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AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti & Julie Letrerte-Danczak ECMWF In collaboration with: Marijana Crepulja, Martin Suttie, Mohamed Daouhi and Luke Jones

AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

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Page 1: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS

AngelaBenedetti&JulieLetrerte-Danczak

ECMWF

Incollaborationwith:Marijana Crepulja,MartinSuttie,MohamedDaouhi andLukeJones

Page 2: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

Scientific motivation

• ECMWF/CAMSprovidesdailyaerosolforecastsuptoday4since2008

• MODISAerosolOpticalDepths(AODs)areassimilatedroutinely• Noprofilingobservationiscurrentlyused– largeuncertaintyon

aerosolverticalstructurewhichisdeterminedbythemodel

Modelforecast

AODassimilation

CALIPSOFeature mask

CALIPSO backscatter

Model backscatter

Page 3: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

Historical perspective

• SincethefirstICAPmeetingin2010,therehasbeenaneffortfromtheCALIPSOteamtoprovideNRTaerosolbackscatterdataforassimilation.FromanemailofDavidWinkerdated02/08/2010:

Angelaetal.,

BasedonconversationsatthemeetinginMontereyandsince,we'veputtogetherapreliminaryproductcatalog fortheLevel1.5NRTproduct.Ourinitialassumptionisthatsizeisnotanissueandasdefinedheretheproductcomesinatabout500MBperday.Thisisdefinedasatroposphericproduct.We'rethinkingtheprofileswouldcovertherange0- 20km,butwedetectlittleaerosolabove10kmandvirtuallynoneabove15km.

• OperationalcentresincludingECMWFhavebeenlookingatusingtheCALIPSOdataforassimilationsince2011withvariousdegreeofsuccessandfacingseveralchallenges(mainlyconnectedtomodelskill)

• FollowingtheCALIPSOexample,AeolusandEarthCARE willprovidenear-real-time(NRT)aerosolproductsfromtheALADINandATLIDlidarswheninorbit.Datawillbedeliveredtooperationalcentreswithinterestinaerosolpredictionandforecasting

• Stronginterestinpursuingassimilationofaerosolprofilingdata

Page 4: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

• Observationoperatorforlidardatawasdevelopedforinclusionin4D-VARundertheESA-fundedprojectQuARL in2010(thankstoJean-JacquesMorcrette,OlafStillerandMartaJaniskova)

• InitialassimilationtestsatECMWFusingCALIPSOdatawerestartedin2011(singleorbit)

• Severalmodelchanges(cycles)occurredovertheyearswhichhelpedwithfittingbettertheobservations

• CALIPSOassimilationimprovements(i.e.activatedvariationalbiascorrection)

• EvaluationofCALIPSOassimilationwithHSRLandground-basedlidars

Historical perspective & Current status

Page 5: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

Model aerosol (color) and clouds (grey)

Observed aerosol (yellow) and clouds (grey)

Model aerosol backscatter (sr-1 km-1)

Observed aerosol backscatter (sr-1 km-1)

Examples:ComparisonsofMACC/ECMWFmodelrunswithlidarobservationsfromCALIOPsensoronCALIPSO

Page 6: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

NRT CALIOP data for 4D-Var assimilation

•Thinned to 900 profiles, 40 km effective resolution(originally 1800)

•67 vertical levels, 300m resolution (originally 345)

• ~200000 backscatter observations activelyassimilated over the 4DVAR 12-hour window

CALIOP level 1.5 sample orbit August 18, 2010

Acknowledgements:NASA LarC CALIPSOTeam (Dave Winker, Chip Trepte, Jason Tackett)

- MeanandMedianAttenuatedaerosolbackscatterat532nm-Standarddeviation-cloud-clearedat1kmresolution-averagedat20kmhorizontalresolution-60mverticalresolution-Featuremask-Someindicationofaerosoltyping

This product has beencustom-made for NRT (expedited) provision and assimilation at operational centres.

Page 7: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

OBSERVATION STATISTICS

Data: all operational data plus MODIS AOD and CALIOP Level 1.5 backscatter

CY40R2 (NRT cycle)

Lidar backscatter x 1e7 (sr m)-1

800-850hPa

Lidar backscatter x 1e7 (sr m)-1

Page 8: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

Verification of lidar assimilation experiments

CALIOP + MODIS (both bias corrected)

MODIS onlyCALIOP+ MODIS

AERONET and MPLNET verification shows good performance of lidar assimilation locallyor at least not worse than the MODIS Dark Target-only run…

Lidar data are courtesy of Arnon Karnieli. Special thanks to AERONET and MPLNET teams. Graphics by Luke Jones.

