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    Research process- A

    systematic approachResearch refers to the systematic method consisting of:

    Defining the problem,

    Formulating a hypothesis,

    Collecting the fact or data,

    Analyzing the facts and

    Reaching certain conclusions in the form of solutions

    towards the concerned problem

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    Characteristics of Research

    a. Systematic Approach

    Each step must of your investigation be so planned that it leads to the next step.Planning and organization are part of this approach. A planned and organizedresearch saves your time and money.

    b. Objectivity

    It implies that True Research should attempt to find an unbiased answer to thedecision-making

    c. ReproducibleA reproducible research procedure is one, which an equally competent researcher

    could duplicate, and from it deduces approximately the same results.

    d. Relevancy It avoids collection of irrelevant information and saves time and money

    It enables to see whether the research is proceeding in the right direction

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    ROLE OF RESERCH- EXMP

    MARKETING:

    Advertising research, packaging research, product performance evaluation research, salesanalysis, distribution channel, Demand forecasting, Consumer buying behaviour,

    Measuring advertising effectiveness, Media selection for advertising, Test marketing,

    Product positioning, Product potential

    Production: Product development, Cost reduction, Work simplification, Profitabilityimprovement, Inventory control, Quality control

    HR: wage rates, incentive schemes, cost of living, employee turnover rates, employment trends,

    and performance appraisal.

    Finance: Investment avenues, Investment Behaviour, Portfolio management, Researches in

    Capital Markets, Portfolio Management, cost analysis, Working Capital Management.

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    Basic terminology

    A problem statement: a problem statement articulates the

    problem to be addressed and indicates the need for a study.A statement of purpose: which is the researcher s summary

    of the overall goal of a study

    A research question is a clear, focused, concise, complex

    and arguable question around which you centre your

    research. You should ask a question about an issue that you

    are genuinely curious about.

    Research aims or objectives: the specific accomplishmentsthe researcher hopes to acheive by conducting the study.The

    objectives include obtaining answers to reach questions or

    testing research hypotheses

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    Source of research problems

    Students are sometimes puzzled about the origins ofresearch problems

    Where do ideas for research problems come from

    How do researchers select topic areas and develop researchquestions

    At the most basic level, research topics originateresearchersinterests

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    Evaluationg Research problem

    There are no rules for making a final selection of aresearch problem

    The four most important consideration are

    the significance,

    researchability, and

    feasibility of the problem and

    its interest to the researcher

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    The Significance of Problem Its significance to current practice

    Researchers should pose the following kinds of questions:

    Is the problem an important one?

    Will society or organisation or employees benefit from theevidence that will be produced?

    Will the results lead to practical applications

    Will the findings challenge untested asuumptions?

    If the answer to all these questions is no then the problem

    should be abandoned (behind, left alone)

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    Researchability of the problem

    When a new area of inquiry (a search forknowledge) is being pursued, it may be

    impossible to define the concepts of interest in

    precise terms It may be appropriate to address the problem

    using in-depth qualitative research

    The problem may be stated fairly broad termsto permit full exploration of the concept of

    interest

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    Problemdiscovery

    Problem definition(statement of

    research objectives)

    Secondary

    (historical)

    data

    Experience

    survey

    Pilot

    study

    Case

    study

    Selection of

    exploratory researchtechnique

    Selection of

    basic research

    method

    Experiment SurveyObservation

    Secondary

    Data StudyLaboratory Field Interview Questionnaire

    Selection of

    exploratory research

    techniqueSampling

    Probability Nonprobability

    Collection of

    data

    (fieldwork)

    Editing andcoding

    data

    Data

    processing

    Interpretation

    of

    findings

    Report

    Data

    Gathering

    DataProcessing

    and Analysis

    Conclusions

    and Report

    Research Design

    Problem Discovery

    and Definition

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    Symptoms vs. Problems

    Chocolate

    Symptom

    Consumers prefer the taste of competitors brand

    PD based on the Symptom

    What type of reformulated taste is needed?

