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to the Energy Resources,
Oil & Gas Industry Session
Monday, April 26th, 2010 1:45pm – 4:15pm
SESSION COORDINATOR:
Gabriel Lugo
Charles Taylor Risk Consulting
SPEAKERS: Mike AmadorTotal American Services, Inc
Jan MumenthalerThe World Bank
Reed WykesParker Drilling Company
Gabriel LugoCharles Taylor Risk Consulting
Session Overview
Issues/Methods Related to Asset Valuations During Development and Production
Energy Project Financing – A Focus on Emerging Markets
A Systematic Approach To Understanding Risk Allocation In Your Drilling Contract
Risk Management Services and Web-based Procurement
“Roundtable” Discussion of Current Issues
Survey: Top 10 Texas Country and Western Songs from Texas Risk Managers
10. It's Hard To Kiss The Lips At Night That Chewed Your Ass Out All Day Long9. If I Can't Be Number One In Your Life, Then Number Two On You8. If The Phone Don't Ring, You'll Know It's Me7. How Can I Miss You If You Won't Go Away?6. I Liked You Better Before I Got to Know You So Well5. I'm So Miserable Without You, It's Like You're Still Here4. My Wife Ran Off With My Best Friend And I Sure Do Miss Him3. She Got The Ring And I Got The Finger2. I Still Miss You Baby, But My Aim's Gettin' Better
And the # 1 song is . . .
1. If I Had Shot You When I First Wanted To, I'd Be Out Of Prison By Now
Today’s Agenda:Strategies / Options for Physical Damage Insurance
Valuations
Particularly –
• For Declaring and Evolving the Insurable Value for an Offshore Operational /Producing Facility
• Presenting Insurable Value Options to Management
And What About Those Budget Exercises ?
Revise Again & Again– Version #73 Please !
Can He Balance the Insurance Options Management Is Looking For While Protecting the Company ?
And Then Enter The Risk Manager ….
Insurance Valuations Seem Simple…
Enzo Ferrari0-60: 3.2 Seconds
Purchase Price: $643,000
Enzo
Ferrari: Totaled in Street Race0-60: 3.2 Months
Insurance Settlement Basis: KBB, N.A.D.A, Retail, Wholesale, Trade-In, Comparables, Consumer Reports, Edmunds, GAP
Insurance –
Who Knows ?!
Until it All Hits the Fan and a Claim is Made…
Bases of Indemnity to Consider :
1. Replacement Cost Value –
R.C.V, N.O.V, M.R.V
2.
Agreed Value
3. Combined or Single Limit of Liability
1. Replacement Cost Value (R.C.V)
• Represents the required investment to reconstruct the existing facilities in case of total loss, or part of it in the event of partial damage.
•
New for Old (N.O.V.) –
represents the amount of capital required to replace a lost item by a facility of the same type capacity & dedicated to fulfill the same functions. Costs savings are driving the technical evolution & are increasing the capacity of Heavy Lift vessels, etc. This creates the need to value facilities with new technology replacement cost.
1. Replacement Cost Value (RCV)
• Modified Replacement Value (M.R.V.) – The MRV represents the amount of capital required to replace a lost facility with a rebuilt facility dedicated to produce (only) the remaining reserves of a given field.
2. Agreed Value (A.V.)
3. Other Limit of Coverage -
Combined Single Limit (C.S.L.)
•
The C.S.L. represents a single limit of indemnity applicable to one event affecting one or more facilities, and is limited to one guaranty amount even in the case when the individual losses exceed the C.S.L. limit.
Evolution of Insurance Values During Life of Field…
•
In order to take into account the evolution of reserves in place from start-up, thru the decline period and until field abandonment, several alternative approaches to insurance valuations should be considered.
•
3 major periods should be considered during the life of the field:•
The
“plateau”
production period
•
The “decline”
period•
The
“end of field life”
up to the field
abandonment
• A properly prepared independent insurance appraisal can be a useful tool that benefits the insurance underwriter, the insurance agent, and the insured.
• While each will view the document from a different perspective, the end result will be a high level of confidence that appropriate values are being utilized in the insurance contract.
