236. Polaris Burmese Library - Singapore - Collection - Volume 236

8/7/2019 236. Polaris Burmese Library - Singapore - Collection - Volume 236

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Polaris Burmese Library Collections Vol. 236The Fight For Freedom in Burma

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Burma/Myanmar Affairs Vol. 236


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( ) 2

Scribd 236. Polaris Burmese Library Singapore Collections - Vol 236 Google Search Engine


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BURMA: BATTLE FOR DEMOCRACY


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( ) ( )POLARIS BURMESE LIBRARY ( SINGAPORE )2011 A5 SIZE Index: Polaris Burmese Library, LPK Library, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, Bo ThanShwe, Myanmar Current History, Myanmar Politics, Myanmar Junta, MyanmarPeople, Myanmar Students, Insein Prison, Prison in Myanmar, Political Prisoner inMyanmar, Torture in Myanmar, Myanmar Army, Myanmar Affairs, Burma Affairs,Democracy and Human Rights in Burma, Burmese Refugees, Anti-Dictatorship,Dictator Than Shwe, Anti-Dictator, Burma dictator Than Shwe, Myanmar dictator

Than Shwe.

Public Enemies


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(

)

Polaris Burmese Library Collection

The Fight For Freedom In Burma


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-




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Manuel Antonio Garretn

( )




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---




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()




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-




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()()

()

-




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21/366

-

()

(urban guerrilla)

operation area




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()




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-

-




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-

escape plan




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()

-




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()




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( )

-




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Keylogger

keylogger window

tray icon ..

keyboard mouse

.. (All in 1 key-logger

)

..

Ctrl+Shift+Esc(or)Ctrl+Alt+Del Taskmanager ..

Taskmanager Process tab msdts.exe

keylogger

Endprocess

end process




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TaskManager windowlogo+R Runbox

taskmgr task manager process tab

gtalk disable end

process

process tab end process manually

taskmanager admin

keylogger keylogger hardware

keylogger taskmanager end process




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BARDONEILLSFRAMEWORK()

Failedstate




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(traditionalautocracy) (Modernizingautocracy)

(authoritarian) Pluralistic

-

Pluralistic




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anarchist,egalitarian,traditionalist,andpluralist

Anarchist institutionalized

Egalitarian distributionalequality

traditionalist

pluralist

secessionists

reformists

preservationist

()




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43/366

()

Dr. Bard

ONeill Framework conspiratorial

strategy

protracted popular war strategy

strategicdefensive

strategic stalemate

strategic offensive

openwar

military-focusstrategy

protracted popular war strategy

Confederacy

urban-warfare strategy




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BardONeill Framework

-

Bard ONeil

()




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46/366

Charismatic attraction

Esoteric appeals

Exoteric appeals

intelligentsia

demonstration of potency

()

physicalaspect humandimension physical




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aspect

humandimension

Societalcleavages

Human touch

Physical aspect

active support, passive support

Human

Dimension

()

structuraldimension Scope Complexity




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Scope

active supporters

Complexity organizational structure

organizational structure

urban-warfarestrategy

conspiratorialstrategy Organizationalcomplexity

Protracted

popular military-focus strategies

Organizationstructure

-Protractedpopularstrategy

urban-warfarestrategy conspiratorialstrategy




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strategicconflict

framework

criticalinformation

StrategicIntelligenceProcess




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Source Reliability Data Validity

IntelligenceProcess

A.Reliable

B.UsuallyReliable

C.FairlyReliable

D.NotUsuallyReliable

E.Unreliable

F.CannotbeJudged

SourceReliability

DataValidity

1. Confirmed

2. ProbablyTrue

3. PossiblyTrue

4. DoubtfullyTrue

5. Improbable

6. CannotbeJudged

()

()Source

()

()

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1 (2)




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Support) (MaterialSupport) (Sanctuary

Support) Moralsupport ()

Political

support

-

Material support

Sanctuaries

()




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54/366

Mintzberg,Henry.(1994)The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning.NewYork:TheFreePress.

ONeill, Bard E. (1990) Insurgency and Terrorism: Inside Modern Revolutionary Warfare.Dulles,VA:

BrasseysInc.

ONeill, Bard E., William R. Heaton, Donald J. Alberts, Vincente Collazo-Davila, RichardMacLeod, Don

Mansfield,JamesMiller,andPaulViotti.(1980)Insurgency in the Modern World.CO:WestviewPress,1980.

Roper,DanielS.(2004)A Dual-edged Sword: Operational Risk and Efficiency-Based Operations (EBO).Fort

Leavenworth,KS,SchoolofAdvancedMilitaryStudies,2004,62p.

Tse-Tung,Mao.(1961)On Guerilla Warfare.NewYork,NY:FredrickA.PraegerInc.,1961.

U.S.DepartmentofDefense(2003)Military Transformation: A Strategic Approach.Washington,DC:Officeof

theSecretaryofDefense.Fall2003.

