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The ISG Outsourcing Index (formerly the TPI Index) provides a quarterly review of the latest sourcing industry data and trends for clients, service providers, analysts and the media. For more than a decade, it has been the authoritative source for marketplace intelligence related to outsourcing transaction structures and terms, industry adoption, geographic prevalence and service provider performance. The global outsourcing market is constantly evolving. Keep pace with the change and capitalize on the latest trends with the ISG Outsourcing Index.
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SK Prasad Borra, Rishi Jhunjhunwala and Paul Thomas Goldman Sachs
10 October 2013
The Global ISG Outsourcing Index
Third Quarter 2013
Market Data and Insights
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Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for global, commercial contracts.*
Welcome to the 44th Quarterly Outsourcing Index Review
Esteban Herrera Partner
John Keppel Partner & President
Dr. David Howie Partner
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At a Glance
Scorecard 3Q13 3Q Y/Y 3Q Q/Q YTD YTD
ACV ($B)* Change Change ACV ($B)* Change
Global Market $ 5.8 1% 66% $ 14.1 -20%
New Scope $ 3.2 -19% 21% $ 8.3 -30%
Restructurings $ 2.6 42% 200% $ 5.8 3%
Mega-relationships $ 1.4 -15% 119% $ 3.4 -26%
ITO $ 4.4 15% 102% $ 9.7 -13%
BPO $ 1.4 -29% 5% $ 4.4 -31%
Americas $ 1.8 -7% 65% $ 4.9 -26%
EMEA $ 3.5 16% 89% $ 7.8 -5%
Asia Pacific $ 0.5 -41% -13% $ 1.4 -47%
‘ ‘ ‘ ‘ BEST 3Q PERFORMANCE EVER FOR BOTH ACV AND NUMBER OF CONTRACTS AWARDED
GREATEST 3Q PERFORMANCE EVER IN RESTRUCTURING MARKET DRIVEN BY 9 RESTRUCTURING MEGA-RELATIONSHIPS
STRONGEST 3Q ITO PERFORMANCE EVER IN TERMS OF BOTH ACV AND NUMBER OF CONTRACT AWARDS, WHILE BPO ACV SLOWS FOR SECOND STRAIGHT QUARTER ON INCONSISTENT LARGE DEAL ACTIVITY
EMEA HAS STRONGEST 3Q PERFORMANCE EVER, DRIVEN BY MEGA-RELATIONSHIPS AND GENERALLY HIGH CONTRACTING ACTIVITY
AMERICAS AND ASIA PACIFIC DOWN Y/Y DUE TO LACK OF LARGE DEALS AND WEAK PERFORMANCE IN THE TRADITIONAL LEADING INDUSTRY SECTORS
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3Q Broader Market ACV of just under $6B was up 1% Y/Y and up 65% Q/Q and resulted in the best third quarter ever.
Year-to-date Broader Market ($B)*
Year-to-date Contracting Counts
Broader Market Contract Award Trends
$8.3
$11.8 $9.8
$12.0 $9.6 $9.6
$7.6 $8.5 $8.2 $8.4
$5.8
$5.7 $5.6
$4.4 $4.1 $3.9
$2.9 $2.6 $3.5 $3.7
201312111009080706052004
$0
$5
$10
$15
$201H ACV 3Q ACV
485 601 604
505 472
364 299 295 262 297
353 255 273 228 208
191 149 129 115 96
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
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New scope ACV of $3.2B was off 19% Y/Y against a tough 3Q12 compare, but up 21% Q/Q. Restructuring ACV of $2.6B was the highest quarter to date.
Restructuring Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
Broader Market New Scope & Restructuring Trends
New Scope Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
Restructuring Year-to-date Counts New Scope Year-to-date Counts
$5.1 $8.0 $7.1
$8.7 $7.4
$7.4
$6.1 $5.0 $6.3 $7.0
$3.2
$3.9 $3.1
$2.6 $3.1 $2.8
$2.3 $2.0
$2.5 $2.4
201312111009080706052004
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$141H ACV 3Q ACV
$3.2 $3.8 $2.6 $3.4 $2.2 $2.2 $1.5 $3.5
$1.9 $1.4
$2.6 $1.8 $2.5 $1.8 $1.0 $1.0 $0.7
$0.6 $1.0 $1.3
201312111009080706052004
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
1H ACV 3Q ACV
352 454 453
392 365
291 245 232 211 249
238 198 205
171 172 154
128 109 91 75
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
133 147 151 113 107 73 54 63 51 48
115 57 68
57 36 37 21 20 24 21
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
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$1.4 $0.7
$1.4 $1.0 $1.7
$2.2
$0.8
$2.3 $1.7
$1.1 $0.9 $0.7 $1.4 $1.2 $1.3 $1.4 $1.1 $1.3
$3.3
$1.9 $2.8 $2.9 $2.8 $2.5
$3.6 $3.1
$2.7
3Q132Q1Q4Q3Q122Q1Q4Q3Q11
10 5 8 7 9 12 6 12 6
20 16 13 23 20 23 23 18 21
323
187
256 242 226 241
296 270
246
3Q132Q1Q4Q3Q122Q1Q4Q3Q11
Ten Mega-relationships were awarded in 3Q13, yet the market is being driven increasingly by smaller contract awards.