3rd Party Appraisal Company Services
Case Study – “Aquarius Facility”
But first….an Important CAV (Conference Added Value)
Top Ten Useful Work Phrases
1. Thank you. We're all refreshed and challenged by your unique point of view.
2. I don't know what your problem is, but I'll bet it's hard to pronounce.
3. I'm already visualizing the duct tape over your mouth.
4. I will always cherish the initial misconceptions I had about you.
5. Yes, I am an agent of Satan, but my duties are largely ceremonial.
6. No, my powers can only be used for good.
7. How about never? Is never good for you?
8. You sound reasonable...Time to up my medication.
9. It might look like I'm doing nothing, but at the cellular level I'm really quite busy.
10. Someday, we'll look back on this, laugh nervously and change the subject.
Case Study – “Aquarius Facility”
General Insurable Value Assumptions:
• Insurance costs within OPEX are subject to cost savings actions
• The production profile of a field is evolving
Operating Declaration Values –
Case Study
“Aquarius”
Topsides
3 Level deck @ 100’ x 200’ ea. level
6 Leg deck with legs transitioningfrom 54”
Estimated lift/installation weight of 4,400 ton.
3rd Party Processing Equipment
Jacket
4 Leg jacket with legs from 60” dia.to 120” dia.
14 Conductor Slots
25,000 tons
Final Constructive Capex
$250,000,000 USD @ 100%
1st Oil 5/1/10
What is the Optimum Risk Transfer Value for Aquarius
?
Aquarius
Specific Insurable Value Considerations :
•
The insurance values are economically tied to each period of production of the field
•
The amount of capital required to satisfy legal liabilities such as removal of wreck (ROW)
Plateau Production -
RCV
Aquarius Facility Evolution of Facility Values
Block Insured Interest
(%)
R.C.V. (100%) 1st Oil 5/10
Aquarius Facility 100% 250,000,000$
Facility Type Jacket & Deck 14 slots
PD Insurance Opex @100% 2,500,000$
Annual Production - BOE's 10,000,000
Plateau Production – RCV – Management Network
Risk Management
Project Mgt Team Finance / Cost
Control
Production Decline (10 Yrs Prod) -
MRV
Aquarius Facility Evolution of Facility Values
Block Insured Interest
(%)
M.R.V. (100%) Declining Production
1/20
Aquarius Facility 100% 150,000,000$
Facility Type SS 4 Wells W/ Tieback
PD Insurance Opex @100% 1,500,000$
Annual Production - BOE's 6,000,000$
Production Decline –
MRV –
Management Network
Risk Management
Operations
Engineer (MRV Concept)
Finance / Cost Control (NFCF)Reservoir
(Reserves)
End of Field Life –
Agreed Value
Aquarius Facility Evolution of Facility Values
Block Insured Interest
(%)
A.V. (100%) End of Field Life
Aquarius Facility 100% 40,000,000$
Facility Type No Re-Build - Abandon
PD Insurance Opex @100% 400,000$
Annual Production - BOE's 1,600,000$
End of Field Life –
Agreed Value –
Management Network
Legal / Land
Regulatory
Risk Management
Operations Finance & Cost Control (NFCF)
Reservoir (Reserves)
Evolution of Insurable Values
Aquarius Facility Evolution of Facility Values
Block Insured Interest
(%)
R.C.V. (100%) 1st Oil 5/10
M.R.V. (100%) Declining Production
1/20
A.V. (100%) End of Field Life
Aquarius Facility 100% 250,000,000$ 150,000,000$ 40,000,000$
Facility Type Jacket & Deck 14 slots SS 4 Wells W/ Tieback No Re-Build - Abandon
PD Insurance Opex @100% 2,500,000$ 1,500,000$ 400,000$
Annual Production - BOE's 10,000,000 6,000,000$ 1,600,000$
Insurance Opex Sensitivity to Field Economics
10,000,000
6,000,000
1,600,000
$2,500,000
$1,500,000
$400,000
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
5/1/2010 1/1/2020 End of Field Life
Production ‐ BOE's
Insurance Opex
Thank-You
Energy Project FinancingA Focus on Emerging Markets
Jan P. MumenthalerPrincipal Insurance Officer
International Finance Corporation
Boston, April 26, 2010
IFC – Over $87 Billion Invested in Emerging Markets Since 1956
• Largest multilateral source of loan/equity
financing for the emerging markets private
sector
• Founded in 1956 with 182 member countries
• AAA rated by S&P and Moody’s
• Equity, quasi‐equity, loans, risk management
and local currency products
