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The ISG Outsourcing Index (formerly the TPI Index) provides a quarterly review of the latest sourcing industry data and trends for clients, service providers, analysts and the media. For more than a decade, it has been the authoritative source for marketplace intelligence related to outsourcing transaction structures and terms, industry adoption, geographic prevalence and service provider performance. The global outsourcing market is constantly evolving. Keep pace with the change and capitalize on the latest trends with the ISG Outsourcing Index.
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Moshe Katri, Cowen and Company
16 January 2014
The Global ISG Outsourcing Index
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2013
Market Data and Insights
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Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for global, commercial contracts.*
Welcome to the 45th Quarterly Outsourcing Index Review
Esteban Herrera Partner
John Keppel Partner & President
Dr. David Howie Partner
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At a Glance
Scorecard 4Q13 4Q Y/Y 4Q Q/Q 2013 Y/Y
ACV ($B)* Change Change ACV ($B)* Change
Global Market $ 4.6 -12% -17% $ 18.7 -18%
New Scope $ 3.0 -16% -5% $ 11.2 -27%
Restructurings $ 1.7 -5% -32% $ 7.5 -2%
Mega-relationships $ 0.5 -52% -58% $ 3.7 -38%
ITO $ 3.7 8% -12% $ 13.5 -8%
BPO $ 0.9 -50% -32% $ 5.2 -37%
Americas $ 1.5 -23% -17% $ 6.5 -26%
EMEA $ 2.7 -5% -21% $ 10.2 -6%
Asia Pacific $ 0.5 -10% 15% $ 1.9 -40%
2013 Y/Y Counts Change
1,155 2%
798 -5%
357 22%
24 -31%
790 8%
365 -9%
442 -10%
587 18%
126 -11%
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Fourth-quarter ACV was down 12% Y/Y and 17% Q/Q. For the full year, ACV was down 18% from 2012; however, contract counts ticked up 2% over 2012.
Broader Market 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B)*
Broader Market 4Q and Full-Year Contracting Counts
Broader Market Contract Award Trends
$14.1 $17.6 $15.4 $16.4 $13.7 $13.6 $10.8 $11.1 $11.8 $12.3
$4.6 $5.3 $6.6 $5.6
$6.9 $4.6 $5.8 $4.1 $5.3 $3.9
$18.7 $22.9 $22.0 $22.0 $20.6
$18.2 $16.6 $15.2 $17.1 $16.2
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
846 859 882 741 684
579 464 435 405 421
309 273 300 247 288
195 153 176 157 154
1,155 1,132 1,182 988 972
774 617 611 562 575
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
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$153
$185 $179
$55 $57 $55
$11 $13 $14
201320082004
24 31 36
68 70
57
1,063
673
482
201320082004
$3.7 $5.7
$6.5
$3.8 $4.0 $3.1
$11.3
$8.5
$6.6
201320082004
60%
20%
20%
2013 saw the continued dominance of contracting in the smallest ACV bands, and average deal size trended down across all bands.
Broader Market Contract Trends by Deal Size
Comparing Broader Market Contracting Awards ($B)* Grouping in ACV Contract Size Bands
ACV($B)*
$5-39M $40-99M $100M +
Contract Counts Average Contract Size
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New Scope ACV dipped 27% from 2012, while Restructuring ACV held steady. Restructuring counts rose 22% from 2012, but New Scope awards continued down.
Restructuring 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B)*
Broader Market New Scope & Restructuring Trends
New Scope 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B)*
Restructuring 4Q and Full-Year Counts New Scope 4Q and Full-Year Counts
258 207 221 172 144
113 77 87 85 72
99 86 66
63 54
38 24 33 31 31
357 293 287
235 198
151 101 120 116 103
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
588 652 661 569 540
466 387 348 320 349
210 187 234
184 234 157
129 143 126 123
798 839 895
753 774
623 516 491 446 472
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
$8.3 $11.8 $10.2 $11.3 $10.5 $10.4 $8.6 $7.0 $8.9 $9.8
$3.0
$3.5 $4.1 $3.8 $5.4
$3.2 $4.8 $3.1
$3.7 $3.0
$11.2
$15.3 $14.3 $15.1 $16.0 $13.6 $13.5
$10.1 $12.6 $12.8
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
$5.8 $5.9 $5.2 $5.1 $3.2 $3.2 $2.1
$4.1 $3.0 $2.5
$1.7 $1.8 $2.5 $1.8
$1.5 $1.4 $1.0
$1.0 $1.6
$0.9
$7.5 $7.6 $7.7 $6.9
$4.6 $4.6 $3.1
$5.1 $4.5 $3.3
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
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Manufacturing stood out, with ACV off $2B+ from its prior 5-year average. Yet Energy and Travel, Transport & Leisure performed close to their prior 5-year highs.
