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New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Almost certain 62% 64% 61% 43% 60% 72% 62% 66% 49% 59% 61% 66% 66% 68% 62% 60% 58% 61% 65% 63% 66% 67% 39%
Very likely 28% 26% 30% 35% 28% 23% 32% 27% 33% 30% 27% 29% 29% 26% 34% 27% 28% 34% 26% 27% 32% 28% 28%
Somewhat likely 5% 5% 5% 15% 7% 3% 1% 3% 11% 4% 7% 3% 3% 1% 1% 10% 4% 5% 6% 5% 1% 1% 17%
Not very likely 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 5%
Not at all likely 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 7%
Don't know/Refused 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 5%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat 48% 42% 54% 64% 51% 43% 44% 42% 66% 48% 45% 51% 54% 93% 11% 51% 59% 62% 38% 45% 9% 93% 62%
Donald Trump, the Republican 41% 45% 37% 22% 35% 48% 51% 47% 26% 43% 42% 37% 39% 4% 84% 33% 25% 35% 49% 45% 87% 1% 22%
Another candidate 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 0% 2% 2% 0% 2% 4% 2% 1% 0% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4%
Wouldn't vote 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 0% 1% 3% 3% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 4%
Don't know/No opinion 8% 8% 7% 10% 10% 5% 4% 7% 5% 8% 8% 8% 3% 2% 4% 9% 13% 0% 10% 6% 3% 5% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 8% 11% 6% 10% 9% 11% 5% 10% 4% 15% 6% 7% 3% 4% 27% 10% 10% 3% 13% 7% 33% 1% 8%
Not really any chance 85% 79% 89% 88% 84% 83% 90% 85% 94% 78% 86% 89% 92% 93% 67% 86% 81% 96% 78% 86% 57% 96% 87%
Don't know/Refused 7% 10% 4% 2% 7% 6% 4% 5% 2% 7% 8% 3% 5% 3% 6% 5% 9% 1% 9% 7% 10% 3% 5%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 10% 8% 11% 32% 11% 8% 3% 8% 25% 8% 9% 12% 10% 38% 2% 17% 16% 11% 9% 8% 2% 43% 22%
Not really any chance 80% 79% 82% 59% 76% 87% 88% 83% 74% 80% 80% 83% 80% 46% 93% 73% 68% 85% 79% 84% 95% 28% 56%
Don't know/Refused 10% 13% 7% 10% 13% 5% 8% 9% 1% 12% 11% 4% 10% 16% 5% 10% 16% 4% 12% 9% 3% 29% 22%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Donald Trump 80% 79% 81% 85% 72% 78% 84% 81% 79% 91% 78% 68% 76% 63% 85% 71% 92% 78% 75% 81% 83% 60% 82%
A vote against Joe Biden 17% 18% 17% 12% 24% 19% 13% 17% 21% 9% 19% 31% 14% 37% 13% 24% 8% 18% 21% 17% 14% 40% 18%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% 0% 0% 3% 1% 11% 0% 2% 5% 0% 4% 4% 2% 3% 0% 0%
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q4. (If voting for Trump) Is there some chance you´ll support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q3. (If voting for Biden) Is there some chance you´ll support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5A. (If voting for Trump) Is your vote more of a vote for Donald Trump or a vote against Joe Biden?
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 1 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Joe Biden 34% 32% 36% 25% 35% 33% 44% 29% 39% 37% 26% 40% 40% 41% 14% 29% 29% 26% 44% 36% 26% 41% 27%
A vote against Donald Trump 61% 62% 60% 73% 62% 61% 47% 65% 56% 57% 70% 55% 52% 53% 78% 67% 66% 70% 50% 58% 69% 52% 69%
Don't know/Refused 5% 6% 5% 2% 3% 6% 9% 5% 6% 6% 4% 5% 7% 6% 8% 4% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 6% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly approve 30% 30% 30% 5% 22% 38% 42% 34% 17% 37% 30% 24% 24% 2% 69% 21% 20% 23% 37% 33% 69% 2% 8%
Somewhat approve 12% 17% 8% 15% 17% 9% 8% 12% 8% 8% 14% 14% 12% 3% 13% 14% 8% 7% 15% 14% 17% 0% 16%
Somewhat disapprove 8% 7% 9% 13% 11% 8% 5% 7% 14% 14% 6% 7% 3% 8% 5% 10% 11% 6% 7% 8% 5% 6% 17%
Strongly disapprove 47% 42% 51% 63% 45% 43% 44% 44% 60% 38% 45% 54% 58% 84% 10% 52% 56% 61% 38% 42% 8% 90% 57%
Don't know/Refused 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 29% 30% 27% 10% 19% 35% 40% 33% 16% 39% 29% 20% 21% 2% 67% 18% 18% 20% 37% 32% 65% 0% 10%
Somewhat favorable 14% 16% 12% 13% 16% 17% 10% 16% 8% 10% 13% 17% 18% 4% 18% 17% 10% 9% 16% 16% 22% 1% 15%
Somewhat unfavorable 7% 9% 5% 14% 12% 3% 3% 5% 11% 6% 9% 7% 4% 6% 3% 10% 11% 7% 4% 7% 3% 3% 14%
Very unfavorable 48% 42% 54% 62% 52% 43% 45% 44% 64% 42% 48% 54% 56% 87% 11% 53% 59% 63% 40% 42% 9% 94% 59%
Don't know/Refused 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 20% 14% 26% 10% 12% 23% 30% 19% 26% 23% 18% 19% 21% 47% 5% 17% 26% 20% 17% 20% 4% 49% 16%
Somewhat favorable 26% 26% 26% 41% 32% 22% 19% 21% 40% 24% 23% 28% 37% 39% 10% 31% 30% 34% 20% 25% 7% 41% 44%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 18% 16% 28% 22% 17% 7% 19% 13% 16% 20% 18% 10% 9% 18% 22% 16% 19% 19% 15% 18% 6% 22%
Very unfavorable 31% 35% 28% 14% 29% 36% 40% 36% 18% 32% 33% 30% 30% 4% 63% 26% 20% 23% 41% 33% 66% 2% 12%
Don't know/Refused 5% 7% 4% 7% 5% 2% 4% 5% 3% 5% 6% 5% 1% 1% 4% 4% 7% 4% 3% 6% 4% 2% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 42% 45% 38% 22% 36% 49% 49% 46% 28% 49% 43% 34% 36% 9% 79% 35% 28% 34% 51% 45% 84% 3% 21%
Disapprove 55% 51% 59% 74% 61% 50% 49% 52% 70% 50% 55% 62% 60% 89% 19% 62% 70% 66% 45% 51% 14% 96% 73%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3% 1% 6%
I´m going to read a few names of people in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of each person. [Q10A-Q10L
[Q11A-Q11E ROTATED] Q11A. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The coronavirus pandemic
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10B. Joe Biden
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10A. Donald Trump
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5B. (If voting for Biden) Is your vote more of a vote for Joe Biden or a vote against Donald Trump?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 2 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 57% 63% 52% 42% 54% 65% 61% 61% 38% 61% 57% 57% 52% 18% 91% 56% 48% 49% 63% 60% 95% 18% 40%
Disapprove 39% 33% 44% 53% 41% 32% 37% 36% 55% 34% 41% 37% 46% 79% 8% 38% 48% 49% 30% 36% 4% 79% 50%
Don't know/Refused 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 6% 5% 2% 6% 2% 2% 1% 7% 4% 1% 8% 4% 1% 3% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 45% 35% 17% 34% 51% 48% 44% 27% 45% 40% 35% 40% 9% 79% 33% 25% 30% 49% 45% 82% 4% 19%
Disapprove 53% 47% 59% 75% 57% 47% 45% 48% 68% 48% 54% 59% 57% 88% 14% 61% 68% 67% 44% 48% 13% 94% 68%
Don't know/Refused 7% 7% 6% 8% 9% 2% 7% 7% 5% 7% 6% 6% 3% 3% 7% 7% 6% 3% 7% 8% 6% 2% 13%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 35% 37% 33% 11% 25% 45% 46% 40% 21% 39% 37% 30% 31% 6% 75% 25% 21% 26% 46% 38% 78% 1% 13%
Disapprove 60% 57% 63% 82% 65% 54% 52% 55% 76% 57% 59% 67% 63% 94% 19% 70% 73% 74% 51% 54% 19% 99% 76%
Don't know/Refused 5% 6% 4% 7% 10% 1% 2% 5% 2% 5% 4% 3% 6% 0% 5% 5% 6% 0% 3% 7% 4% 0% 11%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 32% 33% 31% 13% 28% 38% 42% 37% 24% 35% 32% 28% 31% 9% 65% 23% 21% 23% 40% 36% 68% 6% 16%
Disapprove 61% 60% 62% 78% 71% 57% 50% 58% 73% 57% 61% 67% 64% 88% 25% 73% 72% 75% 52% 56% 25% 92% 74%
Don't know/Refused 7% 7% 6% 9% 1% 5% 8% 6% 3% 8% 6% 4% 5% 4% 10% 4% 6% 1% 8% 8% 7% 2% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
George Floyd’s death was an isolated
incident30% 39% 23% 18% 27% 35% 38% 36% 16% 34% 32% 30% 21% 10% 60% 22% 24% 27% 38% 30% 60% 7% 18%
George Floyds' death is part of a broader
pattern of excessive police violence
toward African Americans
58% 51% 65% 77% 62% 56% 50% 55% 78% 52% 59% 65% 64% 87% 26% 68% 66% 67% 51% 56% 25% 89% 74%
Don't know/Refused 11% 10% 13% 5% 11% 9% 12% 10% 6% 14% 9% 6% 15% 3% 14% 10% 10% 6% 12% 14% 15% 4% 8%
Q16. Recently, police officers in Minnesota were charged with killing an African American named George Floyd. Do you think: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11E. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The protests after the death of George Floyd
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11D. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Race relations
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11B. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The economy
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11C. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Criminal justice
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 3 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
I support the demonstrations because
they're mainly peaceful protests with an
important message
56% 55% 58% 79% 61% 52% 45% 55% 60% 45% 60% 64% 64% 79% 24% 67% 71% 62% 49% 52% 23% 86% 72%
I oppose the demonstrations because too
many have turned to violent rioting39% 41% 38% 16% 34% 45% 52% 42% 37% 54% 36% 31% 33% 19% 72% 28% 27% 36% 46% 42% 72% 13% 24%
Don't know/Refused 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 6% 3% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 5% 6% 6% 1% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Phoenix Pima
Rest
of AZ
Rest of
Maricopa Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly agree 17% 17% 18% 5% 17% 20% 23% 17% 17% 24% 18% 13% 7% 8% 32% 13% 10% 17% 25% 16% 33% 6% 7%
Somewhat agree 17% 19% 15% 16% 11% 17% 22% 19% 11% 20% 17% 14% 13% 9% 27% 15% 17% 6% 17% 21% 25% 7% 17%
Somewhat disagree 17% 19% 16% 19% 15% 19% 15% 19% 12% 18% 17% 18% 14% 11% 20% 18% 16% 23% 14% 17% 19% 16% 13%
Strongly disagree 42% 39% 44% 58% 51% 40% 30% 38% 57% 31% 42% 50% 56% 65% 16% 48% 49% 48% 39% 38% 15% 67% 56%
Don't know/Refused 7% 6% 8% 2% 7% 5% 9% 7% 2% 7% 6% 4% 10% 6% 6% 6% 8% 6% 5% 8% 8% 4% 8%
Total
Demonstrations that become riots 38%
The way the criminal justice system treats
African Americans54%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Very serious problem 51%
Somewhat serious problem 32%
Not a very serious problem 8%
Not at all a problem 5%
Don't know/Refused 3%
*Q20. Do you think that systemic racism in the United States is a very serious problem, somewhat serious problem, not a very serious problem, or not at all a problem?