Broader Market Quarterly Counts by Bands
Broader Market Contract Trends by Deal Size
Boarder Market Quarterly ACV(B)* by Bands
$5-39M $40-99M $100M + $5-39M $40-99M $100M +
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3Q ITO ACV of almost $4.4B was up 15% Y/Y and 100% Q/Q. ITO ACV performance was the best third quarter ever.
ITO Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
ITO YTD Industry ACV ($B)*
ITO Contract Award Trends
$5.3 $7.3
$6.3
$9.2
$6.8 $6.5 $5.7 $6.3 $6.0 $4.8
$4.4 $3.8
$3.9
$3.2
$3.0 $2.6 $1.9 $1.6 $2.4
$2.8
201312111009080706052004
$0
$5
$10
$151H ACV 3Q ACV
ITO Year-to-date Counts
298 374 377
316 320
230 194 173 165 184
247 164 166
131 136
119 95
72 70 62
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
$2.04
$2.58
$0.69
$1.31
$1.38
$0.67
$0.64
$0.36
$- $1 $2 $3 $4
Manufacturing
Financial Services
Telecom & Media
Energy
Travel, Transport, Leisure
Healthcare & Pharma
Business Services
Retail
YTD 3Q12 YTD 3Q13
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3Q BPO ACV of just under $1.4B was down 29% Y/Y but up 5% Q/Q. YTD performance slowed as BPO dropped 31% from a year ago.
BPO Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
BPO YTD Industry ACV ($B)*
BPO Contract Award Trends
BPO YTD Counts
$3.1
$4.5 $3.5
$2.9 $2.8 $3.1
$2.0 $2.2 $2.2
$3.6
$1.4
$1.9 $1.7
$1.2 $1.1 $1.3
$1.0 $1.0 $1.1
$0.9
201312111009080706052004
$0
$2
$4
$6
$81H ACV 3Q ACV
187 227 227
189 152 134 105 122 97 113
106 91 107
97
72 72
54 57
45 34
-
100
200
300
400
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
$1.18
$0.68
$1.08
$0.45
$0.37
$0.17
$0.33
$0.17
$- $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0
Financial Services
Manufacturing
Telecom & Media
Energy
Travel, Transport, Leisure
Business Services
Healthcare & Pharma
Retail
YTD 3Q12 YTD 3Q13
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85% of the Top ITO Provider list is unchanged from previous years. The Top BPO group has more turnover, yet 40% of Top BPO providers do repeat year-to-year.
Top Service Providers Across the Globe
Notes: Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on ACV from commercial contract awards sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
Accenture
AT&T
Atos
BT
Capgemini
CGI
CSC
Dell
HCL
HP
IBM
Infosys
Tech Mahindra Nihon Unisys
Polaris Software Labs
Singtel Optus
TCS
T-Systems
Virtusa
Wipro
Xerox
Accenture
Aditya Birla Minacs
Allscripts
Aon Hewitt
Atos
Capgemini
Capita Group
CGI
Communisis
CSG
CSC
Fidelity
Genpact HCL
Infosys
StarTek
TCS
Wipro
WNS
Xchanging
Xerox
ITO 2013 YTD BPO 2013 YTD
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Americas 3Q ACV of $1.8B was down 7% Y/Y but up 65% Q/Q; At 139, the number of 3Q13 contract awards increased significantly, up 30% Y/Y and 107% Q/Q.
Americas Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
Segment Details Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Americas Contract Award Trends
YTD Counts
180 274 262
245 216
157 135 145 124 128
139 107 118 104
82
72 63 48 56 42
-
100
200
300
400
500
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
$1.1
$0.7
$1.1
$0.7
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Prior 5 Like-Qtr Range Avg of 5 Prior Like-Qtrs3Q12 3Q13
$3.1
$4.8 $3.8
$5.8
$4.3
$3.0 $3.1
$4.6 $3.7
$4.4 $1.8
$1.9 $2.0
$2.0
$1.9
$1.2 $1.0
$1.1 $1.9 $1.2
201312111009080706052004
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
1H ACV 3Q ACV
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Most of the sub-regions had 3Q ACV up Q/Q but down Y/Y. YTD, Manufacturing accounted for over 75% of the Americas decline.