    True Problem

    Old-fashioned package influenced taste perception

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    Symptoms vs. Problems

    Manufacturer of palm-size computers with Internetaccess

    SymptomDistributors complain prices are too high

    PD based on the Symptom

    Investigate business users to learn how much pricesneed to be reduced

    True Problem

    Distributors do not have adequate product knowledge to

    communicate products value

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    Management Decision Problems vs.

    Marketing Research Problems

    Management Decision

    Problems

    Ask what the decisionmaker needs to do

    Action oriented

    Focus on symptoms

    Marketing Research

    Problems

    Ask what information is

    needed and how it

    should be obtained

    Information oriented

    Focus on the underlying

    causes

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    Translating Management Problems into

    Research Problems (Questions)

    Management Problem Determine the best ways the firm can communicate

    with potential purchasers of laptop computers

    Research Questions How familiar are consumers with the various brands of

    computers?

    What attitudes do consumers have toward these brands? How important are the various factors for evaluating

    the purchase of a laptop computer?

    How effective are the communications efforts of thevarious competitive marketers in terms of message

    recognition?

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    Descriptive research question Relationship research question

    Difference research question

    Types of Research questions

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    Typically asks what is and suggests a surveydesign

    Descriptive research question

    Examples:What is the prevailing organizational culture insoftware organisations in India?

    What are the dominant leadership values held by the

    Managers in the software industry in India?

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    Relationship research question

    It asks What is the relationship between two ormore variables?

    Examples:Does self-concept relate to self-confidence of the

    employees?

    Is organizational commitment related to theemployers length of service with the company?

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    Difference research question

    Typically asks Is there a difference between two

    groups?

    This type of question is used when the researcher

    compares two or more observations.

    Examples:

    1. Do male and female students marks in GATE examinationdiffer?

    2. Is there a significant difference in the investment pattern withrespect to different classification s of:

    2.1 age;

    2.2 gender; and

    2.3 Family status?

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    Common

    Errors

    Errors in Defining the Research Problem

    Problem Definition is

    too Broad

    Does Not Provide

    Guidelines for

    Subsequent Steps

    e.g., Improving the

    Companys Image

    Problem Definition

    is too Narrow

    May Miss Some

    Important Components

    of the Problem

    e.g. Changing Prices in

    Response to a

    Competitors Price

    Change.

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    Bad vs. Good Research Questions

    Research questions should be stated as clearly as

    possible

    Bad research questionIs advertising copy X better than advertising copy Y?

    Good research question

    Which advertising copy has a higher day-after recall score?

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    Sample Research Questions

    Unclear:Why are social networking sites harmful?

    Clear:How are online users experiencing or addressingprivacy issues on such social networking sites as MySpace andFacebook?

    Unfocused:What is the effect on the environment from global

    warming?

    Focused:How is glacial melting affecting penguins in Antarctica?

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    Components of

    the MarketingResearch Problem

    Research

    Questions

    Hypotheses

    AnalyticalFramework

    and

    Models

    Development of Research Questions & Hypothesis

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    Analytical Framework & Models

    Research questions & hypotheses are developed withinanalytical frameworks Basically, theories & models

    Theory suggests that satisfaction improves

    morale & perceptionsA sales manager who wants to increase market share

    (management problem) may:

    Ask how to encourage salespeople to generate moresales (research question)

    State that (based on theory) higher job satisfactionleads to greater sales productivity (hypothesis)

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    The overall goal of the project is to assess the

    performance of national pharmaceutical policies in

    developing countries (focusing on policy outputs

    andpolicy process), to analyze the reasons for theirsuccess or failure, and to propose strategies for

    improvement.

    RQ & OBJECTIVES

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    RQ & OBJECTIVES

    The principal research question that the project seeks to answer is:Have National Drug Policies (whether they exist as explicit policy

    documents, or are implicit in government actions) in developing

    countries been successful in achieving the goals of availability,

    accessibility, good quality, and rational use of essential drugs? Why orwhy not?

