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www.peakload.org Justin Chamberlain, CPS Energy Poornima Eber, National Grid Olivia Patterson, Opinion Dynamics Tamer Rousan, Ameren Connected Devices Interest Group

Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Page 1: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Justin Chamberlain, CPS EnergyPoornima Eber, National Grid

Olivia Patterson, Opinion DynamicsTamer Rousan, Ameren

Connected DevicesInterest Group

Page 2: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Agenda• How BGE Manages Connected Devices through Operability & Offline

Processes• Combined Session: Connected Devices and a Future DSO

• Connected Devices at Arizona Public Service• DER as NWA – Evaluation and Implementation Considerations

• Solve Your EV Questions Panel

Page 3: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

How BGE Manages Connected Devices through

Inspections & Offline Process

Carley Czyzewski & Dana DeRemigisBaltimore Gas & Electric (BGE)

Senior Energy Efficiency Program Managers

Page 4: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Device Inspections: One-Way A/C Switches

Offline Process: Smart Thermostats

How BGE Manages Direct Load Control Devices to Reduce Performance Risks

Page 5: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Connected Devices: Outline• BGEs Inspection Process for

Switches, Carley Czyzewski• Overview of the Program• File Preparations • Data Analysis• Non-Operational Device List• Marketing and Vendor

Involvement• Work Order Codes• Outcomes

• BGEs Offline Process for Smart Thermostats, Dana DeRemigis

• The Issues• The Numbers• The Goals• The Process• The Resolution• The Statistics and Timeline• The Next Steps

Page 6: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Overview of BGE’s DLC Program• Started in the late 1980’s• The current program version was developed in 2008

• Supports EmPOWER MD, Public Service Commission Surcharge• Offer customers bill credits over the summer season in return for cycling their

A/C compressors during periods of peak demand• Approximately 350,000 active devices installed

• BGE owns, installs and manages these devices• Types of A/C Devices

• 163,000 Switches• 157,000 UPro thermostat• 32,000 Wi-Fi thermostats

• As of 2016, BGE is fully deployed with AMI meters• Approximately 314 MW of peak reduction• Energy Savings Days consist of PeakRewards and Smart Energy Rewards

(behavioral) programs

Page 7: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Devices• Why does BGE conduct Switch Inspections & Offline

Process?• Reduce utility performance risks• PJM charges a non-performance fee for any shortfall of committed

resources• Accurate MW reduction reporting and meeting PJM commitments• Improve cost-benefit of the program, overpaying bill credits• Overall reliability of DLC program, company owned assets

Page 8: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

• Load Forecasting & Demand Response Market Operations

• Use panel regression to determine operability rate using AMI data and Operability study results

• BGE performs A/C switch inspections to keep our Operability rate accurate

• A/C switches were selected since an appointment is not needed • 72% of the switches are ≥ 9 years old

• AMI data is used to help determine which one-way devices are not operating as expected

• This list is shared with the field inspectors for in the field testing

• Smart thermostats are tracked weekly and monthly for an offline rate

Data Analysis for A/C Switch InspectionsYear Operability Rate

(Regression & Field Inspections)

2015 86.0%

2016 88.0%

2017 85.1%

2018 86.1%

2019 82.9%

Page 9: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Data Analysis for A/C Switch Inspections• Develop a list of switches that have a high

probability of not working• From list of PeakRewards customers, keep only switches with

cycling above 0%• Remove anyone that overrode during the events• Remove net meter and keep only active accounts with Smart

Energy Rewards (behavioral)• Determine date/time of analysis • Evaluate weather conditions of event days• For each event day, read in hourly data and merge data points

Date Program Activity AC Cycling % Start Time End Time Length

July 17, 2019 SER PR-AC 50% 1:02 PM 6:00 PM 4 Hrs 58 Min25% 6:01 PM 6:30 PM 0 Hrs 29 Min

RandomOut 0% 6:30 PM 7:00 PM 0 Hrs 30 Min

July 19, 2019 SER PR-AC 50% 1:01 PM 6:01 PM 5 Hrs 0 Min25% 6:01 PM 6:30 PM 0 Hrs 29 Min

