8
7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24 http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 1/8 EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO ESEARCHER  AT YOTO U  NIVERSITY ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I  NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U  NIVERSITY OF LISBON)  N UMBER 24 •  M ONDAY , 21 ST M AY 2012 Sponsor (please contact:  [email protected])  CHINA IS TOO EMBEDDED IN THE WORLD SYSTEM TO CHANGE IT A  status - quo  state  accepts  the  existing rules  of  the  game and  does  not  seek  to  change  them  because  it  is  generally satisfied  with  the  current situation.  China  has  benefited from  the  existing international  system,  and  has  risen  to become  the  world’s  second- largest  economy.  Logically,  it would not  aspire  to overthrow this  system  within  which  it  is rising  to  new  heights.  In  this sense,  China  is  a  status-quo power.  Nevertheless,  China  is not  simply  looking  to  rigidly  adhere to this existing system. CHINA: A REFORM-MINDED STATUS-QUO POWER ” (R EN XIAO - E  AST ASIA ORUM ). CHINA-INDIA ELATIONS IN THE MILITARY DOMAIN ARE MILD One  of  the  more enduring  aspects  of  Indian strategic  culture  is  a  strong sense  of  maritime embattlement .  Shortly  after  independence,  Prime  Minister Jawaharlal  Nehru  famously attributed India’s  past  woes  at the hands of predatory  colonial  powers  to  its  maritime weaknesses.  During  the  Cold War,  Indian  strategists  would  fret  over  the  potential  mushrooming  of  American submarine  pens  in  Diego Garcia,  or  over  the  possible  reiteration  of  the  1971  USS Enterprise  incident,  when  the United  States  dispatched  a carrier task group to the Bay of Bengal  in  a  singularly  blunt exercise of naval  suasion. More than  forty  years  later,  the  U.S. presence in the Indian Ocean is no  longer  viewed  by  most  Indians  as  a  threat.  Another,  more  menacing  extra-regional  power has stepped in to fill the void,  and,  in  so  doing,  has ensured the  continued survival of  the  maritime  embattlement narrative.SHOULD INDIA FEAR CHINA'S NAVY?(ISKANDER EHMAN - F  LASHPOINTS ). THE COLLAPSE OF NORTH OREA ' S I NFORMATION  WALL Almost  four-fifths  of  survey respondents  indicated  that word-of-mouth  is  the  most common  means  by  which information  is  disseminated  in North  Korea.  Two-fifths  of respondents  identified  DVDs and  official  state  media  as primary sources of information,  and  about  one-fifth  of respondents  acknowledged South  Korean  and  foreign media as  important sources of information  in  North  Korea. This  data  confirms  that  North Korea  is  a  society  where rumors travel fast.  Prohibitions  on “horizontal”  transmission of information  are  increasingly  ineffective.  The  state media is increasingly  challenged  as  an official  source  of  information and entertainment,  not only by rumors  but  also  by  better produced  propaganda - free  entertainmet [sic]  offerings  from South Korea. INFORMATION PENETRATION AND NORTH OREAN EGIME SURVIVAL ” (SCOTT S  NYDER -  ASIA  NBOUND). THE ORIENTAL MELIAN DIALOGUE Fear,  honor,  and  interest animate  small states like Melos and  the  Philippines  as  much  as  they  do  superpowers  like Athens  and  China.  Maritime claims  are  a  matter  of  self- interest  for  Filipinos.  They  are also a matter of  honor.  Beijing can't  expect  Manila  to  simply tally  up  the  balance  of  forces, acknowledge  it  faces  a hopeless  mismatch,  and buckle.  Philippine  leaders  can solicit  foreign  support,  and they  know  Beijing  has  no Melian option. WHY INDONESIA STANDS UP TO CHINA (JAMES HOLMES - F  LASHPOINTS ). BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS. EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs. The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO. JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO) Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 1/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012

Sponsor 

(please contact: [email protected])

 

CHINA IS TOO EMBEDDED IN THE 

WORLD SYSTEM TO CHANGE IT

“A   status-quo   state   accepts the existing rules of the game and  does  not  seek   to  change them   because   it   is   generally satisfied   with   the   current situation.  China  has   benefited from  the existing  international system,   and   has   risen   to become   the   world’s   second-largest   economy.   Logically,   it would not aspire to overthrow this  system  within  which   it   is rising   to   new   heights.   In   this sense,   China   is   a   status-quo power.   Nevertheless,   China   is not   simply   looking   to   rigidly adhere to this existing system.”