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    RQ & OBJECTIVES

    Within this context, the specific objectives are:

    a) To identify strengths, weaknesses, and political dimensions of

    pharmaceutical policy formulation and implementation within each

    country;

    b) To propose explanations for cross-national variations in performance;

    and

    c) To propose effective strategies, both national and international, that

    can improve pharmaceutical policy implementation.

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    Theory testing and theory construction

    Theory building

    Theory building is a process in which research begins with

    observations and uses inductive reasoning to derive a theory from

    these observations.

    Theory testing

    1. Theory testing approach begins with a theory and2. Uses theory to guide which observations to make:

    3. It moves from the general to the particular.

    4. The observations should provide a test of the worth of the

    theory.

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    Theory building and theory testing approaches to research

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    RESEARCH DESIGN

    It is the framework, a blueprint for the research study which guides thecollection and analysis of data.

    To be effective, a research design should furnish at least the following

    details.

    a) A statement of objectives of the study or the research output.

    b) A statement of the data inputs required on the basis of which theresearch problem is to be solved.

    c) The methods of analysis which shall be used to treat and analyse the

    data inputs.

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    Types of Research Design Three traditional categories of research design:

    Exploratory

    Descriptive

    Causal/Experimental

    The choice of the most appropriate design dependslargely on the objectives of the research and how much

    is known about the problem and these objectives.

    Uncertainty Influences The Type Of Research

    COMPLETELY

    CERTAIN

    ABSOLUTE

    AMBIGUITY

    CAUSALOR

    DESCRIPTIVE

    EXPLORATORY

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    Research Design: Exploratory Research

    The exploratory research design, as the name suggests:

    -involves getting a feel of the situation;

    - emphasises a discovery of ideas and

    -possible insights that may help in identifying areas of further rigorous

    study.

    The main objective of the exploratory research is to fine tune the

    broad problem into specific problem statement and generate possible

    hypotheses.

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    The exploratory studies are mainly used for:

    1) Providing information to enable a more precise problem

    definition or hypothesis formulation.

    2) Establishing research priorities.

    3) Giving the researcher a feel of the problem situation and

    familiarising him with the problem.

    4) Collecting information about possible problems in carrying out

    research, using specific collection tools and specific techniques for

    analysis.

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    The generally used methods in exploratory research are:

    a) Survey of existing literature

    b) Survey of experienced individuals

    c) Analysis of selected case situations.

    d) Focus Groups

    e)Projective Techniques

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    DESCRIPTIVE RESEARCH DESIGN

    Descriptive research is undertaken to provide answers to questionsof who, what, where, when, and howbut not why.

    Descriptive designs are aimed only at providing accurate

    descriptions of variables relevant to the problem under

    consideration, they are generally used for preliminary andexplorative studies.

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    Descriptive research can be used for the following purposes:

    a) To describe the characteristics of certain groups of interest to the

    marketer e.g. users of the product, potential users, non users, possiblereceivers of promotional communication by the company and so on.

    b) To estimate the proportion of people in a given population who behave

    in a certain way for example the proportion of consumers who are proneto deals.

    c) To make specific predictions for specified future periods.

    d) To develop inferences whether certain variables are associated, for

    example income and shopping place preference.

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    Two basic classifications: Descriptive Research

    Design Cross-sectional studies

    Longitudinal studies

    The cross sectional study is aimed at taking a one time measure of the

    situation or the phenomenon in which the decision maker is interested.

    Cross sectional designs give the picture of the situation at a given point

    of time.

    Cross-sectional studies measure units from a sample of the population

    at only one point in time.

    CROSS SECTIONAL STUDIES

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    LONGITUDINAL STUDIES

    Involves the continual or periodic information collection from a fixed

    panel or sample of respondents.