*Q19. What´s a more serious problem in America today: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Q18. Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement: Today, discrimination against whites has become as big of a problem as discrimination against
Blacks or other minorities
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q17. There have been demonstrations across the country after George Floyd´s death. Which of the following is closer to your opinion: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 4 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
More likely to use deadly force against a
black person57%
More likely to use deadly force against a
white person3%
Race does not affect police use of deadly
force34%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Criminal justice system is biased against
African Americans58%
Criminal justice system treats people
equally regardless of race35%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
The federal government’s priority should
be to limit the spread of the coronavirus,
even if it hurts the economy
54%
The federal government’s priority should
be to restart the economy, even if it
increases the risk to public health
36%
Don't know/Refused 10%
Total
Joe Biden 47%
Donald Trump 45%
Don't know/Refused 8%
*Q28A. The coronavirus
Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following issues: [Q28A-Q28H ROTATED]
*Q21B. In general, do you think the criminal justice system in the United States is biased against African Americans, or do you think the criminal justice system treats people equally regardless of race?
*Q24. And what comes closer to your view: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q21A. In general, do you think that the police are more likely to use deadly force against a black person, more likely to use deadly force against a white person, or do you think race does not affect police use of deadly force?
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 5 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Joe Biden 39%
Donald Trump 55%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 49%
Donald Trump 42%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 49%
Donald Trump 44%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Joe Biden 43%
Donald Trump 49%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 54%
Donald Trump 37%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 56%
Donald Trump 37%
Don't know/Refused 7%
*Q28G. Race relations
*Q28F. Handling the protests
*Q28E. China
*Q28D. Immigration
*Q28C. Health care
*Q28B. The economy
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 6 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Joe Biden 53%
Donald Trump 36%
Don't know/Refused 10%
Total
A candidate who says that we need to be
tough on protests that go too far34%
A candidate who says we need to focus on
the cause of the protests even when they
go too far
59%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Comfortable 68%
Not comfortable 29%
Don't know/Refused 3%
Total
Still vote anyway 76%
Too uncomfortable to vote 23%
Don't know/Refused 1%
Total
Very enthusiastic 58%
Somewhat enthusiastic 22%
Not very enthusiastic 10%
Not at all enthusiastic 8%
Don't know/Refused 2%
*Q34. And when it comes to the November election, would you say you´re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting, or not at all enthusiastic?
*Q33. (If not comfortable voting) Do you think you would still vote anyway, or do you think you would be too uncomfortable to vote?
*Q29D. A candidate who says that we need to be tough on protests that go too far, or a candidate who says we need to focus on the cause of the protests even when they go too far
*Q32. Next, imagine that the presidential election was held this week, but the only way to vote was to vote in-person. Would you feel comfortable or not comfortable voting?
Next, I´m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you´d prefer as president: [Q29A-Q29D ROTATED]
*Q28H. Unifying America
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 7 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
650 Arizona Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Gender
Male 48%
Female 52%
Age
18 to 29 16%
30 to 44 20%
45 to 64 31%
65 and older 29%
Race/Ethnicity
White 62%
Hispanic/Latino 20%
Other 14%
Education
Trade/High school or less 29%
Some college 37%
Bachelors degree 21%
Postgraduate degree 12%
Party ID
Democrat 25%
Republican 30%
Independent/Other 41%
Region
Phoenix 19%
Pima 15%
Rest of AZ 26%
Rest of Maricopa 39%
2016 Vote
Voted for Trump 39%
Voted for Clinton 29%
Didn't vote in 2016 17%
Registered Voters of Arizona
Nature of the Sample
* asked of half of registered voters AZ0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 8 of 8
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Almost certain 62% 63% 61% 44% 51% 69% 73% 68% 44% 53% 61% 60% 61% 70% 62% 65% 61% 56% 55% 62% 70% 57% 73% 64% 43%
Very likely 30% 30% 30% 39% 37% 26% 24% 27% 46% 31% 31% 33% 28% 25% 34% 29% 27% 37% 30% 31% 25% 31% 26% 32% 33%
Somewhat likely 4% 5% 3% 13% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 8% 5% 3% 4% 3% 1% 3% 7% 4% 9% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2% 10%
Not very likely 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 5% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 4%
Not at all likely 2% 1% 3% 1% 6% 1% 0% 1% 2% 5% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% 6%
Don't know/Refused 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 2% 0% 0% 5%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat 47% 41% 52% 63% 53% 39% 41% 38% 85% 52% 46% 41% 50% 57% 92% 5% 48% 54% 60% 35% 40% 56% 2% 92% 61%
Donald Trump, the Republican 41% 47% 37% 24% 32% 50% 49% 54% 5% 29% 45% 46% 35% 31% 4% 87% 30% 34% 27% 53% 50% 28% 90% 3% 20%
Another candidate 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 4% 0% 1% 5% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 3%
Wouldn't vote 2% 2% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 0% 4% 2% 2% 0% 2% 5%
Don't know/No opinion 7% 8% 7% 9% 6% 8% 7% 5% 8% 14% 6% 9% 9% 7% 3% 6% 13% 9% 11% 6% 4% 13% 6% 3% 12%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 9% 11% 8% 6% 9% 12% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 7% 11% 12% 3% 34% 13% 10% 5% 13% 8% 10% 39% 3% 11%
Not really any chance 85% 84% 85% 89% 82% 83% 85% 89% 90% 75% 87% 86% 82% 81% 96% 47% 77% 86% 83% 85% 88% 80% 39% 95% 80%
Don't know/Refused 6% 5% 7% 5% 8% 5% 6% 1% 3% 16% 4% 7% 6% 7% 1% 19% 10% 5% 12% 2% 3% 11% 22% 2% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 13% 13% 13% 23% 14% 13% 10% 12% 37% 19% 13% 10% 21% 16% 29% 8% 22% 19% 21% 15% 8% 13% 7% 35% 16%
Not really any chance 79% 81% 77% 57% 74% 83% 85% 86% 40% 57% 82% 82% 69% 74% 55% 89% 64% 73% 56% 81% 89% 68% 91% 49% 61%
Don't know/Refused 8% 6% 9% 20% 12% 4% 5% 2% 22% 24% 5% 8% 10% 10% 16% 3% 14% 7% 23% 4% 3% 19% 2% 16% 23%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Donald Trump 78% 86% 68% 73% 60% 81% 83% 79% 74% 73% 79% 76% 76% 82% 20% 80% 79% 69% 68% 82% 83% 70% 81% 42% 77%
A vote against Joe Biden 17% 11% 24% 16% 34% 12% 16% 15% 26% 25% 19% 18% 15% 12% 54% 15% 17% 26% 30% 14% 11% 25% 16% 40% 13%
Don't know/Refused 5% 3% 8% 11% 6% 7% 2% 6% 0% 3% 3% 6% 9% 6% 26% 5% 4% 5% 3% 4% 6% 4% 4% 18% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Joe Biden 35% 36% 35% 18% 20% 46% 48% 28% 43% 40% 40% 27% 33% 42% 46% 7% 18% 37% 37% 29% 36% 33% 18% 41% 24%
A vote against Donald Trump 61% 62% 60% 82% 79% 48% 44% 68% 48% 58% 55% 69% 64% 53% 50% 90% 78% 62% 61% 60% 62% 57% 82% 57% 68%
Don't know/Refused 4% 2% 5% 0% 1% 6% 8% 4% 9% 2% 5% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 0% 2% 12% 1% 9% 0% 3% 9%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
Q3. (If voting for Biden) Is there some chance you´ll support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5A. (If voting for Trump) Is your vote more of a vote for Donald Trump or a vote against Joe Biden?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q4. (If voting for Trump) Is there some chance you´ll support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5B. (If voting for Biden) Is your vote more of a vote for Joe Biden or a vote against Donald Trump?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 1 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly approve 28% 34% 23% 12% 17% 35% 37% 38% 5% 16% 30% 33% 22% 23% 2% 63% 18% 23% 20% 38% 34% 18% 64% 1% 13%
Somewhat approve 15% 17% 14% 16% 15% 17% 14% 16% 6% 19% 19% 14% 15% 8% 3% 24% 18% 15% 20% 16% 14% 14% 26% 2% 15%
Somewhat disapprove 9% 8% 9% 14% 12% 7% 4% 8% 11% 8% 6% 8% 11% 10% 10% 5% 11% 13% 5% 6% 8% 8% 3% 10% 12%
Strongly disapprove 45% 37% 51% 57% 53% 36% 41% 37% 71% 51% 41% 42% 48% 56% 83% 7% 48% 48% 50% 37% 41% 54% 5% 85% 51%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 4% 1% 4% 4% 4% 1% 8% 7% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 6% 1% 5% 4% 3% 6% 3% 1% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 30% 34% 27% 10% 21% 39% 37% 39% 4% 20% 35% 35% 20% 22% 0% 68% 20% 25% 18% 40% 37% 19% 71% 1% 11%
Somewhat favorable 13% 16% 11% 15% 10% 14% 14% 15% 7% 15% 15% 11% 17% 10% 3% 21% 15% 12% 16% 12% 12% 16% 21% 1% 16%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 9% 9% 14% 16% 6% 4% 9% 7% 11% 4% 10% 13% 12% 7% 5% 13% 10% 10% 7% 8% 11% 4% 9% 16%
Very unfavorable 46% 40% 52% 60% 53% 39% 42% 38% 78% 51% 44% 43% 48% 56% 87% 6% 50% 51% 54% 37% 42% 53% 4% 89% 54%
Don't know/Refused 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 3% 0% 5% 2% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 0% 0% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 23% 21% 24% 7% 16% 25% 32% 17% 49% 25% 26% 15% 21% 34% 57% 0% 15% 26% 32% 18% 18% 28% 1% 53% 19%
Somewhat favorable 24% 21% 26% 48% 35% 18% 9% 21% 33% 28% 18% 23% 32% 26% 31% 8% 34% 27% 30% 20% 20% 27% 6% 35% 37%
Somewhat unfavorable 16% 19% 14% 26% 20% 12% 15% 19% 5% 13% 16% 15% 20% 17% 6% 21% 22% 19% 9% 16% 20% 12% 23% 7% 19%
Very unfavorable 31% 34% 29% 15% 22% 40% 37% 39% 5% 27% 32% 42% 21% 20% 3% 69% 19% 24% 25% 40% 37% 25% 68% 4% 12%
Don't know/Refused 6% 5% 6% 4% 7% 5% 6% 5% 8% 7% 8% 5% 6% 3% 3% 2% 10% 4% 4% 7% 5% 9% 3% 1% 14%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 45% 51% 40% 26% 41% 51% 54% 53% 14% 37% 47% 50% 39% 40% 8% 87% 38% 42% 37% 57% 48% 34% 89% 7% 27%
Disapprove 52% 45% 58% 71% 58% 44% 46% 44% 84% 61% 49% 48% 59% 60% 91% 10% 59% 56% 62% 39% 48% 64% 8% 92% 69%
Don't know/Refused 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 5% 0% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 57% 63% 53% 46% 50% 69% 56% 65% 22% 54% 58% 62% 54% 49% 19% 95% 53% 57% 48% 62% 61% 50% 95% 19% 49%
Disapprove 39% 34% 43% 51% 48% 31% 35% 34% 71% 37% 34% 37% 43% 48% 74% 4% 42% 38% 52% 34% 35% 44% 3% 78% 40%
Don't know/Refused 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 9% 2% 7% 9% 7% 2% 3% 3% 6% 1% 5% 5% 0% 3% 4% 5% 1% 3% 11%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 49% 33% 16% 32% 54% 46% 51% 8% 29% 43% 44% 35% 35% 6% 82% 30% 39% 32% 48% 47% 28% 83% 6% 24%
Disapprove 50% 43% 57% 75% 57% 42% 42% 40% 84% 62% 48% 47% 56% 57% 86% 11% 57% 50% 66% 46% 43% 63% 9% 88% 62%
Don't know/Refused 9% 8% 10% 9% 11% 4% 12% 9% 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 8% 8% 6% 12% 11% 2% 6% 11% 10% 8% 6% 14%
Q9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q10B. Joe Biden
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
Q10A. Donald Trump
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
I´m going to read a few names of people in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of each person. [Q10A-Q10L ROTATED]
Q11B. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The economy
