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1 Global trends in R&D-intensive FDI and policy implications for developing countries 1 José Guimón, PhD Department of Economic Structure and Development Economics Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Spain [email protected] Abstract: This paper reviews recent global trends in the international allocation of corporate R&D centers and discusses the policy implications for developing countries. First, in recent years global R&D networks are becoming more multi-polar, with a growing relevance of developing countries both as destinations and as sources of R&D- intensive FDI. However, this is largely associated with the growing importance of China and India in corporate innovation networks, while many developing countries remain excluded. Second, the fast growth of R&D-intensive FDI during the 1990s may be shifting towards a period of stagnation given the maturation of corporate R&D networks and the effects of the 2007-2010 economic crisis. Third, the changing strategic motivations behind R&D-intensive FDI are discussed. Building on these trends, the paper concludes with a discussion of some policy options available to attract and embed R&D-intensive FDI. Keywords: absorptive capacity, FDI, innovation, multinational companies, R&D, spillovers 1. Introduction The growing relevance of R&D-intensive foreign direct investment (FDI) reflects wider trends in the global economy. Multinational companies (MNC) are gradually modifying their strategies and spatial organization, involving an on-going fragmentation of their international value chains in the search of sustainable competitiveness. This applies to their manufacturing, logistics, sales or administrative functions, and increasingly also to R&D activities. Indeed, corporate R&D is gradually evolving from a centralized and hierarchical node of global supply chains towards one that builds upon an open network of geographically dispersed R&D centres. As a result, R&D-intensive FDI has grown substantially since the early 1990s, albeit with significant differences across industries and countries. Given that MNCs undertake the bulk of global R&D expenditure, their location decisions determine to a large extent the geography of R&D activity (Jaruzelski and Dehoff, 2008). R&D-intensive FDI can be defined as an investment involving a lasting interest and control by a resident entity in one economy in an enterprise resident in another economy 1 This paper builds heavily on a background report prepared by the author for a High-Level Policy Workshop organized by the World Bank (“Innovating Through the Crisis”, Dubrovnik, Croatia, June 2011). The usual disclaimers apply.

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Page 1: Global Trends in R&D-Intensive FDI and Policy Implications for Developing Countries

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Global trends in R&D-intensive FDI and

policy implications for developing countries1

José Guimón, PhD

Department of Economic Structure and Development Economics

Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Spain

[email protected]

Abstract: This paper reviews recent global trends in the international allocation of

corporate R&D centers and discusses the policy implications for developing countries.

First, in recent years global R&D networks are becoming more multi-polar, with a

growing relevance of developing countries both as destinations and as sources of R&D-

intensive FDI. However, this is largely associated with the growing importance of

China and India in corporate innovation networks, while many developing countries

remain excluded. Second, the fast growth of R&D-intensive FDI during the 1990s may

be shifting towards a period of stagnation given the maturation of corporate R&D

networks and the effects of the 2007-2010 economic crisis. Third, the changing strategic

motivations behind R&D-intensive FDI are discussed. Building on these trends, the

paper concludes with a discussion of some policy options available to attract and embed

R&D-intensive FDI.

Keywords: absorptive capacity, FDI, innovation, multinational companies, R&D,

spillovers

1. Introduction

The growing relevance of R&D-intensive foreign direct investment (FDI) reflects wider

trends in the global economy. Multinational companies (MNC) are gradually modifying

their strategies and spatial organization, involving an on-going fragmentation of their

international value chains in the search of sustainable competitiveness. This applies to

their manufacturing, logistics, sales or administrative functions, and increasingly also to

R&D activities. Indeed, corporate R&D is gradually evolving from a centralized and

hierarchical node of global supply chains towards one that builds upon an open network

of geographically dispersed R&D centres. As a result, R&D-intensive FDI has grown

substantially since the early 1990s, albeit with significant differences across industries

and countries. Given that MNCs undertake the bulk of global R&D expenditure, their

location decisions determine to a large extent the geography of R&D activity (Jaruzelski

and Dehoff, 2008).

R&D-intensive FDI can be defined as an investment involving a lasting interest and

control by a resident entity in one economy in an enterprise resident in another economy

1 This paper builds heavily on a background report prepared by the author for a High-Level Policy

Workshop organized by the World Bank (“Innovating Through the Crisis”, Dubrovnik, Croatia, June

2011). The usual disclaimers apply.

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for the purpose of deploying R&D activities (UNCTAD, 2005). This may occur through

greenfield investments (creation of a new R&D center overseas by a multinational

company or expansion of an existing subsidiary), through transnational mergers and

acquisitions (M&A) (full or partial acquisition of a domestic company active in R&D

by a foreign company) or through transnational joint ventures (joint ownership of an

R&D center by foreign and domestic entities). In addition to these different possible

entry modes, there are many different types of R&D activities that MNCs may

internationalize, reflecting different strategic motivations. The R&D activities may be

demand-driven, supply-driven or efficiency-seeking; global, regional or local in scope;

radical or incremental; product or process oriented; autonomous or highly integrated

into the global R&D value chain; and so forth (Bas and Sierra, 2002; Florida, 1997;

Kuemmerle, 1999; Sachwald, 2008).

