Developing the Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA): The Philippine Experience by

1Technical Workshop on Tourism Statistics and Tourism Satellite Accounts RAVirola/21/Oct/2008

Republic of the PhilippinesNATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD

Developing the Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA): The Philippine

Experienceby

Romulo A. Virola, Regina S. Reyes, Florande S. Polistico, Rolando Cañizal & Milagros Y.

Say

Presented byRomulo A. Virola

Secretary GeneralNational Statistical Coordination Board

Technical Workshop on Tourism Statistics and Tourism Satellite Accounts 21-22 October 2008, Cebu, Philippines



Outline of Presentation

I. Introduction

II. The Philippine TSA: Significant

Developmental Features

III.Present Status of the Philippine

TSA

IV.Some Recent Results

V. Challenges and Future Direction



I. Introduction

Importance & Trends of Tourism: Globally

Economic contribution of Tourism can help in

• Achieving the Millennium Development Goals

• Specifically, in poverty reduction

Tourism can contribute towards a better understanding and appreciation of the differences and similarities of our various cultures – towards world peace



I. Introduction


Tourism has benefited from the fast paced globalization. UNWTO says• International travelers have been

growing for the past four years at an average of more than 5% annually

• In a decade, it grew by 292 million, reaching 903 million travelers by the end of 2007



I. Introduction

• For the 4-year period from 2003-2007, tourist receipts grew at an average of more than 6% annually

• UNWTO's Tourism 2020 Vision forecasts that international arrivals will reach nearly 1.6 billion by the year 2020


Tourism has benefited from the fast paced globalization. UNWTO says



I. Introduction

Philippine tourism – “beyond the usual”

• The Medium Term Philippine Development Plan considers tourism as a key sector for development in 2004-2010

• Tourism receipts to GDP ratio grew from 1.9% in 2003 to 3.4% in 2007

• Tourism receipts to Total Exports ratio more than doubled from 3.9% in 2003 to 7.9% in 2007 Source: DOT &

NSCB

Importance & Trends of Tourism: Locally



I. Introduction


• Tourist arrivals - annual growth of 13% during the last 4 years, 10% during the last 5 and 3% during the last 10, reaching 3.09 million tourists by the end of 2007

• Tourists’ expenditure in US $- grew by 41% in 2006-2007, reaching US$4.9 billion in 2007, annually by 34% during the last 4 years, by 23% during the last 5 and by 6% during the last 10 years.Source: DOT




I. Introduction


• Domestic visitors counted by the DOT from accommodation establishments - annual growth of 14.7% during the last 4 years, 13.5% during the last 5 and 10.8% during the last 7, reaching 16.8 million domestic visitors by the end of 2007

Source: DOT




I. Introduction


• Partly because of investments in tourism destinations, construction sector grew by

23.1 % making it a big factor in the record economic growth in 2007

Source: DOT & NSCB




I. Introduction

Importance of TSA

• Statistics are needed to

inform program & policy decisionsmonitor our progressaccount for the importance of the

various sectors to society • Tourism statistics and tourism accounts are necessary to measure the size and contribution of tourism



I. Introduction

Importance of TSA

• The TSA as a framework for tourism has been developed by international experts and allows comparability across countries • The TSA is aligned with international macroeconomic frameworks such as the System of National Accounts (SNA) and the Balance of Payments (BOP)



Philippine Statistical System (PSS)

• decentralized system composed of:

policy-making and coordinating body general purpose data generating

agency training and research institution other data producers and users academe statistical organizations at all

administrative levels, the personnel therein and the national statistical program

II. The Philippine TSA: Significant Developmental Features



Philippine Statistical System (PSS)




National Statistical Coordination Board

• The highest policy-making and coordinating body on statistical matters in the country

• Formulates policies all matters relating to government statistical operations

• Promotes and maintains an efficient statistical system in the government

• Etc.




NSCB Statistical Coordination Mechanisms

The Philippine Statistical Development Program (NSDS) – 7th version is for 2005-2010

System of Designated Statistics Inter-agency Committees ( 11 IACs, 6

Technical Committees, 2 Task Forces & 26 Technical Working Groups as of Oct. 21, 2008)

Statistical Budget Review Process





Statistical Survey Review & Clearance System (includes administrative records systems)

Statistical Standards & Classification Systems

System of National Accounts Statistical Advocacy Mechanisms

( National Statistics Month, National Convention on Statistics, Hosting of International Conferences, etc.)




