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COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview San Diego Regional Building Authority Lease Revenue Refunding Bonds (County Operations Center), Series 2016A

COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

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Page 1: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

COUNTY OF SAN DIEGOCredit Overview

San Diego Regional Building Authority

Lease Revenue Refunding Bonds

(County Operations Center), Series 2016A

Page 2: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

County Team

PRESENTERS

Don Steuer, Assistant Chief Administrative Officer /

Chief Operating Officer

Tracy Sandoval, Deputy Chief Administrative

Officer / Auditor & Controller

Dan McAllister, Treasurer-Tax Collector

April Heinze, Acting Deputy Chief Administrative

Officer / Director, General Services

Joan Pan, Debt Finance Manager

ADDITIONAL RESOURCES

Antoinette Chandler, Chief Deputy Treasurer

Brian Ruehle, Deputy Controller

Ebony Shelton, Financial Policy and Planning

Director

Damien Quinn, Finance and General Government

Group Finance Director

Tom Fincher, Chief, Strategic Planning, General

Services

Rob Castetter, Chief Investment Officer

Michele Crichlow, Debt and Capital Finance Officer

Nicole Temple, Financial Policy and Planning Officer

Michelle Issa, Public Resources Advisory Group,

County Financial Advisor

2

Page 3: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Outline

1 Strong Fiscal Management at the County of San Diego

2 Diverse and Stable Regional Economy

3 Strong Financial Performance

4 Retirement Update

5 Lease Revenue Refunding Bonds (County Operations Center), Series 2016A

6 Conclusion

3

Page 4: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Strong Fiscal Management at the County of San Diego

4

Page 5: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Strong Fiscal Management is a Fundamental Credit Strength

County has an established commitment to fiscal discipline while maintaining operational excellence

Very strong reserves and cash balances

Capital projects funded through pay-go and limited debt issuance

- Current five year Capital Improvement Needs Assessment includes $407 million for 25 active projects, only one of which uses debt financing

Early payment of debt whenever possible

- Prepayment of $9.9 million of 2005 North and East Justice Facilities Refunding Certificates of Participation in November 2015 reduced annual debt service by $2.7 million

Ongoing analysis and active management of pension and OPEB obligations with a long-term view

Strong institutionalized financial management reflects the County’s commitment to maintaining its “legacy of fiscal stability”

5

Page 6: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Institutionalized Financial Policies

Good Government Package

- On December 15, 2015, the Board strengthened its policies and practices regarding long-term financial planning and management

- Board Policy B-65: Management of long-term financial obligations expanded to provide guidance on all long-term financial planning activities

- Board Policy B-71: Management of fund balance and reserves approved as an Ordinance

Other County Policies

- Use of one-time revenues for one-time purposes only

- Capital Facilities and Space Planning, Use of Capital Program Funds

- Debt Advisory Committee, Post-issuance compliance, refunding, and swap policies

- Risk Overview Committee, Disclosure controls and procedures

- Treasury Oversight Committee, Investment Policy, Investment Manual

6

Page 7: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Disciplined Financial Practices

Ongoing financial planning procedures promote long-term credit strength

Five-Year Financial Forecast

Five-Year Capital Improvement Needs Assessment

Two-Year Operational Plan

Quarterly Status Reports and Cash Flows

Recognition of outstanding financial and operational practices

State Controller ’s Award for Achieving Excellence in Financial Reporting

GFOA Certificate of Achievement for Excellence in Financial Reporting for both County and Investment Pool CAFR

GFOA Distinguished Budget Presentation Award

43 National Association of Counties Awards for 2015

2015 Design Build Institute of America National Award of Excellence for the Waterfront Park

San Diego County Taxpayers Association Grand Golden Watchdog Award

7

Page 8: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

General Fund Balances Consistently High

Over the past five years, General Fund balance has grown 35.4%

Fiscal Year 2014-15 General Fund balance was over 53% of General Fund revenues

$1,394$1,488

$1,601$1,732

$1,888

44.0% 45.3% 47.7%50.3%

53.8%

0.00%

25.00%

50.00%

75.00%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

($ m

illio

ns)

County of San Diego

General Fund Balance as a % of Revenues

General Fund Fund Balance Fund Balance as a % of Revenue

8

Page 9: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Diverse and Stable Regional Economy