This implies that R&D-intensive FDI is a very heterogeneous phenomenon; in

particular, one must consider the different strategic motivations and entry modes in

order to better frame its developmental impact and policy implications for host

economies. Moreover, although we focus on R&D-intensive FDI as defined above, it

should be understood as part of a wider process that can be characterized as the

globalization of technological innovation (Archibugi and Iammarino, 2002). This

includes not only R&D-intensive FDI but also international collaboration in R&D,

transnational technology contracts and licensing, international technological alliances,

and international trade of high technology products. Indeed, from a development and

policy perspective the critical issue is the nature and extent of cross-border

technological linkages, rather than whether these linkages are organised intra-firm

(through FDI) or inter-firm (through contracts and alliances). Moreover, it should also

be acknowledged that MNCs may undertake other modes of innovation other than

R&D, which may have an equivalent effect on learning, innovation and competence

building in host economies. Under a broad view of innovation, the role of MNCs is not

limited to its contribution to R&D efforts but also to organisational change and new

business models; marketing, branding and design; etc.

R&D-intensive FDI is expected to bring significant benefits to host countries by

enabling an upgrading of technological capabilities as well as a better access to

international markets (Cantwell and Piscitello, 2000; Carlsson, 2006; Santangelo, 2005).

In view of the potential benefits, attracting (and embedding) R&D-intensive FDI is

becoming a critical concern for policymakers across developed and developing

countries alike. But the benefits associated with R&D-intensive FDI do not accrue

automatically; a threshold level of absorptive capacity is required in order to tap into

the potential externalities2. The impact of R&D-intensive FDI on host countries

comprises direct and indirect effects (Görg and Strobl 2001; Narula and Dunning,

2010):

Direct effects are associated with a net increase in domestic R&D activity, involving

more R&D expenditure and the quick creation of job opportunities for highly skilled

labor. The direct benefits will be larger when the subsequent R&D activities of MNC

subsidiaries complement (rather than replace) the R&D activity of local companies.

Still, some extent of crowding-out of the technological activity of local firms can be

2 Absorptive capacity can be defined as the firm‟s (or country‟s) ability to acquire, assimilate and exploit

knowledge developed elsewhere (Cohen and Levinthal, 1989).

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expected through intensified competition for limited specialized assets, including

human capital. The risk of crowding-out is especially acute in the case of transnational

M&As, where the only short term effect for the host country is a change of ownership,

while in the medium- to long-run there is a trade-off between the potential for expansion

and upgrading, on the one hand, and the risk that the acquirer ends up reducing the

subsidiary‟s R&D mandate to avoid duplicities with other pre-existing R&D centers

within the MNC‟s global network, on the other hand.

Indirect effects relate to the impact of innovative MNC subsidiaries on other actors of

the national innovation system through different types of formal and informal linkages

and knowledge spillovers. Among other indirect effects, R&D-intensive FDI may

enable locally produced components to be incorporated at the design stage of new

products, opening up new markets for local suppliers and new opportunities to

collaborate with MNCs. R&D-intensive FDI facilitates the transfer of tacit

technological knowledge, which is hard to acquire by other means. Besides

collaborative agreements with local firms and research centers, knowledge spillovers

also unfold through indirect employment effects, whereby the host country benefits from

training provided by MNC subsidiaries to their employees, who subsequently become

available to local firms through the job market or may establish new ventures

themselves (Fosfuri et al., 2001). Other sources of indirect benefits are demonstration

and competition effects, because the presence of innovative MNC subsidiaries spurs

domestic firms to engage in R&D and enhance the efficiency of their operations to be

able to compete. In contrast with direct effects, indirect effects may be larger in the case

of M&As, given that the acquired subsidiary will tend to be more embedded in the local

economic in terms of vertical and horizontal linkages with local firms, universities and

agencies.

Measuring R&D-intensive FDI is not straightforward, since the indicators and statistical

sources available are limited. Moreover, there are different ways of measuring R&D-

intensive FDI, depending on whether the objective is to measure the flows or the stocks.

R&D-intensive FDI flows are the new FDI projects during a certain year(s) which are

connected to R&D. The problem is that official statistics (from national governments,

UNCTAD, etc.) do not provide a functional breakdown of FDI; at best they inform of

its industrial distribution. There are, however, other databases3 that provide detailed

information about new FDI announcements, allowing the analyst to identify the specific

FDI projects where the main activity concerned is R&D. In contrast, when analyzing

R&D-intensive FDI stocks, the unit of analysis is the R&D activity of the whole

population of MNC subsidiaries located in the country concerned. Thus, the main

indicator of R&D-intensive FDI is the R&D expenditure by MNC subsidiaries, often

expressed as a percentage of total business expenditure in R&D4. The R&D intensity of

foreign-owned subsidiaries can be compared with the R&D intensity of nationally-

owned firms5. Further comparisons of the innovative behavior of MNC subsidiaries

versus national firms can be performed using the information provided by official

3 For example, the fDi Markets database of Financial Times or the European Investment Monitor database

of Ernst and Young. 4 The OECD compiles this indicator since the early 1990s, although not all OECD countries are covered.

