to inspire and create a shared sense of
purpose throughout the company.
LinkedIn’s Vision: Create economic opportunity for every member of the global workforce
“”
www.bvp.com/cloud
INSPIRE (AND HIRE) WITH VISION
43
Source: iStock 44 www.bvp.com/cloud
LAW 01: MOBILE IS EATING THE WORLD ....WIDE WEB!
MOBILE IS A GAME CHANGER FOR THE ENTERPRISE
85%Americansbetween18-29
>50%Internetusageonmobilevsdesktop
80%Workforcearenon-deskworkers
~EVERYONEINENTERPRISEB2BNOWHASASMARTPHONE
INTERNETUSAGETIPPEDTOMOBILE
REACHESANUNTOUCHEDWORKFORCE
Source:PewResearchCenter,April,2015,“TheSmartphoneDifference”.Source:eMarketer9/14(2008-2010),eMarketer4/15(2011-2015).Note:OtherconnecteddevicesincludeOTTandgameconsoles.Mobileincludessmartphoneandtablet.Usageincludesbothhomeandwork.Ages18+;ZmespentwitheachmediumincludesallZmespentwiththatmedium,regardlessofmulZtasking.KPCBInternettrends,2015
GlobalMobilePenetraAon1995-2014
GLOBALPENETRATION
1–>73%
45
kk
USE CASES THAT SPEND >50% AWAY FROM A DESKTOP
Healthcare EducaKon Retail
ConstrucKon FieldServices FieldSales
Events Agriculture SMBs
VER
TICA
L
PaperReplacement(Forms/Invoicing)
CollaboraKon
HORIZO
NTA
L
www.bvp.com/cloud 46
2010 2015 2020
CONTENT CONSUMPTION
CONTENT CREATION
The mobile version of the cloud app
Paper replacement
Collaboration/Communication
In the field working
???
WAVE 1 = CONTENT CONSUMPTION WAVE 2 = CONTENT CREATION
www.bvp.com/cloud 47
LIMITED REAL ESTATE = CONTEXTUAL AWARENESS IS THE FUTURE
DOWNLOAD NOW @ www.speakeasy.co 48
MESSAGING IS THE KILLER MOBILE EXPERIENCE
• The average Millennial (18-24) exchanges an average of 67 text messages per day1
• Text messages have a 98% open rate, while email has only a 20% open rate2
• Over 80% of people use text messaging for business, and 15% said that more than half their messages are for business purposes3
• First example of success – Slack4
• 2M DAU • 570M paid users • 800M+ messages sent a month • 4k platform apps
Source: (1) Business Insider. (2) Velocify., (3) eWeek. (4) Slack.
49 www.bvp.com/cloud
BESSEMER’S 10 LAWS OF CLOUD COMPUTING
10 OnDemand
EVERYTHING:
09 GROW
(efficiently) or die.
08 Sales
efficiency is your oxygen.
07 Customer
SUCCESS = company success.
06 Control your
own destiny… CASH is king.
05 5 C's of cloud
finance.
04 Best
PRODUCT is finally starting
to win. .
03 The
ascendancy of Developers
02 Inspire (and hire)
with vision
01 MOBILE is eating the
world...wide web
www.bvp.com/cloud
51 51
@bdeeter @kshenster @ bessemervp
Available for Download: www.bvp.com/cloud
© 2016 Bessemer Venture Partners
“Don’t live up to your expectations, live up to your potential”
www.bvp.com/cloud