(-)




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56/366

-

-

-

-

-


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-

-

-


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(Policy Dilemma )

''

( )

-

-

-


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Transparency and Accountability


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61/366

( Legitimate Crisis )

-

- ( )

-

(

)

-

-

-

-

-


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63/366

(

)

( )


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(RepresentativeDemocracy)

(representation)


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()

crew member


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Conventional Politics

()


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()

microcosm

()

()

()Legitimacy

Legitimacy legitimare tomakelawful


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political legitimacy


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72/366

--------


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74/366


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instrument

policy

Armed Services Committee

insidergroup strategic expertise technicalknowledge


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legitimacy

legitimacy()

legitimacy


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(domestic legitimacy)

internationallegitimacy politicalliberalization

legitimacy Levitsky Way

Political liberalization

liberalization

(Initial Democratization)


(democratic consolidation)


incentives

democratic consolidation Initial democratization


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political

liberalization

initialdemocratization

democratic consolidation Politicalliberalization democratic

consolidation

Politicalliberalization

international legitimacy

legitimacy


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82/366

- -

elite management

elite democratization process


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84/366

elite management process


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legitimacy legitimacy

legitimacy (trust) (Effectiveness)


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legitimacy legitimacy

(trust)


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88/366


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majority rule

(

)


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( )

Blaydes, L. (2008) 'AuthoritarianElectionsandElite Management: TheoryandEvidence fromEgypt', Paper

presentedatthePrincetonUniversityConferenceonDictatorships,April,2008

Dogan,M.(1992)'ConceptionsofLegitimacy',inHawkesworth,M.&Kogan,M.(eds.) Encyclopedia of

Government and Politics: Volume 1, Routledge,LondonandNewYork

Denver, D. (1992) 'Campaigns and Elections', in Hawkesworth, M. & Kogan, M. (eds.) Encyclopedia of

Government and Politics: Volume 1, Routledge,LondonandNewYork

Gandhi,J.&Lust-Okar,E.(2009)'ElectionsUnderAuthoritarianism',Annual Review of Political Science, Vol.12,

p.403-422

Gandhi,J.&Peuter,O.(2008) 'OppositionCoordination inLegislativeelectionsunderauthoritarianism',Paper


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presentedattheannualmeetingoftheAPSA2008Annualmeeting,HynesConventionCenter,Boston,

Massachusetts,Aug28,2008

Geddes,B.(2005)"TheRoleofElectionsinAuthoritarianRegimes"Paperpresentedattheannualmeetingof

the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton,

Washington,DC,Sep01,2005

Heywood,A.(2002)Politics, 2ndedition,PalgraveMacmillan,NewYork

Kadirgamar-Pajasingham, S. (2005) 'Essentialsof FreeandFairelections', Paperpresented at the Regional

Dialogue on Free, Fair and Credible Elections, Islamabad,Pakistan(29-30June,2005)

Lindberg,(2006)WhyDoOppositionPartiesBoycottElections?inSchedler,A.(ed.)ElectoralAuthoritarianism:

ThedynamicsofUnfreeCompetition,SocialScienceandResearchNetwork

Piombo,J.(2004)'ManipulatingLegitimacyInternationalElectionMonitoring,ElectoralFraudandDomestic

politicallegitimacy',Paperpresentedat theannualmeetingoftheInternationalStudiesAssociation,LeCentre

SheratonHotel,Montereal,Quebec,Canada,Mar17,2004

Reilly,B.(2001)Democracy in Divided Societies: Electoral Engineering for Conflict Management, Cambridge

UniversityPress,Cambridge

Steiner,H.&Alston,P.(2000)International Human Rights in Context: Law, Politics, Moral, 2ndedition,Oxford

UniversityPress,Oxford

Sartori,G.(1994)Comparative Constitutional Engineering: An Inquiry into Structures, Incentives and Outcomes,

Macmillan,London


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civil society

Lipset

Huntington

modernization theory Moore Lipset


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preconditions

transitology elite

resurrectionofCivilSociety

(Initial democratization)

Initialdemocratization

street theatre

elite

elites

political deadlock

()

elite

elite

cycle of protests

elite

elite elite elite

elite


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politicaldeadlock

elite

elite

Initialdemocratization


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braindrain

braingain


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upsurge of mobilization

transitiontoproceduraldemocracy

Transition to

proceduraldemocracy upsurgeofmobilization resistance

conditions


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Upsurge of mobilization

Transitiontoproceduraldemocracy

incumbentdeKlerk

transitiontoproceduraldemocracy power-sharingcoalition

resistance upsurge of

mobilization transition

to procedural democracy strategic

failures

transitiontoproceduraldemocracy

democratic consolidation


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101/366


102/366

democratic

consolidation expansion to post-representative democracy

governance system democratic reform


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104/366

Dahl,R.(1989)Democracyanditscritics,YaleUniversityPress,NewHaven

Dalton,R.(2004)DemocraticChallenges,DemocraticChoices,OxfordUniversityPress,Oxford

