Basic Knowledge Negotiations

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    Basic Terms

    Dr. Jonathan E. Booth

    29 July 2013

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 2

    Your greatest advantage

    in any negotiation is

    preparation

    1. Purpose

    2. Interests &

    Priorities

    3. BATNAs4. Options & Issues

    5. Standards

    6. Proposals

    7. Intentions

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 3

    Defining your interests:Purpose

    Whats the purpose of a home sale negotiation?

    Negotiations have a surface-level purpose that most

    everybody can agree on.

    It feels comfortable to talk about whats happening at the

    surface.

    Each negotiator has his/her own deep-level purpose,

    which is why theyre really at the table to begin with. Finding a mutually attractive resolution often requires fulfilling

    this level.

    But revealing this level is hard work (even for ourselves) and

    requires trust.

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 4

    Selling a house: Define interests

    Interest

    Profit

    Minimize stress in closing deal

    Avoid double mortgage

    Put down offer on house in

    Islington

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 5

    Selling a house: Prioritize interests

    Priority - Interest

    3 - Profit

    4 - Minimize stress in closing

    deal

    1 - Avoid double mortgage

    2 - Put down offer on house in

    Islington

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 6

    BATNA

    Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement Course of action youll take if walk away and all its associated

    risk

    NOT a safety net it SHOULD provide you leverage i.e., you dont have to take the low ball offer there are other

    options/alternatives out there!

    Develop alternatives so you know at what point to stopnegotiating

    Gives you the POWER to walk away If we cannot receive an offer of X-amount for the house, then

    what will you do?

    Can you live without an agreement? Whats at stake?

    Always try to increase your BATNA

    Your BATNA could change over course of negotiation

    How different from Reservation Point? Least favourable agreement youre willing to accept

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 7

    How interests become positions

    Interest Target Point

    Profit 20% over purchase price

    Minimize stress in closing

    deal

    No additional repairs or

    improvements

    Avoid double mortgage Sell house for move in next

    monthPut down offer on house

    in Islington

    Deal signed next week so you

    can move forward with offer

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 8

    ...and what issues are on the table?

    Interest Target Point

    Profit 20% over purchase price

    Minimize stress in closingdeal

    No additional repairs orimprovements

    Avoid double mortgage Sell house formove in next

    month

    Put down offer on house

    in Islington

    Deal signed next week so you

    can move forward with offer

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 9

    Issues

    What are the different issues you can talk about?

    Brainstorm various options for meeting each of your

    issues and their issues

    Be creative and think about whats noton the table that

    could help the other person and help yourself

    What issues can you bring in to expand the pie?

    If you dont ask, you dont get. Nothing is out of bounds

    for the brainstorming stage.

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 10

    Standards

    These are criteria you can leverage to

    provide a more neutral zone for discussing

    proposals (i.e., bundles of issues)

    Published benchmarks Historical figures and precedents

    Industry averages

    Accepted practices

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 11

    Research the criteria in advance

    Fair standards

    Should be

    Legitimate and practical

    Independent of each sides will

    Could be based on:

    Market value

    Precedent

    Scientific judgment

    Professional standards

    Tradition

    Reciprocity (each side offers

    something), etc.

    Fair procedures

    One person cuts, the other one

    chooses

    Each side gets equal

    opportunity

    Other options:

    Taking turns

    Drawing lots/flipping a coin

    Letting someone else decide

    -expert, mediator

    (Fisher & Ury, 1991)

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 12

    Proposals: Create packages &

    Bundle issues

    Packages that combine multiple issues

    This is not a menu. Dont allow cherry-picking!

    Knowing how much you value each issue allows you

    to bargain by making trade-offs between equivalent

    packages

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 13

    Equivalent Packages?

