Calgary Confederation Mainstreet poll

7/23/2019 Calgary Confederation Mainstreet poll

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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 679 Calgary Confederation residents by Smart IVRon September 14, 2015. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed.

Margin of Error: +/- 3.73%, 19 times out of 20.Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.



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The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republish

with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmed

LIBERALS, TORIES TIED IN CALGARY CONFEDERATION

September 16, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Liberal candidate MGrant in a statistical tie with Conservative candidate Len Webber . The Mainstreet/Postmedia phas a margin of error of +/- 3.73%, 19 times out of 20.

Grant’s small lead is fuelled by a staggering 50% level of support amongst those 18-34, but he aeads narrowly among those ‘certain to vote’.

Calgary has turned in to a hotbed of competitive races in this federal election, with CalgConfederation expected to be a neck and neck race, a statistical tie with Liberal Matt Grant edg

out Conservative Len Webber by a single point,” said Quito Maggi, president of MainstreResearch.

Turnout and youth engagement will be a key factor in this election and the Liberals Matt Graholds a commanding lead among those 18-34, not surprising given his youth. This generatiohange appeal is a big advantage in that age group where he leads by more than 30 points, 50o just 17% for both his opponents. ”

The advantage for Conservative Len Webber lies in the undecided voters who are leaning, whehe leads with 18% to just 7% for the NDP and 6% for the Liberals. There is still a significant portof truly undecided voters, and with more than a month to go to election day, there is plentyopportunity to convince these voters by all the campaigns in Calgary Confederation.”

This will be a riding to watch on October 19th,” he finished.

About Mainstreet Research

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all threvels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadpublic affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of pubopinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Libegovernment in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recentMainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

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Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, President, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected]



LEANING AND DECIDED

Len Webber (CPC)Kirk Heuser (NDP)Matt Grant (LPC)Natalie Odd GPC)UndecidedSample

18-34

17%17%

50%

6%

10%

96

35-49

38%17%24%4%18%101

50-64

41%15%

28%

5%

12%

218

65+

39%13%18%8%21%264

Fema

32%17%30%6%15%373

Male

31%15%

35%

5%

13%

306

Certain

32%

16%

33%

6%

Might

22%

13%

25%

4%

Likely41%12%31%

4%

Unlikely22%18%40%

7%

Len Webber (CPC)Kirk Heuser (NDP)Matt Grant (LPC)

Natalie Odd GPC)

If the federal election were held today, which candidate would you support?

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

All Voters Decided Only

3 2 %

1 6 %

3 3 %

5 %

1 4 %

3 7 %

1 9 %

3 8 %

6 %



LEANING AND DECIDEDAnd which party are you leaning toward voting for? (UNDECIDED ONLY)

STRONGMIGHT CHANGE

UNDECIDED

CPC

76%

19%

4%

NDP50%46%

4%

L

53

36

11

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there chance you will change your mind before the next election?

18%

7%

6%

1%

67%



How likely are you to vote in the upcoming federal election?

CertainLikelyMight

Unlikely

And if the federal election were held today, which candidate would you support?

Len Webber of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper Kirk Heuser of the NDP led by Thomas Mulcair Matt Grant of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Natalie Odd of the Green Party led by Elizabeth MayUndecided

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]

Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper NDP led by Thomas Mulcair Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Green Party led by Elizabeth May Not Sure

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance

you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED VOTERS ONLY]

Strong SupportMight Change Your Mind

Not Sure



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Calgary Confederation Mainstreet poll