Diamond,L.(1999)DevelopingDemocracy:TowardConsolidation,JohnHopkinsUniversityPress,Baltimore

Ekiert,G.&Kubik,J.(1999)RebelliousCivilSociety:PopularpretestandDemocraticConsolidationinPoland,1989-1993,UniversityofMichiganPress,AnnHarbour

Escobar,A.andAlvarex,S.(1992)(eds.)ThemakingsofsocialmovementsinLatinAmerica:Identity,StrategyandDemocracy,Westview,Boulder

Foweraker,J. (1989) MakingDemocracy in Spain:Grassroots struggle in theSouth,1955-1975,CambridgeUniversityPress,Cambridge

Lipset, S. (1959) 'Some social requisites of democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy',AmericanPoliticalsciencereview,53(1),p.69-105

Moore,B.(1966)SocialOriginsofdictatorshipanddemocracy:LordandPeasantinthemakingofthemodernworld,BeaconPress,Boston

Myers,M.(1998)'Thepromotionofdemocracyatthegrassroots:TheexampleofradioinMali,Democratization,5(2),p.200-216

O'Donnell,G.(2007)'Theperpetualcrisesofdemocracy',JournalofDemocracy,15(1),p.5-19

Opp,K.(1994)'RepressionandRevolutionaryAction',RationalityandSociety,6,p.101-38

Przeworski,A.&Limongi,F.(1997)'Modernizationtheoriesandfacts',WorldPolitics,49,p.155-83

Rossi,F.&Parta,D.(2009)Socialmovement,tradeunionsandadvocacynetworks,inHaerpfer,C.;Bernhagen,P.;Inglehart,R(2009)(eds.)Democratization,OxfordUniversityPress,Oxford

Schneider,C.(1995)ShantytownProtestsinPinochet'sChile,TempleUniversityPress,Philadelphia

Ulfelder,J.andLustik,M/(2007)'ModellingTransitiontoandfromDemocracy,Democratization,14(3),p.351-87

Welzel,C.(2007)'Arelevelsofdemocracyinfluencedbymassattitudes?,InternationalPoliticalScienceReview,28(4),p.397-424


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-

()

()

()

()


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111/366

militaryintervention


112/366

Yi

()


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()

-

General IvanChistiakov

GeneralJohnHodge


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(

)


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Syngman Rhee

SyngmanRhee

Cheju-do

Anti-Rhee

Syngman Rhee

proxy war


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SyngmanRhee

KimIISung

()

() ()

() KimIISung

KimIISung KimII

Sung

() () Ongjin


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Pusan Perimeter

Pohangdon Yonil

Taegu

Pusan Pusan

KimIISung ()

Pusan

() General KimChaik Pusan

()

OperationChromite

Ichon Port

Pusan

Perimeter

X

Corps


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() Inchon

()

Pusan Perimeter

X

Corps

Syngman

Rhee


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125/366


126/366


127/366

()

General Peng Dehuai

()

()

2nd Division


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compromise

escalation

compromise ()

aggressive policy

GeneralRidgway


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Main Line of Resistance Conflict Stalemate

negotiation

Rhee

token representation

armistice line ()

armistice line


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all for all exchange

KojeCamp

Paek Sun-yop

Ratkiller ()

() Yalu Supung dam dam

()


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Pyongyang

Rhee

() ()

ARMISTICE

() () UN Command General William K. Harrison

Nam II armistice

()

()

(RepublicofKorea) MutualDefenceTreaty


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eighthUSArmy,USAirForcesKorea

(USAFK),USNavalForcesKorea(CNFK),MarineForcesKorea(MARFORK) CombinedForces

Command

() DemilitarizedZone(DMS)

nuclear tensions Naval clashes

DMS

()

() ()


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TheAxeMurder Incident ()

American CH-47Chinook helicopter ()

()

() ()

() ()

American OH-58A+ helicopter

() Joint Security Area

() ()

() ()

nuclear tensions naval clash

() Yellow Sea Maritime

Border

()

()

navalvessel ()

Cheonan

() Yeonpyeong island

K-9155mmself-propelledhowitzers

F-16jets


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India


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ColdWarDilemma

( )

Catchpole,B.(2001)TheKoreanWar1950-53,ConstableRobinson

Chant,C. (1992) TheMilitary Historyof theUnited States. Vol. 11, TheKorean War, NewYork,

MarshallCavendish

Grant,R.(2004)AtlasofConflicts:TheKoreanWar,WAL,Milwaukee

Malkasian,C.(2001)TheKoreanWar1950-1953,EssentialHistorySeries,FitzroyDearborn

ROKMinistryofDefence,ResponsetoRushtojudgement,27July2010

Summers,H.(1990)KoreanWarAlmanac,NewYork:FactsonFile


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Documents

236. Polaris Burmese Library - Singapore - Collection - Volume 236