12
BLUE BOOK MARKET REPORT March 2009 An e-newsletter from Kelley Blue Book Public Relations MARKET ANALYSIS Domestics Rise as Hybrids Continue to Tumble - Juan Flores, director of vehicle valuation, Kelley Blue Book In February 2009, Kelley Blue Book witnessed continued value appreciation in most of the Truck and SUV segments. It should be noted that full-size pickup trucks and SUVs improved by more than 17 percent and 9 percent, respectively. The upsurge within both the pickup truck and SUV segments was led by the Detroit 3 with increases between 7 and 18 percent. Specifically, regular cab and extra cab trims were the strongest performers as seen in the Silverado 1500 and Ram 1500. Within the car segment, mid-size and compact vehicles experienced only slight valuation gains of less than 1 percent. Domestics continued to outpace imports with full-size sedans leading the charge, specifically full-size domestic sedans which increased 2.9 percent month-over-month. Luxury and subcompacts showed signs of stability, depreciating only 1.4 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively. This type of depreciation is typical in a normal or stable market, but is surprising given the current unstable economy. Hybrid vehicles continued to underperform compared to the overall market, showing the greatest month-over-month depreciation at 2.5 percent. Demand for fuel efficient vehicles has dropped significantly as more and more consumers base their purchase decision on vehicle transaction price as opposed to fuel economy. This led to a depreciation of approximately 25 to 30 percent on used hybrid values from their peak during the summer of 2008. Year-to-date 2009, hybrid values have already fallen nearly 5 percent. Regardless of pressure on fuel prices and a diminished supply of vehicles via reductions in trade-in units and fleet sales, we don’t anticipate that consumer demand will continue to provide sufficient support to further drive the appreciation seen over the past several months. If consumer demand in the used market does not increase in the near term, Kelley Blue Book predicts that this market will return to a typical value depreciation pattern once again. This commentary focuses on Model Years 2005-2008. In this issue : MARKET ANALYSIS - Domestics Rise as Hybrids Continue to Tumble - Juan Flores, director, vehicle valuation for Kelley Blue Book and kbb.com MARKET WATCH - New- Car Shopper Activity ECO WATCH - New-Car Shoppers’ Opinions on Vehicle Financing Kelley Blue Book Public Relations Contacts: ROBYN ECKARD Director, Public Relations 949.268.3049 [email protected] JOANNA MCNALLY Senior Public Relations Manager 949.268.3079 [email protected] BRENNA ROBINSON Public Relations Manager 949.267.4781 [email protected] 1

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Page 1: BLUE BOOK MARKET REPORT - PR Newswirefilecache.mediaroom.com/mr5mr_kbb/159225...BLUE BOOK MARKET REPORT . March 2009 . An e-newsletter from Kelley Blue Book Public Relations. MARKET

BLUE BOOK MARKET REPORT March 2009

An e-newsletter from Kelley Blue Book Public Relations

MARKET ANALYSIS Domestics Rise as Hybrids Continue to Tumble - Juan Flores, director of vehicle valuation, Kelley Blue Book

In February 2009, Kelley Blue Book witnessed continued value appreciation in most of the Truck and SUV segments. It should be noted that full-size pickup trucks and SUVs improved by more than 17 percent and 9 percent, respectively. The upsurge within both the pickup truck and SUV segments was led by the Detroit 3 with increases between 7 and 18 percent. Specifically, regular cab and extra cab trims were the strongest performers as seen in the Silverado 1500 and Ram 1500.

Within the car segment, mid-size and compact vehicles experienced only slight valuation gains of less than 1 percent. Domestics continued to outpace imports with full-size sedans leading the charge, specifically full-size domestic sedans which increased 2.9 percent month-over-month. Luxury and subcompacts showed signs of stability, depreciating only 1.4 percent and 1.7 percent, respectively. This type of depreciation is typical in a normal or stable market, but is surprising given the current unstable economy.

Hybrid vehicles continued to underperform compared to the overall market, showing the greatest month-over-month depreciation at 2.5 percent. Demand for fuel efficient vehicles has dropped significantly as more and more consumers base their purchase decision on vehicle transaction price as opposed to fuel economy. This led to a depreciation of approximately 25 to 30 percent on used hybrid values from their peak during the summer of 2008. Year-to-date 2009, hybrid values have already fallen nearly 5 percent.