RandomOut 0% 6:30 PM 7:00 PM 0 Hrs 30 Min

Hour 17-Jul 19-Jul 17-Jul 19-Jul

10 87 89 79.9 80.711 91 91 81.6 81.712 94 92 82.7 82.513 95 93 82.8 83.014 97 94 83.4 83.715 95 95 83.5 83.816 96 97 83.9 84.517 96 96 83.9 83.818 92 95 82.1 83.619 75 95 75.25 83.320 76 92 75.25 82.021 76 90 74.96 80.6

Mean 92 95 82.0 83.8Min 75 94 75.3 83.3Max 97 97 83.9 84.5CV 9.2% 1.1% 4.1% 0.5%

DryBulb WTHI

Hours 2 pm to 7 pm

Page 10: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

• Evaluate data to develop a list of potential non-operational devices:

• Identify customers that appear to have their A/C off by reviewing the variation in whole house usage over the hour before the event, hours of event, and the hour after the event

• Identify customers that appear to have their air conditioners on and responding to the event

• The remaining customers are placed in the uncertain category• Keep only active device/premises• Determine if the customer had a new HVAC installed under

the rebate program

Data Analysis for A/C Switch Inspections

Page 11: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

After gathering the data, what’s next?• Customer Outreach Direct Mailer

1. Initial Notice – Informs the customer a technician will be on their property to inspect their a/c switch within the next 30-60 days

2. Follow up Notice – Informs the customer a technician attempted to inspect their a/c switch, but was unable to access it

3. Final Notice – Informs the customer that they need to contact BGE to schedule an appointment for an inspection within the next 30 days or they will be removed from the program

Page 12: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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• Field Personnel Inspections• Two field technicians are assigned to work switch inspections using

the uncertain list• Field Scout, hardware paging tool• Save results into system of record

After gathering the data, what’s next?

Page 13: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Page 14: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

After field inspections, what’s next?

WO Code Results Definition

Pass 48% No issues found

Failed Tampered

24% Device mounted, wiring removed, by-passed, cut, preventing load reduction

Failed New HVAC

40% HVAC/device no longer connected, device removed, left hanging or thrown away, no evidence of conduit entry points

• Work Order Results (2018)• Program Terms &

Conditions include inspection at anytime as device is owned by BGE

• Total number of A/C switches inspected 1,420

• 678 Passed• 742 Failed

Page 15: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Device Inspections: One-Way A/C Switches

Offline Process: Smart Thermostats

How BGE Manages Direct Load Control Devices to Reduce Performance Risks

Page 16: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Connected Devices: Outline• BGEs Inspection Process for Switches,

Carley Czyzewski• Overview of the Program• File Preparations • Data Analysis• Non-Operational Device List• Marketing and Vendor

Involvement• Work Order Codes• Outcomes• Financial Impacts

• BGEs Offline Process for Smart Thermostats, Dana DeRemigis

• The Issues • The Numbers• The Goals• The Process• The Resolution• The Statistics and Timeline• The Next Steps

Page 17: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Issues:

• Company owned assets (smart thermostats) installed and enrolled• Not registered or offline for an extended timeframe• Reliability of the DLC program • Accurate MW reduction reporting and PJM commitments• Cost of paying annual customer bill credits (per device)

• $50-$100• $75-$150• $100-$200

Page 18: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Numbers:

• Launched Smart Thermostat program, launched Summer 2017• June 2018 = 15,800• June 2019 = 29,600• October 2019 = 33,300

• Program Terms & Conditions at Enrollment • Must be registered and connected to home Wi-Fi

• Cycling choice and summer bill credits• 50% = $50 per summer• 75% = $75 per summer• 100% = $100 per summer

• New enrollment, first time A/C device receives double• First year bonus up to $100

Page 19: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Goal:

• Minimize the offline rate• More accurate MW reduction estimates• Lower program costs, paying for devices not online• Maintain customer satisfaction in overall program• Better reliability and operational devices• Industry accepted standard is 8-13% offline rate• BGE goal is < 5% offline rate

