DA Elections 3 Week 25

8/14/2019 DA Elections 3 Week 25

1/25

WNDI 2008 1Elections DA 3 Week

Elections DA 3 Week

Elections DA 3 Week .....................................................................................................................1

Uniqueness McCain Win Polls ................................................................................................2

Uniqueness Obama Lose Voters ............................................................................................3Uniqueness Obama Lose Terrorism ......................................................................................4

Uniqueness Obama Win Polls ................................................................................................5

Obama good Troop Withdrawal ...............................................................................................6

Troop withdrawal Decreased spending ..................................................................................7Obama good Iraqi Civil War .....................................................................................................8

Iraqi Civil War Spills Over ..........................................................................................................9

Obama good Soft power ...........................................................................................................10

Obama good Hegemony 1/2 ......................................................................................................11

Obama good Hegemony ..........................................................................................................12

Obama good Iran Diplomacy ..................................................................................................13

Obama Good Iran-Israel Conflict ...........................................................................................14

Obama Good Iran-Israel Conflict ...........................................................................................15

Obama good US-Latin America relations ...............................................................................16

Obama good US-French Relations .........................................................................................17

Obama Good Nuclear Power ...................................................................................................18

Obama bad Hegemony .............................................................................................................19

Obama bad Alternative energy ................................................................................................20

McCain good Global Warming ...............................................................................................21

McCain Good Healthcare ........................................................................................................22

McCain Good Economy ...........................................................................................................23

McCain Bad US-NK Relations ................................................................................................24

McCain Bad Iran Attack ..........................................................................................................25


2/25


Uniqueness McCain Win PollsYes McCain Polls

Lightman, David (staff writer). Kansas City Times Foreign tour gives Obama no lasting bounce in polls

July 31st, 2008 < http://www.kansascity.com/445/story/728329.html>"It's almost like McCain and Obama are generic Republican and Democratic candidates," Newport said."American presidential races are pretty well structured," he said, and even in November, most people tend tovote with the same parties they've backed for years.Third, the Obama trip was a vivid reminder toRepublicans that the Illinois senator is poised to run a strong, energetic campaign, so they had better mobilizequickly.Gallup's daily polls measure registered voters. But Gallup also reports on the mood of "likely"voters - generally those who are paying more attention to the race - and last Friday through Sunday,

they gave McCain a 49-45 percent edge.

The Gallup Poll Shows McCain is Ahead

The EconomistThe Big Bellwether Battlefield July 31st, 2008

BARACK OBAMA is doing everything he can to make it look as if the election is a mere formality, andadoring media types are keen to play along. Yet the latest USA Today-Gallup poll puts John McCain fourpoints ahead, while the RealClearPolitics average of polls gives Mr Obama a meagre two-and-a-half-point

lead. Optimistic Republicans recall that Michael Dukakis was 17 points ahead of George Bush senior inthe summer of 1988, and still lost. So there is plenty of evidence to suggest that this election, like theprevious two, could boil down to a tight race settled by close results in a handful of swing states. Ohio isthe quintessential battleground state. Bill Clinton won it by some of the narrowest of his margins for any bigstatejust two points in 1992 and six in 1996. In 2004 George Bush won Ohio, with its precious 20 of the270 electoral college votes needed to secure the presidency, by a mere 118,600 votes. Had 60,000 Ohioansgone the other way, John Kerry would have been president
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/


3/25


4/25


5/25


6/25


Obama good Troop Withdrawal

Obamas timetable plan for the withdrawal of troops from Iraq will end the war in 2009

Farah, Stockman. Staff Writer. 3/8/08. The Boston Globe.Obama stance on Iraq shows evolving view;Senator saw `obligation' in '04 to success of state. Lexis.WASHINGTON - In July of 2004, the day after his speech at the Democratic convention catapulted him into the national spotlight,Barack Obama told a