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
[Q11A-Q11E ROTATED] Q11A. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The coronavirus pandemic
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11C. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Criminal justice
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 2 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 33% 39% 28% 13% 18% 44% 42% 43% 5% 22% 38% 36% 26% 26% 2% 74% 20% 30% 15% 41% 42% 22% 71% 2% 21%
Disapprove 60% 56% 64% 83% 75% 52% 47% 53% 89% 69% 55% 57% 68% 71% 94% 19% 72% 66% 72% 49% 54% 73% 17% 96% 73%
Don't know/Refused 6% 5% 8% 4% 7% 4% 10% 4% 7% 9% 8% 7% 6% 2% 4% 7% 9% 4% 12% 10% 5% 5% 12% 2% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 30% 37% 24% 11% 18% 41% 37% 38% 8% 25% 34% 33% 23% 25% 3% 65% 19% 24% 28% 36% 36% 20% 64% 3% 18%
Disapprove 61% 55% 66% 86% 71% 51% 51% 54% 86% 67% 58% 59% 65% 69% 93% 24% 71% 69% 66% 51% 56% 71% 21% 94% 73%
Don't know/Refused 9% 7% 10% 3% 12% 8% 11% 9% 7% 8% 8% 9% 12% 6% 4% 11% 10% 7% 6% 13% 9% 9% 15% 3% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
George Floyd’s death was an isolated
incident30% 35% 26% 10% 23% 39% 37% 39% 12% 19% 28% 37% 28% 21% 7% 62% 20% 22% 20% 35% 36% 30% 63% 6% 19%
George Floyds' death is part of a broader
pattern of excessive police violence
toward African Americans
62% 58% 66% 85% 68% 53% 59% 53% 87% 74% 62% 58% 65% 73% 91% 30% 69% 67% 77% 56% 57% 66% 26% 92% 75%
Don't know/Refused 7% 7% 8% 5% 9% 8% 5% 7% 1% 6% 10% 6% 7% 6% 1% 8% 11% 11% 3% 9% 7% 4% 11% 2% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
I support the demonstrations because
they're mainly peaceful protests with an
important message
57% 53% 60% 79% 61% 51% 49% 51% 85% 62% 54% 54% 60% 65% 84% 23% 67% 62% 59% 49% 53% 68% 20% 87% 73%
I oppose the demonstrations because too
many have turned to violent rioting39% 43% 35% 18% 32% 47% 45% 45% 8% 36% 41% 42% 36% 28% 11% 71% 29% 35% 36% 45% 43% 29% 74% 11% 19%
Don't know/Refused 4% 4% 5% 3% 7% 2% 6% 4% 7% 3% 5% 4% 4% 7% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% 6% 2% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Hisp/
Latino
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other I-4
Miami-
Dade
North/
Rural Penninsula Southeast Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly agree 21% 22% 21% 15% 15% 26% 24% 23% 7% 24% 31% 21% 13% 11% 9% 40% 14% 20% 20% 21% 23% 21% 38% 7% 19%
Somewhat agree 15% 16% 14% 11% 12% 21% 13% 21% 4% 6% 13% 18% 16% 11% 6% 25% 13% 16% 5% 13% 20% 11% 25% 6% 14%
Somewhat disagree 11% 13% 10% 15% 12% 11% 9% 11% 6% 12% 10% 12% 12% 11% 7% 10% 15% 12% 12% 12% 9% 12% 12% 7% 12%
Strongly disagree 45% 42% 48% 58% 54% 37% 41% 41% 73% 42% 36% 44% 52% 63% 71% 18% 51% 46% 48% 46% 43% 47% 17% 78% 40%
Don't know/Refused 7% 7% 8% 2% 7% 5% 12% 3% 10% 15% 11% 6% 7% 4% 7% 8% 6% 6% 14% 7% 6% 9% 8% 3% 15%
Q11D. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Race relations
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q16. Recently, police officers in Minnesota were charged with killing an African American named George Floyd. Do you think: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11E. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The protests after the death of George Floyd
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q18. Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement: Today, discrimination against whites has become as big of a problem as discrimination against Blacks or other minorities
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q17. There have been demonstrations across the country after George Floyd´s death. Which of the following is closer to your opinion: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 3 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total
Demonstrations that become riots 33%
The way the criminal justice system treats
African Americans58%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Very serious problem 56%
Somewhat serious problem 28%
Not a very serious problem 8%
Not at all a problem 6%
Don't know/Refused 3%
Total
More likely to use deadly force against a
black person54%
More likely to use deadly force against a
white person4%
Race does not affect police use of deadly
force34%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Criminal justice system is biased against
African Americans58%
Criminal justice system treats people
equally regardless of race35%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
The federal government’s priority should
be to limit the spread of the coronavirus,
even if it hurts the economy
54%
The federal government’s priority should
be to restart the economy, even if it
increases the risk to public health
35%
Don't know/Refused 11%
*Q20. Do you think that systemic racism in the United States is a very serious problem, somewhat serious problem, not a very serious problem, or not at all a problem?
*Q19. What´s a more serious problem in America today: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q21B. In general, do you think the criminal justice system in the United States is biased against African Americans, or do you think the criminal justice system treats people equally regardless of race?
*Q21A. In general, do you think that the police are more likely to use deadly force against a black person, more likely to use deadly force against a white person, or do you think race does not affect police use of deadly force?
*Q24. And what comes closer to your view: [CHOICES ROTATED]
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 4 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total
Joe Biden 43%
Donald Trump 49%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 35%
Donald Trump 57%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 41%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 41%
Donald Trump 51%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 40%
Don't know/Refused 11%
Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following issues: [Q28A-Q28H ROTATED]
*Q28B. The economy
*Q28A. The coronavirus
*Q28D. Immigration
*Q28C. Health care
*Q28F. Handling the protests
*Q28E. China
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 5 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Total
Joe Biden 51%
Donald Trump 39%
Don't know/Refused 10%
Total
Joe Biden 49%
Donald Trump 40%
Don't know/Refused 11%
Total
A candidate who says that we need to be
tough on protests that go too far31%
A candidate who says we need to focus on
the cause of the protests even when they
go too far
62%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Comfortable 73%
Not comfortable 27%
Don't know/Refused 0%
Total
Still vote anyway 66%
Too uncomfortable to vote 33%
Don't know/Refused 1%
Total
Very enthusiastic 62%
Somewhat enthusiastic 23%
Not very enthusiastic 5%
Not at all enthusiastic 8%
Don't know/Refused 1%
*Q28H. Unifying America
*Q28G. Race relations
*Q29D. A candidate who says that we need to be tough on protests that go too far, or a candidate who says we need to focus on the cause of the protests even when they go too far
Next, I´m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you´d prefer as president: [Q29A-Q29D ROTATED]
*Q33. (If not comfortable voting) Do you think you would still vote anyway, or do you think you would be too uncomfortable to vote?
*Q32. Next, imagine that the presidential election was held this week, but the only way to vote was to vote in-person. Would you feel comfortable or not comfortable voting?
*Q34. And when it comes to the November election, would you say you´re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting, or not at all enthusiastic?
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 6 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
651 Florida Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.6%
Gender
Male 46%
Female 54%
Age
18 to 29 16%
30 to 44 21%
45 to 64 32%
65 and older 27%
Race/Ethnicity
White 58%
Black/African American 12%
Hispanic/Latino 22%
Other 6%
Education
Trade/High school or less 33%
Some college 32%
Bachelors degree 21%
Postgraduate degree 12%
Party ID
Democrat 31%
Republican 35%
Independent/Other 33%
Region
I-4 22%
Miami-Dade 11%
North/Rural 17%
Penninsula 35%
Southeast 16%
2016 Vote
Voted for Trump 39%
Voted for Clinton 34%
Didn't vote in 2016 19%
Nature of the Sample
Registered Voters of Florida
* asked of half of registered voters FL0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 7 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Almost certain 58% 56% 59% 41% 44% 69% 64% 61% 55% 53% 62% 55% 63% 63% 66% 49% 59% 57% 55% 58% 67% 65% 36%
Very likely 27% 27% 28% 34% 30% 23% 27% 25% 33% 22% 28% 33% 33% 29% 27% 29% 25% 27% 37% 23% 25% 30% 21%
Somewhat likely 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 4% 2% 4% 3% 8% 3% 5% 1% 4% 3% 6% 5% 1% 2% 9% 1% 2% 16%
Not very likely 3% 3% 3% 10% 4% 1% 1% 3% 0% 7% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 6% 3% 7% 2% 3% 2% 0% 10%
Not at all likely 4% 6% 2% 7% 9% 2% 1% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1% 6% 5% 2% 3% 5% 1% 0% 14%
Don't know/Refused 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 1% 5% 2% 4% 6% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 3% 7% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat 47% 40% 53% 53% 44% 47% 50% 40% 83% 45% 40% 50% 67% 90% 7% 41% 51% 45% 54% 35% 7% 92% 47%
Donald Trump, the Republican 36% 41% 32% 21% 32% 42% 38% 43% 4% 36% 40% 36% 21% 3% 85% 32% 29% 38% 32% 50% 84% 2% 24%
Another candidate 3% 5% 2% 7% 5% 3% 1% 3% 1% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 1% 6% 3% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1% 6%
Wouldn't vote 5% 6% 3% 10% 9% 2% 0% 5% 4% 6% 3% 7% 3% 1% 0% 9% 7% 4% 3% 3% 1% 0% 14%
Don't know/No opinion 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 7% 11% 9% 7% 9% 12% 5% 8% 4% 6% 12% 11% 8% 8% 10% 7% 5% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 10% 13% 8% 12% 15% 7% 9% 13% 3% 14% 12% 2% 8% 4% 40% 10% 11% 7% 10% 10% 44% 2% 15%
Not really any chance 81% 79% 83% 83% 74% 85% 83% 79% 94% 79% 77% 92% 85% 95% 51% 76% 81% 86% 84% 77% 40% 96% 74%
Don't know/Refused 9% 9% 9% 6% 10% 8% 8% 8% 3% 7% 11% 6% 7% 1% 9% 14% 9% 6% 6% 13% 16% 2% 11%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 13% 15% 11% 28% 19% 9% 5% 11% 44% 8% 16% 17% 8% 43% 6% 18% 21% 8% 6% 8% 5% 73% 16%
Not really any chance 78% 78% 77% 60% 72% 84% 86% 82% 39% 84% 75% 74% 77% 49% 91% 70% 70% 76% 88% 82% 91% 19% 72%
Don't know/Refused 10% 7% 12% 12% 9% 6% 10% 7% 17% 8% 9% 9% 15% 8% 3% 12% 9% 16% 5% 10% 4% 8% 12%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Donald Trump 84% 83% 86% 87% 81% 83% 85% 85% 100% 89% 82% 75% 88% 60% 86% 82% 83% 84% 83% 85% 84% 74% 87%
A vote against Joe Biden 10% 11% 10% 0% 12% 13% 9% 10% 0% 6% 11% 19% 12% 20% 10% 13% 9% 8% 13% 12% 12% 0% 3%
Don't know/Refused 5% 6% 5% 13% 8% 4% 6% 4% 0% 5% 7% 7% 0% 20% 4% 6% 8% 8% 4% 3% 4% 26% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Joe Biden 44% 43% 45% 43% 28% 50% 50% 38% 62% 53% 41% 36% 44% 57% 30% 26% 58% 41% 30% 32% 38% 50% 36%
A vote against Donald Trump 52% 53% 50% 53% 67% 45% 47% 57% 35% 46% 52% 62% 47% 39% 56% 71% 39% 49% 65% 65% 56% 45% 60%
Don't know/Refused 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 4% 1% 7% 2% 9% 4% 14% 3% 2% 10% 5% 3% 6% 5% 4%
Q5B. (If voting for Biden) Is your vote more of a vote for Joe Biden or a vote against Donald Trump?
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q4. (If voting for Trump) Is there some chance you´ll support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q3. (If votin for Biden) Is there some chance you´ll support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5A. (If voting for Trump) Is your vote more of a vote for Donald Trump or a vote against Joe Biden?