Page 20: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Process: Manual started June 2018 ran monthly, time consuming

1. Reviewed/Revised the Terms & Conditions2. Data points required from manufacturer’s API and Utility Dashboard

• Serial Number• Last Connected Data (Last Day the Wi-Fi was successfully connected)• Registered (True/False)

3. BGE matches the S/N with its Customer Care & Billing system (CC&B)4. Excel spreadsheet with V-Look Up formulas5. Filter data by number of days offline (not connected)

• Week 2 (W2) = 7-14 consecutive days = Email or Letter 1• Week 4 (W4) = 21-28 days = Letter 2• Week 6/Remove (W6/RMV) > 36 days = Outbound Call or Email from

[email protected]

Page 21: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Resolution: Moving from Manual to Automated Process

• Interim Week 6 Actions• Long Term offline from 36 days to over 600 days• Outbound Calls from the PeakRewards Call Center (PRCC)

• 120+ days offline included over 600 customers• 200+ days offline included over 300 customers

• Top Three Reasons customers went offline1. Thermostat replaced directly by manufacturer, S/N was not in BGE inventory2. Customer just wanted to get the free tstat, and did not want the credits3. Customer did not understand the benefits of Wi-Fi, weather, app control, etc.

• Email and Letters revised to address the call center findings• Developed process improvements with manufacturer

Page 22: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Process: Automated started June 2019 runs weekly

• Worked as IT enhancement project (Roadmap 2019)1. Dec 2018 – Jan 2019, planning and requirements gathering 2. Feb, planned reporting needs and test scripts written by IT3. Mar/Apr, fully tested4. Business team, managed emails and letters leading up to the bulk

removal in May 20195. Automated offline process, went live in June

• Weekly Reporting (Status and Enrollment)• Customer Contact saved to CC&B at each step • Letter Data (.LTR) files posted to SFTP for Email and Print Vendors• Ongoing Quality Assurance and eProof approval in process

Page 23: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats

Page 24: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats

Page 25: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Statistics & Timeline:

• 51% of Offline customers take positive action from the emails and letters

• Average of 74% of Offline customers remain in the program (month/month)

• Dollars Saved = total bill credits Not paid for offline devices

Manual Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 May-19 Jun-19Off line Rate 7.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 4.5% 4.2%Installed Devices 15,800 21,100 25,100 28,300 29,300 28,900

Off line Devices 1,165 1,315 1,625 2,180 1,320 1,200 Emails/Letter 1 85 950 170 130 650 Letter 2 700 1200 75 340 Removal Letter 710 690Dollars Saved 53,250$ 51,750$

AutomatedJul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19

Total Average

Off line Rate 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% Since July

Installed Devices 30,300 31,600 32,400 33,300 33,300 As of Oct 31

Off line Devices 1,100 1,095 1,075 1,080 1,088 Per Month

Emails/Letter 1 530 695 615 490 583 Per Month

Letter 2 300 330 325 215 293 Per Month

Removal Letter 300 315 295 220 283 Per Month

Dollars Saved 22,500$ 23,625$ 22,125$ 16,500$ 189,750$ Total

Page 26: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Managing Smart Thermostats• The Next Steps:

• Continue to monitor for outliers• Refine reporting as needed• Ongoing quality assurance standards• Continue weekly cadence• Roadmap 2020, IT Project to include Move-out Move-in rule

• MOMI stay enrolled until after 36 additional days offline • Based on pending stop/start and service start date

Page 27: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Questions

Page 28: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Possible Qs from Audience:1. How do you ensure that Customers Register their Wi-Fi Device on time? Answer:

Part of the installation service checklist and required before leaving the home. Held to this standard by quality and customer surveys.

2. How do you handle Issues caused due to CCB failing to update Un-Enroll Transaction after W6. Answer: We create a Service Request to our DR vendor to fix the issue with a SLA of 3 days or less.