1. Philippine Statistical Development Program (PSDP)

• prepared every six years and the current PSDP covers the period 2005-2010

• serves as a blueprint of priority programs and activities to be undertaken during the program period to improve the generation of sectoral statistics

• translates and addresses the data requirements of the Medium Term Philippine Development Plan

• Tourism is the 15th Chapter of the PSDP composed of 25 chapters






• In the previous PSDP (1999-2004), Tourism was included in the chapter on Trade and Services

• Through the PSDP, activities relevant to the compilation of Philippine TSA were pursued which include:

formulation of standard concepts and definitions on tourism that are consistent with IRTS and TSA: RMF

development of Philippine Tourism Statistical Classification System –NSCB Resolution No. 4 Series of 2005






Conduct of activities for wider dissemination of tourism statistics

Development of Philippine Tourism Statistics website, DOT & NSCB – 2007 Annual publication of Compendium of Philippine Tourism Statistics by the DOT

Generation/compilation of new/emerging statistics and indicators

Conduct of Household Survey of Domestic Visitors, DOT & NSO – 2005-2006






• Statistical development programs on the tourism industry that will be pursued under PSDP 2005-2010 include: Enhancement of current methodologies

and collection/processing systems, such as:Enhancement of PTSA estimates by NSCB,

2005-2010 Improvement of Arrival/Departure Card by Bureau of Immigration, 2005-2010





1. Philippine Statistical Development Program (PSDP) Coordination/advocacy activities on

tourism statistics

Statistical capacity building program

Strengthen the IACTS, 2005-2010 Development of GIS-based information materials on tourism statistics, DOT, 2005-2010

Training of personnel of DOT regional offices and LGUs - DOT, SRTC, LGUs and academe, 2005-2010






2. Inter-agency Committee on Tourism Statistics

•

• originally created as Inter-Agency Committee on the Development of a Satellite Account on Tourism (IAC-DSAT) on February 7, 1997 by the NSCB Executive Board

• provides direction and addresses concerns on the improvement of tourism statistics and tourism satellite accounts through a well established tourism statistical system






• serves as venue for discussions on statistical issues related to tourism statistics & tourism accounts

• composed of representatives from government and non-government organizations involved in production and use of tourism statistics

• NSCB and DOT technical staff serve as the Committee Secretariat






Chair: National Statistical Coordination Board

Co-Chair: Department of TourismMembers: Asian Institute of Tourism

Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasBureau of Immigration

Civil Aeronautics BoardDepartment of Interior and

Local Govt.National Economic & Devt.

Authority National Statistics OfficePrivate Associations

Hotel and Restaurant Association of the Phil. Board of Airline Representatives Philippine Tour Operators Association Philippine Travel Agencies Association




DOT has sponsored tourism sessions for the past three NCS conducted on 2001, 2004 & 2007. In 2007, 3 papers were presented, namely:

• The 14th National Statistics Month celebration in 2003 focused on the theme “Sustaining Tourism’s Competitive Edge Through Statistics” & was hosted by the DOT

• Conduct of Tourism Sessions in the National Convention on Statistics (NCS)

Developing the Survey instruments for the HSDV Understanding the Visiting Friends/Relatives Travel Market Sustainability of Tourism Statistics: Issues in Statistics



3. Statistical Advocacy Mechanisms




Examples of Institutional linkages/collaborative efforts

• Collaboration between DOT and NSCB on the development of the Compendium of Philippine Tourism Statistics and the Philippine TSA;

• Review of design and instruments of tourism surveys through the Statistical Survey Review and Clearance System (SSRCS)





Examples of Institutional linkages/agency collaborative efforts

• Collaboration between DOT and NSO on the conduct of the Household Survey of Domestic Visitors (HSDV)

• Team up between DOT & the Bureau of Immigration (BI) in the processing of Arrival/Departure (A/D) cards




NSCB Statistical Coordination Mechanisms Institutional linkages/agency

collaborative efforts

• Sharing of statistical information

• Regular release of DOT publications Monthly web release of arrivals and hotel

occupancy data Quarterly release of Tourism Report Annual release of Compendium of Philippine