group of reporters in Boston that the United States had an "absolute obligation" to remain in Iraq long enough to make it a success."The failure of the Iraqi state would be a disaster," he said at a lunch sponsored by the Christian ScienceMonitor, according to an audiotape of the session. "It would dishonor the 900-plus men and women whohave already died. ... It would be a betrayal of the promise that we made to the Iraqi people, and itwould be hugely destabilizing from a national security perspective ."The statements are consistent withothersObama made at the time, emphasizing the need to stabilize Iraq despite his opposition to the USinvasion. But they also represent perhaps his most forceful language in depicting withdrawal from crisis-ridden Iraq as a betrayal of the Iraqi people and a risk to national security .Obama spoke outpassionately against the war in 2002 as an Illinois state senator, while many in Congress were silent. But histhinking on how to resolve the crisis in Iraq evolved. During his 2004 Senate race, he supported keepingtroops in Iraq to stabilize the country. But starting in 2005, as violence engulfed the country, he grewincreasingly disillusioned. Now,Obama's views about the war have become a campaign issue, as HillaryClinton - who voted for the war's authorization - has questioned whetherObama has been consistent inopposing the war. Her husband, Bill, saidObama's depiction of his longstanding opposition to the war was a"fairy tale." And yesterday, news of anObama adviser's comments that his promise to withdraw troops within16 months represented only a "best-case scenario" further fanned questions about his Iraq views.Yesterday,Obama struck back, declaring that Clinton "doesn't have any standing to question my position on this issue."And he added that, "I will bring this war to an end in 2009 , so don't be confused." In 2004, while supporting theDemocratic presidential nominee, John F. Kerry,Obama endorsed Kerry's view that the United States had too much at stake in Iraq to withdraw at that time.Since joining the Senate in 2005, Obama has taken incrementally tougher positions on Iraq, even as he sought to hear from a wide variety of voices aboutwhat should be done there, according to aides, advisers, and transcripts of his speeches. In November of 2005, after it had become clear that US troops faceda raging insurgency,Obama argued in a speech before the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations that the US military should scale down its presence, butthat US troops were "still part of the solution" in Iraq."We have to manage our exit in a responsible way," he told the council, "at the very least taking carenot to plunge the country into an even deeper and perhaps irreparable crisis." In January of 2006, Obama took his first trip to Iraq, staying two days, andwhile there he heard conflicting views on whether US troops should stay or go.He expressed frustration with the failure of Iraqi leaders to resolve keydisputes, telling reporters that "if we have not seen significant progress over the next few months, we need to have an honest conversation with Iraqis as to

what our investment is." But 2006 unfolded as a year of sectarian bloodshed, deepening Obama's conviction that theUS effort was being squandered. He began to call for a timetable for the withdrawal of US troops. By thattime, the call was far from unusual, however; other senators had called for a phased withdrawal earlier."The

notion that the United States can't be more committed to the future of Iraq than Iraqis became much more of the prominent view" among Democrats andeven some Republicans in 2006, said Rand Beers, a former foreign policy adviser to Kerry.By November of that year, voters across the nation expressed anger over Iraq, handing control of Congress to Democrats. A month later, the Iraq StudyGroup recommended reducing US military support for Iraq's government if its leaders failed to make progress on achieving political agreements.An author of that report, Benjamin Rhodes, later joinedObama's campaign as a foreign policy adviser, andObama adopted some of the group's language inhis 2007 bill calling for all combat brigades to be withdrawn by March of 2008. As Obama mulled a presidential run, he began to reach out to a series ofmilitary leaders, including those who did not agree with him on Iraq. When Richard Danzig, a former Navy secretary, organized two meetings forObamawith retired military officers, Danzig asked whether he should invite officers who opposedObama's views. The answer was yes, Danzig recalled."One of the attractive things aboutObama is the desire to get a range of views and process them himself rather than get a homogenized product or excludepeople who aren't in sympathy with him," Danzig said. In a separate meeting,Obama asked General Anthony Zinni, a critic of the war effort, what should

be done in Iraq. Zinni told him: "I don't think you can abandon Iraq. The region is too important." Despite those views,Obama's foreignpolicy advisory team began working on a detailed plan for bringing US troops home and managing thepotential humanitarian crisis that could follow.Obama's campaign set up a working group on Iraq, headed by Colin Kahl, a securitystudies professor at Georgetown University. In July 2007,Obama's top advisers and Iraq specialists, including Kahl, produced a memo that shaped Obama'score Iraq views, made public in a Sept. 12 speech: to bring home one to two combat brigades each month, with all brigades out in 16 months, and keep onlya small number of troops in Iraq to protect US diplomats and launch limited, targeted strikes on Al Qaeda. But this week,Obama adviser Samantha Powercaused a stir when she told BBC's "Hard Talk" thatObama "will revisit" the plan when he becomes president. "You can't make a commitment in March of2008 about what circumstances are going to be like in January 2009," said Power, who resigned from the campaign yesterday over separate comments

insulting Clinton. "He will, of course, not rely upon some plan that he has crafted as a presidential candidate or a US senator. He will rely upon anoperational plan that he pulls together in consultation with people on the ground."Obama insisted yesterday he would stick to hisplan. But Walter Russell Mead, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, said voters should expectObama's views on the war to shift.
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7/25


