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Ozone assimilation to improve UV- index and AQHI regional forecast at Environment Canada J. de Grandpré, Y. Rochon and R. Ménard Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet) AQMAS (S. Gravel) , ARMA (G. Deblonde, L. Fillion), RPN (M. Charron, P. Vaillancourt), CMDA (G. Verner)

Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

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Ozone assimilation to improve UV-index and AQHI regional forecast at Environment Canada J. de Grandpr é, Y. Rochon and R. M é nard. Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet) AQMAS (S. Gravel) , ARMA (G. Deblonde, L. Fillion), - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Ozone assimilation to improve UV-index and AQHI regional forecast at Environment Canada

J. de Grandpré, Y. Rochon and R. Ménard

Contributors:ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)AQMAS (S. Gravel) , ARMA (G. Deblonde, L. Fillion), RPN (M. Charron, P. Vaillancourt), CMDA (G. Verner)

Page 2: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Variational chemical data assimilation at EC slide 2 9 December 2011

Outline

• Motivation

• Global system components– Stratospheric chemical modelling

– Chemical measurements

– 3D-FGAT variational assimilation

– Experiments and evaluation

• Nesting approach

• Impact on UV-index and AQHI forecasts

Page 3: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)
Page 4: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Linearized Stratospheric chemistry (LINOZ)(McLinden et al., 2000)

)()(

)()(

)()(

)( 33

3

oo

oo

o

o

o

o

oocc

c

LPTT

T

LPqq

q

LPLP

dt

dq

q : Ozone mixing ratio

cO3 : Column ozone

T : Temperature

P-L : Photochemical tendency

(O) : Climatological values

No heterogeneous chemistry

3oc

Page 5: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Variational chemical data assimilation at EC slide 5 9 December 2011

Sample ozone observation distributionTangent point orbit tracks for a 6 hour period

(centered about 0 UTC) on 25 July 2008

584

5502

Total column amounts

Thinning: 1 degree separation

Day only cloud free points

20 partial column layers with ~5 layers in the troposphere

~3.2 km layers

Day only

Page 6: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Global deterministic meteorological and chemical analysis and forecasting system

48 hr Forecast 48 hr Forecast 48 hr Forecast

Page 7: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Variational chemical data assimilation at EC slide 7 9 December 2011

Evaluation

• Control cycle: Meteorological assimilation + prognostic ozone (winter and summer cycles)

• Ozone assimilation cycles:

(Use of 6 hrs met analyses + 3D-Var ozone assimilation)

– SBUV/2 – GOME-2

• Evaluation of ozone analyses and forecast against ozonesondes below 10 hPa

Page 8: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

July 2008

No Assimilation

SBUV/2

Jan-Feb, 2009

SH

O-A

EQ

NH

Ozone (%)

Page 9: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

July, 2008 (WOUDC)

SBUV/2 - WOUDC SBUV/2 & GOME2 [Against OMI]

LINOZ - WOUDC

Page 10: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

GEM-MACH Upper Boundary Nesting

• Pilot files (meteo and chem) : [GEM-Global]

• GEM-MACH lid : [.1hPa 10 hPa]

• GEM4-based version (Staggered Grid)

Schematic of nesting (dark grey) and blending (light grey) zones used for UBN implementation. Recent GEM versions use Charney-Phillips vertical staggering with momentum levels dashed and thermodynamic levels solid lines. (Courtesy of R. McTaggart – Cowan)

Page 11: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Variational chemical data assimilation at EC slide 11 9 December 2011

Benefits of the new system

• Improvment of the AQHI forecast

• Delivering of global ozone analyses– Improve radiative heating in the global NWP system

– Use for temperature retrieval

– Research application

• UV-index Forecast

Page 12: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Variational chemical data assimilation at EC slide 12 9 December 2011

Sample ozone observation distributionTangent point orbit tracks for a 6 hour period

(centered about 0 UTC) on 25 July 2008

1748584

5502

Total column amounts

Thinning: 1 degree separation

Day only cloud free points

165-300 km along track

~ 2.5 km in the vertical

(NRT: 0.2 to 68 hPa)

20 usable partial column layers with ~5 ‘no-impact’ tropo. layers

~3.2 km layers

Day only

Page 13: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

July 2008

Ozonesondes

No Assimilation (dashed)

SBUV/2 assim (dashed)

Jan-Feb, 2009

SH SH

EQ EQ

NH NH

Ozone Profiles (Pa)

Page 14: Contributors: ARQI (C. McLinden, V. Fioletov, M. Moran, V. Bouchet)

Variational chemical data assimilation at EC slide 14 9 December 2011