Tourism Statistics starting 2004 Provision of data to NSCB for the

compilation of the National Accounts (Exports of services)• Inclusion of tourism indicators in the NSCB

publications Monthly Economic Indicators (EI), Philippine

Statistical Yearbook (PSY)




Other Institutional Mechanisms

Capacity Building

• basic training on collection, generation, compilation and analysis of tourism statistics for national and field personnel of DOT as well as staff of local government units (LGUs) – conducted by Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC)

Training on Basic Tourism Data Gathering and Reporting System in the provinces of Bohol and Cebu Developed and published the TOURISM STATISTICS MANUAL for LGUs





Capacity Building

• technical assistance from different international organizations, such as:

UNWTO-sponsored Workshop on Indicators of Sustainable Development for Tourism Destinations, Bohol, Philippines Development of Tourism Statistics System for LGUs sponsored by the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)





Involvement in International efforts• Actively participated in the workshops

and forums for the improvement of tourism statistics and development of TSA

• Latest participations include: Expert Group meeting on Tourism Statistics and provided comments on the IRTS and TSA: RMF 39th Session of the UN Statistical Commission• NSCB and DOT are currently preparing

the country’s response to the questionnaire sent by UNWTO for the publication TSA Data Around the World 2009 – for submission before the end of October 2008




Data Support for PTSA Compilation

Visitor Sample Survey (VSS) –monthly by DOT


Establishment Surveys such as Census of Philippine Business and Industry (CPBI) and Quarterly Survey of Philippine Business and Industry (QSPBI) – by NSO

Arrival/Departure Cards – processed monthly by DOT & BI

Regional Travelers’ Report – annual data on internal tourism from DOT



Data Support for PTSA Compilation


Household Survey of Domestic Visitors (HSDV)- jointly byDOT & NSO, 2005

Input-Output Table – periodically by NSCB, latest are for 1994 & 2000

National Accounts of the Philippines – quarterly by NSCB

Labor Force Survey –quarterly by NSO

Meetings, Incentives, Conventions and Exhibitions (MICE) Study –annually by DOT



Initiatives towards PTSA developments PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

The NSCB, thru its Grants -in- Aid statistical development program,

provided funds and technical assistance to DOT in the conduct of

research study, which aimed to explore contribution of tourism to the

economy using the input-output analysi s approach.

1988

NSCB, DOT and WTTC collaborated to come up with a simulated satellite

account on tourism for the Philippines, which showed that travel and

tourism accounted for 8.7 percent of the GDP in 1997. The estimation

procedure was developed by the Wharton Econometric Forecasting

Association (WEFA) under the direction of the WTTC.

NSCB and DOT signed a MOA to support the development of the PTSA.

1996




Initiatives towards PTSA developments

PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

NSCB created an Inter -Agency Committee on the Development of a

Satellite Account on Tourism (IAC -DSAT) that shall oversee the

development of a TSA for the country.

IAC-DSAT conceptualized the framework for the PTSA

1997

Participated in the Seventh Meeting of the Steering Committee, World

Conference on the Measurement of the Economic Impact of Tourism,

WTO Headquarters, Madrid, Spain

1998

The NSCB created its Development of the Satellite Account on Tourism

(DSAT) Team 1999





PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

NSCB and DOT forged a project that operationalized the PTSA

conceptual framework

NSCB and DOT released the preliminary results of the Philippine Tourism

Satellite Account (PTSA) covering the years 1994 and 1998. However,

the estimates are subject to the following limitations:

1) linkage of tourism consumption and supply was not established;

2) domestic tourism was based on accommodation data only;

3) outbound tourism (Table 3) was not compiled;

4) estimates on the supply of goods and services were limited to the

Value Added of Tourism Industries (VATI) only

1999





PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

The Philippine experience in developing tourism satellite account was

presented in a joint UN-ESCAP/WTO workshop in Thailand

The paper “Measuring the Contribution of Tourism to the Economy: The

Philippine Tourism Satellite Account” was presented in the 8th National

Convention on Statistics

2001

The Philippines participated in the 1st International Workshop on Tourism

and the Preparation of TSA in Madrid, Spain

2002





PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

The Philippines hosted the “Second Sub - Regional Workshop on Tourism

Statistics and the Elaboration of a Tourism Satellite Account” held in

Manila. The country paper “Status of the Development of the Philippine

Tourism Satellite Account (PTSA)” was presented in that workshop.