3. What is the effectiveness % of Customers who take positive action on receiving the W2, W4 Emails/Letters? Answer: We are still determining the true numbers through reporting, based on the significant drop from W2 letter to the W6 removal, our estimate is that 51% of offline customers reconnect to Wi-Fi and remain in the program because of our offline process. Overall average is 74% of customers offline stay in the program

4. After the customer has been removed by offline process, can they re-enroll? Answer: Yes, they call the call center to confirm connection to Wi-Fi, CSRs have an action in Yukon platform that can “ping” the online status of the S/N. CSRs can also ask that customer sends an email with the screen shot of their S/N and status from smart phone app.

Page 29: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Combined Session: Connected Devices and a Future DSO

Moderators: Justin Chamberlain & Olivia Patterson

Page 30: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

PresentersConnected Devices

Tom Hines, APS

Judson Tillinghurst, APS

Renee Guillory, APS

DER as NWA – Evaluation and Implementation Considerations

Ralph Masiello, Quanta Technology

Farnaz Farzan, Quanta Technology

Page 31: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Arizona Public Service2019 PLMA: Connected Devices

Renée GuilloryTom Hines

Judson Tillinghast

Page 32: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

APS Overview• Company

• Serving AZ since 1886• Largest taxpayer in the state• $3.4B annual economic impact

• Customers• 1.2 million (89% residential)

• Peak Demand• 7,367 MW (2017)

• Generation Capacity• About 6,200 MW of owned or leased capacity (~8,600

MW with long term contracts)• Including 29.1% interest in Palo Verde

Generation Station, the nation’s largest carbon-free generation facility

• Transmission & Distribution• 6,186 miles of transmission lines• 11,167 miles of overhead lines and approximately

21,524 miles of underground primary cable

Page 33: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Page 34: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Arizona Resource Needs are Changing• Seasonal variation of resource needs

• Continued evening growth during high load, summer periods• Continued reduction in net load during the daytime, non-summer periods

Page 35: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Solar Overproduction• Renewable resources economically curtailed

to ensure grid stability

• Approximate renewable curtailment in CAISO• 2017: 380,000 MWH• 2018: 461,000 MWH• 2019 YTD May: 630,864 MWH

• Solutions to solar overproduction• Energy Imbalance Market• Storage• Solar + Storage• Demand response• TOU rates• Customer involvement

CAISO Wind and Solar Curtailment by Month

Page 36: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

APS is Taking Leaps Forward Towards a Clean Energy Future1. Modern Rates2. Distributed Solar3. Rewards Programs

• Storage Rewards• Reserve Rewards• Cool Rewards

Modern Rates

Rewards Programs

Distributed Solar

Page 37: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Modern Rates Benefit Customers

• Customer value for use that aligns to low-cost time periods of service

• Integration of otherwise curtailed renewable energy• Encourage customers shifting demand• Smarter use of energy to integrate more renewables• Increased opportunities in DER and DR• Opportunity to reduce carbon emissions

Modern Rates Create

•On-Peak•Off-Peak•Super Off-Peak •Demand

Modern Rates Components

Page 38: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Customers are Responding to Modern RatesResidential Summer Load Profiles

• Average residential load shape for five similar Aug. & Sept. days

• Customers shifting energy from peak to 10-3 time frame

• Peak reduction• Integration of more clean

energy to grid

Observations

Page 39: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Distributed Solar in APS Territory• Distributed solar added by year

• 2017: 151 MW• 2018: 132 MW• 2019: 120 MW Forecasted

Average System Size9 kWdc

Total Systems100,000+

Total Capacity1,100+ MWdc

#2 Utility in residential solar installed per customer (SDG&E #1)

Page 40: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Rewards ProgramsManaged DER programs have value for customers and the distribution system:

• Demand Response (Peak Reduction)• Load Shift

• Peak demand reduction• Solar sponge

• Feeder congestion relief• Voltage support• Bill savings through modern rates• Enrollment rewards for customers • Annual participation awards for the

Cool Rewards DR program

Storage Rewards Batteries

Reserve RewardsWater Heaters

Cool Rewards Thermostats

Page 41: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Storage Rewards Program• Program