• Takes market risk with no sovereign
guarantees
• Promoter of environmental, social, and
corporate governance standards
• Resources and know‐how of a global
development bank + flexibility of a merchant
bank
• Holds equity in over 800 companies
worldwide
IFC FY09 Highlights
Portfolio $42.5 billionCommitted $12.4 billionMobilized $2.2 billion# of companies 1,579# of countries 103
Turkey/Romania
Oman
Pakistan/Egypt
Peru
Bolivia/Brazil
Global Expertise: Selected Transactions
Argentina
Venezuela
India
Russia
Argentina/Chile
Yemen/VietnamColombia
Chad/Cameroon
BTC Pipeline
Kazakhstan
Egypt/Bulgaria
Nigeria/Sao Tome
Pakistan
India
PeruENH
Mozambique
Emerging Markets:Who is Emerging?
Choosing a Business Friendly Region?
Source: Doing Business database
The Top 10 Reformers
Source: Doing Business database
Reforms Pay Off …
Risk & Insurance Management Challenges
Insurance Issues in Emerging Markets
• Admitted insurance
• Lack of rated insurers• Retention requirements
• Lack of sophisticated products• Slow claims process
• Exposure (infrastructure, natural hazards)
• Volatility
The Role of Sustainability
Sustainable Financing“Equator Principles”
adopted by 60+ of the world’s leading
banks and based on IFC’s
Performance Standards
Apply to 85% of project financing worldwide
52
E&S Risk Management ‐
IFC’s
ApproachAss
essm
ent
and Management
System
53
What does this mean for the Insurer?
•
Sustainable project
•
Client with Risk Management understanding
•
Improved performance
‐
Monitored environmental performance
‐
Fire & Life Safety focus
‐
Social license to operate
•
Operating in line with best practice
The Challenge to Insurers
What can the Insurance Market do?
Reward good risk management
Offer sustainable terms and
conditions, long‐term partnership
Pay claims; in a timely fashion
Promote new products
Be transparent with clients
Talk the client’s language
Be flexible in policy wordings
Thank you for your Interest
A Systematic Approach To Understanding Risk Allocation In Your Drilling Contract
Reed Wykes
Director, Risk Management
Parker Drilling Company
Boston, April 26, 2010
• The risk allocation matrix concept
• Application of the allocation matrix to offshore drilling contracts
• Use of insurance as a means of transferring legal and contractual risk
A Systematic Approach to Understanding Risk Allocation In Your Drilling Contract
The Risk Allocation Matrix
• Two dimensions: loss and legal fault
– Loss:• Property damage and personal injury
• By cause (example blowout losses)
• By exception (example inhole
tools)
– Legal Fault:• Parties to the contract• Persons at the work site• Persons not associated with the work
Loss Type Party A Party B Person C Person D Person ELoss ALoss BLoss C
The Risk Allocation Matrix
Loss Type Contractor OperatorOther Contractors Boat Owners
Helicopter Owners Third Party
Contractor's property
Inhole equipment
Subsea equipment
Corrosion damage
Damage caused by boats
Operating BOP out of vertical
The Risk Allocation Matrix
Loss Type Contractor OperatorOther Contractors Boat Owners
Helicopter Owners Third Party
Operator's property
Other contractor property
Inhole property
Third party property at the well site
Third party property away from the well site
The Risk Allocation Matrix
Loss Type Contractor OperatorOther Contractors Boat Owners
Helicopter Owners Third Party
Hole
Wreck removal
Pollution from the rig
Pollution from the resevoir
Other pollution
The Risk Allocation Matrix
Loss Type Contractor OperatorOther Contractors Boat Owners
Helicopter Owners Third Party
Injury to contractor's personnel
Injury to operator's personnel
Injury to other contractors
Injury to third parties
The Risk Allocation Matrix
Loss Type Contractor OperatorOther Contractors Boat Owners
Helicopter Owners Third Party
Underground damage
Control of well
The Risk Allocation Matrix
USE OF INSURANCE TO TRANSFER RISK
The First Law Of Risk Management (Islip’s Law)
This is an expression of the principle of conversation of loss, which states that losses can be transferred
(moved from one person to another), but once created cannot be destroyed.