CALIOP+ MODIS (with adjoint bug correction)

MODIS onlyCALIOP+ MODIS

Page 9: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

…but AERONET verification shows that globally lidar assimilation underperforms with respect to MODIS only analysis!

• This is due to model biases (optical properties are the main suspect) and possible discrepancies/biases between the MODIS and CALIOP

MODIS only (CY38R2)MODIS only (CY40R1)CALIOP+ MODIS (CY40R1)

Verification of lidar assimilation experiments (2)

Page 10: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

• Assimilation of CALIOP profiles slightly reduces extinction profiles in some locations; largest extinction values remain near surface

• Depending on location, these reductions can improve or worsen agreement with HSRL

DIAL/HSRL

II with MODIS AOT

DIAL/HSRL

MACC-II

August 19 August 27

MACC-III with MODIS AOT assimilation

MACC-III with MODIS AOT assimilation

MACC-III with MODIS AOT assimilation and CALIOP assimilation

MACC-III with MODIS AOT and CALIOP assimilation

Verification of lidar assimilation experiments (3)

Credits: Sharon Burton and Rich Ferrare (NASA LARC)

Page 11: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

Comparison of Median Profiles with and without CALIOP assimilation

MODIS assimilation only

• Median profiles in good agreement with MODIS AOT assimilation

• Adding CALIOP:• produces relatively

minor effects on median profiles

• tends to lower the AOT with respect to runs that assimilate only MODIS AOT –slightly better agreement with HSRL

MODIS and CALIOP assimilation

HSRLMACC-III

HSRLMACC-III

HSRLMACC-III

HSRLMACC-III

Credits: Sharon Burton and Rich Ferrare (NASA LARC)

Page 12: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

Other lidar-related activities

AEJ

ITCZ

Trade winds

AEW

Caribbean West Africa

Barbados (main site)Ground-based in-situ and multi-wavelength lidar measurements • 110 flight hours between

10 June – 15 July 2013

• 5 large dust outbreaks

DLR Falcon 20Doppler wind lidar @ 2µmDropsondesIn-situ aerosol characterization

Credits: Fernando Chouza and Oliver Reitebuch (DLR)

SALTRACE experiment, 2013

Page 13: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

MACC model validation – The African Easterly Jet

Good qualitative dustspatial distributionagreement

AEJ intenstiy is stronglyunderestimated by MACC

Land-sea breeze overDakara is in goodagreement

AEW trough position iswell reproduced

Clouds

AEJ

L-S breeze

AEW

Dakar

Credits: Fernando Chouza and Oliver Reitebuch (DLR)

Page 14: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

MACC model validation – The ITCZ

AEJ and TEJ position iswell reproduced, but thespeed underestimated-

Good qualitative dustspatial distributionagreement. ABL too low.

Overestimation of the dustabove the SAL

Good estimation of thetrade winds

Credits: Fernando Chouza and Oliver Reitebuch (DLR)

Page 15: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

MACC model validation – Long-range transported dust

Good qualitative dustspatial distributionagreement. ABL extinctionis strongly underestimated.

Good wind speed anddirection agreement

Credits: Fernando Chouza and Oliver Reitebuch (DLR)

Page 16: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

FUTURE PLANS

• Resume lidar assimilation tests with CALIOP data within the framework of ESA-funded activities such as the Aeolus/EarthCAREAerosol Assimilation Study (A3S)

• Test assimilation of ground-based lidar data within the frameworkof the EU-funded project ACTRIS-2

• Collaborate with BSC (WMO SDS-WAS) on the validation of the model extinction profiles using lidar data

• Collaborate with European projects TOPROF and E-PROFILE for theuse of ceilometers data for model evaluation and assimilation

Page 17: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

A3S objectives

1. Assess the developments necessary to prepare the ECMWF Composition-Integrated Forecast System (C-IFS)’s 4D-Var system for assimilation of ADM-AEOLUS/EarthCARE aerosol profiles

2. Generate/select suitable demonstration lidar observational datasets as a proxy for AEOLUS/EarthCARE data

3. Develop and test the aerosol assimilation scheme to prepare for assimilation of ADM-AEOLUS/EarthCARE aerosol profiles

4. Perform feasibility studies of the profile assimilation using the demonstration datasets

Page 18: AEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANSicap.atmos.und.edu/ICAP8/Day3/Letertre-Danczak_Lidar_ThursdayPM.pdfAEROSOL LIDAR ACTIVITIES AT ECMWF: STATUS AND PLANS Angela Benedetti

ACTRIS-2 objectives

1. …