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 1 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly approve 28% 27% 28% 8% 17% 38% 34% 33% 6% 33% 27% 24% 20% 6% 68% 19% 18% 34% 29% 39% 66% 2% 16%
Somewhat approve 13% 17% 9% 17% 20% 10% 8% 15% 1% 11% 19% 12% 5% 2% 20% 19% 15% 12% 7% 16% 24% 1% 14%
Somewhat disapprove 9% 10% 8% 15% 15% 5% 5% 8% 11% 10% 9% 9% 7% 9% 3% 14% 11% 5% 11% 7% 2% 10% 11%
Strongly disapprove 46% 42% 51% 57% 42% 44% 50% 40% 80% 45% 40% 52% 63% 82% 8% 45% 52% 45% 52% 35% 6% 86% 55%
Don't know/Refused 4% 4% 3% 2% 7% 3% 3% 3% 1% 1% 5% 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 6% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 27% 27% 27% 11% 15% 36% 33% 33% 1% 31% 27% 23% 17% 3% 69% 19% 16% 34% 27% 38% 66% 0% 14%
Somewhat favorable 15% 17% 13% 14% 24% 11% 11% 17% 5% 17% 18% 11% 6% 3% 20% 20% 17% 15% 9% 17% 23% 3% 17%
Somewhat unfavorable 7% 8% 6% 16% 15% 3% 3% 7% 6% 6% 8% 9% 9% 7% 2% 12% 9% 7% 6% 7% 3% 6% 14%
Very unfavorable 48% 44% 53% 57% 44% 48% 50% 42% 85% 44% 43% 58% 65% 85% 7% 47% 55% 45% 55% 35% 5% 90% 52%
Don't know/Refused 3% 4% 1% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% 4% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 25% 22% 29% 16% 15% 26% 41% 19% 69% 26% 21% 29% 35% 61% 4% 14% 34% 26% 21% 16% 3% 60% 15%
Somewhat favorable 25% 23% 28% 40% 35% 23% 15% 25% 26% 22% 27% 24% 33% 30% 8% 34% 26% 23% 28% 23% 7% 36% 34%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 20% 10% 19% 22% 12% 10% 18% 0% 14% 16% 16% 15% 5% 15% 24% 14% 13% 14% 19% 23% 2% 16%
Very unfavorable 30% 32% 28% 21% 25% 35% 32% 34% 5% 35% 31% 30% 14% 3% 69% 25% 22% 34% 34% 38% 65% 1% 27%
Don't know/Refused 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 0% 3% 5% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 1% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 39% 43% 35% 24% 34% 45% 40% 45% 7% 41% 42% 34% 30% 9% 84% 34% 31% 44% 39% 48% 85% 4% 26%
Disapprove 59% 56% 62% 76% 64% 54% 56% 54% 93% 57% 57% 63% 70% 91% 14% 64% 68% 53% 60% 49% 13% 96% 73%
Don't know/Refused 2% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 4% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 2% 3% 0% 3% 1% 0% 1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 53% 56% 50% 32% 56% 58% 56% 60% 24% 54% 57% 52% 46% 22% 91% 56% 47% 61% 49% 62% 93% 19% 45%
Disapprove 42% 39% 45% 63% 37% 40% 39% 35% 70% 41% 37% 47% 50% 73% 7% 40% 49% 36% 46% 30% 5% 75% 51%
Don't know/Refused 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 2% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 1% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 2% 5% 8% 1% 5% 4%
I´m going to read a few names of people in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of each person. [Q10A-Q10L ROTATED]
Q11B. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The economy
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
[Q11A-Q11E ROTATED] Q11A. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The coronavirus pandemic
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10B. Joe Biden
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10A. Donald Trump
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 2 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 44% 36% 24% 35% 46% 43% 48% 7% 44% 42% 38% 30% 9% 84% 39% 33% 49% 38% 49% 83% 6% 28%
Disapprove 53% 50% 56% 71% 60% 47% 49% 47% 86% 50% 51% 58% 64% 88% 10% 54% 59% 49% 60% 41% 12% 89% 64%
Don't know/Refused 7% 6% 8% 5% 5% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 7% 4% 7% 3% 6% 7% 8% 2% 2% 10% 5% 5% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 33% 34% 31% 8% 25% 42% 38% 38% 6% 38% 33% 29% 23% 5% 71% 30% 26% 38% 29% 42% 72% 3% 21%
Disapprove 62% 61% 63% 88% 68% 55% 56% 57% 91% 57% 62% 67% 76% 94% 19% 66% 69% 58% 68% 48% 20% 94% 76%
Don't know/Refused 5% 5% 6% 4% 7% 3% 6% 5% 3% 5% 6% 4% 1% 1% 10% 4% 4% 4% 3% 9% 8% 3% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 28% 31% 25% 8% 21% 35% 32% 33% 5% 30% 31% 23% 20% 6% 62% 23% 22% 29% 26% 37% 60% 3% 19%
Disapprove 65% 63% 66% 88% 71% 59% 58% 60% 89% 60% 65% 71% 74% 92% 25% 69% 71% 64% 69% 52% 29% 92% 79%
Don't know/Refused 8% 6% 9% 4% 8% 5% 10% 8% 6% 10% 5% 6% 5% 2% 13% 7% 7% 7% 5% 11% 11% 5% 3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
George Floyd’s death was an isolated
incident25% 25% 24% 13% 23% 24% 33% 30% 4% 31% 24% 19% 18% 7% 50% 23% 14% 36% 24% 36% 44% 7% 24%
George Floyds' death is part of a broader
pattern of excessive police violence toward
African Americans
63% 63% 63% 82% 69% 62% 53% 58% 94% 59% 65% 68% 71% 89% 32% 65% 72% 56% 69% 48% 37% 88% 69%
Don't know/Refused 12% 11% 12% 5% 8% 14% 14% 12% 1% 10% 11% 12% 11% 4% 18% 12% 13% 8% 7% 16% 19% 5% 7%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
I support the demonstrations because
they're mainly peaceful protests with an
important message
55% 54% 56% 75% 64% 49% 50% 49% 88% 49% 53% 64% 67% 85% 22% 54% 64% 52% 57% 42% 24% 86% 60%
I oppose the demonstrations because too
many have turned to violent rioting38% 40% 37% 23% 25% 47% 43% 45% 9% 47% 40% 28% 29% 13% 72% 38% 29% 39% 37% 53% 68% 12% 34%
Don't know/Refused 7% 6% 7% 3% 10% 4% 7% 6% 3% 4% 7% 7% 4% 2% 6% 8% 7% 9% 6% 5% 9% 2% 6%
Q17. There have been demonstrations across the country after George Floyd´s death. Which of the following is closer to your opinion: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q16. Recently, police officers in Minnesota were charged with killing an African American named George Floyd. Do you think: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11E. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The protests after the death of George Floyd
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11D. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Race relations
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11C. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Criminal justice
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 3 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Detroit/ Detroit
Suburbs
Ind.
South
Metro
South Rural Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly agree 15% 17% 14% 6% 9% 23% 14% 17% 9% 20% 17% 9% 7% 11% 27% 11% 10% 19% 16% 21% 26% 8% 15%
Somewhat agree 20% 22% 19% 18% 15% 21% 27% 25% 0% 23% 25% 14% 14% 8% 36% 21% 15% 29% 17% 27% 36% 9% 18%
Somewhat disagree 18% 20% 15% 20% 21% 15% 18% 20% 14% 16% 18% 25% 13% 13% 19% 22% 21% 17% 14% 15% 17% 14% 17%
Strongly disagree 40% 35% 45% 55% 51% 37% 27% 33% 70% 32% 35% 50% 62% 62% 10% 42% 46% 30% 49% 29% 12% 65% 46%
Don't know/Refused 7% 6% 7% 2% 4% 3% 13% 6% 7% 10% 5% 2% 4% 6% 8% 4% 8% 5% 3% 8% 9% 5% 4%
Total
Demonstrations that become riots 35%
The way the criminal justice system treats
African Americans
53%
Don't know/Refused 12%
Total
Very serious problem 50%
Somewhat serious problem 31%
Not a very serious problem 9%
Not at all a problem 6%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Total
More likely to use deadly force against a
black person53%
More likely to use deadly force against a
white person3%
Race does not affect police use of deadly
force36%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Criminal justice system is biased against
African Americans59%
Criminal justice system treats people
equally regardless of race35%
Don't know/Refused 6%
*Q21B. In general, do you think the criminal justice system in the United States is biased against African Americans, or do you think the criminal justice system treats people equally regardless of race?
*Q21A. In general, do you think that the police are more likely to use deadly force against a black person, more likely to use deadly force against a white person, or do you think race does not affect police use of deadly force?
*Q20. Do you think that systemic racism in the United States is a very serious problem, somewhat serious problem, not a very serious problem, or not at all a problem?
*Q19. What´s a more serious problem in America today: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Q18. Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement: Today, discrimination against whites has become as big of a problem as discrimination against Blacks or other minorities
Gender Age Race/ Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 4 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
The federal government’s priority should
be to limit the spread of the coronavirus,
even if it hurts the economy
55%
The federal government’s priority should
be to restart the economy, even if it
increases the risk to public health
33%
Don't know/Refused 12%
Total
Joe Biden 52%
Donald Trump 40%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 42%
Donald Trump 51%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 55%
Donald Trump 38%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 41%
Don't know/Refused 11%
Total
Joe Biden 47%
Donald Trump 42%
Don't know/Refused 11%
*Q28E. China
*Q28D. Immigration
*Q28C. Health care
*Q28A. The coronavirus
Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following issues: [Q28A-Q28H ROTATED]
*Q28B. The economy
*Q24. And what comes closer to your view: [CHOICES ROTATED]
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 5 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Joe Biden 56%
Donald Trump 36%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 59%
Donald Trump 33%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Joe Biden 54%
Donald Trump 35%
Don't know/Refused 12%
Total
A candidate who says that we need to be
tough on protests that go too far25%
A candidate who says we need to focus on
the cause of the protests even when they
go too far
70%
Don't know/Refused 5%
Total
Comfortable 73%
Not comfortable 25%
Don't know/Refused 2%
Total
Still vote anyway 71%
Too uncomfortable to vote 26%
Don't know/Refused 3%
*Q33. (If not comfortable voting) Do you think you would still vote anyway, or do you think you would be too uncomfortable to vote?
*Q32. Next, imagine that the presidential election was held this week, but the only way to vote was to vote in-person. Would you feel comfortable or not comfortable voting?
Next, I´m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you´d prefer as president: [Q29A-Q29D ROTATED]
*Q29D. A candidate who says that we need to be tough on protests that go too far, or a candidate who says we need to focus on the cause of the protests even when they go too far
*Q28H. Unifying America
*Q28G. Race relations
*Q28F. Handling the protests
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 6 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-17, 2020
610 Michigan Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Very enthusiastic 54%
Somewhat enthusiastic 23%
Not very enthusiastic 10%
Not at all enthusiastic 12%
Don't know/Refused 1%
Gender
Male 48%
Female 52%
Age
18 to 29 14%
30 to 44 22%
45 to 64 34%
65 and older 24%
Race/Ethnicity
White 72%
Black/African American 12%
Other 12%
Education
Trade/High school or less 34%
Some college 34%
Bachelors degree 19%
Postgraduate degree 11%
Party ID
Democrat 31%
Republican 25%
Independent/Other 37%
Region
Detroit/Detroit Suburbs 39%
Ind. South 14%
Metro South 21%
Rural 26%
2016 Vote
Voted for Trump 34%
Voted for Clinton 34%
Didn't vote in 2016 22%
Nature of the Sample
Registered Voters of Michigan
*Q34. And when it comes to the November election, would you say you´re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting, or not at all enthusiastic?