    Two types of panels:

    Continuous panels ask panel members the same questions on eachpanel measurement.

    Discontinuous (Omnibus) panels vary questions from one time tothe next.

    Longitudinal data used for:

    Market tracking

    Brand-switching

    Attitude and image checks

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    Research Hypotheses

    A hypothesis is a prediction about the relationshipbetween two or more variables

    A hypothesis translates a quantitative researchquestion into a precise prediction of expected

    outcomes

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    Functions

    Bringing clarity to the research problem

    Serves the following functions

    provides a study with focus

    signifies what specific aspects of a research problem is toinvestigate

    what data to be collected and what not to be collected

    enhancement of objectivity of the study

    formulate the theory

    enable to conclude with what is true or what is false

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    Characteristics Hypotheses has the following characteristics:

    1. Operationalisable

    2. a tentative proposition

    3. unknown validity

    4. specifies relation between two or more variables

    5. Simple, specific, and contextually clear

    6. Capable of verification7. Related to the existing body of knowledge

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    Typologies

    Three types

    working hypothesis

    Null hypothesis

    Alternate hypothesis

    Working hypothesis

    Theworking or trail hypothesis is provisionally adopted to

    explain the relationship between some observed facts forguiding a researcher in the investigation of a problem.

    A Statement constitutes a trail or working hypothesis (which) is

    to be tested and conformed, modifies or even abandoned asthe investi ation roceeds.

    Typologies

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    Typologies

    NNull hypothesis

    A Null hypothesis is formulated against the working hypothesis; opposes the

    statement of the working hypothesis

    ....it is contrary to the positive statement made in the working hypothesis;formulated to disprove the contrary of a working hypothesis

    When a researcher rejects a null hypothesis, he/she actually proves a working

    hypothesis

    IIn statistics, to mean a null hypothesis usually Ho is used. For example,HoQ = O

    where Q is the property of the population under investigation

    O is hypothetical

    Typologies

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    Typologies

    Alternate hypothesis

    An alternate hypothesis is formulated when a researcher totallyrejects null hypothesis

    He/she develops such a hypothesis with adequate reasons

    The notion used to mean alternate hypothesis is H1

    Q>Oi.e., Q is greater than O

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    Example

    Working hypothesis: Population influences the number of bankbranches in a town

    Null hypothesis (Ho): Population do not have any influence on

    the number of bank branches in a town.

    Alternate hypothesis (H1): Population has significant effect on thenumber of bank branches in a town. A researcher formulates this

    hypothesis only after rejecting the null hypothesis.

    W di f h th i

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    Wording of hypothesis

    Simple versus complex hypotheses

    Simple: expresses an expeted relationship between oneindependent and one dependent variable

    A complex a prediction of a relationship between twoor more independent variables and or two or more

    dependent variable Multivariate hypotheses involve multiple variables

    Hypothesis should be worded in the present tense

    Researcher make predictions about the relationship thatexist in the population and not just about therelationship that will be revealed in a particular sample

    Wording of hypothesis

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    Wording of hypothesis

    Directionl versus nondirectional hypotheses

    Directional, is one that specifies not only the existence butthe expected direction of the relationship betweenvariables

    Older patient are at greater risk of falling than younger

    ones A nondirectional hypothesis these hypothesis state the

    prediction that apatients age and the risk of falling arerelated, they do not stipulate (specify as a condition)

    whether the researcher think that older or youger patientsare at great risk

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    Research versus null hypothesis

    Research hypothesis,also refered to as

    (substantive, declarative and scientific hypotheses)

    are statements of expected relationships between

    variables

    Null hypothesis, there is no relationship betweenthe independent and dependent variables

    Lib R h H th i F ti

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    Library Research

    Learning what is known

    about the target behavior

    Hypothesis Formation

    Based on Lib. Rsh., propose

    some new knowledge Research Design

    Determine how to

    obtain the data to testthe RH:

    Data Collection

    Carrying out the

    research design and

    getting the data.