• ~40 APS-owned and -operated batteries• Customer and utility share capacity

• System Benefits• Help customers shift energy usage and

manage peak demand • System peak reduction and other grid

operational benefits• Time of battery charging is modifiable

throughout year

Page 42: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Reserve Rewards Program• Program

• 230 water heaters (thermal energy storage)• Customer-owned water heaters operated by APS• Shift usage into solar production period while

maintaining customer hot water

• System Benefits• Reduce system peak• Load management for solar sponging• Installed on targeted feeders

Page 43: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Cool Rewards Program• Program

• Thermostat demand response• ~17,000 smart thermostats • Up to 20 call events during the summer months• Customers receive annual participation award• Participating customers can override events

without penalties

• System Benefits• Demand response load reductions during

system peak events• Pre-cooling shifts load into hours of high solar

production

Page 44: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

Cool Rewards – DR Event Variables to Consider• ‘No harm’ to customers on TOU/Demand Rates (3-8pm Weekday On-Peak)

• Affected protocols for when we could call events• Weekday event periods ran until 8pm to avoid causing rate impacts

• Event Variables Included:• Weekday vs. weekend event protocols• Pre-cool period vs. no pre-cool period• Standard events vs ‘Firm Load Dispatch’ events• Temperature offset of 2 vs. 3 degrees• Type of thermostat controlled (Nest vs. other brands)

Page 45: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Biggest Cool Rewards Event to Date: Sunday August 4th

20 MW &30.8 MWH

Page 46: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Firm Load Dispatch Event: Thursday August 22nd

Page 47: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Reserve Rewards Load Shift Event

Page 48: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Connected Devices:

Gimme Shelter orGimme More, More, More?

Storage Rewards

Reserve Rewards

Solar Communities

Cool Rewards

EVs

Page 49: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Questions

Page 50: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

www.peakload.org

DER as NWA

Evaluation and Implementation ConsiderationsQuanta Technology

Page 51: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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Policy Pushes for DER and Value to the Grid• Several States are Pursuing Formal Approaches

to Valuing Distributed Energy Resources (DER)• The same concept is the starting point for all

such• Attempt to identify all the values that DER can

bring• Energy cost savings.• Emissions reduction and other environmental

benefits.• Local customer level reliability / resiliency.• Avoided T&D capital and operating costs.• The avoided T&D costs are the “Value to the Grid”

and a focus of much attention.Mandate InitiativeInvestigation

Page 52: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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• Methodology through which value of DER is calculated

Methodology

• Implementing value of DER for a large volume of projects (e.g., transparency and data sharing, performance compliance for DER)

Implementation

• Utility’s incentives and earnings opportunities for administering and fostering the value of DER process

Incentives

DER Valuation

Page 53: Connected Devices Interest Group - Peak Load · Connected Devices: Outline • BGEs Inspection Process for Switches, Carley Czyzewski • Overview of the Program • File Preparations

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What to value?

Value to Distribution Grid

• Several categories of value are potentially realized from DER.

• Some value streams are associated with value to the distribution grid.

• Distribution grid value streams are much more dependent on DER location, type and time.

Consumer

• Total Energy Costs• Demand Changes• Consumer Green Lifestyle• Consumer Backup Generation

Distribution System

• Distribution Capacity• Voltage• Reliability

Transmission System • Transmission Capacity

Wholesale Energy

Markets

• Losses • Congestion Costs• Generation Energy• Ancillary Services• Resource Adequacy• RPS Procurement

Society• Societal Avoided Costs• Public Safety Avoided Costs

Environmental

• Emissions• Waste Products• Water Pollution• Siting

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Principles of DER Valuation Methodology

Efficiency: Where DERs can provide a value to the distribution grid they should be compensated for doing so:• Deferring large investments to

accommodate for changes in load or to increase renewable hosting, or to improve local reliability

Accuracy: DER should be compensated for services they provide to the distribution grid• Address different

characteristics/capabilities of different DER Technologies

• Address differences in locational and temporal value of DER

Equity and fairness: Limit impact to non-participating customers and avoid over-compensation and distorted market signals• Avoid double counting when

some sources of DER value are compensated elsewhere

• Non-participating customers should not be harmed in terms of cost or grid performance

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Spectrum of Approaches

DER is compensated by type, by circuit voltage level and by region

DER compensated based on distribution grid needs at a given

location and time

DER is planned/engineered to mitigate specific grid issues and can be compared to traditional

grid alternatives

More Generalized More Granular

The primary tradeoff when moving along the spectrum is accuracy, standardized compensation and ease of administration

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Value is Locational

56

SubstationCircuit segment

expected to see an overload

Upstream DER: Provides no value to mitigate projected overload.