* asked of half of registered voters MI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 7 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Almost certain 73% 73% 73% 64% 65% 78% 79% 74% 81% 73% 66% 80% 80% 76% 82% 62% 69% 69% 71% 81% 67% 79% 78% 77% 53%
Very likely 20% 20% 20% 23% 26% 16% 17% 20% 11% 18% 25% 16% 19% 17% 14% 29% 28% 20% 18% 15% 26% 18% 17% 18% 30%
Somewhat likely 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 5% 3% 0% 5% 1% 3% 2% 5% 7% 0% 4% 1% 1% 3% 8%
Not very likely 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 5%
Not at all likely 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Don't know/Refused 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 3% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat 49% 42% 54% 66% 47% 43% 46% 36% 84% 45% 42% 57% 65% 93% 4% 49% 33% 39% 74% 66% 57% 41% 3% 94% 56%
Donald Trump, the Republican 40% 47% 34% 19% 40% 48% 44% 52% 8% 46% 44% 33% 25% 2% 90% 31% 52% 47% 14% 26% 34% 49% 88% 1% 28%
Another candidate 3% 3% 3% 8% 5% 0% 4% 5% 0% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 1% 8% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 8%
Wouldn't vote 1% 2% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Don't know/No opinion 7% 6% 8% 3% 8% 9% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 6% 4% 3% 10% 9% 8% 9% 5% 6% 7% 6% 4% 7%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 11% 1% 2% 10% 10% 5% 1% 28% 12% 16% 9% 4% 2% 7% 6% 46% 1% 7%
Not really any chance 87% 87% 88% 91% 87% 86% 87% 83% 96% 91% 83% 89% 89% 98% 63% 81% 81% 82% 88% 95% 91% 87% 29% 98% 88%
Don't know/Refused 6% 6% 6% 1% 5% 8% 5% 6% 3% 7% 7% 1% 5% 1% 10% 7% 3% 9% 8% 3% 1% 6% 24% 1% 5%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 12% 10% 15% 17% 17% 10% 7% 10% 30% 13% 7% 14% 22% 56% 5% 18% 18% 10% 24% 14% 12% 10% 4% 82% 23%
Not really any chance 81% 84% 78% 80% 78% 84% 86% 86% 51% 82% 86% 82% 65% 35% 94% 71% 79% 84% 56% 79% 84% 84% 93% 5% 69%
Don't know/Refused 7% 6% 7% 3% 5% 6% 7% 4% 19% 5% 7% 4% 13% 9% 0% 12% 3% 7% 20% 8% 3% 6% 3% 12% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Donald Trump 82% 76% 89% 72% 70% 82% 92% 82% 82% 82% 85% 78% 72% 34% 86% 73% 80% 86% 82% 66% 83% 82% 85% 100% 65%
A vote against Joe Biden 15% 19% 11% 12% 28% 17% 6% 15% 18% 15% 12% 20% 28% 66% 11% 25% 14% 13% 18% 17% 17% 18% 13% 0% 24%
Don't know/Refused 3% 6% 0% 15% 3% 1% 3% 3% 0% 3% 4% 2% 0% 0% 3% 3% 6% 1% 0% 17% 0% 0% 2% 0% 11%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Joe Biden 44% 48% 42% 28% 35% 65% 44% 37% 59% 56% 43% 45% 28% 52% 56% 30% 44% 53% 49% 41% 39% 35% 26% 50% 31%
A vote against Donald Trump 47% 45% 48% 64% 56% 32% 40% 53% 35% 36% 47% 48% 61% 41% 44% 58% 45% 40% 45% 52% 39% 60% 57% 42% 59%
Don't know/Refused 9% 8% 9% 8% 10% 3% 16% 10% 6% 8% 10% 7% 11% 7% 0% 13% 11% 7% 5% 7% 22% 5% 17% 8% 10%
Q5B. (If voting for Biden) Is your vote more of a vote for Joe Biden or a vote against Donald Trump?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5A. (If voting for Trump) Is your vote more of a vote for Donald Trump or a vote against Joe Biden?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q4. (If voting for Trump) Is there some chance you´ll support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
Q3. (If voting for Biden) Is there some chance you´ll support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 1 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly approve 33% 38% 29% 11% 32% 38% 41% 41% 7% 41% 36% 22% 21% 3% 74% 25% 43% 38% 15% 17% 27% 44% 71% 4% 18%
Somewhat approve 12% 13% 10% 8% 12% 17% 8% 15% 3% 10% 12% 14% 10% 2% 18% 15% 13% 12% 4% 10% 19% 10% 18% 2% 15%
Somewhat disapprove 7% 7% 7% 13% 6% 5% 6% 8% 6% 4% 9% 8% 7% 8% 2% 11% 10% 10% 2% 2% 5% 8% 5% 8% 5%
Strongly disapprove 45% 38% 51% 63% 46% 37% 42% 34% 79% 40% 39% 53% 59% 85% 3% 46% 33% 34% 74% 67% 47% 36% 3% 84% 56%
Don't know/Refused 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 1% 2% 4% 1% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 33% 41% 27% 12% 35% 39% 39% 42% 6% 41% 38% 23% 16% 1% 79% 23% 44% 40% 13% 17% 22% 44% 74% 0% 19%
Somewhat favorable 11% 9% 12% 10% 8% 14% 9% 14% 3% 9% 11% 13% 12% 3% 14% 15% 14% 11% 5% 7% 18% 10% 16% 2% 15%
Somewhat unfavorable 6% 9% 4% 10% 7% 4% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 8% 7% 7% 3% 9% 4% 6% 11% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 5%
Very unfavorable 46% 38% 54% 64% 48% 38% 43% 36% 80% 42% 40% 55% 62% 89% 3% 48% 35% 37% 68% 66% 52% 38% 1% 88% 55%
Don't know/Refused 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2% 4% 4% 5% 1% 3% 0% 1% 5% 2% 6% 3% 4% 1% 2% 3% 2% 5%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 27% 23% 31% 15% 20% 33% 34% 17% 61% 31% 20% 29% 31% 61% 3% 19% 26% 27% 46% 28% 28% 17% 1% 59% 16%
Somewhat favorable 24% 20% 27% 43% 32% 14% 17% 21% 24% 18% 21% 29% 37% 33% 6% 32% 16% 19% 26% 33% 28% 25% 5% 35% 40%
Somewhat unfavorable 12% 11% 13% 18% 11% 12% 11% 17% 2% 10% 18% 9% 10% 4% 18% 15% 16% 10% 12% 11% 16% 13% 17% 5% 18%
Very unfavorable 34% 42% 28% 21% 36% 38% 36% 43% 9% 38% 37% 31% 20% 2% 73% 30% 40% 41% 13% 25% 23% 44% 74% 1% 22%
Don't know/Refused 3% 4% 2% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 0% 1% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 42% 47% 38% 17% 46% 51% 46% 52% 13% 49% 45% 34% 29% 5% 89% 35% 49% 52% 22% 25% 37% 48% 84% 5% 32%
Disapprove 53% 46% 58% 77% 52% 44% 50% 43% 83% 45% 49% 65% 65% 93% 7% 60% 44% 42% 77% 70% 62% 45% 10% 93% 62%
Don't know/Refused 5% 7% 4% 7% 3% 6% 4% 5% 4% 7% 6% 1% 6% 2% 4% 5% 7% 6% 1% 5% 1% 7% 6% 3% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 57% 65% 50% 37% 56% 65% 62% 68% 21% 61% 60% 51% 48% 18% 96% 60% 71% 63% 35% 37% 56% 67% 96% 22% 50%
Disapprove 39% 31% 45% 55% 40% 32% 35% 28% 73% 34% 35% 46% 49% 80% 2% 35% 27% 31% 62% 56% 43% 30% 1% 75% 47%
Don't know/Refused 4% 4% 4% 8% 4% 3% 2% 3% 6% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 2% 6% 3% 7% 1% 3% 3% 4% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 48% 34% 21% 41% 48% 43% 51% 10% 44% 45% 35% 24% 3% 86% 36% 50% 49% 21% 27% 31% 46% 83% 3% 34%
Disapprove 51% 42% 57% 74% 49% 41% 47% 40% 82% 46% 46% 57% 64% 94% 5% 52% 45% 39% 74% 65% 62% 43% 7% 91% 60%
Don't know/Refused 9% 9% 9% 5% 9% 10% 10% 9% 7% 10% 9% 8% 11% 3% 9% 11% 5% 12% 5% 8% 8% 11% 10% 6% 6%
I´m going to read a few names of people in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of each person. [Q10A-Q10L ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11B. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The economy
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
[Q11A-Q11E ROTATED] Q11A. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The coronavirus pandemic
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11C. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Criminal justice
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10A. Donald Trump
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10B. Joe Biden
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 2 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 34% 37% 31% 15% 33% 40% 40% 44% 6% 40% 39% 25% 18% 2% 79% 25% 45% 40% 16% 23% 21% 43% 74% 1% 26%
Disapprove 59% 52% 64% 79% 59% 51% 54% 49% 87% 51% 54% 69% 74% 97% 12% 67% 50% 48% 80% 73% 73% 50% 18% 95% 67%
Don't know/Refused 7% 10% 5% 6% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 9% 7% 5% 8% 1% 9% 8% 5% 12% 4% 4% 6% 7% 9% 3% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 33% 38% 28% 14% 33% 40% 36% 42% 8% 38% 35% 26% 22% 2% 72% 27% 48% 39% 14% 20% 24% 37% 70% 3% 22%
Disapprove 59% 54% 63% 81% 56% 52% 56% 49% 87% 51% 55% 71% 71% 97% 18% 63% 46% 50% 77% 72% 70% 55% 22% 92% 68%
Don't know/Refused 8% 7% 9% 5% 11% 9% 8% 9% 5% 12% 9% 3% 7% 1% 10% 10% 5% 10% 8% 8% 6% 8% 8% 4% 11%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
George Floyd’s death was an isolated
incident30% 37% 25% 10% 31% 36% 40% 40% 5% 33% 35% 26% 18% 6% 63% 24% 43% 33% 18% 19% 25% 39% 62% 6% 19%
George Floyds' death is part of a broader
pattern of excessive police violence
toward African Americans
60% 53% 66% 87% 63% 52% 49% 50% 89% 54% 58% 67% 74% 90% 25% 67% 46% 56% 76% 74% 61% 56% 26% 87% 75%
Don't know/Refused 9% 9% 9% 3% 6% 12% 11% 10% 6% 13% 7% 7% 8% 4% 12% 9% 11% 11% 6% 7% 15% 6% 12% 7% 6%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
I support the demonstrations because
they're mainly peaceful protests with an
important message
52% 48% 56% 75% 55% 46% 43% 41% 82% 44% 48% 65% 64% 83% 16% 58% 45% 42% 72% 68% 61% 46% 16% 86% 60%
I oppose the demonstrations because too
many have turned to violent rioting42% 46% 39% 24% 36% 49% 52% 53% 13% 50% 47% 34% 30% 14% 77% 36% 51% 49% 23% 30% 35% 50% 78% 11% 31%
Don't know/Refused 5% 6% 4% 1% 9% 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 6% 1% 6% 3% 6% 6% 3% 8% 6% 2% 4% 4% 6% 3% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
CLT
Metro East Mecklenburg
Raleigh/
Durham
Triad/Urban
Crescent West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly agree 23% 26% 21% 8% 23% 30% 27% 27% 15% 31% 27% 15% 14% 11% 45% 16% 32% 25% 11% 14% 22% 31% 43% 8% 15%
Somewhat agree 16% 16% 15% 12% 14% 16% 19% 20% 6% 17% 17% 15% 9% 4% 21% 23% 20% 20% 13% 11% 12% 12% 26% 6% 13%
Somewhat disagree 16% 13% 17% 14% 13% 15% 20% 16% 17% 16% 15% 18% 15% 17% 17% 13% 16% 19% 20% 8% 13% 15% 14% 15% 18%
Strongly disagree 40% 37% 42% 62% 48% 34% 28% 32% 58% 29% 38% 47% 59% 66% 11% 42% 28% 26% 53% 64% 49% 38% 10% 67% 49%
Don't know/Refused 6% 7% 5% 4% 2% 6% 6% 5% 4% 7% 4% 5% 4% 3% 5% 6% 5% 9% 4% 3% 3% 5% 7% 4% 5%
Total
Demonstrations that become riots 35%
The way the criminal justice system treats
African Americans56%
Don't know/Refused 9%
*Q19. What´s a more serious problem in America today: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Q18. Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement: Today, discrimination against whites has become as big of a problem as discrimination against Blacks or other minorities
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q17. There have been demonstrations across the country after George Floyd´s death. Which of the following is closer to your opinion: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q16. Recently, police officers in Minnesota were charged with killing an African American named George Floyd. Do you think: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11E. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The protests after the death of George Floyd
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11D. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Race relations
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 3 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Total
Very serious problem 51%
Somewhat serious problem 28%
Not a very serious problem 12%
Not at all a problem 7%
Don't know/Refused 2%
Total
More likely to use deadly force against a
black person56%
More likely to use deadly force against a
white person4%
Race does not affect police use of deadly
force34%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Criminal justice system is biased against
African Americans55%
Criminal justice system treats people
equally regardless of race37%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
The federal government’s priority should
be to limit the spread of the coronavirus,
even if it hurts the economy
54%
The federal government’s priority should
be to restart the economy, even if it
increases the risk to public health
37%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 42%
Don't know/Refused 10%
*Q28A. The coronavirus
Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following issues: [Q28A-Q28H ROTATED]
*Q21B. In general, do you think the criminal justice system in the United States is biased against African Americans, or do you think the criminal justice system treats people equally regardless of race?