    Data AnalysisData collation and

    statistical analysisHypothesis Testing

    Based on design properties

    and statistical results

    Draw Conclusions

    Decide how your new

    knowledge changes

    what is known about

    the target behavior

    the Research Loop

    Novel RH:

    Replication

    Convergence

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    Five types of statistical analysis

    Descriptive

    Inferential

    Differences

    Associative

    Predictive

    What are the characteristics of the respondents?

    What are the characteristics of the population?

    Are two or more groups the same or different?

    Are two or more variables related in a systematic way?

    Can we predict one variable if we know one or

    more other variables?

    G l P d f

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    General Procedure for

    Hypothesis Test

    1. Formulate H0 (null hypothesis) and H1(alternative hypothesis)

    2. Select appropriate test3. Choose level of significance

    4. Calculate the test statistic (SPSS)

    5. Determine the probability associated withthe statistic.

    Determine the critical value of the teststatistic.

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    General Procedure for

    Hypothesis Test

    6 a)Compare with the level of significance,

    b) Determine if the critical value falls in the

    rejection region. (check tables)

    7 Reject or do not reject H0

    8 Draw a conclusion

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    The hypothesis the researcher wants to test is calledthe alternative hypothesis H1.

    The opposite of the alternative hypothesis is the null

    hypothesis H0 (the status quo)(no difference betweenthe sample and the population, or between samples).

    The objective is to DISPROVE the null hypothesis.

    The Significance Level is the Criticalprobability ofchoosing between the null hypothesis and the

    alternative hypothesis

    1. Formulate H1andH0

    2 Select Appropriate Test

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    The selection of a proper Test depends on:

    Scale of the data

    nominal interval

    the statistic you seek to compare

    Proportions (percentages)

    means the sampling distribution of such statistic

    Normal Distribution

    T Distribution

    2 Distribution Number of variables

    Univariate

    Bivariate

    Multivariate

    Type of question to be answered

    2. Select Appropriate Test

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    Testing for Differences Between Mean of the

    Sample and Mean of the Population

    The manager ofPepperoni Pizza Restauranthasrecently begun experimenting with a new method

    of baking its pepperoni pizzas. He believes that the new method produces a

    better-tasting pizza, but he would like to base a

    decision on whether to switch from the old method

    to the new method on customer reactions.

    Therefore he performs an experiment.

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    For 40 randomly selected customers who order apepperoni pizza for home delivery, he includes bothan old style and a free new style pizza in the order.

    All he asks is that these customers rate the differencebetween pizzas on a -10 to +10 scale, where -10means they strongly favor the old style, +10 meansthey strongly favor the new style, and 0 means theyare indifferent between the two styles.

    The Experiment

    -10 +100

    Old pizza New pizza

    1 F l H d H

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    One-Tailed Versus Two-Tailed Tests

    The form of the alternative hypothesis can be either a

    one-tailed or two-tailed, depending on what you are

    trying to prove.

    A one-tailed hypothesis is one where the only sample

    results which can lead to rejection of the null hypothesis

    are those in a particular direction, namely, those where

    the sample mean rating is positive. A two-tailed test is one where results in either of two

    directions can lead to rejection of the null hypothesis.

    1. Formulate H1andH0

    1 F l t H d H

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    One-Tailed Versus Two-Tailed Tests -- continued

    Once the hypotheses are set up, it is easy to detectwhether the test is one-tailed or two-tailed.

    One tailed alternatives are phrased in terms of > or

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    1. Formulate H1andH0 As the manager you would like to observe a

    difference between both pizzas

    If the new baking method is cheaper, you would

    like the preference to be for it.