9

Page 10: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Growing Population

San Diego County’s population has grown 6.8% between 2010 and

2015, following an upward trend from 3.1 million in 2010 to a projected

3.31 million in 20151

Source: (1) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

10

Page 11: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Employment Outlook

In November 2015, San Diego’s unemployment rate of 4.8% was below

the State’s rate of 5.7% and the national rate of 5.0%1

The region had the 6th highest employment growth rate (3.56%) in the

U.S. from July 2014 to July 2015, adding 47,800 jobs (43,500 in private

sector)2

11

Sources: (1) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2) San Diego Regional EDC

Page 12: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Top San Diego Employers

San Diego is home to a diverse group of world class institutions,

corporations, and recreational facilities

12

Source: San Diego Sourcebook and California EDD

Page 13: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Regional Economic Development

In 2014, the median household income was $63,996, a 1.5% increase from $63,069 in 2010. Median Income for nonfamily households also grew 0.52% from $43,022 in 2010 to $43,245 in 20141

San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2

Foreclosures in San Diego have remained much lower than the U.S. average at 1.61 homes for every 10,000, compared to the U.S. average of 4.013

13

Sources: (1) U.S. Census Bureau (2) California Association of Realtors (3) San Diego Regional EDC

Page 14: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Positive Economic Outlook

University of San Diego’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) incorporates the national economy and the following in San Diego County: building permits, initial unemployment claims, the San Diego Stock Exchange Index, consumer confidence and help wanted advertising

The LEI declined 1.7% in 3Q 2015 (+ 1.1% in 3Q 2014)

- Despite the decline, consumer confidence increased for the second month in a row in October 2015 by 0.44% and the rate of decline in the LEI has shown signs of slowing

14

Source: USD Burnham-Moores Center for Real Estate

Page 15: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Secured Tax Collection

98.78%

98.39%

98.00%

97.17%

96.14%96.31%

97.17%

98.13%

98.49%

98.91%99.10% 99.15%

95%

96%

97%

98%

99%

100%

2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

% Taxes Collected

15

Page 16: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Strong Financial Performance

16

Page 17: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

FY 2015-16 Financial Highlights

Successful labor negotiations with 6 unions through Fiscal Year 2017-18

- Includes phased elimination of employer offset of employee retirement costs and one-time monetary payments to employees

Total budget $5.41 billion; increase of 6.5% or $330.5 million from Fiscal Year 2014-15

- Assumes no General Fund growth from redevelopment dissolution

Cash funded capital program (combination of one-time and ongoing revenues), major projects include:

- $54.9 million for the Sheriff’s Crime Lab

- $50.6 million for the Regional Communications System Upgrade and Site Acquisition

- $10.0 million for the Multiple Species Conservation Program (MSCP)

- $16.4 million for various County park improvements

AV growth budgeted at 4.0% with actual growth at 5.6%

$1.1 billion General Purpose Revenue, increase of 5.1% or $52.8 million from Fiscal Year 2014-15

$198.7 million of fund balance assigned to fund one-time projects

17

Page 18: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

History of Strong Financial Performance

(in millions) FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 (2) FY 2013-14 FY 2014-15

Projected Year-End Unassigned Fund Balance (1) $582.2 $600.4 $683.6 $720.3

Actual Year-End Unassigned Fund Balance $663.1 $644.5 $713.0 $798.1

Difference $80.9 $44.1 $29.4 $77.8

18

(1) As of third quarter for all years

(2) GASB classification of fund balance included as a budgetary resource in the subsequent year’s budget reflected as Assigned Fund Balance beginning

in 2013

Page 19: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

General Fund FY 2015-16 Status Update

First Quarter Status Update (in millions)

Unassigned Fund Balance as of June 30, 2015 $798.1

Less: Subsequent Uses Approved by Board of Supervisors (7.3)