*Q24. And what comes closer to your view: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q21A. In general, do you think that the police are more likely to use deadly force against a black person, more likely to use deadly force against a white person, or do you think race does not affect police use of deadly force?
*Q20. Do you think that systemic racism in the United States is a very serious problem, somewhat serious problem, not a very serious problem, or not at all a problem?
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 4 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Total
Joe Biden 41%
Donald Trump 53%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Joe Biden 51%
Donald Trump 41%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 44%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 42%
Donald Trump 49%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 54%
Donald Trump 39%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 57%
Donald Trump 35%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 53%
Donald Trump 37%
Don't know/Refused 9%
*Q28H. Unifying America
*Q28G. Race relations
*Q28F. Handling the protests
*Q28E. China
*Q28D. Immigration
*Q28C. Health care
*Q28B. The economy
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 5 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Total
A candidate who says that we need to be
tough on protests that go too far32%
A candidate who says we need to focus on
the cause of the protests even when they
go too far
61%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Comfortable 80%
Not comfortable 18%
Don't know/Refused 1%
Total
Still vote anyway 67%
Too uncomfortable to vote 28%
Don't know/Refused 5%
Total
Very enthusiastic 64%
Somewhat enthusiastic 21%
Not very enthusiastic 9%
Not at all enthusiastic 6%
Don't know/Refused 1%
*Q34. And when it comes to the November election, would you say you´re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting, or not at all enthusiastic?
*Q33. (If not comfortable voting) Do you think you would still vote anyway, or do you think you would be too uncomfortable to vote?
*Q32. Next, imagine that the presidential election was held this week, but the only way to vote was to vote in-person. Would you feel comfortable or not comfortable voting?
Next, I´m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you´d prefer as president: [Q29A-Q29D ROTATED]
*Q29D. A candidate who says that we need to be tough on protests that go too far, or a candidate who says we need to focus on the cause of the protests even when they go too far
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 6 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-18, 2020
653 North Carolina Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.1%
Gender
Male 45%
Female 55%
Age
18 to 29 18%
30 to 44 20%
45 to 64 33%
65 and older 25%
Race/Ethnicity
White 65%
Black/African American 20%
Other 13%
Education
Trade/High school or less 31%
Some college 34%
Bachelors degree 22%
Postgraduate degree 12%
Party ID
Democrat 33%
Republican 31%
Independent/Other 33%
Region
CLT Metro 11%
East 34%
Mecklenburg 10%
Raleigh/Durham 15%
Triad/Urban Crescent 11%
West 19%
2016 Vote
Voted for Trump 37%
Voted for Clinton 38%
Didn't vote in 2016 16%
Nature of the Sample
Registered Voters of North Carolina
* asked of half of registered voters NC0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 7 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
651 Pennsylvania Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Almost certain 70% 71% 68% 66% 71% 76% 70% 69% 68% 67% 65% 74% 83% 73% 72% 66% 85% 57% 74% 71% 69% 72% 70% 75% 57%
Very likely 24% 21% 27% 26% 24% 20% 22% 25% 22% 23% 31% 22% 15% 22% 25% 25% 13% 36% 16% 18% 25% 25% 26% 20% 29%
Somewhat likely 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 3% 4% 3% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 6% 6% 8% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5%
Not very likely 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Not at all likely 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 8%
Don't know/Refused 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat 50% 47% 54% 66% 53% 48% 55% 48% 79% 41% 49% 61% 66% 91% 5% 53% 63% 44% 48% 75% 53% 39% 5% 92% 63%
Donald Trump, the Republican 40% 44% 36% 25% 37% 48% 37% 43% 15% 47% 44% 30% 27% 4% 89% 33% 29% 43% 35% 15% 35% 59% 86% 3% 32%
Another candidate 2% 3% 2% 4% 4% 0% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 6% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Wouldn't vote 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 4% 1% 2% 0% 1% 4% 0% 1% 2% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 6% 4% 7% 4% 5% 3% 4% 6% 5% 8% 4% 6% 3% 3% 4% 6% 5% 8% 11% 7% 6% 2% 6% 2% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 10% 11% 9% 5% 10% 3% 8% 11% 5% 14% 9% 9% 4% 6% 41% 7% 6% 10% 21% 7% 15% 2% 49% 4% 5%
Not really any chance 85% 86% 85% 92% 87% 95% 86% 84% 93% 79% 88% 89% 92% 93% 46% 87% 90% 81% 76% 89% 82% 92% 47% 94% 90%
Don't know/Refused 5% 3% 6% 3% 3% 2% 5% 5% 2% 7% 3% 3% 5% 1% 13% 6% 3% 9% 3% 3% 3% 6% 3% 2% 5%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 15% 16% 13% 27% 11% 12% 11% 12% 49% 12% 16% 21% 10% 44% 8% 19% 28% 10% 17% 36% 22% 5% 8% 53% 25%
Not really any chance 80% 82% 79% 63% 81% 86% 86% 83% 42% 80% 83% 76% 85% 48% 91% 72% 69% 85% 81% 46% 71% 92% 91% 18% 63%
Don't know/Refused 5% 2% 8% 9% 8% 2% 3% 5% 10% 8% 1% 4% 4% 8% 1% 10% 3% 5% 2% 18% 6% 3% 0% 28% 11%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Donald Trump 76% 75% 76% 62% 79% 84% 84% 76% 69% 76% 72% 78% 83% 76% 80% 58% 70% 79% 75% 48% 81% 76% 80% 76% 39%
A vote against Joe Biden 20% 19% 21% 31% 18% 13% 15% 20% 13% 20% 20% 17% 17% 24% 16% 33% 30% 17% 18% 38% 14% 21% 18% 0% 45%
Don't know/Refused 4% 6% 3% 7% 3% 3% 1% 4% 17% 3% 8% 5% 0% 0% 4% 9% 0% 4% 7% 14% 5% 4% 3% 24% 15%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Joe Biden 40% 39% 41% 25% 28% 33% 56% 36% 61% 46% 42% 32% 37% 43% 46% 30% 38% 36% 48% 44% 43% 35% 49% 44% 23%
A vote against Donald Trump 54% 54% 55% 72% 63% 60% 40% 58% 35% 49% 50% 63% 57% 50% 46% 67% 49% 55% 38% 56% 54% 62% 41% 51% 67%
Don't know/Refused 6% 7% 5% 3% 9% 8% 4% 6% 4% 5% 7% 5% 6% 7% 8% 3% 13% 9% 14% 0% 3% 3% 10% 6% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly approve 27% 30% 25% 11% 21% 44% 30% 28% 4% 34% 28% 17% 18% 3% 62% 15% 18% 32% 21% 8% 25% 39% 59% 2% 15%
Somewhat approve 14% 15% 13% 11% 21% 4% 11% 15% 11% 15% 16% 14% 10% 4% 24% 16% 8% 18% 22% 9% 9% 17% 27% 3% 9%
Somewhat disapprove 9% 8% 10% 17% 7% 4% 9% 10% 4% 12% 6% 10% 7% 8% 7% 12% 7% 7% 14% 9% 12% 8% 9% 6% 16%
Strongly disapprove 47% 44% 49% 58% 48% 48% 50% 45% 72% 35% 48% 56% 64% 83% 5% 50% 64% 40% 43% 70% 48% 35% 4% 85% 55%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0% 1% 3% 8% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 7% 3% 3% 0% 4% 6% 1% 1% 4% 5%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
Q3. (If voting for Biden) Is there some chance you´ll support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5A. (If voting for Trump) Is your vote more of a vote for Donald Trump or a vote against Joe Biden?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q4. (If voting for Trump) Is there some chance you´ll support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q5B. (If voting for Biden) Is your vote more of a vote for Joe Biden or a vote against Donald Trump?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters PA0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 1 of 6
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
651 Pennsylvania Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 28% 31% 26% 12% 18% 48% 31% 31% 3% 36% 27% 21% 18% 3% 66% 16% 15% 34% 28% 3% 27% 41% 65% 2% 9%
Somewhat favorable 14% 17% 12% 11% 22% 3% 12% 14% 15% 14% 17% 14% 10% 5% 24% 15% 10% 18% 18% 13% 12% 15% 24% 4% 19%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 9% 9% 16% 7% 3% 8% 10% 10% 13% 7% 7% 6% 7% 5% 14% 12% 5% 10% 11% 13% 6% 8% 7% 14%
Very unfavorable 47% 43% 50% 61% 51% 47% 49% 44% 70% 35% 46% 59% 63% 84% 3% 53% 61% 41% 44% 71% 47% 36% 4% 87% 56%
Don't know/Refused 2% 1% 3% 0% 3% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 23% 19% 27% 10% 14% 29% 40% 20% 54% 27% 19% 22% 24% 51% 1% 14% 31% 20% 30% 32% 23% 17% 2% 50% 11%
Somewhat favorable 27% 29% 25% 43% 34% 21% 18% 26% 30% 16% 30% 34% 41% 36% 10% 36% 30% 27% 19% 35% 30% 22% 7% 37% 52%
Somewhat unfavorable 16% 17% 16% 21% 21% 11% 8% 18% 6% 16% 15% 20% 15% 6% 25% 20% 20% 14% 17% 10% 20% 16% 25% 8% 14%
Very unfavorable 32% 34% 30% 25% 29% 37% 33% 34% 7% 38% 34% 23% 18% 6% 63% 29% 16% 38% 34% 20% 26% 42% 64% 4% 20%
Don't know/Refused 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 0% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 44% 37% 20% 37% 42% 41% 42% 17% 50% 41% 31% 26% 7% 82% 33% 25% 44% 44% 23% 38% 51% 81% 5% 27%
Disapprove 55% 53% 57% 75% 55% 58% 53% 54% 73% 42% 56% 67% 72% 89% 12% 65% 73% 50% 50% 74% 59% 42% 14% 90% 69%
Don't know/Refused 5% 3% 6% 5% 7% 0% 6% 4% 9% 8% 3% 2% 2% 4% 6% 3% 2% 5% 6% 2% 3% 7% 5% 5% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 56% 61% 52% 48% 49% 57% 50% 59% 27% 66% 55% 48% 42% 24% 96% 51% 42% 59% 66% 38% 57% 64% 95% 20% 55%
Disapprove 40% 36% 43% 49% 45% 42% 47% 38% 68% 28% 43% 49% 55% 72% 3% 43% 58% 37% 24% 58% 40% 33% 3% 75% 36%
Don't know/Refused 4% 3% 5% 3% 6% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 6% 1% 4% 10% 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% 9%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 45% 36% 21% 33% 46% 40% 44% 10% 49% 43% 31% 27% 11% 83% 29% 29% 43% 37% 17% 40% 54% 83% 6% 27%
Disapprove 52% 50% 53% 75% 55% 49% 52% 48% 86% 42% 49% 63% 68% 85% 10% 59% 66% 47% 42% 81% 53% 39% 10% 87% 69%
Don't know/Refused 8% 5% 11% 4% 12% 6% 8% 8% 4% 10% 7% 6% 6% 4% 7% 12% 5% 10% 21% 2% 7% 6% 7% 7% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 34% 38% 29% 14% 24% 41% 36% 35% 7% 43% 35% 25% 17% 7% 71% 24% 26% 38% 42% 14% 29% 42% 70% 3% 22%
Disapprove 59% 59% 60% 85% 64% 52% 59% 57% 89% 46% 60% 71% 80% 91% 19% 69% 72% 54% 49% 86% 64% 48% 19% 93% 78%
Don't know/Refused 7% 3% 11% 1% 12% 7% 5% 7% 4% 11% 5% 5% 4% 2% 10% 7% 2% 8% 9% 0% 7% 10% 11% 4% 1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 31% 36% 26% 12% 24% 37% 31% 32% 10% 42% 28% 23% 20% 7% 64% 25% 18% 37% 38% 13% 28% 40% 64% 5% 18%
Disapprove 59% 58% 60% 85% 64% 50% 60% 57% 79% 44% 62% 71% 76% 87% 22% 68% 70% 54% 51% 80% 64% 48% 23% 88% 79%
Don't know/Refused 10% 6% 14% 3% 12% 13% 10% 10% 11% 15% 9% 6% 4% 6% 14% 7% 12% 9% 11% 6% 8% 13% 13% 7% 3%
Q10B. Joe Biden
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10A. Donald Trump
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
I´m going to read a few names of people in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of each person. [Q10A-Q10L ROTATED]
Q11B. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The economy
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
[Q11A-Q11E ROTATED] Q11A. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The coronavirus pandemic
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11D. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Race relations
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11C. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Criminal justice
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11E. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The protests after the death of George Floyd
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters PA0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 2 of 6
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