Americas Contract Award Trends Detail
$0.10
$0.00
$0.03 $0.01
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25
$0.30
$0.35
$0.40
$0.45
$0.50
Canada Mexico Brazil OtherLatAm
Prior 5 Like-Qtr Range Avg of 5 Prior Like-Qtrs 3Q12 3Q13
Americas Sub-regions 5 Prior Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
$1.10
$0.97
$0.95
$0.63
$0.40
$0.33
$0.28
$0.27
$0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0
Financial Services
Telecom & Media
Manufacturing
Healthcare & Pharma
Energy
Retail
Business Services
Travel, Transport,Leisure
YTD 3Q12 YTD 3Q13
Americas Industries YTD ACV ($B)*
$1.63
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.8
$2.0
U.S.
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EMEA 3Q ACV of $3.5B was up 16% Y/Y and 88% Q/Q. The strongest 3Q ACV ever was driven by nine Mega-relationships and very high contracting activity.
EMEA Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
Segment Details Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
EMEA Contract Award Trends
YTD Counts
245 252 272
204 201 171
125 113 115 128
176
111 124
102 94 94
63 66 45 44
-
100
200
300
400
500
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
$1.8 $1.7
$2.9
$0.6
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Prior 5 Like-Qtr Range Avg of 5 Prior Like-Qtrs
3Q12 3Q13
$4.3 $5.1 $5.0 $5.6 $4.1
$5.9
$3.3 $2.9 $4.1
$2.9
$3.5 $3.1 $3.2 $2.0
$1.6
$2.0
$1.5 $1.3
$1.3 $2.1
201312111009080706052004
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$101H ACV 3Q ACV
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DACH, France and Southern Europe had strong quarters, up Y/Y and Q/Q. YTD, Transportation was up 88%, while weakness persisted in Financial Services and Manufacturing.
EMEA Contract Award Trends Detail
EMEA Sub-regions 5 Prior Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
$2.3
$1.6
$1.2
$1.2
$0.6
$0.5
$0.2
$0.2
$0 $1 $2 $3
Financial Services
Manufacturing
Travel, Transport,Leisure
Energy
Telecom & Media
Business Services
Healthcare & Pharma
Retail
YTD 3Q12 YTD 3Q13
EMEA Industries YTD ACV ($B)*
$0.84
$0.38
$1.02
$0.21 $0.21
$0.31
$0.55
$0.04 $0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
U.K. &Ireland
Nordics DACH Africa &Middle
East
France Benelux SouthernEurope
E. Europe& Russia
Prior 5 Like-Qtr Range Avg of 5 Prior Like-Qtrs 3Q12 3Q13
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$0.9
$2.0
$1.0 $0.7
$1.3
$0.7
$1.2 $1.0
$0.4
$1.1
$0.5
$0.8
$0.5 $0.4
$0.6
$0.6
$0.4 $0.2
$0.3
$0.4
201312111009080706052004
$-
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.01H ACV 3Q ACV
Asia Pacific 3Q ACV of $0.5B was down 41% Y/Y and 13% Q/Q. Quarterly regional performance lacked significant large deal activity.
Asia Pacific Year-to-date ACV ($B)*
Segment Details Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends
YTD Counts
60 75 70
56 55
36 39 37 23
41
38 37 31
22 32
25 23 15
14 10
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
201312111009080706052004
1H Counts 3Q Counts
$0.24 $0.21
$0.44
$0.01 $0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Prior 5 Like-Qtr Range Avg of 5 Prior Like-Qtrs3Q12 3Q13
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India was down Y/Y due to difficult comparisons in 2012 when several large deals were awarded. The YTD regional performance was affected by slowing in the Financial Services, Manufacturing and Telecom sectors.
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends Detail
$0.25
$0.06 $0.07
$0.05
$0.02 $0.01 $0.0
$0.1
$0.1
$0.2
$0.2
$0.3
$0.3
$0.4
$0.4
$0.5
ANZ GreaterChina
ASEAN India andSouth Asia
Japan South Korea
Prior 5 Like-Qtr Range Avg of 5 Prior Like-Qtrs 3Q12 3Q13
Asia Pacific Sub-regions 5 Prior Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
$0.40
$0.25
$0.19
$0.19
$0.16
$0.15
$0.06
$0.02
$0.0 $0.4 $0.8 $1.2
Financial Services
Travel, Transport,Leisure
Energy
Manufacturing
Telecom & Media
Healthcare & Pharma
Business Services
Retail
YTD 3Q12 YTD 3Q13
Asia Pacific Industries YTD ACV ($B)*
Special Topic for Third Quarter 2013
John Keppel
Partner & President
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Since 2011, Public Sector ACV has outpaced Commercial Sector ACV by almost 30%.