Regardless of pressure on fuel prices and a diminished supply of vehicles via reductions in trade-in units and fleet sales, we don’t anticipate that consumer demand will continue to provide sufficient support to further drive the appreciation seen over the past several months. If consumer demand in the used market does not increase in the near term, Kelley Blue Book predicts that this market will return to a typical value depreciation pattern once again. This commentary focuses on Model Years 2005-2008.

In this issue :

MARKET ANALYSIS - Domestics Rise as Hybrids Continue to Tumble - Juan Flores, director, vehicle valuation for Kelley Blue Book and kbb.com

MARKET WATCH - New-Car Shopper Activity

ECO WATCH - New-Car Shoppers’ Opinions on Vehicle Financing

Kelley Blue Book Public Relations Contacts:

ROBYN ECKARD Director, Public Relations 949.268.3049 [email protected]

JOANNA MCNALLY Senior Public Relations Manager 949.268.3079 [email protected]

BRENNA ROBINSON Public Relations Manager 949.267.4781 [email protected]

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Segment Overview

1 2 3 4

Full-Size Pickup Trucks 4.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.0% 17.2%

Full-Size Sport Utility 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 9.3%

Mid-Size Sport Utility 1.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 4.9%

Full-Size Crossover 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 4.1%

Mid-Size Crossover 1.7% -0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 3.4%

Luxury Sport Utility 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1.6% 3.3%

Full-Size Car 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.3% 2.1%

Luxury Crossover 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4%

Mid-Size Pickup Trucks -0.2% -0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.9%

Mid-Size Car 0.1% 0.0% -0.2% 0.7% 0.6%

Compact Car 0.4% -0.1% -0.2% 0.4% 0.5%

Van -0.3% 0.0% -0.7% 0.7% -0.3%

Minivan -0.9% 0.8% -2.0% 1.4% -0.7%

Luxury Car -0.5% 0.0% -0.6% -0.2% -1.4%

Subcompact Car -0.8% -0.4% -0.6% 0.1% -1.7%

Sports Car -0.5% -0.3% -0.9% -0.1% -1.8%

Hybrid Car -1.1% -0.9% -1.0% 0.5% -2.5%

KBB Wholesale Lending Value Month-over-Month ChangesMY 05-08

Week February

Change

-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Full-Size Pickup Trucks

Full-Size Sport Utility

Mid-Size Sport Utility

Full-Size Crossover

Mid-Size Crossover

Luxury Sport Utility

Full-Size Car

Luxury Crossover

Mid-Size Pickup Trucks

Mid-Size Car

Compact Car

Van

Minivan

Luxury Car

Subcompact Car

Sports Car

Hybrid Car

2

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Cars Overview

Brand Comparison

1 2 3 4

Dodge 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3% 3.5%Buick 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.6% 3.1%Chrysler 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.4% 2.9%Pontiac 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 2.5%Infiniti 2.3% 0.2% -0.1% -0.1% 2.3%Ford 0.8% 0.5% -0.4% 0.7% 1.6%Subaru -0.1% 1.2% -0.1% 0.6% 1.5%Chevrolet 1.5% 0.0% -0.2% 0.1% 1.4%Acura 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% 1.3%Toyota -0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.8%Mazda 0.7% -1.2% 0.0% 0.7% 0.2%Lincoln -0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0%Nissan -0.8% 0.3% -0.3% 0.7% 0.0%Cadillac -0.8% 0.2% 0.4% -0.1% -0.3%Mercury 0.3% -0.6% -0.8% 0.4% -0.7%Volkswagen -0.5% -0.1% -0.4% 0.2% -0.7%Hyundai -0.8% -0.3% -0.1% 0.5% -0.7%Kia -0.3% -0.4% -0.5% 0.3% -0.8%Honda -0.6% -0.6% -0.3% 0.7% -0.8%BMW 0.1% 0.4% -1.8% 0.1% -1.2%Saturn -0.4% -0.9% -0.2% 0.3% -1.3%Lexus -0.4% -0.4% -0.5% 0.0% -1.3%Suzuki -0.7% -0.5% -0.9% 0.6% -1.6%Volvo -1.7% 0.0% 0.2% -0.1% -1.7%Scion -1.1% -0.7% -0.4% 0.5% -1.7%Mitsubishi -1.5% -0.3% -0.8% 0.6% -2.0%Audi -1.5% -0.2% -0.1% -0.2% -2.0%Jaguar -1.8% 0.0% -0.4% 0.0% -2.2%MINI -0.7% -1.1% -0.7% 0.3% -2.3%Saab -2.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -2.3%Mercedes -0.4% -0.4% -1.4% -0.4% -2.6%Porsche -0.9% -1.5% -1.7% -1.8% -5.8%