“CHINA: A REFORM-MINDED 

STATUS-QUO POWER ? ” (R EN XIAO - E  AST ASIA F ORUM ).

CHINA-INDIA R ELATIONS IN THE 

MILITARY DOMAIN ARE MILD

“One   of   the   more enduring   aspects   of   Indian strategic   culture   is   a   strong sense   of   maritime embattlement.   Shortly   after independence,   Prime   Minister Jawaharlal   Nehru   famously attributed  India’s  past woes at the hands of predatory colonial powers   to   its   maritime weaknesses.   During   the   Cold War,   Indian   strategists   would fret   over   the   potential mushrooming   of   American submarine   pens   in   Diego Garcia,   or   over   the   possible reiteration   of   the   1971   USS Enterprise   incident,   when   the United   States   dispatched   a carrier task group to the Bay of Bengal   in   a   singularly   blunt exercise of naval suasion. More than forty years later, the  U.S. presence in the Indian Ocean is no   longer   viewed   by   most Indians   as   a   threat.   Another, more   menacing  extra-regional power has stepped in to fill the void,   and,   in   so   doing,   has ensured the continued survival of the  maritime  embattlement narrative.”

“SHOULD INDIA FEAR CHINA'S 

NAVY?”(ISKANDER R EHMAN - F  LASHPOINTS ). 

THE COLLAPSE OF NORTH 

K OREA'S INFORMATION WALL

“Almost   four-fifths   of  survey respondents   indicated   that word-of-mouth   is   the   most common   means   by   which information   is  disseminated  in North   Korea.   Two-fifths   of respondents   identified   DVDs and   official   state   media   as primary sources of information, and   about   one-fifth   of 

respondents   acknowledged South   Korean   and   foreign media as important sources of information   in   North   Korea. This  data  confirms  that  North Korea   is   a   society   where rumors travel fast.  Prohibitions on “horizontal”  transmission of information   are   increasingly  ineffective.  The state media is increasingly   challenged   as   an official   source   of   information and entertainment, not only by rumors   but   also   by   better produced   propaganda-free entertainmet[sic]   offerings from South Korea.”

“INFORMATION PENETRATION AND 

NORTH K OREAN R EGIME 

SURVIVAL ” (SCOTT S NYDER - ASIA U  NBOUND). 

THE ORIENTAL MELIAN DIALOGUE

“Fear,   honor,   and   interest animate small states like Melos and the Philippines as much as they   do   superpowers   like Athens   and   China.   Maritime claims   are   a   matter   of   self-interest  for  Filipinos.  They  are also a matter of honor. Beijing can't   expect   Manila   to  simply tally  up the  balance  of forces, acknowledge   it   faces   a hopeless   mismatch,   and buckle.   Philippine   leaders   can solicit   foreign   support,   and they   know   Beijing   has   no Melian option.”

“WHY INDONESIA STANDS UP TO 

CHINA ”

(JAMES HOLMES - F  LASHPOINTS ). 

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 2: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 2/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012US'S CONTINENTAL SHELF CLAIMS

“U.S. EXTENDED CONTINENTAL 

SHELF IN THE BERING SEA 

AND NORTH PACIFIC ” (T  HE  

 H  ERITAGE F OUNDATION ). 

BEFORE STABILITY, DEMOCRACY 

CAN HARBOUR INSTABILITY IN ASIA

“In Asia,  people  used to point the   finger   at   the   presidential system  in South Korea. People from   the   former Soviet Union or  Eastern European  countries will   recognize   the   same phenomenon   at   work   in contemporary  Russia.  My   idea was   to   use   my   talk   to introduce  some of the   lessons we   have   learned   from   our study  of  democratization as   it has   happened   in   Asian countries,   and   the   thought processes   we   have   gone through.   I   thought   this  might remind people  in the audience that  Asia   is  not  some  strange place with unique issues of its own.   Rather,   many   of   the problems that newly emerging democracies   face   are   actually quite similar around the world, in   spite   of   historical   and cultural differences.”