    Null Hypothesis

    AlternativeTwo tail

    test

    One tail

    test= mu=population mean

    H0 =0 (there is no differencebetween the old style and the new

    style pizzas) (The difference between

    the mean of the sample and the mean

    of the population is zero)

    H1 0 or H1>0

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    2. Select Appropriate Test

    What we want to test is whether consumers prefer the

    new style pizza to the old style. We assume that there

    is no difference (i.e. the mean of the population is

    zero) and want to know whether our observed result is

    significantly (i.e. statistically) different.

    The one-sample t test is used to test whether the mean

    of the sample is equal to a hypothesized value of the

    population from which the sample is drawn.

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    Accepting the null hypothesis that the pizzas are

    equal, when they are really perceived to be differentby the customers of the entire population.

    Type I Error

    Rejecting the null hypothesis that the pizzas are

    equal, (and saying that they are different or the new

    style is better) when they really are perceived equal

    by the customers of the entire population.

    Type II error

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    3. Choose Level of Significance

    Significance Level selected is typically .05 or .01

    i.e 5% or 1%

    The ratings of 40 randomly selected customers

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    produces the following table and statistics

    From the summary statistics, we see that the sample mean is 2.10

    and the sample standard deviation is 4.717

    The positive sample meansuggests a slight preference for the newpizza, (alternative hypothesis) but there is a fair degree of variation.

    What we dont know is whether this preference is significant

    4 Calculate the Test Statistic

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    816.240/717.4

    010.2

    valuet

    4. Calculate the Test Statistic

    t = X- 0s/n T(n-1)

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    5. Determine the Probability-value (Critical Value)

    We use the right tail

    because the alternative isone-tailed of the greaterthan variety

    The probability beyondthis value in the right tailof the tdistribution with

    n-1 = 39 degrees offreedom isapproximately 0.004

    The probability, 0.004,is thep-value for the

    test. It indicates thatthese sample resultswould be very unlikelyif the null hypothesis istrue.

    6 Compare with the level of significance ( 05)and

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    1-Reject H0 Reject H0

    Do not Reject H0

    0

    2.8162.023-2.023

    /2/2

    6. Compare with the level of significance, (.05)anddetermine if the critical value falls in the rejection region

    Since the statistic falls in the rejection area we reject Ho

    and conclude that the perceived difference between the

    pizzas is significantly different from zero.

    7. Reject or do not reject H0

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    8 Conclusion

    the sample evidence is fairly convincing thatcustomers, on average, prefer the new-style pizza.

    Should the manager switch to the new-style pizza on

    the basis of these sample results?

    Depends. There is no indication that the new-style pizza

    costs any more to make than the old-style pizza.

    Therefore, unless there are reasons for not switching (for

    example, costs) then we recommend the switch.

    i

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    Comparing Means

    Suppose you are the brand manager forTylenol,and a recent TV ad tells the consumers that Advilis more effective (quicker) at treating headachesthan Tylenol.

    An independent random sample of 400 people witha headache is given Advil, and 260 people reportthey feel better within an hour.

    Another independent sample of 400 people is taken

    and 252 people that tookTylenol reported feelingbetter.

    Is the TV ad correct? Or, in other words, is there adifference between the means of the two samples

    Hypothesis Test for Two

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    Hypothesis Test for Two

    Independent SamplesTest for mean difference:

    Null Hypothesis

    Alternative

    H0 1= 2H1 12

    Under H0 1- 2 = 0. So, the test concludes whether there is adifference between the means or not.

    Comparison of means:

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    Comparison of means:

    Graphically

    Are the means equal? Or are the differences simply

    due to chance?

    2 Select Appropriate Test

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    2. Select Appropriate TestIn this example we have two independent samples

    Other examples

    populations of users and non-users of a brand differ in

    perceptions of the brand

    high income consumers spend more on the product than lowincome consumers

    The proportion of brand-loyal users in Segment 1 (eg males)

    is more than the proportion in segment II (e.g. females)

    The proportion of households with Internet in Canada

    exceeds that in USA

    Can be used for examining differences between means and

    proportions

    2 Select Appropriate Test

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    The two populations are sampled and the means and

    variances computed based on the samples of sizes n1 and n2

    If both populations are found to have the same variance

    then a t-statistic is calculated.