    300,000 Offer

    Pool furniture and equipment remain

    Entertainment system designed for home

    remain

    =

    290,500

    Buyer pays sellers commission to agent

    Pays off-street parking until end of lease

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 14

    Package proposals

    Think of trade-offs before negotiation by striking

    positions on each issue at three levels:

    Live with -------- Content with -------- Aspire to

    RP TPSellers bargaining range

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 15

    Live with: RP

    You must figure out your BATNA to know your

    Reservation Point BATNA is course of action youll go if do not reach

    agreement

    BATNA closely linked to RP b/c RP is lowest youll go

    before walk away

    You should not make a deal worse than your BATNA

    Least favourable agreement youre willing to

    accept You likely will have several RPs in a multi-issue negotiation

    Think broadly, then quantify each aspect & its

    probability

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 16

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Value of each of these risky alternatives =

    value x probability:

    Value of reducing price to 265,000 = 265,000 x 0.6 =

    159,000

    Value of reducing price to 250,000 = 265,000 x 0.35 =87,500

    Value of renting the house = 100,000 x 0.05 =

    + 5,000

    -----------------------------------------------------------------

    251,500 = OVERALL VALUE = RP

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 17

    Aspire to: Target Point

    This is an aspiration aim high!

    Consider the whole universe of outcomes

    Think about all of your interests

    Be feasible, but beware: Many of us tend

    to aim low

    Think champagne popping! If overshoot, you appear unreasonable

    Do not anchor your TP to your RP!

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 18

    Make Sure Were Clear on

    Vocabulary!

    Issues: What you negotiate over during the discussion(e.g. price)

    Position: Where you are on that issue (e.g. what price)

    Interests: Underlying needs, concerns, desires, fearsyou truly wish to satisfy with the deal, often lead you to

    take a certain position

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 19

    Focus on interests, not positions

    Your position is something youve decided on

    Your interests are what caused you to decide

    your position

    For every interest, there are usually many

    positions that could satisfy it

    Be open to alternatives

    What are the obstacles if you focus on your

    positions?

    (Fisher & Ury, 1991)

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 20

    Focus on interests, not positions

    Position: You want 8000 for your car

    Interest: You need 4000 to repay a debt to

    your sister and 2000 to pay your LSE tuition

    If we focus on your interests rather than your position, I

    may be able offer you something else that

    meets one or more of these

    e.g., I have tickets to a concert your sister really

    wants to go to, so you may be able pay off some

    of your debt without the full 4000

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 23

    Step 1: Brainstorm Your Alternatives.

    Imagine that you want to sell your house.

    Your target point275,000.

    What will you do in the event that you do not get

    an offer of 275,000? Consider as many

    alternatives as possible.

    2-23

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 24

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Step 2: Evaluate Each Alternative.Can you do without an agreement and what are the costs? Can you make the

    product yourself? Can you find a substitute? Can you dispose of excess?

    Order the various alternatives by their relative attractiveness, or value.

    If an alternative has an uncertain outcome, such as reducing the list

    price, you should determine the probability that a buyer will makean offer at that price.

    Suppose that you reduce the list price to 265,000. Based on research,

    you assess the probability of an offer to be 60%. The best

    alternative should be selected to represent your BATNA.

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 25

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Step 3: Attempt to Improve Your BATNA.

    In this case, you might contact a rental company and

    develop your rental options, or you may make some

    improvements that have high return on investment (e.g.,

    new paint).

    Of course, whats most attractive to you is to have an offer

    in hand on your house.

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 26

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Step 4: Determine Your Reservation Price.

    The least amount of money you would accept for your

    home at the present time.

    You assess the probability of an offer of 250,000 or higher

    to be 95%.You think there is a 5% chance that you will not get such

    offer and will rent it.

    The probabilities always sum to exactly 100%. We have

    considered all possible events occurring. No alternative

    is left to chance.

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    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 27

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Assess the expected probabilities of selling:

    Reduce the price of your home to 265,000

    Psale = 60%

    Reduce the price of your home to 250,000

    Psale = 35%

    Rent the house

    Prent = 5%

    Dr. Jonathan Booth

    2013 Summer School 28

    Developing a Reservation Point

    Value of each of these risky alternatives =

    value x probability:

    Value of reducing price to 265,000 = 265,000 x 0.6 =

    159,000

    Value of reducing price to 250,000 = 265,000 x 0.35 =

    87,500

    Value of renting the house = 100,000 x 0.05 =

    + 5,000

    -----------------------------------------------------------------

    251,500 = OVERALL VALUE = RP