651 Pennsylvania Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
George Floyd’s death was an isolated
incident30% 36% 24% 12% 25% 40% 37% 34% 7% 38% 29% 21% 24% 9% 60% 22% 19% 33% 28% 10% 30% 41% 55% 7% 24%
George Floyds' death is part of a broader
pattern of excessive police violence
toward African Americans
60% 54% 65% 87% 64% 55% 53% 56% 91% 47% 63% 72% 71% 87% 24% 66% 75% 56% 56% 86% 61% 46% 28% 89% 68%
Don't know/Refused 10% 10% 11% 2% 11% 5% 10% 11% 1% 15% 8% 8% 5% 4% 16% 12% 6% 11% 16% 3% 10% 13% 17% 3% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
I support the demonstrations because
they're mainly peaceful protests with an
important message
55% 52% 57% 86% 68% 46% 43% 52% 78% 41% 54% 67% 72% 76% 24% 65% 64% 51% 41% 75% 59% 46% 23% 81% 69%
I oppose the demonstrations because too
many have turned to violent rioting40% 44% 36% 13% 28% 49% 50% 42% 19% 51% 39% 29% 26% 21% 68% 29% 29% 43% 56% 24% 35% 46% 69% 15% 30%
Don't know/Refused 6% 4% 7% 1% 5% 5% 7% 6% 3% 8% 7% 4% 2% 3% 8% 6% 7% 6% 3% 1% 6% 8% 8% 4% 1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White
Afr Amer/
Black
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other
Allegheny
Co
Eastern
PA Northeast Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Suburbs
Rest
of PA Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly agree 20% 20% 20% 10% 10% 23% 28% 20% 17% 32% 17% 9% 7% 12% 33% 14% 22% 22% 16% 14% 15% 24% 32% 10% 21%
Somewhat agree 18% 17% 19% 10% 13% 20% 20% 19% 9% 20% 18% 19% 10% 10% 28% 17% 15% 17% 25% 10% 16% 23% 28% 10% 12%
Somewhat disagree 15% 18% 13% 12% 16% 12% 14% 16% 9% 15% 16% 16% 16% 9% 18% 21% 6% 15% 16% 15% 17% 19% 18% 12% 17%
Strongly disagree 40% 39% 41% 67% 55% 36% 32% 38% 61% 23% 44% 55% 63% 62% 15% 44% 50% 38% 34% 59% 47% 28% 15% 64% 46%
Don't know/Refused 6% 6% 6% 1% 6% 9% 6% 7% 5% 11% 5% 1% 4% 6% 7% 5% 8% 8% 9% 2% 5% 6% 8% 5% 4%
Total
Demonstrations that become riots 38%
The way the criminal justice system treats
African Americans54%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Very serious problem 52%
Somewhat serious problem 33%
Not a very serious problem 9%
Not at all a problem 4%
Don't know/Refused 2%
Total
More likely to use deadly force against a
black person52%
More likely to use deadly force against a
white person2%
Race does not affect police use of deadly
force38%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Q16. Recently, police officers in Minnesota were charged with killing an African American named George Floyd. Do you think: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q18. Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement: Today, discrimination against whites has become as big of a problem as discrimination against Blacks or other minorities
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q17. There have been demonstrations across the country after George Floyd´s death. Which of the following is closer to your opinion: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
*Q20. Do you think that systemic racism in the United States is a very serious problem, somewhat serious problem, not a very serious problem, or not at all a problem?
*Q19. What´s a more serious problem in America today: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q21A. In general, do you think that the police are more likely to use deadly force against a black person, more likely to use deadly force against a white person, or do you think race does not affect police use of deadly force?
* asked of half of registered voters PA0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 3 of 6
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
651 Pennsylvania Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.2%
Total
Criminal justice system is biased against
African Americans58%
Criminal justice system treats people
equally regardless of race35%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
The federal government’s priority should
be to limit the spread of the coronavirus,
even if it hurts the economy
59%
The federal government’s priority should
be to restart the economy, even if it
increases the risk to public health
32%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 43%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 40%
Donald Trump 55%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Total
Joe Biden 52%
Donald Trump 40%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 41%
Donald Trump 50%
Don't know/Refused 10%
*Q21B. In general, do you think the criminal justice system in the United States is biased against African Americans, or do you think the criminal justice system treats people equally regardless of race?
Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following issues: [Q28A-Q28H ROTATED]
*Q24. And what comes closer to your view: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q28B. The economy
*Q28A. The coronavirus
*Q28D. Immigration
*Q28C. Health care
*Q28E. China
* asked of half of registered voters PA0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 4 of 6
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
651 Pennsylvania Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.2%
Total
Joe Biden 49%
Donald Trump 40%
Don't know/Refused 11%
Total
Joe Biden 57%
Donald Trump 36%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Joe Biden 55%
Donald Trump 37%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
A candidate who says that we need to be
tough on protests that go too far33%
A candidate who says we need to focus on
the cause of the protests even when they
go too far
61%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Comfortable 75%
Not comfortable 25%
Don't know/Refused 1%
Total
Still vote anyway 73%
Too uncomfortable to vote 21%
Don't know/Refused 5%
Total
Very enthusiastic 60%
Somewhat enthusiastic 21%
Not very enthusiastic 12%
Not at all enthusiastic 8%
Don't know/Refused 0%
*Q28F. Handling the protests
*Q28H. Unifying America
*Q28G. Race relations
*Q29D. A candidate who says that we need to be tough on protests that go too far, or a candidate who says we need to focus on the cause of the protests even when they go too far
Next, I´m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you´d prefer as president: [Q29A-Q29D ROTATED]
*Q33. (If not comfortable) Do you think you would still vote anyway, or do you think you would be too uncomfortable to vote?
*Q32. Next, imagine that the presidential election was held this week, but the only way to vote was to vote in-person. Would you feel comfortable or not comfortable voting?
*Q34. And when it comes to the November election, would you say you´re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting, or not at all enthusiastic?
* asked of half of registered voters PA0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 5 of 6
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-16, 2020
651 Pennsylvania Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.2%
Gender
Male 48%
Female 52%
Age
18 to 29 18%
30 to 44 27%
45 to 64 15%
65 and older 35%
Race/Ethnicity
White 78%
Black/African American 9%
Other 10%
Education
Trade/High school or less 38%
Some college 28%
Bachelors degree 20%
Postgraduate degree 14%
Party ID
Democrat 38%
Republican 33%
Independent/Other 26%
Region
Allegheny Co 11%
Eastern PA 21%
Northeast 9%
Philadelphia 11%
Philadelphia Suburbs 21%
Rest of PA 27%
2016 Vote
Voted for Trump 39%
Voted for Clinton 40%
Didn't vote in 2016 11%
Nature of the Sample
Registered Voters of Pennsylvania
* asked of half of registered voters PA0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 6 of 6
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Almost certain 65% 64% 66% 58% 61% 67% 67% 67% 54% 59% 65% 67% 81% 69% 63% 64% 71% 63% 73% 62% 62% 62% 63% 73% 49%
Very likely 28% 27% 28% 33% 32% 27% 26% 28% 37% 32% 29% 28% 14% 25% 35% 26% 21% 37% 19% 34% 30% 25% 32% 24% 31%
Somewhat likely 3% 5% 2% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 0% 4% 4% 0% 3% 1% 4% 8% 3% 2% 5%
Not very likely 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% 2% 0% 3% 0% 2% 2% 1% 0% 7%
Not at all likely 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 4%
Don't know/Refused 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Joe Biden, the Democrat 49% 43% 56% 54% 52% 43% 55% 48% 67% 39% 48% 61% 67% 96% 6% 43% 84% 83% 47% 41% 41% 41% 7% 94% 50%
Donald Trump, the Republican 38% 43% 33% 28% 36% 46% 34% 40% 17% 47% 38% 28% 24% 1% 86% 36% 7% 4% 37% 50% 43% 43% 82% 3% 30%
Another candidate 3% 4% 2% 10% 3% 2% 1% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 1% 0% 1% 8% 4% 0% 5% 2% 4% 3% 1% 1% 8%
Wouldn't vote 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1% 5% 3% 0% 3%
Don't know/No opinion 8% 9% 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 7% 11% 10% 6% 6% 5% 1% 6% 12% 5% 13% 12% 4% 10% 8% 7% 2% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 11% 14% 8% 14% 13% 12% 7% 11% 11% 17% 10% 9% 5% 3% 50% 15% 6% 7% 17% 8% 20% 6% 47% 3% 11%
Not really any chance 84% 80% 87% 86% 86% 84% 85% 85% 85% 77% 87% 87% 94% 96% 39% 78% 94% 89% 81% 83% 79% 81% 45% 96% 79%
Don't know/Refused 5% 6% 4% 0% 1% 4% 8% 4% 3% 7% 3% 4% 1% 1% 11% 7% 0% 4% 2% 9% 1% 13% 8% 1% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Some chance 14% 13% 15% 28% 12% 9% 14% 15% 19% 13% 15% 14% 16% 25% 6% 20% 17% 45% 17% 9% 19% 9% 7% 31% 26%
Not really any chance 80% 79% 81% 69% 84% 84% 81% 82% 66% 83% 78% 82% 79% 75% 93% 70% 71% 20% 81% 85% 78% 81% 90% 59% 64%
Don't know/Refused 6% 8% 4% 3% 3% 7% 5% 4% 16% 4% 7% 4% 6% 0% 1% 10% 13% 35% 2% 6% 3% 10% 3% 9% 10%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Donald Trump 81% 83% 80% 92% 75% 81% 85% 83% 83% 86% 83% 69% 85% 100% 89% 68% 100% 100% 82% 81% 83% 76% 84% 48% 90%
A vote against Joe Biden 11% 11% 11% 6% 15% 10% 8% 10% 14% 7% 10% 18% 15% 0% 6% 20% 0% 0% 9% 12% 9% 15% 10% 29% 2%
Don't know/Refused 8% 6% 9% 2% 10% 8% 7% 7% 3% 7% 7% 13% 0% 0% 5% 12% 0% 0% 9% 6% 8% 8% 6% 24% 8%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
A vote for Joe Biden 37% 32% 41% 20% 31% 40% 46% 35% 47% 38% 34% 42% 35% 44% 23% 25% 32% 45% 38% 32% 31% 48% 31% 40% 23%
A vote against Donald Trump 56% 59% 54% 72% 63% 52% 47% 58% 48% 58% 57% 52% 56% 48% 77% 68% 62% 49% 53% 60% 61% 46% 69% 55% 53%
Don't know/Refused 7% 9% 6% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 6% 4% 10% 6% 9% 8% 0% 7% 6% 6% 9% 8% 8% 6% 0% 5% 24%
Q2. If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
Q1. Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Region 2016 Vote
Q3. (If voting for Biden) Is there some chance you´ll support Donald Trump or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5A. (If voting for Trump) Is your vote more of a vote for Donald Trump or a vote against Joe Biden?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q4. (If voting for Trump) Is there some chance you´ll support Joe Biden or not really any chance?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q5B. (If voting for Biden) Is your vote more of a vote for Joe Biden or a vote against Donald Trump?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 1 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly approve 28% 32% 25% 22% 23% 37% 25% 30% 15% 39% 25% 22% 16% 2% 70% 22% 7% 0% 28% 38% 35% 30% 63% 3% 15%
Somewhat approve 13% 14% 12% 15% 15% 11% 13% 13% 7% 15% 16% 8% 9% 3% 18% 17% 3% 7% 18% 15% 15% 11% 22% 2% 23%
Somewhat disapprove 8% 10% 7% 12% 11% 8% 6% 8% 12% 8% 8% 10% 8% 6% 5% 12% 4% 14% 9% 7% 9% 10% 4% 8% 15%