5 Aggregate comparisons of R&D-intensities need to be done with care, controlling by industry and firm

size as well as considering the potential distortive effect of corporate transfer pricing strategies (Barry,

2005).

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innovation surveys (e.g. the Community Innovation Survey, for EU countries) or

through new surveys developed for specific research purposes. An additional possibility

for measuring the internationalization of corporate R&D is to use patent data, as patent

applications inform of the address of both the inventor and the applicant, such that when

they are located in different countries this generally reflects the internationalization of

MNCs innovative activities (Guellec and Pottelsberghe, 2001).

In this paper we use data on R&D expenditure of foreign-owned subsidiaries from the

OECD and then rely on the fDi Markets database to further analyze geographical and

industrial trends. This database comprises greenfield FDI project announcements,

excluding M&As. The information in the database is compiled by the Financial Times

Group through global, national and regional media; financial information providers;

corporate websites; and government websites. Despite its limitations, this is one of the

few sources to identify R&D-intensive FDI projects, because it provides information

not only of the sector but also of the business activity associated with each investment

announcement. By selecting only the FDI projects where the business activity is R&D

the flows of R&D-intensive FDI can be proxied6. This database provides a sample of

2275 announcements of FDI in R&D project announcements around the world starting

in 2003 and is updated several times per year.

Building on an analysis of these statistical sources and on a literature review, the rest of

this paper discusses some key global trends which may be relevant to shape government

policies aimed at attracting and embedding the R&D of multinational companies.

Section 2 argues that the fast growth in R&D-intensive FDI during the 1990s may be

shifting towards a period of stagnation given the maturation of corporate R&D networks

and the effects of the 2007-2010 economic crisis. Section 3 shows that in recent years

global R&D networks are becoming more multi-polar, with a growing relevance of

emerging countries both as destinations and as sources of R&D-intensive FDI. Section 4

elaborates on the evolution of strategic motivations behind R&D-intensive FDI. Finally,

Section 5 attempts to translate these global trends into a set of policy implications for

developing countries.

2. Is the recent growth of R&D-intensive FDI coming to an end?

Although it is not a new phenomenon, the internationalization of R&D accelerated

sharply during the 1990s, partly as a side effect of the internationalization of production

and of the rise in transnational M&As, and partly as a deliberate strategy of building up

global innovation networks by MNCs. A study by Booz Allen Hamilton, a consulting

firm, indicates that the largest 1000 companies by R&D expenditure allocate on average

55 percent of their R&D budget outside the countries where they are headquartered

(Jaruzelski and Dehoff, 2008). Other interesting findings of this study are that 91

6 This implies underestimating to a certain extent the R&D that occurs through FDI, because projects that

are classified in a different business activity such as manufacturing may also bring along some associated

R&D expenditure even if it is not the main focus of the project (besides R&D, other business activities in

the database include sales, marketing & support; manufacturing; business services; retail; distribution &

transportation; customer contact centers; extraction; retail; headquarters; and others). Moreover, the

database is not exhaustive: there may be some other FDI projects that are not accounted for by fDi

markets database because they do not appear in the primary sources used to gather the data.

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percent of MNCs conduct some R&D in their subsidiaries abroad and that their total

number of overseas R&D sites increased by 6 percent from 2004 to 2007.

Global estimates from the United Nations Conference for Trade and Development show

that in 2002 firms allocated 15.9 percent of their R&D expenditure in their subsidiaries

abroad, up from 10.3 percent in 1993 (UNCTAD, 2005). This implies that the R&D of

foreign-owned subsidiaries grew much faster than the R&D of local firms. More recent

estimates show that the internationalization of corporate R&D continued growing from

2002 to 2006 in most OECD countries (OECD, 2009). A similar picture emerges by

looking at other indicators of the internationalization of corporate R&D, such as the

share of total patents that originate from foreign-owned MNC subsidiaries (Guellec and

Pottelsberghe, 2001).

The growing relevance of foreign MNC subsidiaries in domestic R&D effort is

widespread, but there are large differences across countries in the actual level of foreign

participation, reflecting not only their different attractiveness for R&D-intensive FDI,

but also their degree of openness and the intensity of R&D by national firms. In 2006

the share of foreign affiliates in domestic business R&D was 5.4 percent in Japan, 13.8

percent in the US, around 30 percent in most European countries7, and over 60 percent

in Slovakia and Ireland (OECD, 2009). Table 1 shows the evolution of this indicator

from 1994 to 2006 in a set of OECD countries. It is worth noting that the relevance of

foreign subsidiaries in domestic R&D expenditure rose in all countries of the sample

and that this trend is especially intense in Eastern European countries.

