Daily Trade Journal - 04.04.2013

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  • 7/28/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 04.04.2013

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    p

    p

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    38.1

    17.3

    5.5

    1,204.1

    1,186.9

    Thursday, April 04, 2013

    797.6

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    38.0

    1,647.5

    0.44 %

    0.42 %

    2,206.8

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 25.09

    + 13.74

    5,753.56

    3,319.01

    ASPI 2.0%

    7.6%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 04.04.2013Bank push bourse further up: The ASPI which was

    rather volatile during the 1st half hour of trade

    adopted an uptrend during the rest of the day

    gaining 25 points to close at 5753.56. Turnover shot

    up following the deal in Nations Trust Bank which

    contributed 69% of turnover. Commercial Bank,

    Ceylon Tobacco, DFCC and Dialog weightedheavily on the positive trend of the index. With blue

    chips in the front run S&P SL20 saw a similar pattern

    gaining 14 points.Nations Trust Bank Overshadowed turnover:Nations

    Trust Bank led the turnover with 2 crossings

    accounting for 18.9mn shares or 8.2% stake

    changed hands at LKR59.0 which was noted to be

    a foreign to foreign deal. On-board trading on the

    counter was also high with 1.1mn shares trading as

    the counter closed at LKR60.5.

    BFI sector continue to dominate trading: Banks

    continued to be the highlight of the day with 52-

    week high prices being recorded Union Bank

    (+6.2%), National Development Bank (+0.2%) and

    DFCC (+2.9%) while further strong buying was

    noted in Sampath Bank(+0.4%), Commercial Bank

    (+1.6%) and Pan Asia Bank (+6.1%). All counters

    ended in the green with strong gains during the

    day.Active Retail Interest: Retail investors seemed to

    have grown in confidence entering the banking

    sector on a strong note. Most smaller banks

    generated considerable retail interest during the

    day.

    Bullish rally on banks

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 05.04.2013

    9.26

    10.25

    11.35

    13.77

    Inflation (%) Mar-13 7.5

    8.8

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index p

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance p

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified q

    Healthcare p

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property p

    Manufacturing q

    Plantation q

    Telecom q

    -0.64%

    2.1

    629.0

    -33.8

    13,120.3

    % Change

    0.44%2.1

    -94.74%

    15.5

    0.54%

    0.19%

    1.14%

    -0.44%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    0.08%

    102.30%

    88.69%

    -151.14%

    595.2

    2,197.2

    21.7

    -19.22%

    -19.22%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    2,039.5

    16.1

    0.49%

    0.23%

    0.44%

    Today

    17.3

    2.1

    1,186.9

    15.5

    5,753.6

    0.42%

    2,206.8

    2.3

    1,204.1

    76.95%

    76.95%74.68%

    0.44%

    13.038.0

    229

    3,319.0

    931.1

    7.4

    228

    1,647.5

    0.44%

    228.79%

    3009.87%

    Week ending

    0.11%

    -77.43%

    0.88%

    0.08%

    0.77%

    0.31%

    227

    2,205.1

    5,735.7

    3,293.6

    168.2

    0.08%

    0.00%

    366.2

    38.2

    328.1

    Change %

    5,728.5

    3,305.3

    2.3

    0.44% 15.5

    Pre Day

    13,227.4

    16,085.6

    1,895.4

    3,318.6

    472.3

    0.76%

    2,695.8

    1,888.9

    1.31%

    0.05%

    1.66%

    -0.16%

    2,654.8

    16,057.7

    476.1

    170.8 169.8-0.06%170.7

    2.3

    2,573.5

    16,094.4

    2,698.9

    1,892.5

    13,292.6

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 04.04.2013

    Today

    -36.44

    597.6 583.3 2.45% 581.7 2.73%

    787.0 793.9 -0.87% 788.7 -0.21%

    2,590.0

    3,306.3

    0.38%

    3,343.9

    474.1

    -0.19%2,578.5

    5550

    5600

    5650

    5700

    5750

    5800

    Index

    ASPI

    3150

    3200

    3250

    3300

    3350

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    200.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    NATIONS TRUST