Downstream DER: May be able mitigate projected overload depending

on the DER type (i.e. generation pattern).

Potential valueNo value DERDER

DERDER

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Methodology for DER Valuation

Develop forecast

Identify binding constraints

Traditional project to address constraints

Allocated Cost of Capacity (ACC)

Locational Marginal Value

(LMV)

Marginal cost of grid upgrades required to

mitigate overloads and voltage violations in

the network

Sum of the marginal value of real power, reactive

power and reserve provided by the DER at

any point in time

Traditional distribution planning stops here.

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Value is LocationalIndicates over-loaded sections

• Three regions of non-zero LMV can be formed where:

• LMV1 < LMV2 < LMV3

• Variation within each cluster is due to losses

• Difference between clusters depend on the amount of over-load on upstream sections

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Numerical Example

• IEEE 33-bus examples• Amp overload

• Branch 2-22 downstream of 1 overload• Branch 2-25 downstream of 2 overloads• Branch 2-18, 2-33 have buses that are

downstream of all 5 overloads

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Numerical Example• IEEE 33 bus examples• Undervoltage

• Low contribution of buses on 2-22 and 2-25 due to long distance

• First 5 buses of branch 2-33 can contribute to undervoltage buses

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Impact of LMV on DER FinancialsDeveloper’s perspective:• Pre-tax Project NPV

• Pre-tax Equity NPV• Pre-tax Project NPV = NPV [Market benefit + LMV payment (reliability service revenue) – OpEx – CapEx]• Pre-tax Equity NPV = NPV [Market benefit + LMV payment (reliability service revenue) – (1-debt ratio)*CapEx –

interest – Debt principal payment]

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64

Cum

mul

ativ

e CF

($M

)

Quarters

Pre-tax Project Cummulative Cash Flow (Quarterly)

WO LMV / W market benefit W LMV / W market benefit (Option 3)

LMV reduces the break-even year (from

13 years to 8 years)

Grid Service Thermal Overload

Traditional Cost $1M

DER Technology Battery Storage

DER Size 1 MW/ 3.25 MWh

DER EPC Cost 180 $/kW & 350 $/kWh

Replacement 12 Years

Traditional Cost $1M

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Impact of LMV on Developer Financial• Developer perspective:

• Pre-tax Project NPV• Pre-tax Equity NPV

• Pre-tax Project NPV = NPV [Market benefit + LMV payment (reliability service revenue) – OpEx – CapEx]

• Pre-tax Equity NPV = NPV [Market benefit + LMV payment (reliability service revenue) – (1-debt ratio)*CapEx – interest –Debt principal payment]

• Example: Thermal overload case• DER technology: Battery Energy Storage

• Size: 1MW/ 3.25 MWh

• ESS EPC Cost: 180 $/kW & 350 $/kWh

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• Traditional Solution Cost: 1 $M• Battery replacement after 12 years

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64

Cum

mul

ativ

e CF

($M

)

Quarters

Pre-tax Project Cummulative Cash Flow (Quarterly)

WO LMV / W market benefit W LMV / W market benefit (Option 3)

LMV reduces the break-even year (from

13 years to 8 years)

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Compensation Structure & Procurement

• Fair:• Charges and credits to be

allocated to the right parties

• Accurate:• Compensates right resource

for the right service at the right time and location

• Efficient:• Encourages and guarantees

participation of right resources for needed services

63

“Philosophical” Questions:• Choice of Timeframe for Cost of

Capacity Allocation• Lumpiness of Distribution

Capacity Upgrade• Granularity of Payment with

respect to Time and Location• DER Deployment

Compensation Structure Elements:• Compensation Mechanism;

e.g., Tariff vs. Auction• Existing vs. New DER• Penalty for Non-Compliance

Guiding Principles Design Considerations

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Monitoring and Performance

64

DER performance evaluation is key in:• Payments for service(s) offered as well as

compliance determination.• Building up knowledge base for future projects.• Providing feedback for planning process,

compensation design and procurement.