“DEMOCRACY AND THE R ULE OF 

LAW IN ASIA AND THE 

FORMER SOVIET BLOC ”(K ONDO HISASHI -

 N  IPPON .COM ). 

SOUTH K OREA, THE NEWEST 

MULTILATERALIST?

“Seoul's   enthusiasm   for multilateral  diplomacy  is being reciprocated.   Quietly,   South Korean  nationals  are collecting an   impressive   set   of multilateral   posts.   Most notable   of   course   is   Ban   Ki-moon,   former   Korean   foreign minister,   who   was   elected   to his   second   term   as   UN Secretary-General last year. But Korea also boasts the president of   the   International   Criminal Court,   Sang-Hyun   Song.   The next World Bank president, Jim Kim,   is   American   of   course, but   he   was   born   in   South Korea   and   lived   there   as   a child.  Kim  was  not  shy  about highlighting   that   fact   as   he sought   global   support   for   his candidacy.”

“SOUTH K OREA'S MULTILATERAL 

MOMENT?” (DAVID BOSCO - F OREIGN  P OLICY ). 

CHINA-INDONESIA TENSIONS PUT 

THE PIVOT TO THE TEST

“The 

standoff 

between 

China   and   the   Philippines   in the   South   China   Sea   has evolved   over   the   last   five weeks   into   a   bizarre brinkmanship   triangle.   The United   States   finds   itself reluctantly  backed   into  corner number  three: this is definitely not   the   pivot   to   Asia   that Washington had in mind.

The   beauty   of 

brinkmanship,   of   course,   is that   actually   going   over   the brink is seldom required. Most likely   it  won’t  be  necessary  in this   situation   either.   Despite some   tough   talk   from   both Beijing  and   Manila,  the   hope now   is   that   the   two-and-a-half-month fishing moratorium due   to   be   imposed   by   China on  May  16,   imposed annually since 1999, will finally help  to douse   a   few   tempers,   and bring   the   confrontation   to   a peaceful conclusion.”

“COULD US GET SUCKED INTO 

WAR ?” (TREFOR MOSS- F  LASHPOINTS ). 

THE PENTAGON'S LATEST CHINA 

R EPORT TO CONGRESS

“The   Pentagon   issued   its annual   China   report   to Congress   on   Friday,   and   as expected,   the   brunt   of   the focus is on China’s preparation for   possible   hostilities   in   the Taiwan   Strait.   That   includes doing   whatever   necessary   to keep the U.S. from intervening in   the   event   of   conflict   with Taiwan.

China   is   pressing   a   long-range   modernization   of   its military,   part   of   a   strategy aimed   at   maximizing   its leverage   over   Taiwan, extending  its   influence farther abroad,   but   avoiding   conflict around

 its

 borders

 or

 with

 the

 United   States,   the   Pentagon said,   according   to   the   New York Times.”

“PENTAGON R EPORT ON CHINA 

MILITARY IS A YAWNER  ”(R AY K WONG - ASIA S  ECURITY  

W  ATCH ). 

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 3: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 3/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012

UNDERSTANDING WAR  IN 

CONTINUITY, R ATHER THAN 

DISCONTINUITY

“We   live   in   peace   and   then war   breaks   out,   gets   fought, and then we return to a period of   peace.   This   is   surely   the ‘conventional   view’   of   life, certainly in any post-Hobbesian world.   We   have   come   to believe  that  war   is,   therefore, somehow abnormal, an event, something out of the ordinary. An   analogy   to   war   ‘breaking out’ might be ‘catching a cold’: we   demarcate   the   illness   as being somehow different from the   normal   state   of   affairs, which is that we are generally healthy.   Seems   simple enough.   But   what   if   it   is wrong?”

“BELLA HORRIDA BELLA…AD 

INFINITUM: THE R ISKS OF 

WAR -TIME ” (THE FACELESS BUREAUCRAT - K  INGS  OF  

W  AR).