Troop withdrawal Decreased spendingPulling troops out of Iraq will decrease overall governmental spending

Veronique, de Rugy. Senior fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University.2/6/08. LosAngeles Times. Billions and billions dig a deeper hole. Lexis.But it gets worse. Of Bush's $987.6 billion in discretionary spending, more than half -- $515.4 billion --would go to the Pentagon, but that doesn't include any war funding. To be sure, the president did request$75.8 billion in emergency funding, of which $70 billion is targeted for the war in Iraq and fightingterrorism, with the remainder going toward hurricane relief for the Gulf Coast. However, because thisamount received an emergency designation, it is not included in the deficit projections.That war spendingfigure is totally inaccurate, by the way. It does not include enough money to fight the wars for more

than a few months in 2009. If recent history is any indication, the war budgeting is off by $70 billion to$140 billion. In 2007, we spent more than $190 billion on the wars. In 2008, Bush has requested about

$200 billion, of which only $100 billion was appropriated and included in the deficit projections for the

year. It is unlikely that the cost of the war for 2009 will suddenly drop to $70 billion . And that's true even if theUnited States withdraws some of its troops from Iraq. After six continuous years of war in Afghanistan and Iraq, U.S. military equipment is wearing out fast.

The Pentagon is focused on recapitalizing, and these spending requests will be sent to Congress in emergency bills for many years to come, including 2009.Not to worry, though. The president's projections show the budget running a surplus of $48 billion by fiscal 2012. That fantastical figure includes some rosyassumptions -- that the Democrats in Congress enact Bush's proposal to trim the growth of Medicare and Medicaid by $195.7 billion over five years; that the

alternativeminimum tax is allowed to hit more taxpayers after the 2008 tax year; and that the wars in Iraqand Afghanistan are not funded beyond fiscal 2009. Even if all that came true, the White House should befocusing on reducing the size of government, not just reducing overspending. The $3.1-trillion fiscal 2009 budget proposalrepresents Bush's last chance to establish his legacy. Unfortunately, it will be one of massive deficit spending that will be paid for by generations to come.


8/25


Obama good Iraqi Civil War

Obamas timetable plan for the withdrawal of troops from Iraq will prevent an Iraqi civil

war

BBC. 3/24/07. BBC Monitoring Asia Pacific. Iraqi vice-president in Japan warns against quick US pullout.

Lexis.Tokyo, March 24 Kyodo - Intensifying discussion by US media and lawmakers on when US troops shouldwithdraw from Iraq may lead to deterioration of the already troubled situation in the country, visiting

Iraqi Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi warned Saturday. Speaking in a press conference, al-Hashimi said apullout will not come until the Iraqi forces get ready to take over the security jobs, and that an

immediate withdrawal with short notice could only lead to "chaos." "The timetable needed for theAmerican forces or the British forces to withdraw from Iraq should be...acomprehensive plan needed toreform our national armed forces," al-Hashimi said at the Japan Press Club. "If this plan needs one year,two years, (then) within this time limit the American troops and British troops should train...our nationalarmed forces," he said. He also referred to the need to "amend" the ongoing reconstruction projects in orderto raise truly united, patriotic and well-trained troops in Iraq. "After that, there should be no need foranybody (foreign forces) to stay" on Iraqi territory, al-Hashimi said, adding, "I'm not asking for animmediate withdrawal." He said he has been reading US media reports, expressing concerns about somelawmakers pushing the White House to be quick to withdraw from Iraq. He warned such a move will notbenefit the interests of the United States or other Western countries, nor those of Iraq. An immediatewithdrawal would create a "security vacuum in Iraq," which is "not going to be filled by troops which

are not trained enough," he said. "This could lead to chaos. And this chaos could lead to a civil war. Sowe have to be very careful on this."