First Quarter Projection of FY 2015-16 Budgetary Fund Balance 108.2

Projected Unassigned Fund Balance for June 30, 2016(1) $899.0

19

(1) Unassigned fund balance includes the $100 million economic uncertainty reserve; does not reflect amounts to be included as a subsequent year

budget resource

Page 20: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

General Fund Balance Continues to Grow

Fund Balance

FY 2011-12

$ million / % of FB

FY 2012-13

$ million / % of FB

FY 2013-14

$ million / % of FB

FY 2014-15

$ million / % of FB

Nonspendable $12.5 0.8% $12.3 0.8% $12.3 0.7% $13.4 0.7%

Restricted 245.7 16.5% 295.3 18.4% 296.5 17.1% 269.3 14.3%

Committed 515.2 34.6% 464.8 29.0% 492.2 28.4% 479.0 25.4%

Assigned (1) 51.3 3.5% 184.5 11.5% 217.6 12.6% 328.6 17.4%

Unassigned (2) 663.1 44.6% 644.5 40.3% 713.1 41.2% 798.1 42.2%

TOTAL $1,487.8 $1,601.4 $1,731.7 $1,888.4

20

(1) GASB classification of fund balance included as a budgetary resource in the subsequent year’s budget reflected as Assigned Fund Balance beginning

in 2013. For fiscal year ended 2012, the amount of fund balance to be used for subsequent one-time expenditures was $112,912, and is included in

Unassigned fund balance

(2) Unassigned fund balance includes the $100 million economic uncertainty reserve

Page 21: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Looking Ahead to FY 2016-17

Assessed valuation anticipated to grow 3%

Governor’s January budget

Retirement and Other Post Employment Benefits

21

Page 22: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Retirement Update

22

Page 23: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

SDCERA Update

New Executive Team

- David Wescoe, Chief Executive Officer

- Greg Bych, Chief Financial Officer

- Stephen C. Sexauer, Chief Investment Officer

- Elaine Regan, Chief Legal Officer

Investment Management

- Association Board transitioned to internal investment management of the SDCERA Portfolio in 2015

- Association Board reviewed and revised the asset allocation plan and Investment Policy Statement in November 2015 Elimination of the use of total portfolio leverage and the use of Risk Parity as a core investment

strategy

Introduction of the use of low-cost index funds

Ongoing active review of the Assumed Rate of Return within the context of these changes

- The next experience study, which will provide demographic and economic assumptions, will be conducted in 2016

23

Page 24: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Employer Contributions

County has exceeded annual required contributions to retirement obligations

- $135.6 million in the past 10 years

- Prepayment of $264 million of pension obligation bonds

Active monitoring of SDCERA actions that will impact County contributions

- Assumed rate of return lowered from 7.75% to 7.50% in September 2015

- Next triennial experience study to be presented to SDCERA Board in 2016 with information

through June 30, 2015

$0

$200

$400

$600

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22

($ m

illio

ns)

Employer Contributions: Historical and Projected

Actual Projected 7.25% Projected 7.50%

24

Sources: Segal consulting, Actuarial valuation report for years reported including Fiscal Year 2015-16 and 2016-17

Projections assume a market return of 7.50% or 7.25% for valuations as of June 30, 2016 and later, which impacts Fiscal Year 2017-18 and later

Projections do not assume changes to demographic assumptions

Page 25: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

SDCERA Funding Status

25

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

($ m

illio

ns)

Valuation Year

Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability

(UAAL)

7.25% Assumed Rate of Return

7.50% Assumed Rate of Return

Actual

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Valuation Year

Funded Ratio

7.25% Assumed Rate of Return

7.50% Assumed Rate of Return

Actual

Sources: Segal Consulting; actuarial valuation report for years reported

Projections assume a market return of 7.50% or 7.25% for valuations as of June 30, 2016 and later

Projections do not assume changes to demographic assumptions

Page 26: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Limited Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB) Obligations

Effective July 1, 2007, SDCERA limited health insurance allowance to Tier I and

Tier II retirees, a closed group of 5,424 employees

Post retirement healthcare benefits are not a vested benefit

OPEB contributions have been and will continue to be funded at the full ARC

of $20.0 million

As of the latest valuation, the OPEB UAAL is $164.4 million or 6% of the $2.5

billion pension UAAL*

26

* UAAL reflects amounts attributable to all participating agencies; OPEB UAAL is as of June 30, 2014 and Pension UAAL is as of June 30, 2015

Page 27: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Lease Revenue Refunding Bonds(County Operations Center), Series 2016A

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Page 28: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Refunding Plan