    The comparison of means of independent samples assumes

    that the variances are equal.

    If the variances are not known an F-test is conducted to

    test the equality of the variances of the two populations.

    2. Select Appropriate Test

    0

    F

    f

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    Unequal variances: The problem

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    Tylenol vs Advil

    We would need to test if the difference is zero or not.H0:A - T = 0;

    H1:A - T 0

    z= .65 - .63

    (.65)(.35)/400+ (.63)(.37)/400= 0.66

    pA= 260/400= 0.65

    pT = 252/400= 0.63

    For large samples the t-distribution approaches the normal

    distribution and so the t-test and the z-test are equivalent.

    Variability of random

    means

    mean 1mean 2t =

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    Differences Between Groups

    when Comparing Means Ratio scaled dependent variables

    t-test

    When groups are small

    When population standard deviation is

    unknown

    z-testWhen groups are large

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    Degrees of Freedom

    d.f. = n - k

    where:

    n = n1 + n2

    k = number of groups

    The degrees of freedom is (n1 + n22)

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    Tylenol vs Advil

    - 0 0.66

    = 0.10 Critical value = 1.64

    1.64-1.64

    /2/2 -1

    Since 0.66 is less than the critical value of 1.64 we accept the null

    hypothesis: there is no difference between Advil and Tylenol users

    Test for Means Difference on Paired Samples

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    Test for Means Difference on Paired Samples

    What is a paired sample?

    When two sets of observations relate to the same respondents

    When you want to measure brand recall before and afteran ad campaign.

    Shoppers consider brand name to be more important than

    price Households spend more money on pizza than onhamburgers

    The proportion of a banks customers who have a checking

    account exceeds the proportion who have a savings account Since it is the same population that is being sampled theobservations are not independent.

    The appropriate test is a paired-t-test

    Example

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    Q1. When purchasing golf clubs rate the importance 1-5 of priceQ2. When purchasing golf clubs rate the importance 1-5 of brand

    Example

    H0

    H1 One tailed

    H1 Two Tailed

    There is no difference in importance between brand and

    price

    There is a difference in importance between

    brand and price

    Price is more important than brand

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    What is an ANOVA?

    One-way ANOVA stands for Analysis ofVariance

    Purpose:

    Extends the test formean difference betweentwo independent samples to multiple samples.

    Employed to analyze the effects of

    manipulations (independent variables) on arandom variable (dependent).

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    What does ANOVA test? The null hypothesis tests whether the mean of all

    the independent samples is equal

    H0 1= 2 = 3..= n

    H1 123.. n

    The alternative hypothesis specifies that all themeans are not equal

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    Definitions

    Dependent variable: the variable we aretrying to explain, also known as responsevariable (Y).

    Independent variable: also known asexplanatory variables or Factors (X).

    Research normally involves determiningwhether the independent variable has an

    effect on the variability of the dependentvariable

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    Comparing Antacids

    Non comparative ad:

    Acid-off provides fast relief

    Explicit Comparative ad:

    Acid-off provides faster relief than Tums

    Non explicit comparative adAcid-off provides the fastest relief

    The maker of Acid-off, an antacid stomach remedy wants to

    know which type of ad results in the most positive brand

    attitude among consumers.

    Three groups of people are exposed to one type of ad and

    asked to rate their attitude towards the ad.

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    Comparing Antacids

    Brand

    Attitude

    Type of AdNon

    Comparative

    Explicit

    Comparative

    Non Explicit

    Comparative

    Means

    The dependent variable (denoted by Y) is called the response

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    The dependent variable (denoted by Y) is called the response

    variable and in this case it is brand attitude (I.e. we want to

    know what effect ad type has on attitude toward the brand)

    The independent variables are called factors, in this case

    type of ad: non-comparative, explicit comparative, non-explicit

    comparative

    The different levels of the factor are called treatments. In

    this case the treatments are the different ratings for each of the

    three types of ads.

