Dr. Linda L. Baer Great Plains IDEA Spring Meeting April 8,
2014
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We are educating for careers that have not been created, using
technology not yet invented to solve problems that havent been
discovered. Shift Happens UTube
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There are probably 500 colleges who are out of business already
and they just dont know it yet.
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2014: A Perfect Storm of Opportunity
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2013: Our Vantage Point to the Future Information and
Communication Technology (ICT) has been a sustaining innovation not
transformative. Cost has grown at unsustainable rates. Economical
learning/developmental solutions are ready to scale. Personalized,
adaptive learning will be transformative. Current models and
institutions lack the capacity and resilience to transform for the
needs of tomorrow. A perception gap exists between institutional
leaders and the campus community, on the urgency for change and
transformation.
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Major Trends College and university tuition and fees continued
to rise, despite several tuition freeze experiments. Student debt
rose throughout 2013, inspiring widespread anxiety. A number of
institutions took drastic steps to stave off financial crisis,
including merging with other campuses, ending academic programs,
and laying off faculty sacrificing the queen. These events could be
advance signs of ongoing issues on the horizon.
http://bryanalexander.org/2013/12/31/trends-from-2013-the-higher-education-bubble/
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Major Issues The number of students taking classes went down
across many sectors. Some graduate programs suffered badly in 2013,
most notably law schools, who saw declining revenues, applicants,
graduates, and jobs. Outside of campuses, political pressures
remained steady. Some of this occurred in partisan terms, as
Republicans extended their criticism of public K-12 to all of
higher education, sometimes with an anti-union dimension. However,
2013 also saw Democrats joining in for a full-court bipartisan
press on higher education, from a presidential charge to build a
new institutional assessment system to high-profile governors and
mayors calling for reduced higher education fees.
http://bryanalexander.org/2013/12/31/trends-from-2013-the-higher-education-bubble/
http://bryanalexander.org/2013/12/31/trends-from-2013-the-higher-education-bubble
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Sacrificing the Queen Lets call this strategy academia
sacrifices its queen.* Thats a risky chess move where one player
gives up their most powerful piece in order to win the game. Bryan
Alexanderacademia sacrifices its queen
http://bryanalexander.org/?s=queen+sacrifice
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Some American campuses are still cutting programs and faculty
five years into the Great Recession/some-sort-of- recovery. The
most recent examples: twelve Pennsylvania universities, one
Minnesota university, one in Washington DC, one in Vermont. Added
to the list: Maine, Franklin Pierce and Long Island. Adjuncts go,
of course, but also tenure-track and tenured faculty. These schools
are cutting programs and departments, which means tenures
protection doesnt matter as much.
http://bryanalexander.org/?s=queen+sacrifice
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Transforming Higher Education Jump Shifts Learning Franchise
Learner Driven Technology Synergies Just In Time Learning Perpetual
Learning Unbundled Learning Experiences Unbundled Learning,
Assessment and Certification Open, Seamless Systems
Self-Informing/Correcting Systems Customizable Processes Learning
Vision Pull Teaching Franchise Provider Driven Individual
Technologies Time Out for Education Continuing Education
Traditional Courses/Degrees Combined Teaching, Assessment and
Certifying Fragmented, Proprietary Systems B ureaucratic Systems
Rigid Processes Technology Push Michael Dolence and Donald Norris.
Transforming Higher Education, 1995
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Five Trends to Watch 11 1 1 Lecture model challenged by virtual
teams and shared courseware
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Model challengers taking many forms
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What is WGU Indiana? WGU Indiana is an online, competency-based
university established by the state of Indiana through a
partnership with Western Governors University to expand access to
higher education for Indiana residents. Over 50 accredited online
bachelors and masters degrees in high-demand career fields.
Flexible, online study, allowing you to balance work, family, and
school. Affordable tuition. WGU Indiana is a non-profit university.
Several states building similar partnerships.
http://indiana.wgu.edu/
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Five Trends to Watch 14 2 2 Amazon/Ebay style analytics unlock
personalization 1 1 Lecture model challenged by virtual teams and
shared courseware
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Analytics is the universal decoder for education reform.