*** TABLE 1 HERE ***

With regard to industrial trends, it can be expected that R&D-intensive FDI will

concentrate in the most global and high technology sectors such as pharmaceuticals and

ICT. However, the internationalization of R&D extends across many different sectors,

as illustrated in Table 2 by the specific case of inward R&D-intensive FDI into the EU.

Therefore, although it makes sense to design specific policy strategies for the dominant

industries, it is worth also to be open-minded and look for opportunities in other market

niches. Another trend to consider is the growing importance of R&D in the services

sector: in contrast to R&D in manufacturing, which has shown little growth in recent

years, R&D in services is growing rapidly in most countries, and this trend also reflects

itself in the internationalization of corporate R&D (European Commission, 2007).

*** TABLE 2 HERE ***

With the global economic crisis that started in 2007, there was a sharp decline in global

FDI flows, albeit with a slight recovery starting in 2010 (UNCTAD, 2010). It can be

expected that R&D-intensive FDI flows also declined or at best stagnated. Indeed,

between 2007 and 2010 a total of 1004 greenfield FDI in R&D projects were recorded

globally, compared with 1271 from 2003 to 2006, which represents a 26.6 percent

decline (Source: fDi Markets database).

7 The figures for EU countries include intra-EU investment flows, i.e. when a firm based in a EU country

conducts R&D in another EU country. Therefore they are not directly comparable with the US, where

inter-State flows are excluded.

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Even before the crisis unfolded, Gammeltoft (2006) argued that “the fire growth in

R&D internationalisation, well documented in the previous literature, may have come to

an end” and that the focus is now shifting towards the “organisational consolidation of

the existing complex international R&D structures”. Similarly, Hegde and Hicks (2008)

spoke of a “maturation” of globalized corporate R&D.

After the fast expansion of global innovation networks during the 1990s - sometimes

fuelled by international M&As rather than by deliberate R&D internationalization

strategies - in many cases the resulting structures turned out to be overly complex and

unmanageable, leading many MNCs to streamline their organisations and exert a larger

hierarchical coordination (Gammeltoft, 2006). It is reasonable to assume that the crisis

has further spurred the restructuring of global R&D networks in search for efficiency,

possibly resulting in divestments in some countries but expansions in others. In a survey

of the 1000 largest EU companies by R&D expenditure, over half of respondents made

changes to the management of their R&D investments as a result of the economic crisis,

concentrating their research agenda via reallocation of resources, narrowing of focus,

and higher outsourcing of R&D work (European Commission, 2010). Filippetti and

Archibugi (2011) show that, within the EU, MNC subsidiaries located in Eastern

Europe are those that have suffered the larger cuts in R&D activity following the 2007-

2010 economic crisis, compared to the more important R&D nodes placed in the

Western Europe.

3. The shift towards developing countries

R&D-intensive FDI was formerly a triadic rather than global phenomenon, with both

inflows and outflows heavily concentrated in the US, Western Europe and (to a lesser

extent) Japan. However, during the last decade the relevance of developing countries in

global innovation networks has increased substantially8. This can be ascribed largely to

the sharp increase in new R&D investments by MNCs in China and India during the last

decade, although starting from a very low base: the number of R&D centers owned by

foreign MNCs rose from only 100 in each of the two countries in 2001 to 1100 in China

and 780 in India by the end of 2008 (Bruche, 2009). According to Jaruzelski and Dehoff

(2008) eighty-three percent of all new R&D sites opened between 2004 and 2007 by the

largest 1000 MNCs by R&D expenditure were located in China or India.

Based on Ernst and Young‟s fDi Database, Table 3 shows the geographical distribution

of FDI in R&D projects from 2003 to 2010. From 2003 to 2010 there were a total of

2275 announcements of new FDI in R&D projects in the world, out of which 43 percent

were located in Asia-Pacific. Western Europe attracted almost 25 percent of all new FDI

in R&D projects during that period, while the share of North America was around 13

percent9. The table also indicates the share of R&D projects in total inward FDI by

region. For example, in Western Europe around 2.3 percent of all new FDI projects

were directly related to R&D, while in the rest of Europe the share was below 1 percent.

It is worth noting that R&D-intensive FDI projects are not employment-intensive: on

8 It is important here to differentiate between flows and stocks: although developing countries are

attracting a growing share of new flows of R&D-intensive FDI in recent years, they still represent a lower

share of the total stock, and thus of the total overseas R&D expenditure by MNCs. 9 However, it should be noted that the EU figure includes intra-EU investment flows (see note 3).

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average, each new R&D center opened by foreign-owned firms in EU 27 countries

between 2003 and 2010 created just 86 new jobs.

** TABLE 3 HERE **

From a different perspective, with outward FDI from developing countries rapidly

increasing, emerging market multinationals have also become important sources of

R&D-intensive FDI (Sauvant et al., 2010). For example, Chinese and Indian companies

such as Huawei, Tata or Lenovo operate large R&D centers in the US and Europe in an

effort to enhance their global competitiveness by tapping into foreign sources of

knowledge and leading technological clusters. This also applies to other developing

countries (e.g. Brazil, Russia, South Africa), newly industrialized countries (e.g.

Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan) and oil producing Arab countries.