Broader Market Industry Trends
Broader Market 5 Prior Year ACV ($B)* by Industry
$3.48
$5.33
$2.59
$2.23 $2.03
$1.41
$1.01
$0.64
$-
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
Manufacturing FinancialServices
Telecom &Media
Energy Travel,Transport,
Leisure
Healthcare &Pharma
BusinessServices
Retail
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
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4Q ITO ACV was up 8% Y/Y, yet 2013 ITO ACV was down 8% from 2012. ITO contracting counts continued to rise, up 8% over 2012 counts.
ITO 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B) and Contract Counts*
ITO Full-Year ACV ($B)* by Industry
ITO Contract Award Trends
$2.65
$3.98
$1.41
$1.61
$0.80
$1.63
$1.01
$0.42
$- $1 $2 $3 $4 $5
Manufacturing
Financial Services
Telecom & Media
Energy
Business Services
Travel, Transport, Leisure
Healthcare & Pharma
Retail
2012 2013
ITO ACV ($B)* by Function
$5.2
$3.5
$2.4
$2.5
$- $2 $4 $6
ADM
Infrastructure
ADM + Infrastructure
Network Services
2012 2013
$9.8 $11.3 $10.3 $12.3 $9.8 $9.2 $7.7 $7.9 $8.5 $8.0
$3.7 $3.4 $4.7 $4.7
$5.0 $3.0 $4.0 $3.0 $3.3 $2.6
$13.5 $14.7 $15.0 $16.9 $14.8
$10.6
790 729 741
622 650
365
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV Full-Year Counts
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4Q and full-year BPO ACV were down substantially Y/Y on the lack of large contract awards.
BPO 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B) and Contract Counts*
BPO Full-Year ACV ($B)* by Industries
BPO Contract Award Trends
$1.35
$0.83
$1.18
$0.61
$0.21
$0.40
$0.39
$0.21
$- $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0
Financial Services
Manufacturing
Telecom & Media
Energy
Business Services
Healthcare & Pharma
Travel, Transport, Leisure
Retail
2012 2013
BPO Full-Year ACV ($B)* by Function
$0.43
$1.40
$0.24
$0.96
$0.91
$0.60
$0.40
$0.13
$0.07
$0.05
$- $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0
Facilities Mgmt
Industry-Specific
R&D/KPO
Contact Centers
Multi-Process
F&A
HRO
Document Mgmt
Procurement
Supply Chain Mgmt
2012 2013
$4.3 $6.4 $5.1 $4.2 $3.9 $4.4 $3.0 $3.2 $3.3 $4.3
$0.9
$1.9 $1.9
$0.9 $1.9 $1.6 $1.9 $1.1 $1.9 $1.2
$5.2
$8.2 $7.0
$5.1 $5.8 $5.6
365 403 441
366 322
210
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV Full-Year Counts
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Accenture Atos
Capgemini Cognizant
HCL IBM
Infosys TCS
Wipro
Aditya Birla Minacs Allscripts Healthcare
Aon Hewitt Atento Capita
CGI CSG Limited
Genpact Interserve
StarTek WNS
AT&T BT
CSC Dell
EVRY HP
iGATE Tech Mahindra
T-Systems Virtusa Xerox
ITO Only
80% of providers who lead in both ITO and BPO were repeat performers from 2012.
2013 Top 20 Outsourcing Service Providers by Scope
Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on 2013 ACV commercial contract awards sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
BPO Only
Leaders in both ITO and BPO
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4Q ACV was down moderately Y/Y and Q/Q. For 2013, ACV fell more than 25% from 2012, as contract counts continued down, off 10% from last year.
Americas 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B)*
Americas Full-Year Segment Details ACV ($B)*
Americas Contract Award Trends
Americas 4Q and Full-Year Counts
$5.0 $6.9 $5.8
$7.7 $6.1
$4.4 $4.1 $5.8 $5.5 $5.7
$1.5
$1.9 $2.3
$1.1 $2.2
$1.8 $2.7 $1.8 $2.0 $1.5
$6.5
$8.8 $8.1
$8.8 $8.3
$6.2 $6.8
$7.6 $7.5 $7.1
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
327 384 380 349 298
245 201 198 187 180
115 109 137
82 116 87
72 75 65 61
442 493 517
431 414
332 273 273 252 241
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
$3.8
$2.7
$4.1
$2.4
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
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U.S. ACV was down about 25% from 2012. Drops in the Manufacturing and Financial Services sectors contributed most to the decline.