The IACDSAT was reconstituted and renamed to Inter- agency Committee

on Tourism Statistics (IAC - TS) per NSCB Memorandum Order No. 04

Series of 2003 to expand the functions of the IAC from Tourism Accounts to .

2003


Tourism Statistics.




PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

The NSCB Executive Board approved the NSCB Resolution No. 4 Series

of 2005 “Approving and Adopting the Philippine Tourism Statist ical

Classification System (PTSCS)”. The PTSCS was based on the following:

UNWTO- recommended list

1994 Philippine Standard Industrial Classification (PSIC)

2002 Philippine Central Product Classification (PCPC)

International Standard Industrial Classifica tion (ISIC) Rev. 2

2005

The NSCB DSAT Team was reconstituted and renamed as the Philippine

Tourism Satellite Accounts (PTSA) Team

2006





PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

Presented the country paper “The 1993 Recommendations on Tourism

Statistics and the Philippine Tourism Satellite Accounts” during the

International Workshop on Tourism Statistics, UNWTO Headquarters,

Madrid, Spain, 17-20 July 2006.

2006

The Philippines participated in the worldwide consultation for the revision

of the IRTS and the TSA: RMF by providing series of responses to the

questionnaires sent by the UNWTO

Participated in the Expert Group Meeting in Tourism Statistics,

UN Headquarters, New York, USA

2007





PTSA Milestones

Activity Period

Updating and refining the PTSA estimation using the IRTS 2008 and TSA:

RMF 2008. Improvements from the previous estimates include:

Establishment of the link of internal tourism consumption with the

supply of goods and services

Improvement of the coverage of domestic tourism using the results

of the Household Survey on Domestic Visitors (HSDV)

Compiling the outbound tourism expenditure (Table 3) previously

not compiled

Availability of estimates for GVATI, TDGVA and TDGDP

Covered data series 2000 to 2007

2006-2008




On-going stage of implementation

III. Present Status of the PTSA

Institution in charge of the compilation

• National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)

Institutions that provide data

• Department of Tourism (DOT)• National Statistics Office (NSO)• National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)



Guidelines & Standards followed

• International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (IRTS) 2008

• provides the basic concepts and definitions of the different aspects of tourism such as

travelers that qualify as visitor either tourist or overnight visitor, as same day visitor or excursionist; forms of tourism; concept of tourism expenditure & different classifications that can be used in the analysis of tourism





• International Recommendations on Tourism Statistics (IRTS) 2008

• used as guiding principles in the collection of data

• serves as basis for the revision of existing data mechanisms to include necessary indicators on specific areas such as accommodation on second homes and same-day visits.






• Tourism Satellite Account: Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA: RMF) 2008 • aims to integrate the measurement of

tourism as an economic phenomenon within the mainstream of macroeconomic statistics

• serves to complement the concepts, definitions, aggregates, classifications already presented in the IRTS 2008

• the framework to guide countries in the further development of the system of tourism statistics, the main objective being the completion of the TSA






• Tourism Satellite Account: Recommended Methodological Framework (TSA: RMF) 2008

• generally serves as guide in the compilation of the PTSA tables

• the sequence and title of the 10 tables were also followed






Basic Aggregates currently prepared (for release January 2009)


III. PTSA Present Status

Tourism consumption expenditure/consumption

• Inbound tourism expenditure - Foreign visitors’ expenditure - Overseas Filipinos’ expenditure (permanently residing abroad)

• Domestic tourism expenditure

• Outbound tourism expenditure





Tourism consumption expenditure/consumption

• Internal tourism consumption - Internal tourism expenditure - expenditures on products such as accommodation, food and beverage, transportation and other products paid by the organizers on behalf of visitors - IRTS 2008 recommendations concerning imputed consumption on vacation homes are not yet covered in the Philippine TSA updates






Supply/production of tourism goods and services

• gross value added of tourism industries (GVATI)

• tourism direct gross value added (TDGVA)

• tourism direct gross domestic product (TDGDP)