USE OF INSURANCE TO TRANSFER RISK
Match Policy to Risk
Understand How the Risk Arises– Direct legal risk– Risk assumed under contract
Claims Risk– Commercial environment
– Legal environment
Example: London Energy Market
Capital structure in the London Market
Impact of the FSA
Use of outside counsel to run claims
Thank You
10 Minute Break
Risk Management Services and Risk Management Services and WebWeb--based Procurementbased Procurement
Gabriel LugoPresident
Charles Taylor Risk Consulting
April 26, 2010
ProcurementIt helps companies to find solutions in requisitioning, procurement, and expense management. No matter what you are purchasing, from office supplies, direct materials, or more in-depth services, a web-based product can help quickly locate and request the goods and services needed.
Procurement
The procurement department has become an increasingly important part of many corporations.
They are able to unify purchasing tactics for all departments and lower company costs for most types of services and commodities.
Risk Management Services• The risk management department is responsible for many purchases which the organization heavily rely upon.
• Traditional risk management services purchased through RFPs (Request for Proposal) are done through a paper media.
• Historically the purchases made by the risk department have had little input from purchasing divisions
The Future of Risk Management Services
• As many as 50% of large companies now use procurement department in the RFP process.
• Procurement departments are becoming increasingly involved in many aspects of risk management including the acquisition of insurance products, TPAs, Brokers, underwriter inspections and property surveys.
Benefits of Procurement in Risk Management
• Ensure objective competition and evaluation of bids.
• Uniform procedures ensure compliance with company and government regulations.
• Reduce costs.• Regularly deals with
contracts, vendors and large purchases.
Drawbacks
• Potential for bidders to decline to participate in RFPs if they feel the price is the only determining factor.
• Purchasing department needs to understand how insurance services are different than other products.
• Understanding the organization’s appetite (or lack thereof) for risk.
Web Based Procurement• Web-based procurement provides solutions
that are uniquely positioned to capture all types of spending, ensure compliance, and drive savings and efficiencies for companies of any size or industry.
• Many companies offer web-based RFP services/products, which can eliminate time spent creating and managing a process.
Traditional RFP process• Collection of data• Arrive at a bidder short list• Send tender to the bidders, this should include
a confidentiality agreement and state the terms and conditions of the RFP
• Questions & Answers• Bidders respond with written
submissions• Submissions evaluated• Oral presentations if necessary• Vendor is selected
Web-based Procurement Process
• Web-based procurement should follow all the same steps as traditional procurement with some notable differences, namely through the web as opposed to paper.
• Documents are available online via download.• Bidders submit their data into a provided template.• The Q&As can be posted for everyone to see.• A ready made report is available for viewing online
or in print due to the template.• The buyer is more detached from the process,
making evaluation more objective.
Advantages
• Streamlined and paperless.
• Better organization and efficiency.
• Comparisons are easier due to the template format.
• Improved documentation & transparency.
Pitfalls• Difficult for the service
provider to show creativity or “out of the box” solutions in addition to direct answers.
• Web platform may impact the types of answers received (ie: small response boxes may influence shorter answers)
• Text answer character limits and restricted visual examples
Web‐based Procurement…a value added service?
• Including procurement in risk management can reap great benefits but it needs to be
incorporated in such a way to avoid a tunnel vision approach and encourage creativity to
solve solutions.
• The procurement department of a company deals with negotiating contracts and vendors on a daily basis.
Web-based Procurement…a value added service?
• Company saves money• Reports and comparison charts are easily
accessible• Less paper and less time
Questions and Comments
Round Table Discussion