Developing and transition economies are increasingly aware of the importance of R&D-

intensive FDI and its role as a mechanism for technological transfer and catching-up.

But a critical challenge is that many developing countries lack the absorptive capacity,

large markets and specialized clusters that MNCs are looking for when deciding where

to locate their international R&D activities. Moreover, corporate R&D has the tendency

to be sticky, implying that MNCs tend to display a strong inertia towards maintaining

their most strategic R&D activities in already existing locations (Narula, 2002). Indeed,

path-dependencies, agglomeration economies and first mover advantages act as barriers

for latecomers. As argued by Lall (2004), “the cumulative nature of capabilities means

that once FDI takes root in particular locations and global sourcing systems become

established, it becomes more difficult to newcomers to break in, particularly in the more

complex activities and functions”.

4. The evolving strategic motivations

The motivations underlying R&D-intensive FDI may be demand-driven, supply-driven

or efficiency-seeking. Demand-driven R&D is associated with knowledge-exploiting

motivations and primarily oriented towards the adaptation of products, services or

processes to overseas markets. This kind of R&D is often closely connected to the

internationalization of manufacturing operations and attracted by large and dynamic

markets. In contrast, supply driven R&D is related to knowledge-augmenting

motivations, i.e. to tapping into foreign sources of knowledge. In this case the location

decision is driven by the quality of local universities, human capital, research

infrastructure and the presence of specialized clusters, rather than by the size or

dynamism of the domestic market. In other circumstances the international allocation of

R&D is driven mainly by efficiency-seeking motivations, where certain segments of the

R&D value chain are relocated to lower cost locations. These different strategic

motivations are closely related to the distinction between competence creating and

competence exploiting mandates of MNC subsidiaries (Cantwell and Mudambi, 2005).

In practice, the different R&D motivations are often hard to differentiate, and a single

subsidiary may undertake different R&D projects, some of them demand-driven, others

supply-driven, etc. Moreover, the strategic content of international R&D mandates

evolves through time in response to changes in corporate strategies and subsidiary

competencies.

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Demand-driven R&D tends to be more footloose and highly dependent on the

continuation of manufacturing or sales activities, while supply-driven R&D tends to be

more autonomous and knowledge-intensive, and implies a greater reliance on domestic

knowledge sources. The internationalization of corporate R&D was primarily demand

driven in the past, following the internationalization of manufacturing and sales

(Mansfield et al., 1979). But, even though demand driven motivations remain important

today, in recent years supply driven motivations are gradually growing in importance

(Carlsson, 2006; Hegde and Hicks, 2008). Indeed, the role of subsidiaries in global

innovation networks is becoming more active, involving not only incremental

innovations but also multi-technology product development and even basic research.

However, while the number of supply-driven R&D centers may have increased in recent

years, MNCs often operate with just a few of such global R&D labs in carefully

selected locations, with the historical core R&D unit in the country of origin often

holding a coordinating role (Sachwald, 2008). Demand-driven and efficiency-seeking

R&D centers are the most numerous and geographically dispersed, constituting the

majority of overseas R&D centers.

In principle, developing countries are more likely to attract demand-driven or

efficiency-seeking rather than supply-driven R&D, given their lower technological

capabilities relative to developed countries. Along these lines, Thursby and Thursby

(2006) show that the kind of R&D activities by MNCs in emerging countries normally

entails familiar science (i.e. applications of science currently used by the firm and/or its

competitors) rather than new science (i.e. novel applications of science), which remains

concentrated in the core developed countries. Beyond mere adaptation of existing

products and processes, another possible demand-driven motivation which is gaining

importance in recent years is related to the design of new products for low cost

manufacturing, in order to tap into the vast market of low income customers who cannot

afford products such as refrigerators or clothes washing machines within the range of

existing high-end options designed for the middle classes of developed countries

(Eyring et al., 2011). It is more likely that engineering talent and new business models

to design new, lower-end options to meet those needs will come from developing

countries. Another example concerns the race to design a low-cost, high-quality car that

can be affordable to the “middle market” of developing countries. These kinds of

motivations are closely connected with the growing interest of firms in innovation for

the bottom of the pyramid (Kaplinsky, 2011).

Demand-driven and efficiency-seeking R&D subsidiaries tend to focus initially in

lower-end and routine R&D activities (Manning et al., 2008). Puga and Trefler (2010)

suggest that developing economies normally engage initially only in incremental (rather

than radical) R&D, related to addressing production-line bugs and suggesting minor

product improvements. But these lower-end R&D activities may act as a seed in the

sense that, with time, they may enable a shift towards higher value adding R&D

activities following learning and competence building in the subsidiaries (Chaminade

and Vang, 2008; Medcof, 2007; Puga and Trefler, 2010). Indeed, the developmental

impact of demand-driven and efficiency-seeking R&D should not be neglected. Rather,

such R&D activities should be seen as an invaluable opportunity for an evolutionary

upgrading of technological capabilities.