R EVISITING THE R USSO-JAPANESE 

WAR  OF 1904/5

“At   the   beginning   of   the Russo-Japanese   War,   no   one outside Japan had envisaged a Russian   defeat.   Indeed,   the very   existence   of   the   Tennō’s empire   appeared   endangered. The Japanese victory, however, was immediately recognized as a   turning   point   in   world history.   For   the   first   time   in modern   history   an   Asian nation   had   defeated   a European   great   power.   Japan immediately   became   an important   actor   in   world politics. The impact of the war took  on a regional  and  global character, opening  the  way to 

a new  constellation of powers and   becoming   a   prelude   to World War I.”

“WORLD WAR ZERO? R E-

ASSESING THE GLOBAL 

IMPACT OF THE R USSO-

JAPANESE WAR 1904-1905 ”(GERHARD K REBS - ASIA-

 P  ACIFIC J OURNAL).

THE PENTAGON'S CHINA R EPORT 

“China’s   media   have responded   to   the   report   in customary   fashion,   with   the official   Xinhua   News   Agency claiming:   “The   Pentagon   on Friday   falsely   accused   China's military   expenditure   of   being non-transparent   and   said   the country   was   responsible   for cyberspace   intrusions   against U.S.   computers.”   The   piece also   argued   the   report   is   “a Cold   War-style   practice   that the   United   States   once adopted   toward   the   former Soviet Union   in an attempt to put pressure on its archrival.”

While   there   may   not   be any urgent new information  in this   week’s   release,   the   U.S. military’s   latest   assessment   of China’s   military   capabilities   is important  for obvious  reasons. With   a   long   list   of   tensions between the two, any window the   outside   world   can   gain into   the   complex   strategic nexus   of   U.S.-China   military strategy,   weapons   and   tactics is an important one.”

“ NO SURPRISES ON CHINA MILITARY ” (HARRY K AZIANIS 

- F  LASHPOINTS ).

WILL NORTHEAST ASIA ATTAIN 

NUCLEAR -FREE STATUS?

“The   controversy   over   North Korea’s   highly   enriched uranium   (HEU)   program, despite   intense   diplomatic efforts,   shows   no   immediate signs   of   reaching   a   peaceful settlement.

Rays of hope  from   the  15 September   Joint   Statement   in 2005   and   the   13   February 2007   Agreement   on   ‘Initial Actions for the Implementation of  the  Joint Statement’ at  the Six Party Talks (SPTs) have been fading.”

“THE SIX-PARTY TALKS AND BUILDING A NUCLEAR -FREE 

NORTHEAST ASIA ” (CHUNG-IN MOON - E  AST ASIA F ORUM ). 

ASIA IS HIGHLY VULNERABLE TO 

BIOTERRORISM

“he   reality   is   that   the threats from natural mutations or   deliberate   engineering   are global   threats,   and   they therefore   need   the international   scientific community   engaged   and willing   to   share   information. Indeed,   the   Chicago   Tribune notes   that   a   subset   of   the mutations   identified   by Kawaoka’s   team   has   already been detected  in some viruses circulating   in  poultry   flocks   in Egypt  and   parts  of   Southeast Asia,   underscoring   the 

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 4: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 4/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012importance   of   the   issue   for Asia.

And   there   was   another reminder of the bird flu threat last   week   with   news   that Taiwan had confirmed another case of the H5N2 strain of bird flu. The H5N2 strain  poses less of a threat to humans than the more notorious H5N1, but this is   the   sixth   outbreak   already this   year,   resulting   in   the culling of tens of thousands of chickens.”

“CONGRESS, BIOTERRORISM AND 

ASIA ” (JASON MIKS - F  LASHPOINTS ). 

IS THE G-8 IRRELEVANT NOW?

“As   leaders   of   the   G-8 industrialized   countries   gather at Camp David later this week, there   will   be   much   talk   of global  leadership -- and of  its importance  for our crisis-prone world.   In   a   world   where   so many   challenges   transcend borders   --   threats   to   the stability of the global economy, climate   change,   cyberconflict, terrorism, and   risks to  reliable supplies  of food and water, to name   just  a   few  --   the  need for   international   cooperation has   never   been   greater.   Yet, cooperation   depends   on leadership. Only global   leaders have   the   leverage   to coordinate   multinational responses   to   transnational problems,   as   well   as   the wealth and power to persuade other   governments   to   take actions   they   would   not otherwise   take.   They   provide services   no   one   else   will   pay for  and   resources   that   others cannot   afford.   On   issue   after issue, leaders set the agenda.”