Segment ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Full-Size Car 0.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.3% 2.1%Mid-Size Car 0.1% 0.0% -0.2% 0.7% 0.6%Compact Car 0.4% -0.1% -0.2% 0.4% 0.5%Luxury Car -0.5% 0.0% -0.6% -0.2% -1.4%Subcompact Car -0.8% -0.4% -0.6% 0.1% -1.7%Sports Car -0.5% -0.3% -0.9% -0.1% -1.8%Hybrid Car -1.1% -0.9% -1.0% 0.5% -2.5%

KBB Wholesale Lending Value Month-over-Month ChangesMY 05-08

Week Month

Week-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

Full-Size Car

Mid-Size Car

Compact Car

Luxury Car

Subcompact Car

Sports Car

Hybrid Car

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

Dodge

Buick

Chrysler

Pontiac

Infiniti

Ford

Subaru

Chevrolet

Acura

Toyota

Mazda

Lincoln

Nissan

Cadillac

Mercury

Volkswagen

Hyundai

Kia

Honda

BMW

Saturn

Lexus

Suzuki

Volvo

Scion

Mitsubishi

Audi

Jaguar

MINI

Saab

Mercedes

Porsche

3

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Trucks Overview

Brand Comparison

1 2 3 4

GMC 3.7% 3.1% 2.8% 2.4% 13.0%Chevrolet 3.5% 2.8% 2.0% 2.4% 11.6%Dodge 1.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.6% 9.3%Ford 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 8.1%Saab 0.0% 5.7% 2.3% -0.1% 8.0%Toyota 2.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 6.7%Lincoln 1.8% 1.2% 2.6% 0.6% 6.4%HUMMER 0.4% 2.1% 1.6% 1.9% 6.1%Cadillac 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 1.4% 5.9%Mercury 2.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 5.7%Nissan 0.8% 1.8% 1.0% 1.6% 5.5%Porsche -1.1% -0.6% -1.1% 7.6% 4.7%Saturn 4.0% 0.0% -0.8% 1.2% 4.4%Chrysler 0.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 4.1%Acura 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 3.7%Land Rover 1.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.6% 3.5%Honda 0.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 3.0%Pontiac 2.7% 0.1% -1.7% 1.8% 3.0%Infiniti 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 2.3%Suzuki 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 2.3%Mazda 1.0% 0.0% -0.2% 1.3% 2.2%Jeep 1.0% -0.2% -0.3% 1.5% 2.0%Subaru 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 0.2% 1.8%Mitsubishi -0.5% 0.8% 0.0% 1.5% 1.7%Mercedes 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.5%Volvo 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% -0.2% 1.0%Buick 0.4% 0.0% -1.2% 1.1% 0.4%Lexus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%BMW 0.1% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%Hyundai 0.7% 0.3% -2.0% 1.1% 0.0%Audi 0.0% 0.0% -0.8% 0.6% -0.3%Volkswagen 0.0% 0.0% -1.0% 0.0% -1.0%Kia -1.6% -0.9% -2.3% 1.5% -3.3%Isuzu -1.6% -1.6% -1.2% 0.0% -4.3%

Segment ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Full-Size Pickup Trucks 4.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.0% 17.2%Full-Size Sport Utility 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 9.3%Mid-Size Sport Utility 1.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 4.9%Full-Size Crossover 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 4.1%Mid-Size Crossover 1.7% -0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 3.4%Luxury Sport Utility 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1.6% 3.3%Luxury Crossover 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4%Mid-Size Pickup Trucks -0.2% -0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.9%Van -0.3% 0.0% -0.7% 0.7% -0.3%Minivan -0.9% 0.8% -2.0% 1.4% -0.7%