Americas Contract Award Trends Detail
Americas Sub-regions 5 Prior Years ACV ($B)*
Americas Industries Full-Year ACV ($B)*
$0.26
$0.15 $0.16
$0.20
$-
$0.1
$0.2
$0.3
$0.4
$0.5
$0.6
Canada Brazil Mexico Other LatAm
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
$5.78
$-
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
U.S.
$1.43
$1.33
$1.24
$0.89
$0.38
$0.39
$0.59
$0.29
$- $1 $2 $3 $4
Manufacturing
Financial Services
Telecom & Media
Healthcare &Pharma
Business Services
Retail
Energy
Travel, Transport,Leisure
2012 2013
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ACV for fourth-quarter and full-year ACV was down slightly Y/Y, yet contract counts continued to climb, up almost 18% from 2012.
EMEA 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B)*
EMEA Full-Year Segment Details ACV ($B)*
EMEA Contract Award Trends
EMEA 4Q and Full-Year Counts
$7.5 $8.1 $8.1 $7.6 $5.7
$8.0 $5.1 $4.2
$5.6 $5.1
$2.7 $2.8 $3.8 $3.4 $4.0
$1.9
$2.3 $1.9
$2.6 $2.1
$10.2 $10.9 $11.9
$11.0 $9.7 $9.9
$7.3 $6.1
$8.1 $7.2
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
420 364 397 313 296
272 200 184 179 183
167 134 138
129 135 76
63 81 74 68
587 498 535
442 431 348
263 265 253 251
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
$5.8
$4.4
$7.8
$2.4
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
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Most markets in EMEA were flat in 2013. However, U.K. ACV was down 30% Y/Y despite a 13% increase in contract counts.
EMEA Contract Award Trends Detail
EMEA Sub-regions 5 Prior Years ACV ($B)* EMEA Industries
Full-Year ACV ($B)*
$3.4
$1.8
$1.1
$1.4
$1.4
$0.6
$0.2
$0.4
$- $1 $2 $3 $4 $5
Financial Services
Manufacturing
Telecom & Media
Energy
Travel, Transport,Leisure
Business Services
Retail
Healthcare & Pharma
2012 2013
$3.31
$2.01 $1.74
$1.13
$0.51
$0.88
$0.44 $0.20
$-
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
$4.5
$5.0
$5.5
U.K. &Ireland
DACH Nordics Benelux France SouthernEurope
Africa &Middle
East
E. Europe& Russia
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
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4Q ACV was down moderately Y/Y. For 2013, ACV dropped substantially from 2012, and contract counts dipped more than 10%.
Asia Pacific 4Q and Full-Year ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Full-Year Segment Details ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends
$1.4
$2.7
$1.5 $1.1
$2.0 $1.3
$1.6 $1.2
$0.7 $1.6
$0.5
$0.6
$0.5 $1.1
$0.6
$0.9 $0.8
$0.3 $0.7
$0.3
$1.9
$3.2
$2.1 $2.2
$2.6
$2.1 $2.5
$1.5 $1.5 $1.9
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
$1.59
$0.31
$1.60
$0.34 $0
$1
$2
$3
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
Asia Pacific 4Q and Full-Year Counts
99 111 105 79 90
62 63 53 39 58
27 30
25
36 37
32 18 20
18 25
126 141
130 115
127
94 81
73 57
83
201312111009080706052004
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
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Several of the largest markets in Asia Pacific suffered declines in 2013, notably India, Australia-New Zealand and the Media & Telecom sectors.
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends Detail
Asia Pacific Sub-regions 5 Prior Years ACV ($B)* Asia Pacific Industries
Full Year ACV ($B)*
$0.22
$0.28
$0.65
$0.07
$0.32
$0.22
$0.03
$0.16
$- $0.5 $1.0 $1.5
Telecom & Media
Manufacturing
Financial Services
Business Services
Travel, Transport,Leisure
Energy
Retail
Healthcare & Pharma
2012 2013
$0.40
$0.62
$0.33
$0.19
$0.38
$0.03 $-
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
India andSouth Asia
ANZ GreaterChina
ASEAN Japan South Korea
Range of Prior 5 Years Avg of 5 Prior Years 2012 2013
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Atos Capita
CGI EVRY iGATE
Quindell Tieto
T-Systems
Amdocs Chinasoft
Lufthansa Systems Group Fidelity Fujitsu
Jones Lang LaSalle Nihon Unisys SingTel Optus
Sutherland Telecom of New Zealand
Allscripts CSG Limited
Dell Polaris Software
StarTek Virtusa Xerox
Accenture Capgemini Cognizant
CSC HCL IBM
Infosys Tech Mahindra
TCS
Accenture Capgemini Cognizant
CSC HCL IBM
Infosys Tech Mahindra
TCS
Accenture Capgemini Cognizant
CSC HCL IBM
Infosys Tech Mahindra
TCS
Wipro AT&T
BT HP
AT&T
BT HP
Wipro
Asia Pacific EMEA Americas
All of the leading providers in the global and multi-region categories were repeat performers from 2012. India-heritage providers had a strong showing in the Top 20.