“WELCOME TO THE NEW WORLD 

DISORDER  ” (IAN BREMMER  - F OREIGN  P OLICY ). 

R USSIA R EMAINS A MAJOR  

STAKEHOLDER  IN ASIA'S FUTURE

“So,   has   concern   about U.S.   strategic   ambitions prompted China and Russia  to pursue   concrete   collaboration in this area? Not so far. One of the   speakers   at   the   Missile Defense   Conference   in Moscow   organized   by   the Russian   Ministry   of   Defense this   month   lamented   how, despite   calculations   showing how   China’s   nuclear   arsenal would   more   easily   be neutralized   by   emerging   U.S. missile   defense   systems   than Russia’s larger fleet of nuclear-armed   ballistic   missiles, Chinese   officials   haven’t objected   as   vigorously   as Russian   representatives. Chinese   and   Russian representatives   have   thus   far largely   limited   their   ballistic missile   defense   efforts   to issuing   joint   declarations . Clever   U.S.   diplomacy   should aim to keep it that way.

Often overlooked in all this is that China has demonstrated a   willingness   to   adopt   some confidence-   and   security-building   measures   (CSBMs) that   promote   greater   military transparency   and understanding   among potential military rivals. Indeed, during   the  past   two  decades, China  has  negotiated a set  of bilateral  CSBMs with Russia to govern  military activities along their joint border. In July 1994, the   Russian   and   Chinese defense ministers agreed   to  a set   of   procedures   to   avert future   incidents,   including arrangements   to   prevent unauthorized   ballistic   missile 

launches, prevent the jamming of communications equipment, and   warn   ships   and   aircraft that might inadvertently violate national borders. In September of   that   year,   Chinese   and Russian   authorities   pledged not to  target strategic nuclear missiles at each other.  In April 1998,   moreover,   China   and Russia   established   a   direct presidential hot   line   –   China’s first   with   another government.”

“R USSIA'S ASIA PLAY MUSTN'T BE 

IGNORED ” (R ICHARD WEITZ - F OREIGN  P OLICY ).

GUNBOAT DIPLOMACY, BEIJING 

STYLE?

“It seems everything old is new again.   My   (online)   colleague Jens   Kastner   published   an important  article in Asia Times this   week,   detailing   how Beijing  enlists fishermen as an arm   of   its   maritime   strategy. His   story  will   strike   a   familiar chord with any U.S. Navy sailor of   a   certain   age.   During   the Cold  War   it  was  hard   for   an American   task   force   of   any consequence   to   leave   port without  a Soviet “AGI”  in trail. These   souped-up   fishing trawlers   would   shadow   U.S. task   forces,   joining   up   just outside   U.S.   territorial  waters. So   ubiquitous   were   they   that naval

 officers

 joked

 about

 assigning  the  AGI a station   in the formation,  letting it follow along  –  as   it  would  anyway – without   obstructing   fleet operations.”

“CHINA'S SMALL STICK  

DIPLOMACY ” (JAMES HOLMES - F  LASHPOINTS ). 

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 5: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 5/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012R EASONS WHY THE US SHOULD 

R ATIFY UNCLOS

“Ratifying   LOSC   will   not address   every   challenge   the United

 States

 will

 confront

 at

 sea,   but   it   will   substantially improve   America's   ability   to protect   its   global   interests   by providing   a   stronger   legal foundation   for   its   own maritime  activities and helping to   shape   and   enforce international   norms   and   legal authorities.   Most   importantly, it will restore U.S leadership at sea.   The   United   States   has always been a maritime power. Given the growing  importance of the maritime domain to U.S. interests   and   the   rapidly changing   global   security environment, the United States needs every tool at its disposal to   ensure   that   America   will remain a  strong  global   leader at sea.