KBB Wholesale Lending Value Month-over-Month ChangesMY 05-08

Week Month

Week-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Full-Size Pickup Trucks

Full-Size Sport Utility

Mid-Size Sport Utility

Full-Size Crossover

Mid-Size Crossover

Luxury Sport Utility

Luxury Crossover

Mid-Size Pickup Trucks

Van

Minivan

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

GMC

Chevrolet

Dodge

Ford

Saab

Toyota

Lincoln

HUMMER

Cadillac

Mercury

Nissan

Porsche

Saturn

Chrysler

Acura

Land Rover

Honda

Pontiac

Infiniti

Suzuki

Mazda

Jeep

Subaru

Mitsubishi

Mercedes

Volvo

Buick

Lexus

BMW

Hyundai

Audi

Volkswagen

Kia

Isuzu

4

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Pickup Trucks

Brand Comparison

1 2 3 4

GMC 5.6% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0% 18.8%Chevrolet 5.5% 4.1% 4.3% 3.0% 18.4%Dodge 3.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.7% 15.9%Ford 3.5% 3.3% 3.4% 0.5% 11.3%Honda 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 0.8% 9.0%Toyota 1.9% 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 7.8%Nissan 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 7.5%Cadillac 2.9% 1.9% -0.1% 1.0% 5.9%Lincoln 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 0.2% 3.0%HUMMER 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1.7%Mazda 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1.7%Subaru 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.1%Mitsubishi -1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% -0.1%Isuzu -2.2% -2.3% -1.7% -0.8% -6.7%

Segment ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Full-Size Pickup Trucks 4.9% 4.5% 4.6% 2.0% 17.2%Mid-Size Pickup Trucks -0.2% -0.2% 0.1% 1.2% 0.9%

Body Style ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Regular Cab 5.3% 4.9% 4.9% 2.6% 19.5%Extra Cab 3.2% 2.7% 2.8% 1.9% 11.4%Crew Cab 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 1.4% 10.0%Sport Utility Pickup 2.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 8.5%Convertible 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8%

Region ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Domestic 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 1.9% 15.3%Asian 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 5.7%

Week

KBB Wholesale Lending Value Month-over-Month ChangesMY 05-08

Week Month

Week

Week

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Full-Size Pickup Trucks

Mid-Size Pickup Trucks

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

GMC

Chevrolet

Dodge

Ford

Honda

Toyota

Nissan

Cadillac

Lincoln

HUMMER

Mazda

Subaru

Mitsubishi

Isuzu

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Regular Cab

Extra Cab

Crew Cab

Sport Utility Pickup

Convertible

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Domestic

Asian

5

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Sport Utility Vehicles

Brand Comparison

1 2 3 4

Chrysler 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.9% 14.1%Lincoln 3.6% 2.4% 3.2% 0.9% 10.5%Ford 2.2% 1.3% 2.8% 3.5% 10.1%Mercury 3.1% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 9.1%Chevrolet 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 3.4% 9.1%GMC 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 2.6% 8.1%Saab 0.0% 5.7% 2.3% -0.1% 8.0%HUMMER 0.6% 2.8% 2.2% 2.0% 7.7%Cadillac 1.3% 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 6.8%Infiniti 4.4% 0.0% 1.6% 0.6% 6.7%Toyota 2.8% 0.8% 2.1% 0.7% 6.6%Nissan 0.9% 2.4% 1.0% 1.7% 6.1%Buick 2.9% 0.3% 1.4% 1.2% 5.9%Dodge 2.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 5.6%Porsche -1.1% -0.6% -1.1% 7.6% 4.7%Land Rover 1.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 3.9%Jeep 1.4% 0.0% -0.3% 1.6% 2.7%Isuzu 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1.7%Mitsubishi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0%Lexus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%Mercedes 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Audi 0.0% 0.0% -0.8% 0.6% -0.3%Volkswagen 0.0% 0.0% -1.0% 0.0% -1.0%