Employment of tourism industries

• estimates include number of persons employed in each of the identified tourism-characteristic industry

• Limitations in the data did not allow for the generation of employment by sex and hours worked as recommended by the UNWTO




Consumption products categories

The categories used by the PTSA generally followed the recommendations from the TSA: RMF 2008

However, due to data limitations, only the major categories were presented. PTSA categories do not show the following details:



Accommodation from vacation homes No breakdown on Transportation (railways,

road, water, air, transport rentals) No breakdown on Entertainment and

Recreation into cultural services and sports and recreational services Miscellaneous Category was added to catch

all other consumptions not captured in any of the specific categories



Consumption products categories

1) accommodation services for visitors

2) food and beverage serving services

3) transport services

4) travel agencies and other reservation services

5) entertainment and recreation

6) shopping of country-specific tourism characteristic goods

7) miscellaneous



PTSA consumption products include:



Historical series currently prepared

• The latest Philippine TSA presents annual estimates for the period 2000 to 2007

• The 2000-2007 estimates are however, not linked to the 1994 & 1998 estimates previously compiled





TSA related indicators that can be derived



Indicators Source Table

Share of TDGVA to total GDP (current prices)

Table 6

Share of Domestic tourism to PCE (current prices)

Table 2

Share of Inbound tourism to Total exports (current prices)

Table 1

Share of Outbound tourism to Total Imports

(current prices) Table 3

Share of Tourism industry employment to total employment

Table7



Activities to be undertaken in the short run:

• Review consistency of estimates

• Further review by the IAC on Tourism Statistics

• Presentation to the NSCB Executive Board for policy decision

- next meeting of the Board is scheduled on December 3, 2008

Short-term Implementation plans




• Preparation for the PTSA publication

Short-term Implementation plans

Target date of release – January 2009 Basic documentation

Printed PTSA publication by NSCB Inclusion of PTSA in the Compendium

of Philippine Tourism Statistics of DOT

Press release/website release Updating the PTSA page on the NSCB website Uploading of pertinent information

including PTSA Technical Notes

Activities to be undertaken in the short run:




IV. Some Recent Results

A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007

What do we have?PTSA

Table No Title/derived indicatorsCorresponding TSA:RMF Table

1 Inbound tourism expenditure by products, 2000-2007 Table 1

1a Foreign visitors1b Overseas Filipinos (permanently residing abroad)

Levels (in million Php)Share of each consumption product to total (in %)Growth (in %)Products’ contribution to growth (%)

2 Domestic tourism expenditure by products, 2000-2007 Table 2





What do we have?

PTSA Table No Title/derived indicators

Corresponding TSA:RMF Table

3 Outbound tourism expenditure by products, 2000 to 2007 Table 3


4 Internal Tourism Consumption by products, 2000-2007 Table 4






What do we have?



5Production accounts on tourism industries and other industries (In million Php), 2000

Table 5

5aComparison of Tourism consumption expenditure and Total output by products, 2000

not specified

6Total domestic supply and internal tourism consumption (In million Php), 2000

Table 6

6.1Gross Value Added of Tourism Industries (In million Php), 2000

6.2Summary of derivation of PTSA major aggregates by industry (In million PhP), 2000

6.3 Tourism direct gross value added (TDGVA), 2000-2007





What do we have?



7.1Employment in Tourism Industries, 2000 to 2007 In thousand person

Table 7

7.2 Employment in Tourism Industries, 2000 to 2007 % Share

8Tourism Gross Fixed Capital Formation of Tourism and Tourism Industries (on going)

Table 8

9Tourism Collective Consumption by products and levels of government (on going)

Table 9





What do we have?PTSA

Table No Title/derived indicatorsCorresponding TSA:RMF Table

10 Non-monetary indicators Table 10

10.1 Inbound visitor arrivals by place of residence, 2000-2007

10.2Overall average length of stay of inbound visitors (in nights), 2000-2007

10.3Estimated number of domestic visitors, number of trips and length of stay, April-September 2005

10.4 Domestic regional travelers, 2000-2007

10.5Meetings, Incentives, Conventions & Exhibitions (MICE): Number of events and participants

11 Derived indicators not specified

11.1 Share of TDGVA to total GDP (current prices)

11.2 Share of Domestic tourism to PCE (current prices)

11.3 Share of Inbound tourism to Total exports (current prices)

11.4 Share of Outbound tourism to Total Imports (current prices)

11.5 Share of Tourism industry employment to total employment




Major TSA Aggregates 1994 & 1998 Recent PTSA Inbound tourism expenditure Domestic tourism expenditure Outbound tourism expenditure X Internal tourism consumption GVATI TDGVA X TDGDP X Employment of tourism

industries

Comparison of the Recent PTSA with the previous study covering 1994 & 1998




A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Inbound tourism expenditure on the rise!