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Whatever the strategic motivations, R&D mandates normally emerge as a sequential

process where pre-existing manufacturing or customer support subsidiaries get

progressively engaged in R&D, and in subsequent phases may further expand the

competence and scope of their R&D activity. This reflects that R&D-intensive FDI

normally occurs through the upward evolution of existing subsidiaries rather than

through completely new investments (Costa and Filippov, 2008; Guimón, 2009;

Mudambi and Mudambi, 2005). R&D mandates are often assigned through a

competitive bidding process involving several potentially-capable subsidiaries of the

MNC already present in different countries and regions. This kind of intra-corporate

competition to attract R&D is becoming more intense as global innovation networks

have become more mature and as a growing and more diverse set of locations have

acquired the threshold level of technological capabilities and infrastructure required for

hosting R&D facilities. MNCs are continuously rationalizing and restructuring their

international network of R&D units, often resulting in an increase in R&D expenditure

overseas but a reduction in the total number of R&D units, through strategies such as

regional integration of R&D efforts (e.g. one dominant R&D center for Europe, with a

smaller network of collaborating units).

5. Conclusions and policy implications for developing countries

Some emerging countries like China and India are attracting increasing flows of R&D-

intensive FDI. Their specialization in manufacturing and other activities like business

process outsourcing shows signs of evolution towards more knowledge intensive

segments of corporate value chains, including R&D. However, many developing

countries (and peripheral regions within developed countries) lack the large and

dynamic markets that BRIC countries can use as a bargaining tool to attract the R&D of

MNCs, and they also lack the technological infrastructure, human capital and

specialized clusters that MNCs are looking for when deciding where to locate their

international R&D centers (Narula and Guimón, 2010). Indeed, although the emerging

new geography of corporate R&D is clearly becoming more multi-polar, this does not

necessarily imply that it will be inclusive. Countries that fail to raise their technological

capabilities in line with MNC needs risk becoming marginalized from global innovation

networks. According to Velde (2001) pro-active and strategic FDI policy interventions

affecting the dynamic pattern of national comparative advantages become necessary in

order to avoid the risk of a low-skill, low-income trap. Lall (2004) also argues that the

need for policy intervention has become stronger given the fast pace of globalization

and technological change. Attracting R&D-intensive FDI requires a more proactive kind

of intervention, unlike generic FDI policies which can rely largely on investment

liberalisation along with marketing and promotion.

Developing and peripheral countries normally face more difficulties in attracting the

R&D of MNCs and see a higher need of government intervention because of market

failures or systemic inefficiencies. An example of market failure is that those who

decide the allocation of R&D centres within global innovation networks lack perfect

information about all potential countries and regions, which implies that their location

decisions may be biased. This would justify policy intervention in the form of FDI

promotion. Another market failure in R&D investment is that firms are not sensitive to

the positive externalities of knowledge creation and, if left to the market, they would

tend to under-invest in R&D due to appropriability concerns and to the duration and risk

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10

inherent in R&D projects. This applies arguably to a larger extent to the specific case of

MNC subsidiaries in developing countries, given that the risk of knowledge spillovers

may be perceived as higher. This would justify policy interventions to improve the

intellectual property rights regime. In addition to market failures, the literature on

innovation systems has played an important role in shaping a new policy approach,

bringing along the notion of systemic failures, beyond market failures, as a rationale for

innovation policies (Smith, 2000). Under this framework policy makers are expected to

intervene when the system of knowledge generation and diffusion does not achieve its

objectives of contributing to innovation and technological progress in an efficient

manner, because of the lack of well developed networks between the different actors of

the system, because of institutional weaknesses, because of an inadequate provision of

research infrastructure, and so on. Thus the role of governments extends further to

facilitating linkages and enhancing the dynamism of the national innovation system.

Table 4 provides an overview of the key policy objectives and instruments associated

with the attraction of R&D-intensive FDI. The implementation of this kind of policy

strategies requires a close interplay of innovation policy and inward investment

promotion (Costa and Filippov, 2008; Guimón, 2009). On the one hand, the role of

innovation policy is to improve the investment climate for R&D by identifying and

acting upon the strengths and weaknesses of the national innovation system. On the

other hand, the role of inward investment promotion is to improve the image of the

country as an R&D location and to provide targeted services to both potential and

existing foreign investors in R&D. Another policy objective at the intersection between

FDI and innovation policy is to build clusters and stimulate linkages around existing

MNC subsidiaries. The goal is to enhance the benefits for the domestic innovation

system and to increase the strategic importance of the subsidiary to the MNC

headquarters, such that sequential investments become increasingly knowledge

intensive.