9/25


Iraqi Civil War Spills Over

Iraqi civil war between Sunnis and Shiites produces radicalization of peoples, mass

movements of populations, and regime changes influencing other key Middle Eastern

nations

Stephen Farrell, Nicholas Blanford. 12/9/06. Weekend Australian. War chaos bursts over border. Lexis.The conflict between Sunni and Shia is bleeding across Iraq's frontiers , report Stephen Farrell andNicholas BlanfordTHE language was stark. Iraq's slide towards chaos could spark ''a broader regionalwar'', according to the blue-chip panel reporting to US President George W. Bush this week. There was arisk of ''regional conflagration'', said Robert Gates, the incoming Pentagon chief, the day before.Yet even as these dire warnings were being delivered in measured tones by Washington's wise men, there aredisturbing signs the Sunni-Shia violence is already bleeding across Iraq's borders.If the sectarian strife spreads, the Iraq Study Group cautioned, neighbouring countries face instability asthe two Muslim sects vie to protect their spheres of influence. ''Ambassadors from neighbouringcountries told us they fear the distinct possibility of Sunni-Shia clashes across the Islamic world,'' wrotethe group, led by James Baker and Lee Hamilton. Their alert may have been buried deep in the 100-pagereport. But it is page one, paragraph one of neighbouring regimes' concerns, as the report recognised: ''Sucha broader sectarian conflict could open a Pandora's box of problems -- including the radicalisation of

peoples, mass movements of populations and regime changes -- that could take decades to play out.''For Ahmad Mahmoud, it did not take decades. The 20-year-old's face now stares from mourning postersplastered on his two-storey home in Beirut. A Shi'ite, he lived in the mainly Sunni neighbourhood of TarekJdeide. Mahmoud was shot dead on Sunday during street clashes in the area between Sunnis and Shi'ites.The sectarian tensions behind Mahmoud's death are being played out across the Middle East, wherebroader suspicions and hostilities have led to a riot in Damascus, a knife fight between pupils and cruel barbsin schools in Amman. In Syria and Jordan -- both Sunni countries -- there is rising anger at the dailyslaughter of their brethren in Iraq, which is beamed into their homes by satellite television. Many blameShia Iran for stoking the conflict. Many regimes fear that al-Qa'ida's brand of Sunni militancy willspread after thousands of young Arabs who fought with the insurgents in Iraq return home, emboldened totake on their leaders. King Abdullah II of Jordan has talked of a ''Shia crescent'' from Iran to Lebanon, andlast weekcautioned that the region could end up with three civil wars: in Lebanon, Iraq and Palestine.''Iran is now connected to all the conflicts in the region in Iraq, in Lebanon and in Palestine, and is nowthe main address you have to go through for solving all these conflicts ,'' a senior Jordanian official said.

Iran ''is operating through its allies in Iraq, and through Hezbollah and Hamas'' in Beirut andPalestine, he said. ''It is engaging with marginalised Shia communities in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain andKuwait to turn them into arrows that can challenge their Government's legitimacy and authority.''There are fears among Sunni regimes that Tehran is distracting US efforts to curb its nuclear ambitions by

using its oil wealth and regional proxies to foster trouble across the region . Another cause forinstability is the more than one million Iraqis who have fled into Syria and Jordan . In June, a fatalquarrel between a Syrian and an Iraqi refugee triggered rioting in Geramana, an Iraqi-majority suburb southof Damascus. Since the Iraqi exodus began, Geramana's population has nearly doubled, driving up rents andprices. Iranian influence is increasingly being felt across Syria. And there is growing tension in Jordan,where Mustafa Hamid, a 15-year-old Iraqi asylum-seeker, was attacked with a knife in Amman in October. ''Iwas going to school when 10 boys came up to me and said 'Come here Iraqi Shia, you helped the Americanscapture Saddam Hussein','' he said. Moderate states such as Jordan are alarmed by the anti-Western alliancesparked by the Iraq war -- grouping Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, Hamas and other players. Some fear it is a

bid by a resurgent Shia community inspired by Iran to alter the sectarian balance of power at the expense ofthe Sunnis. They are irritated at overtures by the US toward Damascus and Tehran, fearing this will be at theexpense of Washington's traditional regional allies such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Jordan.


10/25


Obama good Soft power

Obama key to soft powerChina Post. 3/6/08. China Post. MCCAIN TO GET THE CONSENT OF TAIWAN SCHOLARS. Lexis.

