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10/4/2016 1 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-1 Chapter 3 Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-2 Learning Objectives 1. What are the components of a modern marketing information system? 2. What are useful internal records for a marketing information system? 3. What makes up a marketing intelligence system? 4. What are some influential macroenvironment developments? 5. How can companies accurately measure and forecast demand

Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Page 1: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

10/4/2016

1

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-1

Chapter

3

Collecting

Information and

Forecasting

Demand

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-2

Learning Objectives

1. What are the components of a modern

marketing information system?

2. What are useful internal records for a marketing

information system?

3. What makes up a marketing intelligence

system?

4. What are some influential macroenvironment

developments?

5. How can companies accurately measure and

forecast demand

Page 2: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-3

Components of a

Modern Marketing

Information System (MIS)

Internal company records

Marketing intelligence activities

Marketing research

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-4

Internal records

• Internal reports of orders

• Sales

• Prices

• Costs

• Inventory levels

• Receivables

• Payables

Page 3: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-5

Marketing intelligence

• Marketing intelligence system: a set of procedures

and sources that managers use to obtain everyday

information about developments in the marketing

environment

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-6

Improving

marketing intelligence

Motivate sales force to report new developments

Motivate intermediaries to pass along intelligence

Hire external experts to collect intelligence

Network internally and externally

Set up a customer advisory panel

Take advantage of government-related data

Purchase information from outside research vendors

Collect marketing intelligence on Internet

Page 4: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Marketing Intelligence on the

internet• Independent customer goods and service

review forums

• Distributor or sales agent feedback sites

• Combo sites offering customer reviews

and expert opinions

• Customer complaint sites

• Public blogs

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-8

Communicating & Acting on Marketing

intelligence

• The competitive intelligence function

works best when it is closely coordinated

with the decision-making process

– Given the speed of the Internet, it is important

to act quickly on information gleaned online

Page 5: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-9

Analyzing the

Macroenvironment• Needs and Trends

– Fad

– Trend

– Megatrend

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-10

Identifying the

Major Forces• Six major forces in the broad environment

Natural

Technological

Political-legalSocio-cultural

Economic

Demographic

Page 6: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-11

The Demographic Environment

• Worldwide population growth

• Population age mix

• Ethnic and other markets

• Educational groups

• Household patterns

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-12

CONSUMER PSYCHOLOGY

INCOME DISTRIBUTION

INCOME, SAVINGS, DEBT, CREDIT

The Economic Environment

Page 7: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Income distribution

• Subsistence

economies

• Raw-material-

exporting

economies

• Industrializing

economies

• Industrial

economies

• Very low incomes

• Mostly low incomes

• Very low, very high

incomes

• Low, medium, high

incomes

• Mostly medium

incomes

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-14

The Sociocultural Environment

Views of

ourselves

Views of

society

Views of

nature

Views of the

universe

Views of

organizations

Views of

others

Page 8: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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The Sociocultural Environment

• Core cultural values

– Values are passed from parents to children

and reinforced by social institutions

• Subcultures

– Groups with shared values, beliefs,

preferences, and behaviors emerging from

their special life experiences or circumstances

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-16

The natural environment

• Corporate environmentalism

– Opportunities await those who can reconcile

prosperity with environmental protection

Page 9: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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The Technological Environment

Accelerating pace of change

Unlimited opportunities

for innovation

Varying R&D budgets

Increased regulation of

technological change

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-18

The Political-Legal Environment

LAWS

GOVERNMENT AGENCIES

PRESSURE GROUPS

Page 10: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Forecasting and Demand

Measurement• Market demand measures

– Potential market

– Available market

– Target market

– Penetrated market

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-20

Estimating Current Demand

• Total market potential

– Chain-ratio method

Page 11: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Estimating Current Demand

• Area market potential

– Market-buildup method

– Multiple-factor index method

Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-22

brand development index (BDI)

Table 3.5

Page 12: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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Estimating Current Demand

• Industry sales and market share

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Estimating future demand

• Survey of buyers’ intentions

– Forecasting and purchase probability scale

• Composite of sales force opinions

• Expert opinion

• Past-sales analysis

• Market-test method

Page 13: Chapter 3 - DEUkisi.deu.edu.tr/sumeyra.duman/MBA 5011 STR.MRK.MAN/PPT/Kotler_mm15e... · 10/4/2016 13 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education Ltd. 3-25. Title: Consumers Rule Author:

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