Segment ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Full-Size Sport Utility 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 9.3%Mid-Size Sport Utility 1.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 4.9%Luxury Sport Utility 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1.6% 3.3%

Region ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Domestic 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 6.8%JDM/Korean 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 5.4%European 0.4% 1.1% 0.1% 1.3% 2.9%

Week

KBB Wholesale Lending Value Month-over-Month ChangesMY 05-08

Week Month

Week-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Full-Size Sport Utility

Mid-Size Sport Utility

Luxury Sport Utility

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Chrysler

Lincoln

Ford

Mercury

Chevrolet

GMC

Saab

HUMMER

Cadillac

Infiniti

Toyota

Nissan

Buick

Dodge

Porsche

Land Rover

Jeep

Isuzu

Mitsubishi

Lexus

Mercedes

Audi

Volkswagen

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Domestic

JDM/Korean

European

6

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Crossovers

Brand Comparison

1 2 3 4

Saturn 6.3% 0.0% 0.9% 1.0% 8.3%Toyota 3.9% 1.3% 1.6% 0.6% 7.5%Chevrolet 5.5% 0.1% 0.0% 1.4% 7.1%Mercury 3.3% 0.1% 2.2% 1.1% 6.9%Mazda 3.6% 0.1% 1.3% 1.1% 6.3%Pontiac 4.3% 0.2% 0.0% 1.5% 6.1%Nissan 0.0% 3.1% 1.6% 1.0% 5.7%Ford 2.2% 0.2% 1.5% 1.3% 5.3%Cadillac 2.8% 0.0% 0.6% 0.3% 3.8%Acura 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 3.7%Chrysler 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 1.3% 3.6%Honda 0.7% 1.1% 0.5% 1.1% 3.4%Mitsubishi 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 1.5% 2.7%GMC 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 0.5% 2.6%Suzuki 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 2.3%Mercedes 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 2.2%Subaru 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 0.1% 1.9%Buick 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1.3% 1.6%Volvo 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% -0.2% 1.0%Lincoln 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8%Land Rover 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8%Infiniti 0.0% 0.5% -0.1% 0.2% 0.6%Lexus 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.4%BMW 0.1% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%Kia -0.5% -1.5% 0.0% 1.6% -0.4%Hyundai 1.1% 0.4% -3.2% 1.1% -0.6%Jeep -2.4% -2.0% 0.3% 1.0% -3.1%

Segment ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Full-Size Crossover 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 4.1%Mid-Size Crossover 1.7% -0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 3.4%Luxury Crossover 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4%

Region ComparisonMonth

1 2 3 4

Domestic 2.3% -0.1% 1.1% 1.2% 4.6%JDM/Korean 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 3.0%European 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2%

Week

KBB Wholesale Lending Value Month-over-Month ChangesMY 05-08

Week Month

Week-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Full-Size Crossover

Mid-Size Crossover

Luxury Crossover

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Saturn

Toyota

Chevrolet

Mercury

Mazda

Pontiac

Nissan

Ford

Cadillac

Acura

Chrysler

Honda

Mitsubishi

GMC

Suzuki

Mercedes

Subaru

Buick

Volvo

Lincoln

Land Rover

Infiniti

Lexus

BMW

Kia

Hyundai

Jeep

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Domestic

JDM/Korean

European

7

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Market Watch® Below are the results of Market Watch, a Kelley Blue Book Market Research study, measuring new-car pricing report views on kbb.com and capturing shopper activity and interest in specific vehicles.

As expected, February 2009 new-car site traffic dropped compared to January 2009. While overall sales declined further, there were a few makes that continued to draw interest among kbb.com visitors.

Hyundai saw a month-over-month increase of 4 percent due solely to the Genesis. In addition, Kia had a year-over-year increase of 3 percent due to its all-new Soul, though it should be noted that the Soul is the least shopped Kia behind Amanti. Suzuki’s Grand Vitara drew a tremendous amount of interest for the 2009 model year. The brand increased 10 percent month-over-month, making it this month’s winner. Needless to say, most brands suffered.