SERIES 2009A BONDS

Par Amount:$136,885,000 – Original

$120,215,000 – Outstanding at Refunding

Coupon Structure: 100% fixed rate

Final Maturity: February 1, 2036

First Optional Call

Date:February 1, 2019

Annual Lease

Payment:

• Made by July 5th of each fiscal year

(for upcoming August 1 and February

1 payment dates)

• $9.9 million average annual debt

service

Reserve Fund:

• Cash funded

• Requirement based on standard IRS

three-part test (currently Maximum

Annual Debt Service)

Summary:Proceeds used to help fund improvements

at the County Operations Center

SERIES 2016A BONDS *

Par Amount: $109,610,000

Coupon Structure: 100% fixed rate

Final Maturity: October 15, 2035

First Optional Call

Date:October 15, 2025

Annual Lease

Payment:

• Made by July 5th of each fiscal year (for

upcoming October 15 and April 15

payment dates)

• $8.7 million average annual debt

service

Reserve Fund:

• Cash funded

• Requirement based on lesser of 50% of

Maximum Annual Debt Service or

standard IRS three-part test

Summary:Proceeds to advance refund all outstanding

Series 2009A Bonds

28

* Preliminary and subject to change

Page 29: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Sources and Uses *

SOURCES

Bond Proceeds

Par $109,610,000

Premium 19,117,871

Other Sources

Reserve Fund Release 9,878,906

$138,606,777

USES

Refunding Escrow $133,523,255

Reserve Fund 4,354,562

Cost of Issuance 400,000

Underwriter’s Discount 328,830

Additional Proceeds 129.70

$138,606,777

29

* Preliminary and subject to change

Page 30: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Anticipated Savings*

30

* Preliminary and subject to change

$1,000

$1,100

$1,200

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

FY17

FY18

FY19

FY20

FY21

FY22

FY23

FY24

FY25

FY26

FY27

FY28

FY29

FY30

FY31

FY32

FY33

FY34

FY35

FY36

Savi

ng

s (0

00s)

Annual L

ease

Paym

ent

(000s)

ANNUAL DEBT SERVICE COMPARISON

Prior (2009A) Debt Service Proposed (2016A) Debt Service Savings

Anticipated Savings Refunding Policy Targets

Average annual cash flow savings $1,171,054 $100,000

Net present value (NPV) savings $14,067,865 $1,000,000

NPV Savings % of Refunded Bonds 11.7% 4.0%

Final Maturity 10/15/2035 2/1/2036

Page 31: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Leased Asset: County Operations Center

Campus refresh began in 2007 with funded projects

anticipated to be substantially complete in 2018

35.5-acre campus home to

- 20 County departments

- 3,160 County staff

Refresh consolidated and streamlined County

operations

Central location provides services to San Diego

County residents

- Permitting

- Voting

- Library services

- Public safety services

31

Page 32: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Leased Asset: County Operations Center

Campus facilities include:

- 4 office buildings

- Medical Examiner facility

- Registrar of Voters

- Chambers and Common Area

- Parking Structure

- Under construction: Crime Lab, Fleet Facility

Designed for sustainability and long term

efficiency

- LEED Gold and Platinum certification

Designed for continuity of operations in power

emergencies

32

Page 33: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

County Operations Center Overview

33

Page 34: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Financing Schedule

34

Week of January 18 - Rating presentations

Week of February 1- Receive ratings

- Post Preliminary Official Statement

Week of February 8 - Sell 2016A Bonds

Week of March 7- Close

- Receive proceeds to fund Escrow Fund

Page 35: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

Conclusion

35

Page 36: COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO Credit Overview · San Diego’s median single family home price for November 2015 is $554,440, a 12.8% increase year-over-year2 Foreclosures in San Diego have

County Continues its Commitment to Fiscal Stability

Strong fiscal management is a fundamental credit strength of the County of San Diego

Demonstrated commitment to fiscal discipline while maintaining operational excellence

Active and conservative planning produces consistently high reserves and cash balances throughout economic cycles

Capital projects funded through pay-go and limited debt issuance

Early retirement of debt whenever possible

Active approach to addressing unfunded pension liabilities and limited OPEB liability

Large and diverse tax base and economy

Strong institutionalized financial management practices ensure ongoing fiscal stability and reflects the County’s commitment to maintaining its “legacy of fiscal stability”

36