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  • 8/12/2019 Ch16HullOFOD8thEdition

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    Chapter 16

    Options on Stock I ndices

    and Currencies

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 1

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    I ndex Options (page 345-347)

    The most popular underlying indices in the U.S. are

    The S&P 100 Index (OEX and XEO)

    The S&P 500 Index (SPX)The Dow Jones Index times 0.01 (DJX)

    The Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX)

    Exchange-traded contracts are on 100 times index;they are settled in cash; OEX is American; the XEOand all others are European

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 2

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    I ndex Option ExampleConsider a call option on an index with astrike price of 880

    Suppose 1 contract is exercised whenthe index level is 900

    What is the payoff?

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 3

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    Using Index Options for Portfol io

    I nsurance

    Suppose the value of the index is S0and the strikeprice isK

    If a portfolio has a bof 1.0, the portfolio insurance isobtained by buying 1 put option contract on the indexfor each 100S0 dollars held

    If the bis not 1.0, the portfolio manager buys bputoptions for each 100S0 dollars held

    In both cases,K is chosen to give the appropriateinsurance level

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 4

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    Example 2Portfolio has a beta of 2.0

    It is currently worth $500,000 and indexstands at 1000

    The risk-free rate is 12% per annum

    The dividend yield on both the portfolio andthe index is 4%

    How many put option contracts should bepurchased for portfolio insurance?

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 6

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    Calculating Relation Between I ndex Level and

    Portfol io Value in 3 months

    If index rises to 1040, it provides a40/1000 or 4% return in 3 months

    Total return (incl. dividends) = 5%Excess return over risk-free rate = 2%

    Excess return for portfolio = 4%

    Increase in Portfolio Value = 4+31=6%Portfolio value=$530,000

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 7

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    Determining the Str ike Price (Table 16.2,page 347)

    Value of Index in 3months

    Expected Portfolio Valuein 3 months ($)

    1,080 570,000

    1,040 530,0001,000 490,000

    960 450,000920 410,000

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 8

    An option with a strike price of 960 will provideprotection against a 10% decline in the portfolio value

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    European Options on Assets

    Providing a Known Yield

    We get the same probability distribution

    for the asset price at time T in each of thefollowing cases:

    1. The asset starts at price S0 and

    provides a yield = q2. The asset starts at price S0eqT and

    provides no income

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 9

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    European Options on Assets

    Providing KnownYieldcontinued

    We can value European options by reducingthe asset price to S0e

    qT and then behaving asthough there is no income

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 10

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    Extension of Chapter 10 Results(Equations 16.1 to 16.3)

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 11

    rTqT KeeSc 0

    Lower Bound for calls:

    Lower Bound for puts

    qTrT eSKep 0

    Put Call Parity

    rTrTqTrT eFpKeceSpKec 00

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    Extension of Chapter 14 Results(Equations 16.4 and 16.5)

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 12

    TTqrKSd

    T

    TqrKSd

    dNeSdNKep

    dNKedNeSc

    qTrT

    rTqT

    )2/

    2

    ()/ln(

    )2/2()/ln(where

    )()(

    )()(

    02

    01

    102

    210

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    Alternative Formulas (page 353)

    Tqr

    rT

    rT

    eSF

    Tdd

    T

    TKFd

    dNFdKNep

    dKNdNFec

    )(

    /)/ln(

    )]()([

    )]()([

    00

    12

    20

    1

    102

    210

    where

    2

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 13

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    Valuing European I ndex OptionsWe can use the formula for an option onan asset paying a dividend yield

    Set S0= current index levelSet q= average dividend yield expectedduring the life of the option

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 14

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    Impl ied Forward Prices and

    Dividend YieldsFrom European calls and puts with the same strikeprice and time to maturity

    These formulas allow term structures of forward pricesand dividend yields to be estimated

    OTC European options are typically valued using theforward prices (Estimates of qare not then required)

    American options require the dividend yield termstructure

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 15

    0

    0 ln1)(SKepc

    TqepcKF

    rTrT

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    The Binomial Model

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 16

    S0u

    u

    S0d

    d

    S0

    f=e-rT[pfu+(1p)fd ]

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    The Binomial Model continued

    In a risk-neutral world the asset pricegrows at rqrather than at rwhen there isa dividend yield at rate q

    The probability,p, of an up movementmust therefore satisfy

    pS0u+(1p)S0d = S0e(rq)T

    so that

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 17

    p e d

    u d

    r q T

    ( )

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    Currency Options

    Currency options trade on NASDAQ OMX

    There also exists a very active over-the-counter (OTC) market

    Currency options are used bycorporations to buy insurance when theyhave an FX exposure

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 18

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    Range Forward Contracts Have the effect of ensuring that the exchange

    rate paid or received will lie within a certain range

    When currency is to be paid it involves selling aput with strikeK1and buying a call with strikeK2(withK2 >K1)

    When currency is to be received it involvesbuying a put with strikeK

    1and selling a call with

    strikeK2 Normally the price of the put equals the price of

    the call

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 19

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    Range Forward Contract continuedF igure 16.1, page 348

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 20

    Payoff

    AssetPrice

    K1 K2

    Payoff

    AssetPrice

    K1 K2

    ShortPosition

    LongPosition

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    The Foreign I nterest Rate

    We denote the foreign interest rate by rfWhen a U.S. company buys one unit of the

    foreign currency it has an investment of S0

    dollars

    The return from investing at the foreign rateis rf S0dollars

    This shows that the foreign currencyprovides a yield at rate rf

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 21

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    Valuing European Currency

    Options

    A foreign currency is an asset thatprovides a yield equal to rf

    We can use the formula for an option ona stock paying a dividend yield :

    S0 = current exchange rate

    q = r

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 22

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    Formulas for European Currency

    Options (Equations 16.11 and 16.12, page 355)

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 23

    T

    TfrrKS

    d

    T

    TfrrKS

    d

    dNeSdNKep

    dNKedNeSc

    TrrT

    rTTr

    f

    f

    )2/2()/ln(

    )2/2()/ln(where

    )()(

    )()(

    0

    2

    0

    1

    102

    210

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    Alternative Formulas (Equations 16.13 and 16.14)

    Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 8th Edition,Copyright John C. Hull 2012 24

    F S e r r Tf

    0 0( )Using

    Tdd

    T

    TKF

    d

    dNFdKNep

    dKNdNFecrT

    rT

    12

    20

    1

    102

    210

    2/)/ln(

    )]()([

    )]()([