*** TABLE 4 HERE ***

Attracting R&D-intensive FDI can be interpreted as an evolutionary and sequential

process following the development of local capabilities. The objective guiding FDI

policies would be to create the conditions that enable existing subsidiaries to penetrate

into higher value-added segments of global value chains, and in particular into R&D, by

providing the necessary infrastructures, public R&D and human capital development, in

addition to fiscal and financial incentives to private firms undertaking R&D. An

important policy to attract R&D-intensive FDI is the non-discrimination of foreign-

owned firms against indigenous firms in national technology programs and R&D

funding. Initially, the kind of R&D being attracted will be local and incremental in

scope, motivated by demand-driven or efficiency-seeking strategies. But with time these

R&D mandates might expand to more sophisticated, supply-driven activities following

local learning and competence building. This may culminate in a self-reinforcing

process where dynamic and innovative clusters emerge through the upgrading of local

capabilities and MNC subsidiaries‟ mandates in tandem, and where the subsidiaries

become simultaneously deeply integrated within the MNC global structure and deeply

embedded within the domestic innovation system; a situation that has been defined as

dual embeddedness (Meyer et al., 2011).

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From a systemic approach, policy interventions should aim at stimulating linkages and

building clusters around MNC subsidiaries. This kind of policies are based on the

premise that the opportunities for upgrading and the benefits for the host country are

magnified when MNC subsidiaries become embedded in the domestic milieu by

collaborating with other agents of the national innovation system. Empirical studies

have shown that spillovers of R&D-intensive FDI (measured in terms of increased

productivity in local firms) tend to be positive through vertical linkages (i.e. with

suppliers or customers) but inexistent or negative through horizontal linkages (i.e. with

competitors) (Javorcik, 2002). The existing literature also sustains that the potential for

linkage creation is closely related to the scope assigned to the subsidiary within the

MNC global structure and to the subsidiary‟s initiative and upward influence

(Birkinshaw, 1997; Jindra et al. 2009; Santangelo, 2009). In order for linkages to

unfold, governments should focus on improving the quality standards of domestic

suppliers, such that they turn more likely to become suppliers of MNC subsidiaries.

Many countries such as the Czech Republic and Ireland have successfully used linkage

programmes to support the development of supplier networks and technology clusters

around MNC subsidiaries. The role of governments as linkage facilitators and skills

coordinators is not limited to promoting linkages between MNCs and domestic

suppliers or partners; it should extend further to linkages with universities and public

research centres. This includes joint-research projects as well as subcontracting of

certain research activities. Universities and public research centres also offer MNCs

technical services for testing and consultancy. In addition, training-oriented linkages

between MNCs and local universities should also be encouraged.

With regard to investment promotion policies, beyond advertisement and pre-

investment services, countries targeting R&D-intensive FDI place a higher emphasis in

providing customized value-added services to foreign investors in R&D. This implies a

higher focus on aftercare services, which makes sense given that the R&D mandates of

MNC subsidiaries tend to occur sequentially rather than overnight. Along these lines,

investment promotion agencies should evaluate the existing stock of foreign

subsidiaries in order to identify specific opportunities for upgrading, which would be

followed by enhanced dialogue and collaboration with subsidiary managers and by the

offering of customized aftercare services and incentives. The identification of

prospective companies for policy intervention is followed by efforts to gain audiences

with decision-makers in these companies but, in the words of Loewendahl (2001, p. 22),

“approaching companies should not be seen as a methodical exercise: it is not about

one-off approaches to a fixed number of companies each day, but rather a market

intelligence gathering and relationship building campaign”. These efforts should aim at

identifying new ways in which host country governments might assist MNC subsidiary

managers in upgrading towards higher value adding R&D mandates. In addition, an

important role of investment promotion agencies is to provide advice to other spheres of

government in order to better guide policy reform towards the dynamic technological

needs of MNCs.

Policies to attract R&D-intensive FDI cannot be isolated from wider FDI and industrial

development strategies, and it is important to consider possible tradeoffs. For example,

Mudambi and Mudambi (2005) show how FDI policies aimed at maximizing R&D and

technology transfer do not contribute to reducing regional disparities, since knowledge-

intensive subsidiaries will gravitate towards the most technologically advanced regions.

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Moreover, they find that subsidiary operations with high R&D content generate lower

employment levels, suggesting some extent of quality/quantity trade-off. This trade-off

becomes more apparent in the current times of global economic crisis where

employment and capital accumulation return to the top of the policy agenda. While from

a long-term perspective the target might remain on R&D-intensive FDI that generates

larger knowledge inflows and linkages, FDI policy is also subject to short-term political

pressures. The need for more obvious and easily measurable local benefits, such as

headcount employment, often drives policy making and evaluation.

While the case for public intervention may be strong, governments should set realistic

targets to guide their policies by coupling their country‟s potential location advantages

with the dynamics of global innovation networks. Attracting R&D-intensive FDI is not

an easy task because it requires advanced technological infrastructure and capabilities

and because competition among countries is becoming more intense, within a context of

continuous restructuring and segmentation of global value chains. Policy-makers are

confronted with the challenge of selecting specific policy interventions to improve the

location‟s attractiveness and to promote and embed the R&D of MNCs. Clearly, there

are no magic formulas that can be applied across the board; each individual country

would require a different mix of policies depending on its technological and

institutional profile. The aim then is to design a coherent and efficient policy mix that

encompasses the right set of policies considering the country‟s circumstances and

developmental strategies. Specific government actions and strategies should follow

from an intelligence gathering and technology foresight exercise in continuous dialogue

with the managers of existing MNC subsidiaries. But determining the optimal policy

mix is a very difficult task because it involves different government departments and

agencies and because the relative efficiency of the different policy instruments is

uncertain ex ante and hard to evaluate ex post. Some of the policy instruments may have

a short term impact, such as fiscal and financial R&D incentives, while others such as

improving the education system will only have visible effects in the long run after

sustained investments. The policy mix is not a static structure: it necessarily changes

through time in response to structural transformations of markets and technologies and

to changes in broader economic development strategies.