2013 Top 20 Outsourcing Service Providers by Region
Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on 2013 ACV commercial contract awards sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
Global
Multi-Region
Single Region
Special Topic for Fourth Quarter 2013
John Keppel
Partner and President
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Recognizing the Key Forces for Change in Outsourcing Market Dynamics
Market Saturation in Traditionally Strong Segments
Sourcing Model Matures in Major Territories and Industries
Stepped-up Pressure on Contract Pricing
Sustained Period of Economic Pressure in the West
Provider Completion Up
Rise of the Small Deal
Deal Term Down
Unit Cost Drops
Financial Services and Manufacturing Northern Europe
and U.S. Regions Largest Western G-2000 Companies
1%
15%
30%
Americas EMEA Asia Pacific
Growth in G-2000 Sourcing from 5 Years Ago
SIAM Provider Client
Multiple ITO and
BPO Providers
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Taking Advantage of the New Market Forces
Providers should Get smarter with targeting strategies for
underpenetrated markets and industries. Seek out underpenetrated industries like Energy, Pharma and Transportation. Cultivate new clients in bottom quartile of the G-2000 by offering new solutions.
Force 1 Market Saturation in Traditionally Strong Segments
Providers should Solve the challenge of expanding into the
more rapidly growing Eastern economies.
Force 2 Sustained Period of Economic Pressure in the West
Note Eastern Service Providers are maturing rapidly, are better positioned and are starting to win business from new G-2000 companies in the East.
Providers should Focus on delivering good returns,
even on reducing revenues.
Force 3 Stepped-up Pressure on Contract Pricing
Improve margins by optimizing the efficiency of delivered service. Drive down costs via technology innovations, process enhancements and automation.
Force 4 Sourcing Model Matures in Western Markets
Providers should Leverage experience in mature markets
to make sourcing relevant to new buyers. Take the opportunity to move directly to current sourcing practices in new industries and with new buyers, avoiding the growing pains the early adopters experienced.
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2013 had increased deal activity but at a smaller average deal size, the new normal. Services cost less, holding down overall ACV.
ITO activity is up on the strong performance in ADM sourcing.
BPO activity recedes due to lack of large deals, especially in the Facilities Management/Corporate Real Estate function.
EMEA had a sizable increase in the number of contracts and saw its fourth straight year of ACV over $10M.
Americas results were down largely on a decline in U.S. ACV.
Asia Pacific results suffered from a lack of large deals that drive their market.
Manufacturing fell back following several years of strong performance. Conversely, Energy and Travel, Transport & Leisure performed close to their prior 5-year highs.
In 1H14, look for positive Broader Market results, based on a stronger industry pipeline, and expect a Global Market increase of around 5 percent.
In 2014, expect service providers to continue to offer more varied solutions, such as systems integration work, transformation work, project services and, increasingly, automation.
ACV declined, but the effect on the market from recovering economies tempers that. Service providers’ responses to changing sourcing market dynamics will be key to their success.
4Q13 and Full-Year ISG Outsourcing Index Summary and Outlook
summary market
outlook market
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Please contact us with your questions and comments.
Learn More
--- Media Contacts ---
► John Keppel Partner and President, ISG +44 (0)7879 432 212 [email protected]
► Will Thoretz Leader, Marketing & Communications, ISG +1 203 517 3119 [email protected]
► Jim Baptiste Matter Communications for ISG +1 978 518 4527 [email protected]
blog.isg-one.com
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2013
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The ISG Outsourcing Index has moved to ACV as the primary measure of the Broader Market. In transition, we will continue to provide a high-level TCV view of the market via a Scorecard analysis.
Fourth Quarter and Full Year TCV Scorecard
*Contracts with TCV ≥ $25M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
Scorecard 4Q13 4Q Y/Y 4Q Q/Q 2013 2013 Y/Y
TCV ($B)* Change Change TCV ($B)* Change
Global Market $ 20.0 -16% -18% $ 82.9 -20%
New Scope $ 14.3 -3% -17% $ 53.5 -24%
Restructurings $ 5.7 -37% -19% $ 29.4 -10%
Mega-deals $ 2.7 -34% 17% $ 14.7 -8%
ITO $ 14.0 -20% -8% $ 55.2 -16%
BPO $ 5.9 -5% -35% $ 27.7 -26%
Americas $ 5.6 -12% -34% $ 26.3 -34%
EMEA $ 12.5 -19% -3% $ 47.8 -5%
Asia Pacific $ 2.0 -1% -36% $ 8.8 -35%
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