Public Sector Sourcing, a Large and Growing Market
$6.6
$2.7
$7.2 $7.0 $7.4 $7.9 $7.9
$5.6 $5.1
$9.7 $9.2
1Q2011
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q2012
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q2013
2Q 3Q2013
Commercial Sector ACV $BPublic Sector ACV $B
Public Sector Sourcing
Outpaces Commercial Sourcing*
56% Public Sector Share of
Outsourcing Market*
ACV from 2011 until today
$135 billion
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Regional Public Sector Markets Defined The U.K. and U.S. Federal Public Sectors hold ACV market shares that far outpace their GDP share. U.S. and European-based providers tend to be market leaders regardless of geography.
53%
5% 3%
26%
6% 5%
Europe
Accenture BT
Capgemini Indra Sistemas
T-Systems
U.K.
Atos BT
Capgemini Capita Serco
ANZ
Accenture CSC
Fujitsu IBM
Telstra
U.S. State/Local
Accenture CGI HP
MAXIMUS Xerox
Canada
Bell Canada HP
IBM Lockheed Martin
SNC-Lavalin
U.S. Federal
CSC General Dynamics Lockheed Martin
Northrop Grumman SIAC
*Other Regions = 2%
Percentage Share of Public Sector Market by Major Region*
Top 5 Providers by Geographic Segment Listed
Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on the number of public sector contracts awards sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
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Unique Aspects of Public Sector Contracting As with the commercial sector, the public sector primary sourcing objectives are cost savings and operational efficiency. However, there are notable differences in how they get there.
Public Sector Core Contracting Attributes
Maximizing service delivery reach trumps shareholder value in scope decisions
Geographic scope is local, not global Service integration and management emphasized, as
provider consortium bids are more prevalent Procurement constraints on contracting attributes like size,
duration and renewal processes Reluctance to offshore outsourced solutions due to a
perception that jobs may be ‘exported’ from the local area
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Record-breaking 3Q ACV performance with impressive contracting activity levels across the globe
Market fueled increasingly by smaller deals, yet 3Q activity included 10 Mega-relationships
ITO contracting activity vigorous across all industries
BPO ACV in a lull, but activity levels remain strong, with performance shifting away from central processes and into industry-specific verticals
EMEA turned in a great performance particularly in Restructurings, with solid New Scope results as well
Americas ACV slowed, but contract activity picked up
Asia Pacific continues to struggle to return to more recent higher contracting levels, although 2012’s high was an outlier
Robust contracting activity in 3Q13 should continue through 4Q
ACV and contract volume to surpass Q4 2012 results
First half weakness remains a drag on annual ACV, so expect the year to finish strong but end down, somewhere in the range of 12-15% lower than full year 2012
3Q13 ISG Outsourcing Index Summary and Outlook
summary market
outlook market
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Please contact us with your questions and comments.
Learn More
--- Media Contacts ---
► John Keppel Partner and President, ISG +44 (0)7879 432 212 [email protected]
► Alex Kozlov Director, ISG +1 617 558 3377 [email protected]
blog.isg-one.com
► Jim Baptiste Matter Communications for ISG +1 978 518 4527 [email protected]
Third Quarter 2013
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The ISG Outsourcing Index has moved to ACV as the primary measure of the Broader Market. In transition, we will continue to provide a high-level TCV view of the market via a Scorecard analysis.
3Q13 TCV Scorecard
*Contracts with TCV ≥ $25M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
Scorecard 3Q13 3Q Y/Y 3Q Q/Q YTD YTD
TCV ($B)* Change Change ACV ($B)* Change
Global Market $ 24.4 -12% 35% $ 63.4 -20%
New Scope $ 14.7 -20% 6% $ 39.3 -28%
Restructurings $ 9.7 6% 134% $ 24.1 -3%
Mega-deals $ 4.1 -29% 42% $ 12.0 -12%
ITO $ 18.3 2% 72% $ 41.3 -19%
BPO $ 6.1 -36% -17% $ 22.1 -22%
Americas $ 6.1 -35% 17% $ 20.4 -33%
EMEA $ 16.3 10% 63% $ 36.2 -84%
Asia Pacific $ 2.0 -40% -28% $ 6.8 -36%
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