    There will be two sources of variation.

    Variation within the treatment (e.g. within the non-

    comparative ad etc.)

    Variation between the treatments (I.e. between the three

    types of ads)

    The whole idea behind the analysis of variance is to compare

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    The whole idea behind the analysis of variance is to compare

    the ratio of between group variance to within group variance.

    If the variance caused by the interaction between the samples is

    much larger when compared to the variance that appears

    within each group, then it is because the means are different.

    groupswithinVariance

    groupsbetweenVarianceF

    Degrees of Freedom

    The F statistic has DF for both numerator (between group) and

    denominator (within group)

    DF between group = (c-1) where c=number of groups

    DF within group = (N-c) where N is sample size

    Decomposition of the Total

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    Independent Variable X

    Categories Total Sample

    X1 X2 X3 . Xc

    Y1 Y1 Y1 . Y1 Y1Y2 Y2 Y2 . Y2 Y2

    Yn Yn Yn . Yn Yn

    Y1 Y2 Y3 Yc Y

    Decomposition of the Total

    Variation

    Total

    Variation

    SSy

    Between Category Variation SSbetween

    Category

    Mean

    Within

    Category

    Variation

    SSwithin

    Grand

    Mean

    ANOVA T t

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    ANOVA TestThe null hypothesis would be tested with

    the F distribution

    df(c-1)/(N-c)

    Reject H0F distribution

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    One way ANOVA investigates:Main effects

    factor has an across-the-board effect

    e.g., type of ad

    Or age

    or involvement

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    A TWO-WAY ANOVA investigates:

    INTERACTIONS

    effect of one factor depends on another factor

    e.g., larger advertising effects for those with no

    experience

    importance of price depends on income level and

    involvement with the product

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    Testable means that there must be some way to

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    Testable -- means that there must be some way to

    way to collect the data to evaluate the RH

    Falsifiable -- means that the RH: must possibly be wrong!

    General Definition

    a tentative explanation or a guess about the target behavior

    MUST BE TESTABLE ( falsifiable ) !!!

    3 Different Kinds

    Attributive

    Associative

    Causal

    Attributive Research Hypothesis

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    states that a behavior exists, can be measured, and

    can be distinguished from similar other behaviors univariate hypothesis (one variable)

    Evidence to support ...

    need to demonstrate a technique that allows properlytrained researchers to reliably record and score the

    behavior

    with what type of knowledge about behavior does

    this correspond ?? _________________

    Associative Research Hypothesis

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    states that a relationship exists between two

    behaviors -- that knowing the amount or kind of onebehavior helps you to predict the amount or kind of

    the other behavior

    bivariate hypothesis (two variables) Evidence to support

    show that there is a reliable statistical relationship betwee

    the two variables

    with what type of knowledge about behavior does

    this type of RH correspond ??

    Causal Research Hypothesis

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    states that differences in the amount or kind of one

    behavior cause/produce/create/change/etc.differences in amount or kind of the other behavior

    bivariate hypothesis -- causal behavior

    & effectbehavior

    Evidence needed to support a causal hypothesis...

    temporal precedence (cause precedes effect)demonstrate a statistical relationship

    elimination of alternative explanations (no other viable

    causes/explanations of the effect)

    Library Research

    Learning what is known

    Hypothesis Formation

    Based on Lib Rsh propose

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    Learning what is known

    about the target behavior

    Based on Lib. Rsh., propose

    some new knowledge Research Design

    Determine how to

    obtain the data to testthe RH:

    Data Collection

    Carrying out theresearch design and

    getting the data.

    Data Analysis

    Data collation and

    statistical analysisHypothesis Testing

    Draw Conclusions

    Decide how your new

    knowledge changes

    what is known about

    the target behavior

    the Research Loop

    Novel RH:

    Replication

    Convergence