CHAPTER 1 - QMT412.pdf

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    Learning OutcomesWhat is statistics?

    Uses of statistics

    Types of statistics Common statistical terms

    Sources of data

    Types of variables

    Scales of measurement

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    Uses of Statistics

    Education

    Predict most favouritesubject

    Predict CGPA

    Law

    Organize evidence tomake decision

    Medicine

    Effectiveness of drugs Predict diseases

    Business/Marketing

    Predict Sales

    Consumer Preferences

    Financial Trends

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    TYPES OF STATISTICS

    DESCRIPTIVE

    INFERENTI L

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    Types of STATISTICS

    DESCRIPTIVE-describe and summarize

    characteristics

    -consist collecting, organizing,

    summarizing and presentations

    of data

    Ex: percentage, mean, median

    Bar chart, pie chart, frequency

    table, box plot

    INFERENTIAL-make inference from sample

    populations

    -involve statistical tests

    -results used to make conclusion

    Ex: estimation, hypothesis testing

    (t- test, z-test, forecasting,

    regression)

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    Population and sample

    PopulationSample

    Population: consists ofALLsubjects/members/element (human or otherwise)that are being studied

    Sample : group of subjects selected from population

    Sampling frame: the LISTof population members

    Variable : characteristic or attribute of interest in a population/sample.Ex: Gender, marital status, age, weight, income

    Data : the values that can be obtained from measurements or observations

    Subject or memberor element

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    First hand data

    Collected by the investigator

    Ex: interview respondents, survey, experiment Advantage more accurate and consistent

    Able to explain how the data are collected and thelimitation used

    Disadvantage - Requires more time, manpower,high cost

    PRIMARY

    Taken from other investigators collection of figures

    Data collected from other parties Ex : Bank Negara, Statistics Department

    Advantage - 1) easily accessible from the internet,journals, books, annual report etc., 2) inexpensive, lesstime to collect

    Disadvantage - 1) lack accuracy because method ofdata collection are not explained, 2) biased originalpurpose of data collection is not known

    SECONDARY

    SOURCE OF DATA

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    Example 1

    Advance Co. has established a new service to the customerscalled a "help-line". Customers can call the help-line on any

    matter related to the company and the products. AdvanceCo. wants to investigate the effectiveness of the help-lineamong the customers who have purchased their products.The company intends to obtain a sample of 200 customers

    using the warranty cards. The warranty cards containinformation about the products purchased, the telephonenumbers and the addresses of the customers. Thecategories of products and percentage of the warrantycards in each category are as follows:

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    Categories Of Product %Of Warranty Cards

    Washing MachinesRefrigerators

    Vacuum CleanersFood Processors

    40%30%20%10%

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    Example 1questionsi) What is the populationunder study?

    ii) What is the sampling frame?

    iii) What is thevariableto be measured?

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    Example 1.solution

    i) What is the population under study?

    A: ALLcustomers who have purchased the AdvanceCo. products

    ii) What is the sampling frame?A: LISTof Advance Co. customers in warranty cards

    iii) What is the variable to be measured?A: Effectiveness of helpline

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    13

    Types of variablesVariable

    Quantitative Qualitative orcategorical (e.g.,

    make of a computer,hair color, gender)

    Continuous(e.g., length,age, height,weight, time)

    Discrete (e.g.,number of

    houses, cars,accidents)

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    Levels of Measurement

    When we observe and record a

    variable, it has characteristicsthat influence the type ofstatistical analysis that we canperform on it.

    The first step in any statisticalanalysis is to determine thelevel of measurement; it tells us

    what statistical tests can and

    cannot be performed

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    Nominal

    Ordinal

    Interval

    Ratio

    Lowestscale

    to

    highestscale

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    Nominal Scales

    Nominal: - Represent observations that can be categorized,

    do not have a meaningful numeric value

    - Examples:

    Gender Religion

    Nationality

    Favorite colour

    Number on a football jerseyNote:

    The values cannot be compared to see if one is larger than the other

    Cannot calculate the MEAN

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    Ordinal Scales Ordinal:

    Represent observations that can be categorizedand rank ordered

    The values can be compared to see if one is larger or smaller thanthe other

    Examples:

    Consumer satisfaction ratings

    Military rank Private, Lieutenant, Captain, General

    Class ranking

    Grade (A, B, C, D, E, F)

    Note: cannot assume the differences between adjacent scale values are

    equal

    cannot make this assumption even if the labels are number, notwords

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    Interval Scales

    Interval: Represent observations that can be categorized, rank

    ordered, and have an unit of measure

    An unit of measure implies that the difference between any twosuccessive values is identical

    Examples:

    - Farenheit temperature scale, shoe size

    Note:

    Can be added or subtracted (cannot be multiplied or divided) No true zero point (the value 0does not represent the

    complete absence of the variable)

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    Ratio Scales

    Ratio: Highest and most informative scale

    Observations that can be categorized, rank ordered, havean unit measureand have a true zero (an absolute zero

    point) The true zero implies that a value zero represents the

    complete absence of the variable

    Examples:

    amount of money zero money indicates the absence of money Weight, height, time

    Note: Can be multiplied or divided

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    Example 2

    Traffic offence is a growing concern at Dewan

    Bandaraya in Kuala Lumpur. A study wasconducted to determine the profile of these trafficoffenders. A researcher from this office collecteddata on the age, gender, race, types of offence, theamount of fine paid and the years of drivingexperience from a sample of traffic offenders asthey entered the building to pay their fines. The

    researcher also checked the office database toobtain the number of traffic offences by thesedrivers.

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    Example 2.cont.

    i) State the population for the above study.

    ii) Is the above study a census study or sample study?iii) Was any secondary data used for the above study?If there was, please state the data.

    iv) State the variable (s) and measurement scale fromthis study.

    v) What is the most suitable data collection method?Give ONE (1)advantage and ONE (1)disadvantage ofthis method.

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    Example 2.solution

    i) State the population for the above study.

    A: ALL the traffic offenders in K.L.

    ii) Is the above study a census study or sample study?

    A: Sample

    iii) Was any secondary data used for the above study? Ifthere was, please state the data.

    A: Yes. Number of traffic offense by the drivers

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    l l

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    Example 2.solution

    iv) State the variable(s) and measurement scale from thisstudy.

    A:

    v) What is the most suitable data collection method? Give

    ONE (1)advantage and ONE (1)disadvantage of thismethod.

    A:

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    Variable Level of measurement

    Age Ratio

    Gender Nominal

    Race Nominal

    Types of offence NominalAmount of fine paid Ratio

    Years of driving experience Ratio

    Method Advantage Disadvantage

    Personal interview Higher response

    rate

    expensive