On the other hand, University of Maryland Professor Thomas Schaller explained that Sen. BarackObama could become part of America's new "soft power," as approval of U.S. policies worldwide has

been declining in recent years. "Soft power" is a term used in international relations theory to describehow an authority, such as a state, could influence the behavior or interests of other political entities throughcultural or ideological means, rather than economic or military ones.

Obama key to sustaining U.S. soft powerBaum, Los Angeles Times 7/16/08 Europe Awaits Obama with open armshttp://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-fg-eurovisit16-2008jul16,0,2643448.story,

From prime ministers to college students, Europeans want to cloakBarack Obama in a warm embracewhen he arrives on the continent next week. But they're also aware that anything that looks or smells likeelitist Old Europe could hurt the Democratic contender with voters back home. Obama has yet to finalize hisitinerary for Europe. However, he is already set to skip Brussels, the capital of the modern united continent,for the traditional symbols of economic and military power: London, Paris and Berlin. All those Europeancapitals' leaders have expressed a willingness to adapt their schedules to see the American politician

whose sky-high approval ratings in their countries are at least as good as their own. Polls reveal that if

they could vote in the United States, between 53% and 72% of the British, French and German public

would pull the lever for Obama. "If Britons elected American presidents, Barack Obama would have noworries," began an editorial in the left-wing British newspaper, the Guardian. Yet the editorial alsorecognized that his popularity in Europe would not help at home: "To be seen as Europe's pet is the last thinga presidential candidate needs -- especially one who wants to shed his elitist image with white working-classAmerican voters."
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11/25


Obama good Hegemony 1/2

Obama will restore US leadership by improving relations with Germany, Indonesia, Egypt,

Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, Columbia, and Russia

Kevin, Sullivan. 6/5/08. Washington Post. Overseas, Excitement Over Obama. Lexis.

LONDON, June 4 -- For much of the world, Sen. Barack Obama's victory in the Democratic primarieswas a moment to admire the United States at a time when the nation's image abroad has been seriouslydamaged. From hundreds of supporters crowded around televisions in rural Kenya, Obama's ancestral homeland, to jubilant Britonswriting "WE DID IT!" on the Brits for Barack discussion board on Facebook, people celebrated what they called an important racial andgenerational milestone for the United States."This is close to a miracle. I was certain that some things will not happen in my lifetime,"said Sunila Patel, 62, a widow encountered on the streets of New Delhi. "A black president of the U.S. will mean that there will be moreAmerican tolerance for people around the world who are different."The primary race generated unprecedented interest outside theUnited States, much of it a reflection of a desire for change from the policies ofPresident Bush, who surveys show is deeply unpopulararound the globe. At the same time, many people abroad seemed impressed -- sometimes even shocked -- by the wide-open nature ofU.S. democracy, and the history-making race between a woman and a black man."The primaries showed that the U.S. is actually thenation we had believed it to be, a place that is open-minded enough to have a woman or an African American as its president," saidMinoru Morita, a Tokyo political analyst.While Sen. Hillary Rodham Clintonhas admirers, especially from her days as first lady,interviews on four continents suggested that Obama is the candidate who has most captured the world's imagination."Obama is the exciting image of what we always hoped America was," said Robin Niblett, director of Chatham House, a British foreign

policy institute. "We have immensely enjoyed the ride and can't wait for the next phase." The presumptive Republican nominee, Sen.John McCain, who has extensive overseas experience, is known and respected in much of the world. Interviews suggested that McCainis more popular than Obama in countries such asIsrael, where McCain is particularly admired for his hard line againstIran."Although no one will admit it, Israeli leaders are worried about Obama," said Eytan Gilboa, a political scientist at Bar-Ilan Universityin Israel. "The feeling is that this is the time to be tough in foreign policy toward the Middle East, and he's going to be soft."InChina, leaders are widely believed to be wary that a Democratic administration might put up barriers to Chinese exports to the United