Strongly disapprove 48% 42% 53% 50% 50% 41% 52% 46% 64% 36% 49% 58% 66% 88% 7% 45% 84% 75% 45% 38% 40% 42% 9% 87% 43%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 4% 2% 3% 0% 3% 1% 8% 2% 0% 3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 28% 32% 23% 23% 23% 34% 26% 29% 16% 40% 26% 18% 16% 1% 70% 22% 5% 0% 29% 38% 33% 30% 63% 1% 23%
Somewhat favorable 15% 17% 14% 14% 16% 16% 15% 16% 10% 19% 15% 12% 12% 4% 20% 20% 7% 8% 16% 16% 19% 17% 24% 3% 19%
Somewhat unfavorable 8% 9% 7% 10% 7% 10% 6% 8% 8% 6% 10% 10% 8% 3% 7% 12% 9% 11% 7% 6% 9% 9% 7% 7% 13%
Very unfavorable 48% 41% 54% 52% 52% 40% 52% 47% 63% 35% 49% 60% 65% 91% 3% 45% 78% 75% 47% 39% 39% 42% 7% 88% 44%
Don't know/Refused 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 4% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 7% 1% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 1%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Very favorable 24% 18% 29% 13% 16% 20% 39% 24% 30% 24% 22% 21% 36% 57% 1% 14% 24% 44% 24% 18% 22% 26% 2% 51% 10%
Somewhat favorable 29% 28% 30% 41% 39% 24% 22% 28% 39% 23% 28% 40% 30% 36% 10% 36% 47% 41% 32% 25% 29% 16% 12% 39% 42%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 17% 11% 17% 17% 16% 9% 15% 8% 10% 17% 15% 12% 3% 19% 18% 19% 7% 14% 12% 14% 16% 20% 6% 25%
Very unfavorable 31% 35% 28% 29% 29% 37% 28% 32% 19% 40% 30% 24% 20% 2% 70% 29% 10% 2% 29% 41% 34% 39% 65% 3% 21%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 3% 0% 6% 2% 4% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 40% 45% 35% 38% 35% 46% 37% 41% 24% 51% 40% 28% 26% 5% 87% 35% 14% 10% 44% 50% 45% 41% 81% 5% 33%
Disapprove 58% 52% 63% 61% 61% 52% 60% 57% 72% 46% 58% 72% 73% 94% 12% 61% 86% 85% 53% 48% 54% 53% 17% 91% 64%
Don't know/Refused 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 0% 5% 3% 2% 1% 6% 1% 3% 2%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 53% 57% 48% 57% 52% 61% 43% 55% 33% 59% 57% 44% 38% 13% 95% 56% 23% 24% 53% 62% 64% 56% 95% 12% 57%
Disapprove 44% 38% 49% 43% 45% 35% 53% 42% 62% 39% 38% 55% 60% 83% 5% 40% 77% 70% 40% 35% 34% 40% 4% 84% 38%
Don't know/Refused 4% 5% 3% 0% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 2% 6% 1% 1% 4% 0% 4% 0% 6% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 41% 46% 37% 30% 43% 49% 37% 43% 26% 53% 40% 31% 28% 8% 87% 38% 11% 4% 47% 51% 47% 46% 80% 8% 34%
Disapprove 52% 49% 55% 66% 52% 45% 55% 50% 71% 41% 54% 64% 65% 90% 10% 53% 84% 93% 48% 40% 48% 44% 13% 88% 58%
Don't know/Refused 7% 5% 8% 3% 5% 7% 8% 6% 3% 6% 7% 5% 6% 3% 4% 9% 5% 3% 5% 9% 5% 10% 7% 3% 8%
Region 2016 Vote
Q10A. Donald Trump
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification
[Q11A-Q11E ROTATED] Q11A. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The coronavirus pandemic
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q10B. Joe Biden
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11C. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Criminal justice
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11B. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The economy
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
I´m going to read a few names of people in public life and I´d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of each person. [Q10A-Q10L ROTATED]
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 2 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 34% 39% 30% 25% 26% 43% 34% 37% 18% 47% 32% 26% 21% 3% 78% 31% 8% 2% 35% 44% 43% 37% 73% 3% 27%
Disapprove 60% 56% 64% 72% 70% 51% 59% 58% 82% 47% 63% 71% 78% 94% 16% 64% 90% 98% 60% 48% 54% 52% 21% 93% 70%
Don't know/Refused 6% 5% 6% 3% 4% 6% 6% 6% 0% 7% 6% 4% 1% 3% 6% 5% 2% 0% 5% 8% 3% 11% 6% 4% 3%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Approve 31% 36% 26% 26% 22% 40% 29% 32% 23% 40% 30% 24% 19% 5% 68% 26% 10% 11% 29% 39% 35% 36% 63% 6% 17%
Disapprove 62% 60% 63% 73% 70% 55% 60% 61% 77% 49% 64% 74% 76% 92% 25% 65% 86% 89% 67% 51% 57% 53% 27% 91% 76%
Don't know/Refused 8% 5% 11% 1% 8% 6% 10% 8% 0% 12% 6% 2% 5% 3% 8% 9% 4% 0% 4% 11% 8% 11% 10% 4% 7%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
George Floyd’s death was an isolated
incident31% 38% 25% 21% 26% 36% 33% 33% 16% 39% 31% 24% 18% 10% 59% 30% 9% 4% 29% 39% 43% 33% 57% 11% 24%
George Floyds' death is part of a broader
pattern of excessive police violence toward
African Americans
60% 53% 66% 77% 68% 52% 56% 58% 81% 47% 63% 69% 78% 87% 29% 60% 88% 96% 61% 49% 53% 49% 32% 83% 72%
Don't know/Refused 9% 9% 10% 2% 6% 12% 10% 9% 3% 14% 7% 6% 4% 3% 12% 10% 3% 0% 10% 12% 4% 17% 12% 6% 4%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
I support the demonstrations because
they're mainly peaceful protests with an
important message
54% 50% 59% 76% 64% 50% 45% 51% 78% 37% 57% 69% 75% 80% 22% 58% 85% 90% 63% 39% 48% 44% 20% 81% 71%
I oppose the demonstrations because too
many have turned to violent rioting41% 47% 35% 24% 31% 45% 52% 43% 21% 58% 39% 25% 22% 17% 72% 38% 12% 8% 34% 56% 44% 50% 73% 17% 29%
Don't know/Refused 5% 4% 6% 1% 6% 5% 3% 5% 1% 5% 4% 5% 2% 3% 6% 5% 3% 1% 3% 6% 8% 6% 7% 2% 0%
Total M F 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Other
Trade/High
school or less
Some
college
Bach
degree
Grad
degree Dem Rep
Ind/
Other Dane
Milwaukee
City
Milwaukee
Suburbs
North
/East
Urban
East West Trump Clinton
Did not
vote
Strongly agree 19% 18% 19% 18% 13% 17% 26% 20% 10% 33% 14% 8% 8% 11% 36% 13% 10% 5% 12% 26% 23% 23% 35% 8% 11%
Somewhat agree 22% 25% 18% 11% 17% 27% 26% 23% 16% 26% 24% 14% 18% 7% 32% 27% 10% 3% 24% 28% 22% 23% 31% 12% 23%
Somewhat disagree 18% 18% 19% 18% 22% 20% 16% 20% 14% 17% 21% 19% 17% 18% 19% 19% 12% 12% 21% 16% 23% 23% 18% 17% 21%
Strongly disagree 37% 33% 40% 53% 47% 34% 25% 34% 56% 19% 38% 56% 54% 62% 9% 37% 67% 80% 39% 27% 26% 23% 10% 60% 44%
Don't know/Refused 4% 5% 4% 1% 1% 3% 8% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 0% 4% 4% 7% 8% 6% 2% 1%
Q11E. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - The protests after the death of George Floyd
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q11D. Next, tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues: - Race relations
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q17. There have been demonstrations across the country after George Floyd´s death. Which of the following is closer to your opinion: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q16. Recently, police officers in Minnesota were charged with killing an African American named George Floyd. Do you think: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
Q18. Tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with the following statement: Today, discrimination against whites has become as big of a problem as discrimination against Blacks or other minorities
Gender Age Race/Ethnicity Education Party Identification Region 2016 Vote
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 3 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Demonstrations that become riots 43%
The way the criminal justice system treats
African Americans51%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Very serious problem 44%
Somewhat serious problem 37%
Not a very serious problem 10%
Not at all a problem 5%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Total
More likely to use deadly force against a
black person49%
More likely to use deadly force against a
white person2%
Race does not affect police use of deadly
force40%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Criminal justice system is biased against
African Americans54%
Criminal justice system treats people
equally regardless of race38%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
The federal government’s priority should
be to limit the spread of the coronavirus,
even if it hurts the economy
57%
The federal government’s priority should
be to restart the economy, even if it
increases the risk to public health
37%
Don't know/Refused 7%
*Q19. What´s a more serious problem in America today: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q21A. In general, do you think that the police are more likely to use deadly force against a black person, more likely to use deadly force against a white person, or do you think race does not affect police use of deadly force?
*Q20. Do you think that systemic racism in the United States is a very serious problem, somewhat serious problem, not a very serious problem, or not at all a problem?
*Q24. And what comes closer to your view: [CHOICES ROTATED]
*Q21B. In general, do you think the criminal justice system in the United States is biased against African Americans, or do you think the criminal justice system treats people equally regardless of race?
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 4 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Joe Biden 52%
Donald Trump 43%
Don't know/Refused 5%
Total
Joe Biden 43%
Donald Trump 50%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 54%
Donald Trump 41%
Don't know/Refused 5%
Total
Joe Biden 53%
Donald Trump 41%
Don't know/Refused 7%
Total
Joe Biden 46%
Donald Trump 45%
Don't know/Refused 9%
Total
Joe Biden 57%
Donald Trump 37%
Don't know/Refused 6%
*Q28A. The coronavirus
Regardless of how you might vote, tell me whether you trust Joe Biden or Donald Trump to do a better job on each of the following issues: [Q28A-Q28H ROTATED]
*Q28C. Health care
*Q28B. The economy
*Q28E. China
*Q28D. Immigration
*Q28F. Handling the protests
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 5 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Total
Joe Biden 63%
Donald Trump 30%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Joe Biden 61%
Donald Trump 32%
Don't know/Refused 8%
Total
A candidate who says that we need to be
tough on protests that go too far32%
A candidate who says we need to focus on
the cause of the protests even when they
go too far
64%
Don't know/Refused 4%
Total
Comfortable 72%
Not comfortable 26%
Don't know/Refused 2%
Total
Still vote anyway 72%
Too uncomfortable to vote 22%
Don't know/Refused 6%
Total
Very enthusiastic 67%
Somewhat enthusiastic 23%
Not very enthusiastic 4%
Not at all enthusiastic 4%
Don't know/Refused 1%
*Q28G. Race relations
Next, I´m going to describe two kinds of presidential candidates. Regardless of who you support, tell me which kind of candidate you´d prefer as president: [Q29A-Q29D ROTATED]
*Q28H. Unifying America
*Q29D. A candidate who says that we need to be tough on protests that go too far, or a candidate who says we need to focus on the cause of the protests even when they go too far
*Q34. And when it comes to the November election, would you say you´re very enthusiastic about voting, somewhat enthusiastic about voting, not very enthusiastic about voting, or not at all enthusiastic?
*Q33. (If not comfortable) Do you think you would still vote anyway, or do you think you would be too uncomfortable to vote?
*Q32. Next, imagine that the presidential election was held this week, but the only way to vote was to vote in-person. Would you feel comfortable or not comfortable voting?
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 6 of 7
New York Times/Siena College Research Institute
June 8-15, 2020
655 Wisconsin Registered Voters
MOE +/- 4.3%
Gender
Male 48%
Female 52%
Age
18 to 29 14%
30 to 44 21%
45 to 64 32%
65 and older 28%
Race/Ethnicity
White 80%
Other 15%
Education
Trade/High school or less 33%
Some college 34%
Bachelors degree 21%
Postgraduate degree 10%
Party ID
Democrat 32%
Republican 25%
Independent/Other 39%
Region
Dane 10%
Milwaukee City 8%
Milwaukee Suburbs 19%
North/East 29%
Urban East 16%
West 18%
2016 Vote
Voted for Trump 39%
Voted for Clinton 38%
Didn't vote in 2016 11%
Nature of the Sample
Registered Voters of Wisconsin
* asked of half of registered voters WI0620 Crosstabs062520H.xlsx 7 of 7