    SAMPATH

    UNION BANK

    NAT. DEV. BANK

    COMMERCIAL BANK

    Most Active

    Close

    248.20

    785.70

    247.00

    795.00

    162.00

    119.80

    705.70

    9.10

    Volume (mn)

    53.7%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    3.1%

    1,183,991,843

    47,174,062

    37,094,721

    92,217,721

    67,501,264

    0.65

    0.40

    0.34

    0.1% 1,552,144

    1,183,991,843

    4.2%

    20.50

    172.00

    111.50

    MERCHANT BANK 18.40

    UNION BANK 20.50

    % Change

    CIFL

    TOKYO CEMENT 22.20

    0.78

    20.04

    3.35

    23.10

    0.39%229.70

    3.35

    0.270.17%

    0.64

    2.37%

    6.22%

    10.84%

    2.1%

    1.7%

    3.1%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    13,878,189

    1.55%

    2.50

    67,501,264

    13,920,482

    67.88

    KALAMAZOO

    PALM GARDEN HOTL

    Pre Day

    2.37%59.10 53.7%20.04

    Volume (mn)% Change

    19.88%

    + 0.60 27.27%

    60.50

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    140.00

    0.6%

    0.6%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    151.00

    5.44

    0.36

    109.00

    55.00

    151.00

    43.00

    92,217.72

    71.50

    230.60

    161.00

    43.50

    705.40

    70.00

    10.70

    825.00

    TodayCompany

    151.80

    DUNAMIS CAPITAL

    90.10

    730.17

    0.5670.84

    6.98

    143.97

    687.47

    3.29

    Today

    12.07%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    80.6033.33%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    37,094.72

    414.93

    293.71

    1.14

    770.00

    26,420.95

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    248.50

    2.25

    135.00

    228.00

    119.70

    162.10

    43.80

    9.00

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 106,544

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 1,001

    1.7%

    20,0606,052

    339

    9.6%

    6.7%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.9%

    3.3%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    2.52

    1,720.00

    111.50

    283.81

    0.12

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 119.80

    2.2% 5.03

    14.60

    162.40

    8,926.4410,415.49

    70.6882.47

    440.00

    708.00

    9.10

    1,721.40

    111.50

    445.001,750.00

    881.75

    635.54

    3.9%

    2.2%

    1.2%

    204

    75,641

    5,440

    2,370

    4.2%

    163.90

    56.50

    3.4%

    163.00

    55.00

    440.20

    3.6%

    230.60

    6.22%

    1.7%

    2.3%

    Change

    - 8.80

    - 8.90

    - 1.00

    - 75.00

    % Change

    231.00

    171.70

    109.80

    19.30

    PARAGON

    + 435.30

    MIRAMAR

    70.80

    139.90

    Volume

    209.20

    -4.00%

    -3.90%

    336,465

    8,573.15

    45.46

    406 318.46

    1.4%

    Change

    0.40

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    2.40

    Today Pre Day

    59.10

    19.30

    16.60

    + 0.10

    DISTILLERIES

    61,572

    400,579

    NATIONS TRUST 60.50

    Company

    3,901

    7,474

    300

    CEYLON LEATHER [W 0014]

    S M B LEASING [X]

    Company Today

    1.5%

    TRADE FINANCE

    CEYLON LEATHER [W 0013] 2.70 + 0.80 42.11% CEYLON PRINTERS 811.00 - 439.00 -35.12%

    -8.33%

    -8.55%

    -9.84%

    -8.99%

    13.00

    2,625.40

    2.80

    + 1.40

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar Ceylon Grain Elevators PLC

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    q

    q

    p

    q

    p

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) p

    Crude Oil (WTI) p

    ICE Cotton #2 q

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    00-Jan-00

    23-05-2013

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    89.05

    Price

    107.19

    94.55

    USD/bbl.