States. But elsewhere, people were praising Obama, 46, whose emphasis on using the Internet helpedmake him better known in more nations than perhaps any U.S. primary candidate in history .In Kenya, Obama's victory was greeted with unvarnished glee. In Kisumu, close to the home of Obama's late father, hundreds crowdedaround televisions Wednesday morning to watch Obama's victory speech, chanting "Obama tosha!" -- "Obama is enough!""I can't express the joy in me," declared Sarah Obama, the senator's grandmother, at her home. "I'm only praying for more success in thecoming days." Sam Onyango, a water vendor in Kisumu, said that "Obama's victory means I might one day get to America and share the

dreams I have always heard about. He will open doors for us there in the spirit of African brotherhood." Obama also has strong

support in Europe, the heartland of anti-Bush sentiment. "Germany is Obama country," said KarstenVoight, the German government's coordinator for German-North American cooperation. "He seems tostrike a chord with average Germans," who see him as a transformational figure likeJohn F. KennedyorMartin Luther King Jr.His father's journey to America as an immigrant resonates with many foreigners

who hope to make the same trip. Many people interviewed said that although the candidate's living inIndonesia for several years as a child doesn't qualify as foreign policy credentials, it may give him a moreinstinctive feel for the plight of the developing world."He's African, he's an immigrant family; he has adifferent style. It's just the way he looks -- he seems kind," said Nagy Kayed, 30, a student at the AmericanUniversity in Cairo.For many, Obama's skin color is deeply symbolic. As the son of an African and awhite woman from Kansas, Obama has the brownish "everyman" skin color shared by hundreds of millionsof people. "He looks like Egyptians. You can walk in the streets and find people who really look like him,"said Manar el-Shorbagi, a specialist in U.S. political affairs at the Cairo university.In many nations,Obama's youth and color also represent a welcome generational and stylistic change for America. "It

could help to reduce anti-U.S. sentiment and even turn it around," said Kim Sung-ho, a political scienceprofessor at Yonsei University in Seoul.In terms of foreign policy, Obama's stated willingness to meetand talk with the leaders of Iran, Syria and other nations largely shunned by Bush has been praised andcriticized overseas. In Israel, Gilboa said, Obama's openness to the meetings has contributed to a sense that his Middle East policiesare too soft. When a leader ofHamas, the Palestinian organization that the United States and Israel call a terrorist group, expressed a

preference for Obama earlier this year, many Israelis were turned off even more. Many people in Israel said they preferred Clinton, whois well regarded because of her support for the Jewish state in the Senate and her husband's pro-Israel stance during his

presidency.Obama's candidacy has generated suspicion among Palestinians as well. Ali Jarbawi, a political scientist at the West Bank'sBir Zeit University, said that even if Obama appears to be evenhanded in his approach to the Middle East, he would never take on the

pro-Israel lobby in Washington. "The minute that Obama takes office, if he takes office, all his aides in the White House will startworking on his reelection," Jarbawi said. "Do you think Obama would risk his reelection because of us?" InIraq, views on Obama'svictory were mixed. Salah al-Obaidi, chief spokesman forMoqtada al-Sadr, the Shiite Muslim cleric who opposes the presence of U.S.troops in Iraq, said the Sadr movement favors having a Democrat in the White House on grounds that McCain would largely continueBush's policies. But in Samarra, a Sunni stronghold north of Baghdad, Omar Shakir, 58, a political analyst, said he hoped McCain would

win the election and combat the influence of Shiite-dominated Iran. In Iran, government officials have taken no officialposition on the race. But "the majority of Iranians feel that the Democrats support what they want: amajor and drastic change in relations with the U.S. So for them the coming of Obama would be a good

omen," said Davoud Hermidas Bavand, professor of U.S.-Iranian relations at Allameh Tabatabai
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12/25


Obama good Hegemony

continuedUniversity .In Latin America, Obama's recent declaration that he would meet withPresidents Hugo Chvez ofVenezuela and Ral Castro ofCuba has been widely welcomed as a break

from Bush policy. Obama, though, has declared that he is not a Chvez admirer. He recently voiced strong support for Colombiain its fight against its main rebel group, which Colombian officials say receives sanctuary from Chvez. Although Colombian officials

worry that Obama will not support a free trade agreement with their country, Obama strikes a chord with ordinaryColombians because of deep resentments toward the Bush administration's policies, including the Iraqwar. "My number one wish is that Bush be gone," said Salud Hernndez, a popular radio pundit in Bogota.An Obama presidency, she said, would be "a positive turnbecause of what Bush represented to the world." Noteveryone has been riveted by the U.S. election. Interviews suggested that the Chinese public, absorbed by the recentearthquake in Sichuan province and preparations for the Beijing Olympics in August, paid little attention. And Russianshave proved supremely indifferent; one poll earlier this year found that only 5 percent said they were closely watchingthe race. Of 40 people approached Wednesday on the streets of Moscow, only five had any opinion on the race or knew