The   U.S.   Senate   should ratify   the   Law   of   the   Sea Convention today.”

“LAW OF THE SEAS: LESS BORING 

THAN YOU THINK  ” (WILL R OGERS - B EST D EFENSE ). 

THE US AIR FORCE'S SHARE OF 

THE ASIA PIVOT

“The   United   States   has refocused its strategic priorities in  an  oft-talked  about   “Pivot to   Asia”   and   has   made   a deliberate   decision   in   new defense strategic guidance not to   size   the   military   for   large scale   counter-insurgency operations,   but   instead   to posture   to   deter   conflict   in Asia   where   there   is   a   clear anti-access, area-denial  threat. Such   a   shift   has   implications  and raises questions about the appropriateness   of   retaining force   structure   and   concepts developed   for   operations   in Iraq and Afghanistan  across all the military services.”

“AIR POWER K EY TO US ASIA 

GOALS ” (LT. COL. PETER  GARRETSON - T  HE D IPLOMAT ). 

JAPAN HIGHLIGHTS

WHAT ARE THE LESSONS LEARNED 

FROM THE SENKAKU INCIDENT?

  “One,   it  is not clear that the Chinese   trawler   captain   had any   affiliations   with   the   PRC government   or   that   he   was acting   in   its  behalf.  Two,   it   is not   certain   that   the   Coast Guard was acting under orders from Tokyo or rather following normal   rules   of   engagement. Three,   there   is   no   conclusive evidence   that   the   linkage between   an   occasional   naval squabble   and   a   security concern   between   the   two countries   was   made immediately   after   the occurrence.   Four,   as   a consequence   of   the   third point, it remains to be proven that   the   incident   was automatically   perceived   as   a security   threat   in   Tokyo   and Beijing.   Five,   the   fact   that   it was   framed  within   the   grand narrative   of   a   rebalance   of power  in  Asia  was  necessarily post   facto   and   thus   not   a constitutive

 factor,

 that

 is

 to

 say,   its   securitisation  was   not unavoidable.”

“I NTERPRETING THE SENKAKU ISLANDS I NCIDENT ” (TIAGO 

MAURICIO -  JFPO). 

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 6: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 6/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012A SEA THAT UNITES?

“Many   of   the   most   salient disputes between China and its neighbors   involve   maritime issues.   Moreover,   as demonstrated   by   the   current standoff   between   Beijing   and Manila   over   Scarborough Shoal,  China   is  often  seen  as assertive and uncompromising . Nevertheless,   maritime   talks held   with   Japan   this   week suggest   that   China   can   be more   flexible   in   managing   its maritime   disputes   than   most outsiders believe.”

“JAPAN, CHINA’S MARITIME STEP ”(TAYLOR FRAVEL - C  HINA 

 P OWER).

MISHAPS IN JAPAN-CHINA 

R ELATIONS CAUSE CONTROVERSY

“Way to sway the opinions of   Japanese   legislators,   PRC leadership!

As   90   of   the   100   or   so Diet   members   who   received this   charming   missive   are members   of   the   Liberal Democratic Party,   it   is  should not   be   surprising   that   LDP headquarters   hosted   a   little show-and-tell   party   today, releasing   the   text   of   the response  to   the  Ambassador 's letter   (J   -   personal   blog ) , complete   with   the   signatures of 46 members of the Diet on it. You have to admit, it is an effective document. When you would  expect   it   to  scream,  it hisses, to devastating effect:

独立主権国家の国会議員への書状としては、著しく適切性に欠いているといわざるを得ません。

We   must   tell   you   that sending   such   a   document   to the   national   legislators  of   an independent   sovereign   state 

shows marked lack of a sense of propriety.

Ouch!!! ”“THIS WILL DAMAGE JAPAN'S 

OWN SECURITY AS WELL ”(MICHAEL CUCEK - S  HISAKU ).

THE REALITIES OF AMERICA'S 

EMPIRE OF BASES

“Earlier   this   week, Okinawa   Prefecture   marked the   40th   anniversary   of   its reversion   to   Japanese sovereignty   following   U.S. occupation.   Yet   four   decades on,  and   the   future  of   Japan’s southernmost   prefecture remains   uncertain,   with   slow progress   on   key   issues.   For Okinawans,  the harsh reality is that   they   are   still   living   on occupied territory.”