    101.96

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    191.09

    0.14

    0.00 0

    15-05-2013

    126.30

    0.0033.68

    Malaysia

    3.99

    132.29

    20.37

    2.32

    1.36

    40.99

    India

    Currency

    162.21

    Indicative Rate

    04.04.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,418.2

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    0.05

    -30.3

    0

    2,668.1

    133.58

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.29

    USA

    02:28

    3.8

    1/0/1900

    Change

    1.12%

    272.3

    04:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    06:45

    06:45

    -0.03%

    06:45

    Company

    07:05

    06:44

    06:51

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    06:58

    06:58

    Time*

    06:45

    -0.20%

    Change %

    -0.32%

    -0.12%

    0.13%

    0.05%

    2.20%

    -0.14%

    -0.54%

    -16.6

    Change

    -0.29%-0.22

    0

    0.02

    Change %

    332.55

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.08

    694.25

    -0.80

    26.74

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    12,634.5

    Value

    14,550.4

    1,553.7

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -3.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    22,337.5

    Units

    0

    26.7

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    -0.76%

    -1.05%

    -111.7

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,544.30 -9.60

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    Aitken Spence Plantation Managements Limited- Introduction: The CSEhas approved, in-principle, an Application submitted by the above Company, for

    the listing of its Ordinary Voting Shares on the Diri Savi Board of the CSE.

    21,300,000 Ordinary Voting Shares of the Company will be listed by way of an

    Introduction. The said Application was received by the CSE prior to thediscontinuation of Introductions as a method of listing by way of SEC Directive

    dated 2nd March 2012, which Directive is effective from April 2012. The

    Ordinary Voting Shares will be granted a listing on or before the 3rd market day

    upon receipt of the Declaration from the Company.

    Touchwood Investments [TWOD: LKR5.6]: Mrs. Jamburegoda Gamachchige Swarna Maloney was appointedas Vice Chairperson of TWOD w.e.f 2

    ndApril 2013. Mr. Charles Nazerias Jeffry Ebert was appointed as CEO

    w.e.f 4th

    April 2013.

    Kegalle Plantations [KGAL: LKR112.4]: R P C Plantation Management Services Private Limited has purchased242k shares of the company at a total consideration of LKR27,439,142 on the 2

    nd

    of April 2013.Consequently, the Group shareholding in KGAL has increased to 74.06%.

    Nation Lanka Finance [CSF: LKR9.0]: Mr. P D Charith S Amarasekara has been appointed as CEO w.e.f 1stApril 2013.

    Local News

    Banks cut gold exposure on possible price crash: possible global gold price crash as predicted by certainanalysts, either this year or next year, has prompted Sri Lankan banks to take a more cautious approach in

    carrying out pawning businesses. The market leader in pawning business, state-owned Peoples Bank, whichhas pawning advances amounting to as much as 40% of the total loans and advances, has already taken

    measures to minimize its exposure to a possible gold price crash in view of the falling international prices. In

    anticipation of possible global price decline, we have brought down our pawning advances to around 35%

    (from the total advances) and we are daily monitoring the situation as a control measure. We no more

    encourage gold-backed loans as we did before, Peoples Bank Deputy General Manager Retail Banking

    G.P.R. Jayasinghe said. As of September 30, 2012, the total outstanding pawning advances of the bank stood

    at a staggering Rs.190 billion, even bigger than the total balance sheets of some smaller banks.

    [Source: www.dailymirror.lk]

    Capital market to contribute USD50 bn to GDP by 2016: The capital market is expected to contribute USD50 bn for the countrys GDP by year 2016, therefore the Stock Brokers should be geared to handle the

    highest number of deposits in the future, Director General Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) Dr

    Nalaka Godahewa said. Sri Lankas GDP would be USD100 bn by 2016, out of which 50% should contribute

    from the capital market. Therefore, each stock broker should be geared to manage many retail accountsDr

    Godahewa said. He said that right now the countrys total GDP was USD60 bn and the capital markets

    contribution to the GDP was only 30%. There are more than 220,000, accounts in the Capital Depository

    System, he said. At present the country has 29 stock brokering companies, each company should be geared

    to manage at least 20,000 retail deposits. Therefore all stakeholders should work together to make a vibrant

    stock market to achieve that target. To popularize the capital market education aspect plays a pivotal role

    because our present market is a speculative market than the research base market, he said.