With regard to outward R&D-intensive FDI, the governments of some developing

countries like South Korea and China are increasingly aware of its benefits as a

mechanism for reverse technology transfer, while others remain neutral (rather than

promoting it explicitly) in view of the potential negative effects in terms of crowding-

out of intra-mural business expenditure in R&D. In any case, policies towards R&D-

intensive FDI remain in an experimental phase and very underexplored in the existing

literature (Edler, 2008), especially in the specific case of developing countries.

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Table 1. R&D expenditure of foreign subsidiaries (% of business expenditure in R&D)

1994 2006

Ireland 66.8 75.9

Slovakia 4.1 64.1

Czech Republic 20.9 58.6

Hungary 22.6 57.8

Belgium n.a. 56.8

Portugal n.a. 47.4

Sweden 19.3 42.3

United Kingdom 29.1 38.4

Germany 13 38.3

Spain 30 35.6

Netherlands 20.4 27.5

Italy n.a. 26.6

Poland 10.3 21.7

France 14.2 20.8

Finland 13.9 17

EU average 23.7 38.5

United States 13.3 13.8

Canada 29.8 34.7

Japan 1.5 5.4

Notes: The EU average is an unweighted mean for the EU countries included in the table; no information

available from the sources on other Member States; n.a. means not available

Sources: OECD (2009) for 2006 and UNCTAD (2005) for 1994. 1995 for Czech Republic, Finland,

Germany, Ireland, Spain and Sweden. 1997 for Poland and Netherlands. 2005 for Belgium, Germany,

Hungary, Ireland, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain and Sweden. 2004 for Netherlands. Manufacturing sector

only for Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Slovakia and Spain, across all years

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Table 2. Distribution by sector of inward R&D-intensive FDI in the EU 27 (percentage of each

sector in total number of projects, 2003-2010)

Pharmaceuticals 20.7 Metals 1.9

Software & IT services 15.8 Plastics 1.7

Biotechnology 12.8 Healthcare 1.6

Communications 5.8 Business Services 1.4

Automotive Components and OEM 5.0 Aerospace 1.3

Chemicals 4.5 Consumer Electronics 1.3

Electronic Components 3.9 Building & Construction Materials 0.9

Industrial Machinery, Equip. & Tools 3.8 Alternative/Renewable energy 0.8

Semiconductors 3.4 Business Machines & Equipment 0.8

Medical Devices 3.0 Coal, Oil and Natural Gas 0.8

Food & Tobacco 2.7 Engines & Turbines 0.8

Consumer Products 1.9 Other sectors 3.6

Notes: Based on number of greenfield FDI announcements per sector where the main business activity is

R&D, without considering the quantity of the investment. M&As are excluded. Sample size of 639

greenfield FDI projects in the 27 Member States of the EU. “Other sectors” comprises several sectors

representing less than 0.8 percent of the total: Ceramics & Glass; Financial Services; Minerals; Non-

Automotive Transport OEM; Paper, Printing & Packaging; Rubber; Space & Defence; and Textiles

Source: Author‟s calculations based on fDi Markets database

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Table 3. Distribution by region of inward R&D-intensive FDI (2003-2010)

Number of FDI

in R&D projects

Percentage of

world total

Percentage of

total FDI projects

Asia-Pacific 987 43.4 13.8

Western Europe 566 24.9 2.3

North America 289 12.7 7.1

Middle East 209 9.2 1.3

Rest of Europe 132 5.8 0.8

Latin America & Caribbean 68 3.0 1.3

Africa 24 1.1 0.1

World total 2275 100 2.1

Note: Based on number of greenfield FDI announcements per sector where the main business activity is

R&D, without considering the quantity of the investment. M&As are excluded

Source: Author‟s calculations based on fDi Markets database

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Table 4. Policies towards inward R&D-intensive FDI

Policy objectives Selected policy instruments

Enhancing the R&D investment

climate

­ Universities, public research centers, science and technology

parks

­ Human capital and attraction of foreign talent

­ Fiscal and financial incentives to business R&D

­ Systemic policies to stimulate linkages and interaction

­ Intellectual property rights regime

Targeting R&D in FDI promotion

­ International promotion of national technological capabilities

­ Pre-investment services to MNCs

­ Post-investment (“aftercare”) services to MNCs

Reaping the benefits from inward

R&D-intensive FDI

­ Building clusters and linkages around MNC subsidiaries

(supplier upgrading and technology linkage programs)

­ Promoting collaboration through R&D incentive schemes