who was running.Still, some Russians hope that a new American president will improve strainedrelations between Washington and Moscow. "Barack Obama looks like the candidate that can be

expected to take the greatest strides towardsRussia," Konstantin Kosachev, a member of parliament,wrote in the newspaper Kommersant. "Unlike McCain he's not infected with any Cold War phobias."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Hugo+Chavez?tid=informlinehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Hugo+Chavez?tid=informlinehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/venezuela.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/venezuela.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Raul+Castro?tid=informlinehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Raul+Castro?tid=informlinehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/cuba.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/cuba.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/russia.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/russia.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/russia.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Hugo+Chavez?tid=informlinehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/venezuela.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/related/topic/Raul+Castro?tid=informlinehttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/cuba.html?nav=elhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/countries/russia.html?nav=el


13/25


Obama good Iran Diplomacy

Obama has an open negotiation policy with countries like Iran that pose a threat to the US

ROBERT, FARLEY. Staff Writer. 5/23/08. St. Petersburg Times (Florida). IRAN APEX OF WORD WAR.Lexis.

HIGHLIGHT:John McCain characterizes Barack Obama's positions accurately - up to a point. If the flurry ofback-and-forth comments between Sens.John McCain andBarack Obama is any indication, the issue of whether to meet with theleaders of rogue governments may shape up to be one of the defining issues of the presidential campaign.

It all started with a question during a CNN/YouTube debate on July 24, 2007. "Would you be willing to meet separately,without precondition, during the first year of your administration, in Washington or anywhere else,

with the leaders of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba and North Korea, in order to bridge the gap that

divides our countries?" "I would," Obama said. "And the reason is this, that the notion that somehownot talking to countries is punishment to them - which has been the guiding diplomatic principle of this

administration - is ridiculous." In recent weeks, McCain has seized on that position to attack Obama as naive and reckless.We examined McCain's characterization that "Sen. Obama has declared, and repeatedly reaffirmed hisintention to meet the president of Iran without any preconditions ." WhileObama has repeatedly saidhe would meet with enemy leaders, McCain's comments single out the Iranian president, MahmoudAhmadinejad, who is well-known for his anti-America, anti-Israel rhetoric. A top Obama adviser recentlytold CNN thatObama only promised he'd meet with the appropriate Iranian leadership, not necessarily the

politically toxic Ahmadinejad. We found that in the context ofseveral interviews, Obama clearly did countAhmadinejad among those with whom he would meet. We rule McCain's statement to be True. We alsochecked a statement in which McCain chastised Obama for minimizing Iran's threat."Sen. Obama claimed that the threat Iran poses toour security is 'tiny' compared to the threat once posed by the former Soviet Union," McCain said before the National RestaurantAssociation in Chicago on Monday. "Obviously, Iran isn't a superpower and doesn't possess the military power the Soviet Union had."

He went on to say that Iran "might not be a superpower, but the threat the government of Iran poses is anything but 'tiny.'" Here'swhatObama did say: "Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, these countries are tiny compared to the Soviet Union.They don't pose a serious threat to us the way the Soviet Union posed a threat to us. And yet we were

willing to talk to the Soviet Union at the time when they were saying we're going to wipe you off the

planet." While McCain starts off accurately quotingObama, he takes liberties when he drops the comparison to the Soviet Union andclaimsObama simply characterized Iran as a "tiny" or "insignificant" threat. Obama has consistently called Iran a "grave" threat, as hedid again after McCain made his comments. We rule this McCain statement to be False.In a speech in Billings, Mont., on Monday,

Obama wondered what McCain was afraid of."Demanding that a country meets all your conditions before youmeet with them, that's not a strategy; it's just naive, wishful thinking. I'm not afraid that we'll lose

some propaganda fight with a dictator."
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14/25


Obama Good Iran-Israel Conflict

Good diplomacy with countries like Iran will ultimately benefit the US and Iran and stop

Iranian threats to Israel, the nuclear issue, and their human rights violations

Trudy, Rubin. Columnist. 3/2/08. The Philadelphia Inquirer. Worldview: Balancing diplomacy and force;Obama's approach to dictators is off, but his idea is on point. Lexis.