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Strategic Intelligence for Higher Education
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Solution Sets Coming to Market
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Amazon features 19
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Education Planning Counseling and Coaching Risk Targeting and
Intervention Transfer and Articulation Legacy ERP/SIS/LMS Vendor
point solutions Homegrown point solutions Direct-to- student Austin
Peays Degree Compass Valencias LifeMap Sinclairs MAP Central
Piedmonts Online Student Profile WICHEs Predictive Analytics
Reporting The market is immature, but multiple solutions are
emerging in each application category 2010 Bill & Melinda Gates
Foundation
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Adaptive Learning Educational method which uses computers as
interactive teaching devices. Computers adapt the presentation of
educational material according to students' weaknesses, as
indicated by their responses to questions. The motivation is to
allow electronic education to incorporate the value of the
interactivity afforded to a student by an actual human teacher or
tutor. The technology encompasses aspects derived from various
fields of study including computer science, education,
neuroscience, and psychology.
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Knewton P REDICTION AND I NTERVENTION Course Signals
Purdue
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E DUCATION AND C AREER P OSITIONING S YSTEM Lone Star Community
College http://studentalignment.com/home.html Map-in starting point
and destination Routes to completion Time to destination progress
Fuel for the journey Travel time to norm for the destination
Highway for optimizing student success
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Five Trends to Watch 2 2 Amazon/Ebay style analytics unlock
personalization 3 3 Governing to Win 1 1 Lecture model challenged
by virtual teams and shared courseware
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Complete College America Complete College America has developed
the institutional roadmap to increase student success. The
components include: Performance Funding Co-requisite Remediation
Full time is full time Structured schedules Guided pathways to
success http://www.completecollege.org/
Graduate Program Evaluation Metrics Time-to-degree (masters and
doctoral) Completion rate (masters and doctoral) 2 year masters 6-8
year for doctoral Advancement to candidacy rate Number of degrees
awarded per year Percent doctoral students receiving full support
Competitiveness of stipends with respect to AAU institutions
Student placement in context of program goals Masters 2 years after
completion Doctoral 5 years after completion Benchmark performance
against national criteria by discipline Association of American
Universities http://www.aau.edu
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Five Trends to Watch 2 2 Amazon/Ebay style analytics unlock
personalization 3 3 Governing to Win 1 1 Lecture model challenged
by virtual teams and shared courseware 4 4 DIYU is for real and new
brands emerge
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Do It Yourself University
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New Brands?
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Five Trends to Watch 2 2 Amazon/Ebay style analytics unlock
personalization 3 3 Governing to Win 1 1 Lecture model challenged
by virtual teams and shared courseware 4 4 DIYU is for real and new
brands emerge 5 5 Constructive Disruption, Reinvention and
Transformation
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Disrupting College: How Disruptive Innovation Can Deliver
Quality and Affordability to Postsecondary Education Clayton M.
Christensen, Michael B. Horn, Louis Caldera, Louis Soares
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/02/pdf/disrupting_college_execsumm.pdf
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HOW TO THINK ABOUT REINVENTION
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Reinvention Track A: Reposition the core business of the
university, adapting legacy offerings to the disruptive
marketplace. Track B: Create a separate, disruptive business unit
to develop innovations that will become the source of future growth
by addressing new or unmet value propositions. Gilbert, Eyring and
Foster, Two Routes to Resilience, Harvard Business Review, December
2012
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Reinvented Strategies Focus on real value propositions; enable
learners to make choices that personalize experiences and manage
the total cost of completion. Develop the organizational capacity
for learning analytics and personalized learning to optimize
learner success. Improve flexibility in the completion and
certification of learning objectives and capacity to draw from
external sources and receive transfer and credit for prior
learning. Double down on the best value propositions of reinvented
legacy programs, but add real-world experiences, globalism,
innovation/entrepreneurship.
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Reinvented Business Models Consciously reinvent business models
for education, talent and leadership development, and research to
achieve: Affordability ways to control and reduce total cost of
completion Greater Flexibility ways to serve learners better,
personalize experiences Reduced Time-to-completion ways to
accelerate and enrich Alignment with emerging needs of society and
career and employer needs Track A: Reinvent business models for
legacy programs to compete in the face of disruptions Track B:
Create new and separate disruptive enterprises to develop
innovations that will be sources of new growth.