Performance test before allowing the resource to offer certain services:• Test procedure• Acceptable test score

On-going performance evaluation for each service offering• Data measurements and reporting should

support this.

Monitoring Performance

• NWA planning/implementation should consider monitoring and performance requirements.

• More than validation of DER installation and capacity as part of interconnection process will be required.

• Dispatchable DER requires some degree of monitoring and control.

• Role of third party aggregators to increase practicality.

• Coordination with ISO/RTO if necessary.

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Revenue Margin• Multiple communications alternatives considered: MPLS, 4G LTE, Secure VPN, Secure Gateway

• More expensive communication alternatives disadvantage smaller resources• Leveraging existing internet connections and equipment may be the only cost effective solution for smaller

resources

• Less expensive options exist but trade-offs should be understood and evaluated• Security, granularity requirements, etc

• Level of security requirements should be reviewed depending on resource size and market criticality

Scenario Name T1/MPLS 4G LTE Secure VPN Secure Gateway8 KW Residential-Revenue meter -1323.15% 8.10% 56.60% 23.42%8 KW Residential-Embedded meter -1310.38% 20.87% 69.37% 36.18%20 KW Small Business-Revenue meter -469.26% 63.24% 82.64% 69.37%20 KW Small Business-Embedded meter -464.15% 68.35% 87.75% 74.47%250 KW Parking garage/no internet-revenue meter 54.46% 97.06% 92.48% 91.42%250 KW Parking garage/no internet-embedded meter 54.87% 97.47% 92.89% 91.83%250 KW Parking garage/internet-revenue meter 54.46% 97.06% 98.61% 97.55%250 KW Parking garage/internet-embedded meter 54.87% 97.47% 99.02% 97.96%500 KW Big Box-Revenue meter 77.23% 98.53% 99.31% 98.77%500 KW Big Box-Embedded meter 77.43% 98.73% 99.51% 98.98%

1

2

3A

3B

4

Revenue Margin* Percentage Comparison-Redundant Configurations

*Net revenue margin compared to Locational-Based Marginal Pricing and expected revenue based on resource size

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Settlement & Compliance

66

• Failure to perform when called on has to result in penalties:

– Financial penalty– Claw back of incentives– Exclusion from future

payments/operations until the underlying performance problems are rectified.

• It is important for contractual agreements to be specific about responsibilities under different circumstances.

• Formal procedures for dispute resolution should be established.

Settlements Penalties

• Arrangements with aggregators/integrators vs. individual resources.

• Pay for performance mechanisms to encourage/compensate desired performance.

• Capacity performance mechanisms to incentivize resources that overperform.

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Culture Change NeededTransparency

Trust

Accountability

Review

Independent Determination

Forecasts and Planned Costs are Estimates

Only

Responsible for Forecast Errors

and Cost Overruns

Performance Base Rates

Methodology Assumptions Forecasts Plans NWA Decisions

Outcomes Only

Assumptions & Forecasts

Grid Needs & Planned Projects

Planning & Customer Data

Cost to Beat

Utilities and Regulators Operate on This Arc Today

per RMI

The RMI Playbook Moves to This Arc

Opaqueness

Distrust

No Accountability

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Solve Your EV Questions Panel

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PanelistsEric Mallia, FleetCarma

Chris Ashley, EnergyHub

Daniel Carr, Alectra Utilities

Wayne Callendar, CPS Energy

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Closing Notes• Evaluation Forms

• Interesting Future Topics?• Feedback

• Third Member of the Connected Devices Team

• THANK YOU!