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Comment répondre à la demande en statistiques territoriales pour informer les politiques de développement régional : le cas de l’Italie
Giovanni A. Barbieri (Istat)
Le système de statistiques territoriales au service de la conception et la mise en œuvre de politiques de développement local et régional en Tunisie
Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Summary
National planning and regional governments: drivers for reform Key concepts:
From administrative to statistical information Territory
Supply and demand of regional statistics Demand Supply
Governance Indicators
Answers Administrative sources Geographies Integrated statistical information systems Statistical toolkits for decision making Integration architectures The territory as a test bench
Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
2
National planning and regional governments: drivers for reform
Planning and market The hierarchical structure of planning (PPBS) The role of (statistical) information Market signals
A market-oriented perspective The market as a tool of democracy The role of statistics
Decentralization, devolution, subsidiarity Bringing decision making closer to citizens Making decision makers accountable Through quasi market signals Preserving economic efficiency
3 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Key concepts: from administrative to statistical information
Administrative data: information produced in the administrative/management process
Statistical information Function
From individual/anecdotic to collective phenomena [Statistics as the science of collective phenomena]
Aim From day-to-day management to strategic vision
4 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Key concepts: territory
Which territory? The scale of policies The place/range of administrations
Which statistics? About the territory From the territory
Which actors? Which roles? A statistical system
The central body (NSO) The nodes in the network
The role of the central body As a producer As a facilitator (building integration architectures)
5 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Which territory?
The territory as a dimension of phenomena: A grid to observe and measure (phenomena happen in
space) A grid for analysis (statistical models)
The territory as the “place” where social self-organization occurs
The territory as a component of democracy: A grid for supplying services to the population A grid for organizing the activity of the public administration A grid for multi-level governance
6 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Supply and demand of regional statistics For the territory: which statistical information is needed for policy making
and implementation? The regional dimension of national policies The local dimension (place-based policies)
[Top-down vs bottom-up] On the territory: which statistical information is available (or could be)
Scaling / zooming in and out Information systems
Of the territory: which statistical information regional actors could and should produce? Public statistics as an infrastructure (information as a public good) Public supply and private demand Data and estimations Integration architectures
7 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
The demand
The demand for statistical information with high territorial definition is growing: At the national level:
Increasing heterogeneity (enterprises and production, but also lifestyles) has a spatial dimension
Needs for equalization At the regional/local level:
Vision planning programming (citizens/constituencies policy makers/administrative bodies)
Implementation / evaluation (administrative bodies citizens/constituencies )
Different requisites: At the national level:
Consistency of metadata between levels hierarchy top-down approach The problem of maintaining high definition (quality + confidentiality)
At the regional/local level: Taking into account self-organization bottom-up approach Not only a requisite for democracy, but also a sound economic principle
8 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
The supply
“Governance” Planning, programming, budgeting, monitoring, evaluating (ex ante, in itinere, ex
post) policies Accountability (outputs & outcomes)
Availability of statistics and indicators Choice Construction
Relevance, with reference to: A territorial grid, decided in advance according to functional criteria The foreseen paths of development/evolution of the economic and societal systems The policy choices :
A place-based development asks for a local government! Geographic bases Information systems Place-based statisticians
9 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Governance
“Governance”: planning, programming, budgeting, monitoring, evaluating policies At the level of the overall development strategy (often
the national level): Either statistics and indicators are available Or they need to be built a programme for developing
policy-relevant statistics and indicators (national and regional
At the level of local initiatives: Usually statistics and indicators need to be built, and they
need to be specific and policy-relevant
10 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Availability of statistics and indicators Territorial scale and information loss
Top-down approach: Consistency of metadata between levels hierarchy The problem of maintaining high definition (quality + confidentiality)
Bottom-up approach: Taking into account self-organization Functional regions Consistency to be built
The territorial traits of policies: At the national level:
Overall vision and territorial definition (scaling down) At the local level:
Local development is place-based
11 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Answers from public official statistics Excluding censuses, survey based statistical information
at the municipal or province level are a very small portion of statistics released by NSOs Sample size and sampling error Non-sampling error (organization, cost) Statistical burden on respondents
Partial solutions Statistical use of administrative data (data collected for other
uses, generally for managing a process) Small area estimation (use of auxiliary information) “Big data”
12 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Administrative sources
The statistical use of data stemming from administrative sources is not an operation occurring at no cost
What is needed? To change the way of producing statistics (register-based
organization) To institutionalize and engineer the relationship between
NSO and administrations (at the central and local levels) To develop methods and procedures for granting quality To develop methods for integrating information from different
sources into integrated information systems (metadata driven)
13 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Geographies for analysis and decision making Nadine Cattan 2002, Redefining Territories: Functional Regions, paper produced
for the OECD WPTI Functional regions:
A functional region is a territorial unit resulting from the organisation of social and economic relations in that its boundaries do not reflect geographical particularities or historical events
It is thus a functional sub-division of territories The most typical concept used in defining a functional region is that of labour markets
Administrative regions Expression of a political choice Boundaries are defined starting from the policy task of an administration, looking for a
demographic dimension and other social and economic features functional for accomplishing the task, and taking into account historical, geographical, legal, and cultural factors
Hierarchical/non hierarchical geographical classifications Exhaustive/non exhaustive geographical classifications
14 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Integrated statistical information systems What are we talking about?
Information system: the way information is organised, not technology, is relevant
Statistical: reference to a specific reference system (meta-information)
Integrated: integration of different sources via the meta-information system (metadata driven integration) plurality of scopes and uses
Geographical: regions (functional/administrative) + georeferencing/geotagging
Technological perspectives: towards a micro-territorial approach + crowd-sourcing
15 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Statistical tools for decision making What contribution public official statistics (and statisticians)
can offer to policy choices? Transparency Quantitative evidence Accountability
What is at stake? The possibility of bringing citizens closer to policy making
The role of public official statistics: To produce and disseminate official statistical information To generate methods and procedures (toolkits) to control the
quality and the reproducibility of (locally produced) estimates To pursue quality as a process rather than as a result
16 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
Building integration architectures Relationships between national statistical
information systems and local/place-based information systems: Building “official statistics” as a value and a goal Nodes in a network of multi-level national
statistical system Building opportunities and venues for discussion
and harmonisation Metadata systems as the common ground
17 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015
The territory as a test bench
To bring out and co-ordinate (actual and potential) user’s needs
To foster ex post (metadata driven) and ex ante (frame driven) integration
To develop new products and services To exploit existing geographical information stemming
from economic and administrative transactions To breed a common vocabulary for statistical territorial
information (open access, integrated use, shared applications)
18 Le système de statistiques territorialesGiovanni A. Barbieri – Tunis, 19-20 novembre 2015