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Examples from the Field Low-cost accelerated, competence-based
models for baccalaureate degrees Western Governors University
Southern New Hampshire $10,000 degree programs Accelerated
completion Bridge programs Concurrent enrollment Credit for prior
learning Transfer and course aggregators 3-year baccalaureates
Control costs by limiting and reducing tuition Cost reductions,
reinvented processes, shared services See McKinsey Report Winning
by Degrees
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Examples from the Field Limiting time-to-completion for
graduate degrees Personalized Learning Systems Arizona State and
Knewton The university has rolled out an ambitious effort to turn
its classrooms into laboratories for technology-abetted adaptive
learning -- a method that purports to give instructors real-time
intelligence on how well each of their students is getting each
concept. No More Excuses analytics for success and strategy New
Alternatives and Competitors
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Welcome to Strategies for Success! Graduate Student Success ASU
https://graduate.asu.edu/grow/sfs Welcome to the Strategies for
Success program of Graduate Education. Our goal is to help you be
successful in your time at ASU and beyond. Your professional
development, all of the things done outside your academics, can
have a significant impact on your success as a student, on the job
market, and as a professional.
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Graduate Student Success Brochure University of Michigan How to
Get the Mentoring You Want: A Guide for Graduate Students (PDF)...
Outlines the services offered by Rackham's Graduate Student Success
office. Graduate Student Success Brochure - Rackham Graduate School
Graduate Student Success Brochure - Rackham Graduate School
www.rackham.umich.edu/.../GSSBrochure.pdf
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Student Success Center Graduate Student Success Center (GSSC)
The Office of Graduate Student Development seeks to provide you
with appropriate academic support services in the humanities,
physical sciences, and social sciences. To this end, students are
enrolled in a password-protected Blackboard site called the
Graduate Student Success Center (GSSC). On this site, students have
access to information regarding: study skills test-taking
strategies time and stress management tutorial support writing
assistance research skills career planning and preparation online
course readiness assessment Students can log into the GSSC through
Blackboard or through the Pfeiffer University website.
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METRICS FOR BEST ONLINE GRADUATE EDUCATION PROGRAM RANKINGS
Student Engagement Interact with instructors and classmates
Instructors are accessible and responsive Instructors create an
experience rewarding enough to stay enrolled and complete in a
reasonable amount of time Admissions Selection Entering students
have proven aptitudes, ambitions and accomplishments to handle the
demands of rigorous course work Peer Reputation Industry opinion
accounts for intangible factors on program quality Degrees with
strong perceptions of quality among academics may be held in higher
regard among employers
http://www.usnews.com/education/online-education/articles/2014/01/07/about-the-top-
online-education-programs-rankings-2014
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METRICS FOR BEST ONLINE GRADUATE EDUCATION PROGRAM RANKINGS
Faculty credentials and training Strong online programs employ
instructors with academic credentials one would expect rom a
campus-based program Invest resources to train these instructors on
how to teach distance learners Student services and technology
Incorporates diverse online learning technologies which allows
greater flexibility for students to take classes from a distance
Outside of classes, a strong support structure provides learning
assistance, career guidance and financial aid resources
commensurate with quality campus-based programs
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EXAMPLES Arizona State University
https://graduate.asu.edu/progress
https://graduate.asu.edu/progress/steps/critical
_policies_to_remember
https://graduate.asu.edu/faculty_staff/policies TA and RA Policies
https://graduate.asu.edu/faculty_staff/tara
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Graduate Program Evaluation Metrics Time-to-degree (masters and
doctoral) Completion rate (masters and doctoral) 2 year masters 6-8
year for doctoral Advancement to candidacy rate Number of degrees
awarded per year Percent doctoral students receiving full support
Competitiveness of stipends with respect to AAU institutions
Student placement in context of program goals Masters 2 years after
completion Doctoral 5 years after completion Benchmark performance
against national criteria by discipline Association of American
Universities http://www.aau.edu
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Recommendations for Institutions Apply the correct business
model for the task. Drive the disruptive innovation. Develop a
strategy of focus. Frame online learning as a sustaining
innovation.
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/02/pdf/disrupting_college_execsumm.pdf
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The future is..
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1. What do great programs look and feel like? 2. Whats the
competitive marketplace thats impacting this environment? 3. Higher
education practice, technology and policies that need to change? 4.
What matters in online education to students, faculty,
universities? 5. What might higher education marketplace look like
a decade from now?