8

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Market Watch® Continued

Make M/M Y/Y

Acura -12% -35%

Audi 1% -27%

BMW -9% -28%

Buick -11% -39%

Cadillac -5% -26%

Chevrolet -13% -15%

Chrysler -8% -32%

Dodge -6% -11%

Ford -4% -13%

GMC -17% -36%

Honda -12% -30%

HUMMER -11% -43%

Hyundai 4% -10%

Infiniti -10% -33%

Isuzu -9% -57%

Jaguar -9% -20%

Jeep -8% -23%

Kia -2% 3%

Land Rover -14% -37%

Lexus -11% -29%

Lincoln 2% -4%

Mazda -3% -28%

Mercedes-Benz -4% -27%

Mercury -4% -40%

MINI -1% -28%

Mitsubishi -12% -33%

Nissan -11% -27%

Pontiac -5% -16%

Porsche -5% -37%

Saab -19% -34%

Saturn -21% -55%

Scion -18% -47%

Smart 3% -27%

Subaru -12% 4%

Suzuki 10% -7%

Toyota -10% -28%

Volkswagen -4% 2%

Volvo -8% -30%

M/M Y/Y

Hybrid -7% -49%

Pickup -16% -23%

Sedan -8% -27%

SUV -10% -25%

Van/Minivan -8% -23%

New Car Shopper Activity Continued Segment Trends

Note: Segments defined by vehicle categories on kbb.com. Hybrid spans across all categories.

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Eco Watch™ Below are the results of Eco Watch, a Kelley Blue Book Market Research study, which tracks in-market new-car shoppers’ opinions on fuel prices, alternative fuel-related technologies, environmental issues and vehicle consideration.

VEHICLE FINANCING Loan Term Preference TRENDING OVER TIME

35%

Shorter term, higher

payments

65%

Longer term, lower payments

Q: Which statement best describes the finance plan you would likely choose? (Please select one answer.) ± 1% due to rounding.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Longer term with lower payments 61% 61% 61% 65% 63% 60% 65%

Shorter term with higher payments 39% 39% 40% 35% 38% 40% 35%

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Eco Watch™ Continued

VEHICLE FINANCING Planned Method of Obtaining Financing TRENDING OVER TIME

Q: Thinking about the financing of your next vehicle, are you most likely to...? (Please select one answer.) ± 1% due to rounding.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Apply for pre-approval at a bank / credit union branch office 36% 36% 32% 35% 34% 34% 34%

Apply for pre-approval online through a bank / credit union Web site 8% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 9%

Apply for pre-approval through an online vehicle financing company 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4%

Planning to obtain financing at a dealership at the time of purchase 42% 41% 45% 45% 47% 44% 47%

Some other way 9% 10% 9% 10% 6% 10% 6%

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About Kelley Blue Book (www.kbb.com) Since 1926, Kelley Blue Book, The Trusted Resource®, has provided vehicle buyers and sellers with the new and used vehicle infor-mation they need to accomplish their goals with confidence. The company’s top-rated Web site, www.kbb.com, provides the most up-to-date pricing and values, including the New Car Blue Book® Value, which reveals what people actually are paying for new cars. The company also reports vehicle pricing and values via products and services, including software products and the famous Blue Book® Official Guide. According to the C.A. Walker Research Solutions, Inc. – 2008 Spring Automotive Web Site Usefulness Study, kbb.com is the most useful automotive information Web site among new and used vehicle shoppers, and half of online vehicle shoppers visit kbb.com. Kbb.com is a leading provider of new car prices, car reviews and news, used car blue book values, auto classifieds and car dealer locations. No other medium reaches more in-market vehicle shoppers than kbb.com.

Eco Watch™ Continued

VEHICLE INCENTIVES / REBATES / FINANCING OFFERS Most Appealing Incentives Offer TRENDING OVER TIME

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Nov Dec Jan Feb

Cash rebate/incentive offers 71% 68% 61% 72%

Financing Offers 44% 46% 49% 50%

Economic stability 37% 26% 30%

Improved personal financial stability

27% 27% 26% 23%

Leasing offers 5% 4% 6% 8%

None of the above 11% 5% 10% 6%

Other 8% 11% 7% 11%

Q: When you purchase or lease your next new vehicle, which of the following offers would you find most appealing? (Please select one answer.) ± 1% due to rounding.

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