    [Source: www.dailynews.lk]

    Malaysian Airlines adds frequencies to Colombo: Malaysian airlines in a bid to meet the growing passengerdemand have added two additional frequencies to Colombo. This would increase their weekly flights to

    Colombo to ten. Malaysian Airlines General Manager, in Sri Lanka and Maldives, Shah Irwan Shahizan said

    that currently they are maintaining high passenger growth at around 20% and they also see an increased

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    demand from both countries in the future. "This is the reason why we decided to increase flights to

    Colombo", he added. The two new frequencies would be day flights and the airline would be using a Boeing

    737-800 flights departing from Colombo at 01 00 hours and arriving in Kuala Lumpur at 07 10 hours and the

    Kuala Lumpur- Colombo day flights will depart at 1110 hours and arrive at 1200 hours. This would offer 480

    seats per week for a route. "The daytime frequencies will offer better travel options for passenger,"he said.

    [Source: www.dailynews.lk]

    Sri Lanka should push harder to cut peak power demand: Sri Lanka should push harder on cutting peakpower demand as 'average'costs are meaningless and trimming the most expensive 5.0 percent of energy

    has the potential to eliminate losses at Ceylon Electricity Board, a think tank has said. About 17% of the

    generation costs of state-run Ceylon Electricity Board went towards the most expensive last five percent of

    energy purchased, LirneAsia, a regional think tank said in public consultation called by the Public Utilities

    Commission of Sri Lanka. The CEB also spent 17% of its costs on the least expensive energy, which amounted

    to 50% of the total energy purchased. "Thus, if energy purchases could be reduced by 5 per cent, it is possible

    that the losses of the CEB could be eliminated," LirneAsia chair Rohan Samarajiva said. "This is the

    importance of managing demand. Not all the demand needs to be reduced in absolute amounts. Shifting it to

    off-peak, (when the sole base load coal plant, producing inexpensive energy is asked to back down) could alsoprovide substantial relief. If peak demand is lowered, the overall costs of supplying electricity will be

    reduced."

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Global News

    Euro-Area March Services Output Contracts More Than Estimated: Euro-area services output contractedmore than initially estimated in March as the economy struggled to pull out of the recession An index of

    services activity based on a survey of purchasing managers in the industry declined to 46.4 last month from47.9 in February, London-based Markit Economics said today. Thats below an initial estimate of 46.5

    published on March 21. A reading below 50 indicates contraction. A composite index for the services and

    manufacturing industries fell to 46.5 from 47.9, matching the initial estimate, Markit said. The composite

    gauge has been below 50 for 14 straight months. The recession has definitely eased, as there has been

    progress, led by Germany, said Christian Schulz, senior economist at Berenberg Bank in London and a

    former ECB official. But the political uncertainties will weigh on confidence, and thus growth. Now with Italy

    and Cyprus the recovery will be a bit more wobbly.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    Japan bank's Haruhiko Kuroda in aggressive growth move: The Bank of Japan has said it will dramaticallyexpand the country's money supply, as it tries to stimulate growth in the world's third-largest economy. Thecentral bank vowed to boost an asset purchase programme and meet a 2% inflation target in two years,

    after a two-day meeting, the first chaired by new governor Haruhiko Kuroda. Japan's economy has been

    battling more than a decade of falling prices. Mr. Kuroda had previously said he would do "whatever it

    takes" to drive growth. "The BOJ will conduct money-market operations so that the monetary base will

    increase at an annual pace of about 60tn yen to 70tn yen (USD645 bn to USD755 bn)," the central bank said

    in a statement. This increase in the money supply is expected to stoke inflation. Many analysts have said that

    falling prices discourage people from spending, and companies from investing, and that has trapped Japan in

    a cycle of sluggish growth and recession.

    [Source: www.bbc.co.uk]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]+94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 101, 1/1, Aguruwathota Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd

    Floor, FN Building, Station Road, Matara

    [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Shafraz Basheer

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277054, +94 77 2333233

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277053, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently veri fied and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions ar e subject to change without notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments.

    Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may, to the extent permissible by applicable law or regulation, use the above material, conclusions, research or analysis in which

    they are based before the materialized disseminated to their customeLKRNot all customers will receive the material at the same time. Softlogic Stockbrokers, their

    respective directors, officers, representatives, employees, related persons and/or Softlogic Stockbrokers, may have a long or short position in any of the securities or

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