“JAPAN’S PERSISTENT 

“AMERIPHOBIA” ”(K OSUKE TAKAHASHI - T  HE  

 D IPLOMAT ).

JAPANESE FOOTAGE OF CHINESE 

UAVS

“Another   year,   another Chinese   training   fleet   sails   by Miyakojima. Last year, you may remember, the Japanese patrol planes  shadowing  the  Chinese training   fleet   caught   a   first glimpse   of   the   fleet’s   naval UAV.   This   year,   no   doubt prepared for its appearance, a MSDF  P-3C  Orion  caught   the UAV(s!)   far   more   clearly,   not only   in   the   air   but   also   on deck.”

“JAPANESE CAMERAS CATCH 

CHINESE NAVAL UAV

AGAIN ” (JAMES SIMPSON - J  APAN S  ECURITY W  ATCH  ). 

WHAT DID THE SENKAKU ISLANDS 

INCIDENT SAY OF JAPAN?

“When   looking   at   the Senkaku / Diaoyu   Islands Incident   of   September   2010 there   is   a   powerful   dynamic which   has   been   seldom acknowledged by analysts  and reporters. I am referring to the substantial   pressure   that   the Japanese government suffered from   intra-state actors  to  deal more   appropriately   -   that   is, more   forcibly -,  with   the  said incident.   In   this   view,   the government   represented   the conservative   player   interested in dictating   its own  rhythm  of action   in   order   to   do   the damage-control   it   deemed necessary and  to  promote the interests that  were  interpreted as   in   the   national   interest   of Japan.

This   is  admittedly  not  the view   adopted   by   the   media and   many   of   the   early commentators on this issue.”

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 7: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 7/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012“SENKAKU DILEMMA ” (TIAGO 

MAURICIO - JFPO). 

JAPAN IS BOOSTING ITS ANTI-

NUCLEAR , BIOLOGICAL &

CHEMICAL CAPABILITIES

“At   a   cost   of   around ¥700,000,000  per vehicle, the rather   simple   solution   to sampling   contaminated  material  seems   a   little  out   of place, but sometimes simplicity is   best.   Once   contamination  has been determined, the data is   passed   back   to   local commanders and   the  Ministry of Defense for decision-makers to act upon.

The   vehicle   combines   the functions   of   the   older Chemical Protection Vehicle (B-Variant),   brought   into   service in   1999,   which   was   based upon the frame of the Type-82 Command   Communication Vehicle,   and   the   Biological Reconnaissance  Vehicle,  based on  the  chassis of the  Type-73 3.5-ton   Truck.   The   Chemical Protection   Vehicle   saw considerable   use   in   the exclusion   zone   around   the Fukushima   Dai-Ichi   Nuclear Power Plant in the past year.

Around  50   vehicles  will  be put   into   service   with   the Central   Nuclear   Biological Chemical   Weapon   Defense Unit,   which   has   been   a   key unit   in   the   response   to   the Fukushima   nuclear   accident, and   part   of   which   will   be charged with   first-response to NBC attack in the capital.”

“MEET JAPAN’S NEW NBC

R ECONNAISSANCE VEHICLE ”

(JAMES SIMPSON - J  APAN S  ECURITY  

W  ATCH ).

WHAT IS THE UIGHUR CONGRESS 

CONFERENCE ALL ABOUT?

“The   World   Uighur Congress is holding its triennial conference in Tokyo this week, the first time the conference is being held outside Germany or the  United  States,   the  home-in-exile   of   the   movement's leader and former  delegate to the   People's   Congress   Rebiya Kadeer   (E).   The   Chinese government   is,   true   to   form, completely   beside   itself   over Tokyo's   hosting   this conference.   The   conference's opening   ,   along   with   the recent waking up sleeping dog that  should  be   left to   lie,   the status   of   the   Senkaku   islets, poisoned   the   atmosphere   at the weekend's vitally important trilateral meeting. (J)”

“THE ENEMY OF MY ENEMY IS 

NOT MY FRIEND ”

(MICHAEL CUCEK - S  HISAKU ).