At some point in this presidential campaign we may have a real debate on foreign policy differences between the parties.

That hasn't yet happened. The candidates have sparred about experience. They have clashed on Iraq. Butthey're still dancing around the most central question: How do you balance force and diplomacy when tryingto keep America safe? Nothing illustrates the need for clarity more than the jousting over whetherAmerica should talk directly to the likes ofRal Castro or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. In a July debatesponsored by CNN and YouTube, Sen. Barack Obama was asked if he would talk without preconditionsto leaders of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba and North Korea. He famously responded, "I would."

President Bush andSen. John McCain have taken Obama to task on this one, as has Hilary Rodham Clinton.I, too, have questioned the smarts of such a gesture. But the real issue isn't whether the next president shouldsup with unpleasant leaders. It's whether the United States should talk without preconditions to countrieswith which we're at odds. Communing with Castro or Ahmadinejad makes sense only after addressinggrievances at lower levels. Holding summit meetings prematurely can hinder progress by raising falseexpectations. "Having your picture taken with a tyrant such asRal Castro lends . . . the status of our country

to him,"President Bush said Thursday. It could also "discourage reformers inside their own country," thepresident added. That said, the Bush policy of avoiding diplomacy in favor of military solutions has been afailure. Late in the day, the president seems to have been convinced that diplomacy is central to dealing withIran and North Korea. But in the Iranian case, the diplomacy has been so hedged and halfhearted that it hasgone nowhere. So, whileObama's readiness to meet dictators betrays inexperience, the essence of his(and Clinton's) position is the right one. America's security, and the U.S. military's newcounterinsurgency theory, will rely heavily on diplomacy and political maneuvers in the future, backedup by force only if unavoidable. On this most central of issues, Clinton has it right, and Obama grasps theessence. Bush and McCain have it dead wrong. Take Cuba. The point isn't, or shouldn't be, whether to hold ameeting withRal Castro. It's whether it still makes sense to isolate and sanction Cuba. This policy, longafter the Cold War's end, is dumb, a product of pandering to a segment of Florida voters. If Bush would junkU.S. sanctions, Americans would flood into Cuba and its people would be exposed to new ideas andprospects. Bush and McCain support a policy that kept Fidel Castro in power for decades and will keep his

brother in power, too. Or take Iran. Here, too, proposing direct talks with Ahmadinejad is a mistake. TheIranian president heads the hardest-line faction in Tehran, and shows little interest in better U.S.-Iranianrelations. Iranians would regard such a summit as vindication for his anti-American and anti-Israel policies.Such a summit would undercut the more pragmatic factions in Iran. The parallel here is not Nixon's going toChina. When Richard Nixon met Chinese leaders, both sides were already committed to renewing relationsas a hedge against Soviet power. In Tehran, there is still an internal power struggle over whether to engagefully with the Great Satan. So any U.S. diplomacy must be smart. However, Obama was right when he said:"The notion that not talking to countries is punishment for them, which has been the guidingdiplomatic principle of this administration, is ridiculous." America's wars in Iraq and Afghanistanhave immeasurably strengthened Iran by eliminating its two key enemies, the Afghan Taliban and

Saddam Hussein, and by putting a friendly Shiite government in power in Baghdad. To exit Iraq, the

United States must involve Iran in serious regional negotiations with all of Iraq's neighbors. This won'thappen so long as Iran's top leaders still suspect America wants to topple their regime. The next U.S.president needs to propose that America and Iran compile an agenda of their key concerns and discuss

them without preconditions. Iran's threats to Israel, the nuclear issue, and Iranian human rights

violations would all be on that agenda. The aim would be to develop a new relationship that met the

interests of both sides. Such a proposal would galvanize the pragmatists in the Iranian government.

"We have key leverage with Iran," says Iran expert Trita Parsi, author of Treacherous Alliance: The SecretDealings of Israel, Iran, and the United States, "because Iran recognizes they can't get their legitimaterole in the Middle East without U.S. buy-in." Obama's tactics may betray inexperience, but he - andClinton - grasp the need to revamp U.S. policy toward Iran and Cuba. For all their "experience," Bush andMcCain are glued to policies that have failed.
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DA Elections 3 Week 25