Inbound tourism expenditure,levels & growth rates, 2000-2007

88,082 90,158105,533 103,162

147,800

87,956 82,735

201,942

(0.14) 2.50

36.63

43.27

(2.25)

27.55

(8.23)

0

60,000

120,000

180,000

240,000

300,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

% g

row

th

(20.0)

(10.0)

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

in m

illio

n P

hP

Levels growth



A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Share of inbound tourism expenditure to Exports rose by more than 7% in 2007! – Growth in inbound tourism coupled with decline in exports


Share of Inbound tourism expenditure to Exports, 2000-2007

7.13%

4.53%4.93%4.74%

3.86%4.25%

3.98%

5.18%

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In m

illio

n P

hp

3.90%

4.40%

4.90%

5.40%

5.90%

6.40%

6.90%

Inbound Exports % share



A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Domestic tourism expenditure posts double digit growths !


Domestic tourism expenditure,levels & growth rates, 2000-2007

297,876354,899

493,281

649,438703,424

368,146 397,371

862,938

11.97

24.14

31.66

8.31

23.59

(3.60)

22.68

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

% g

row

th

(10.0)

(5.0)

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

in m

illio

n P

hP

Levels growth



A glimpse to PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Share of Domestic tourism expenditure to PCE increasing!

Share of Domestic tourism expenditure to PCE, 2000-2007

18.71%

12.90%

14.35%

12.75%

13.30%

14.74%

17.22% 16.63%

-

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In m

illio

n P

hp

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

20.00%

DTE PCE % share




A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Domestic tourism expenditure dominated Internal tourism expenditure!

Average share of domestic and inbound expenditure to total Internal tourism expenditure, 2000-2007

Inbound tourism18.0% domestic tourism

82.0%






Internal tourism consumption on double digit growth from 2004 to 2007

Internal tourism consumption,levels & growth rates, 2000-2007

388,847448,356

604,999

764,698

854,263

1,069,799

486,046457,090

8.41

24.47

26.40

11.71

25.23

(1.91)

17.55

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

% g

row

th

(5.0)

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

in m

illio

n P

hP

Levels growth



A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Miscellaneous, shopping and accommodation are the biggest components of Internal tourism consumption!

Average share of consumption products to total internal consumption, 2000-2007

Accomodation Services for visitors

13.57%

Food and Beverage serving services

9.52%Transport services5.82%

Travel agencies and other reservation

services7.33%

Entertainment and Recreation

5.51%

Shopping17.35%

Miscellaneous40%




A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Significant drop in outbound tourism expenditure in 2007! – impact of Philippine currency appreciation


Outbound tourism expenditure,levels & growth rates, 2000-2007

53,301

65,537

72,41576,764

90,546

79,640

67,84463,248

18.66

3.62 3.526.74 6.01

17.95

(12.04)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

% g

row

th

(20.0)

(10.0)

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

in m

illio

n P

hP

Levels growth



A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 On the average, outbound tourism expenditure accounted for about 3% of total Imports of the country!

Share of Outbound tourism expenditure to Imports, 2000-2007

3.13%

2.73%2.72%

2.83%

2.97%

3.33%

3.26%

2.84%

-

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In m

illio

n P

hp

2.50%

2.80%

3.10%

3.40%

3.70%

4.00%

Outbound Imports % share




A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 Derived ratios by consumption products

Products Consumption-to-output ratio (%)

1- Accomodation Services for visitors 100.0%2-Food and Beverage serving services 24.7%3-Transport Services 7.2%4-Travel agencies and other reservation services 100.0%5-Entertainment & Recreation 51.0%6-Country-specific tourism characteristic goods - shopping 100.0%

7-Miscellaneous (Others) a 2.3%

a Includes all other outputs, ie miscellaneous characteristic products, tourism connected

products and nonrelated products.