THE PLACE OF SECURITY IN 

STATECRAFT

“The   very   fact   that   an entire subfield of  international studies   on   Japan   has   been devoted   to   its   "normalisation", notwithstanding  the murkiness of  the  concept, attests to  the irregular   nature   of   security practices and discourses in the country  of the rising sun. Four 

examples of contrasting nature will   illustrate   how   issues   can be   successfully   securitised   or de-securitised   in   security discourses.  I will start precisely with those events which  have been   de-securitised,   for   they provide a clearer illustration  of how security practices shape a country's policy.”

“SECURITISING JAPAN-CHINA 

R ELATIONS ”

(TIAGO MAURICIO - JFPO).

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]

Page 8: East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

7/31/2019 East Asian Security and Defence Digest 24

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/east-asian-security-and-defence-digest-24 8/8

EAST ASIAN SECURITY 

& DEFENCE DIGEST 

EDITOR : TIAGO ALEXANDRE FERNANDES MAURÍCIO •R ESEARCHER  AT K YOTO U NIVERSITY

R ESEARCHER  AT ORIENT I NSTITUTE (TECHNICAL U NIVERSITY OF LISBON)

 NUMBER 24 • MONDAY, 21ST MAY 2012JAPAN NEWS CLIPS

“U.S. TOWN'S MONUMENT 

UPSETTING JAPANESE 

OFFICIALS ”

“CHINA DELAYS VISIT OF TOP 

MILITARY OFFICER  ”

“OWNER OK WITH METRO BID TO 

BUY DISPUTED SENKAKU 

ISLANDS ”

“VISIT TO BRITAIN CONJURES UP MEMORIES OF EMPEROR 'S 

FIRST VISIT ”

“ECONOMIC RELIANCE ON BASES 

WON'T LAST, TRENDS 

SUGGEST ”

“HU SNUBS NODA AS TENSION RISES 

OVER UIGHUR  ISSUE ”

“OKINAWA MARKS 40TH 

ANNIVERSARY OF REVERSION 

TO JAPAN ”

“U.S. DEFENSE SHIFT KEEPS OKINAWA IN STRATEGIC MIX ”

“3 E. ASIAN POWERS AVOID 

MENTIONING N. K OREA IN 

JOINT DECLARATION ”

“WEN URGES JAPAN TO RESPECT 

CHINA'S 'CORE INTERESTS,'

ALLUDES TO SENKAKUS ”

“'ISHIHARA SHOCK ' BRINGS ISLES 

DISPUTE TO NODA-WEN 

TALKS ”

“GIST OF JOINT DECLARATION BY 

CHINA, JAPAN, S. K OREA 

LEADERS ”

“NODA, WEN AGREE SENKAKU 

ISSUE

 SHOULD

 NOT

 AFFECT

 JAPAN-CHINA TIES ”

“R EMOTE OKINAWA RESIDENTS 

CAUGHT UP IN TENSIONS OVER  

ISLE DISPUTE ”

“JAPAN, CHINA, S. K OREA TO 

BOOST SECURITY, ECONOMIC 

COOPERATION ”

“GOV'T TO ACCEPT PRICE HIKE FOR  

F-35; EACH JET TO COST 

OVER 10 BILLION YEN ”

“2ND ENGINEER  TEAM ORDERED TO S. SUDAN ”

“GOVT REQUESTS MEETING IN 

R USSIA WITH PUTIN ”

“U.S. WARPLANES DREDGE 

OKINAWAN WOMAN'S 

HORRIFIC WAR  MEMORIES ”

“THE RETURN OF PRESIDENT 

PUTIN ”

“EX-SDF MEMBER  MAKES 9.8 MIL.

YEN WATCH ”

BRINGING YOU EXPERTISE ON EAST ASIAN AFFAIRS. MORE THAN JUST NEWS.

EAST ASIAN SECURITY & DEFENCE DIGEST covers expert analyses and news highlights on East Asian security and defence affairs.The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of JFPO.

JAPAN FOREIGN POLICY OBSERVATORY (JFPO)

Kyoto, Japan • Editor’s mailbox: [email protected]