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Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy James Twyman Global Energy Specialist 1 May 2014

Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

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Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy. James Twyman Global Energy Specialist 1 May 2014. Agenda. Oil price and UK production outlook Investment themes Shale gas Subsea oil Chinese gas Conclusion. Stable oil price outlook. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Alliance Trust PLCEnergy strategy

James TwymanGlobal Energy Specialist

1 May 2014

Page 2: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Agenda

• Oil price and UK production outlook

• Investment themes

• Shale gas

• Subsea oil

• Chinese gas

• Conclusion

Page 3: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Stable oil price outlook

Oil price since 2007 – very stable in recent years & above expectations

Source: Datastream

Page 4: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

…but returns falling

Source: UBS Source: UBS

Integrated returns (2007-17E)Integrated capex (2007-17E)

Page 5: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Topical point – UK oil production

Source: Energy Matters euanmearns.com BP data

Page 6: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

New energy forms – Theme 1 – shale oil and gas

New energy forms growing rapidly

Source: BP “Energy otlook 2035”

Page 7: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Noble Energy – best shale producer

Source: Noble Energy Source: Noble Energy

Shale growth in Niobrara basin Shale growth in Marcellus basin

Page 8: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Enterprise Products – linking shales to market

Page 9: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Where we have focused #2 – Subsea services

Source: FMC Technologies

Global new discoveries 2007 – 2012 (reserves)

Source: IHS

Page 10: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Where we have focused #2 – Subsea services

Subsea Robot operated vehicles

The latest offshore drilling rigs

High value added drilling services

Global leader in Seafloor equipment

Page 11: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Where we have focused #3 – Chinese gas

China gas demand is growing fast – sustainability

Source: Macquarie estimates

Page 12: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Where we have focused #3 – Chinese gas

Anton Oilfield Services China Gas

Page 13: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

Conclusion

• Trust’s investment focus has changed

• Seeking greater performance

• Energy portfolio still required to deliver income

• Focus on three niche areas

• Shale gas

• Oil services

• Chinese gas demand

Page 14: Alliance Trust PLC Energy strategy

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Important information

• The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. The original amount invested may not be returned.

• Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Future returns are not guaranteed.

• Examples of stocks are provided for general information only to demonstrate our investment philosophy. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell and the view of the investment manager may have changed.

• Further information is available on our website www.alliancetrust.co.uk

• All figures and graphs are sourced at Alliance Trust PLC unless otherwise stated.

• Whilst considerable care has been taken in compiling the content of this presentation, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by Alliance Trust PLC as to its accuracy or completeness.

• This presentation has been approved as a financial promotion by Alliance Trust Investments Limited for the purpose of Section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. Alliance Trust Investments Limited is a subsidiary of Alliance Trust PLC and is registered in Scotland No. SC330862, registered office, 8 West Marketgait, Dundee DD1 1QN; is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, firm reference number 479764. Alliance Trust Investments gives no financial or investment advice.