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Budget 2014 March 6, 2014

Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

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Page 1: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Budget 2014March 6, 2014

Page 2: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Fully balanced budget

Operational surplus

$2.6 B

Operational revenue

$43.0 B(up 5.4% from 2013-14)

Operational expense

$40.4 B(up 3.7% from 2013-14; excludes disaster/emergency assistance)

Change in net assets(consolidated surplus)

$1.1 B increase

Page 3: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Economic strength

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth

20112012

2013 (esti

mated)

2014 (foreca

sted)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

AlbertaCanadaUSA

Yea

r-ov

er-y

ear

% c

hang

e

5.2

3.83.3

3.7

Page 4: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Economic strength

Unemployment rate, 2013

Canadian average

Alberta

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

4.6 %

7.1 %

Page 5: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Oil price differential

Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-1450

60

70

80

90

100

110

WTI WCS

$

$15

$33$10 $37

Page 6: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

2013 Flood

$1.1 B in provincial support over next 3 years• $222 M operational expense• $859 M on capital

Money to help people and businesses for reconstruction and mitigation

Page 7: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Booming population

Page 8: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Priority spending

Page 9: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Investing in families andcommunities

2014/15: $1 B increase to core programs• New operating funding for:

• Health• K-12 schools • Post-secondary education • Human services

Page 10: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Comparing expense growth topopulation plus inflation growth

Page 11: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Building Alberta

Increasing net assets

Page 12: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Building Alberta

Estimated Assets and Liabilities, March 31, 2015

Alberta is the only province in Canada with net assets ($45 B)

Page 13: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

The 4 rules of borrowing

Limited to 3.0% of operational revenue

Must have a clear repayment plan

Must protect Alberta’s AAA credit rating  

Borrowing only for the capital plan

Page 14: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

A plan for debt repayment

Annual amounts set aside for debt repayment13

/14

14/1

515

/16

16/1

717

/18

18/1

919

/20

20/2

121

/22

22/2

323

/24

24/2

525

/26

26/2

727

/28

28/2

929

/30

30/3

131

/32

32/3

333

/34

34/3

535

/36

36/3

737

/38

38/3

939

/40

40/4

141

/42

42/4

343

/44

44/4

545

/46

46/4

747

/480

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

($m

illio

ns)

Page 15: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Future asset position

By 2017, Alberta will have $49B of net assets• $61B in financial assets • $34B in capital assets• $22B of capital debt (thru P3s and direct borrowing)

• After a 30-year amortization the debt will be paid off

Page 16: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Net debt to GDP

Page 17: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Investing in our future

Total Savings Plan expected to reach $26B by 2016-17

Page 18: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Savings Management Act

Investing in our future

$1 B(by 2015-16)

$200 M(2014-15)

$2 B(by 2023-24)

$200 M(2014-15)

Page 19: Budget 2014 March 6, 2014. Fully balanced budget Operational surplus $2.6 B Operational revenue $43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14) Operational expense $40.4

Budget 2014www.budget.alberta.ca

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