A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 TDGVA grew steadily during the period 2000 to 2007!

Tourism direct gross value added,levels & growth rates, 2000-2007

210,144246,540

300,644335,301

371,149

228,219265,116

411,198

8.68.0 10.810.7

11.5

13.4

7.5

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

% g

row

th

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

in m

illio

n P

hP

Levels growth




A glimpse of PTSA results, 2000 to 2007 For the years 2000 to 2007, the average share of TDGVA to GDP is about 6.2 percent!

Share of TDGVA to total GDP, 2000-20076.28%

6.22%

6.19%

6.15%6.16%

6.17%6.14%

6.26%

-

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In m

illio

n P

hp

5.90%

5.95%

6.00%

6.05%

6.10%

6.15%

6.20%

6.25%

TDGVA GDP % share




Other macroeconomic(nonmonetary) indicators Employment in tourism industries growing slowly!

Employment in tourism industries,levels & growth rates, 2000-2007

2,6692,815

3,052 3,139 3,138 3,2543,0102,826 6.9

1.4

2.9

(0.0)

3.7

(0.4)

5.9

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

% g

row

th

(1.0)

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

in m

illio

n P

hP

Levels growth





Share of tourism industries' employment to total employment, 2000-2007

9.66%

9.31%

9.39%

9.61%

9.54% 9.62% 9.55%9.54%

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

In '0

00 p

erso

ns

9.00%

9.20%

9.40%

9.60%

9.80%

10.00%

Tourism Total % share

On the average, employment in tourism industries was 9.5 % of the total employment in the Philippines!




Data and Data Sources Improvements in the Visitor Sample Survey

• continue improving its processing to ensure more timely release of data

• expanding its coverage to other Philippine international airports newly opened

• to cover arrivals through seaports when volume becomes significant

• improvement in sampling methodology to represent more diverse respondents in order to represent different niche markets

V. Challenges and Future Directions



Data and Data Sources Revision of the Arrival/Departure (A/D) card

• Incorporated in the revised A/D cards are new technological methodologies to improve response rate and processing

• proposed new A/D cards incorporate matching of arrival and departure, which could provide reliable estimates on the length of stay of travelers

• implement the A/D cards in international sea ports




Data and Data Sources Enhancement of Regional Travelers Report

• Capturing the data from non-DOT-accredited establishments

• segregation of same-day visitors from the tourists

Sustain the conduct of the Household Survey on Domestic Visitors (HSDV)

Provision of more disaggregated data in establishment surveys




Estimation Methodology Explicit characterization of expenditures by each class of visitor

Expansion of the scope of expenditure data used in outbound tourism

• At present, only used the average expenditure data of Filipinos in four major country destinations, namely: USA, Hongkong, Thailand and Singapore

• separate estimates for same-day visitors and tourists




Estimation Methodology

• provision of additional samples for tourism-characteristic industries

Refinements in output indicators for tourism industries

Improvement in employment data

• to complement Labor Force Survey data by the Census of Population




Towards Measurement of Tourism at the Sub-National Level

• Local Government Units must step up their own collection of tourism statistics for local planning

• Support needed for the DOT’s program on capacity building of local government units

Monitoring Progress

• Tourism Statistics must be analysed to quantify the contribution of tourism to national as well as LGU progress

• Actual Policy Uses of Tourism Statistics/Tourism Accounts must be demonstrated




Tourism and Sustainability

• The PTSA must be useful as a tool to demonstrate the sustainability of tourism as a key contributor to development

Capacity Building

• there is a need to enhance the technical capability of the compilers of the PTSA in order to ensure the accuracy and sustainability of estimates

• Capacity building is also necessary for the users of the TSA to improve appreciation and meaningful utilization of information




Resources constraints (manpower and financial)

• Advocate for better appreciation by government on the need to provide budget for statistical activities

• Allow statistical offices to hire and increase number of statistical positions in government (including those in line ministries like the DOT)

• Invest in statistics, invest in statistical offices, invest in statisticians!




Maraming Salamat po!

URL: http://www.nscb.gov.phe-mail: [email protected]

Documents

Developing the Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA): The Philippine Experience by