47
Michael Walther, P. E., D. CE Andrew Condon, Ph. D. September 24, 2014 2014 FSBPA Annual Conference Lovers Key Lee County April 23, 2012 South County St. Lucie County November 30, 2012 Navarre Beach Santa Rosa County July 18, 2005 Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea ...€¦ · ... Dean, R.G and Dalrymple, R.A., 2002. “Coastal Processes with Engineering ... “Coastal Processes with Engineering

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Michael Walther, P. E., D. CE

Andrew Condon, Ph. D.

September 24, 2014

2014 FSBPA Annual Conference

Lovers Key Lee County

April 23, 2012

South County St. Lucie County

November 30, 2012

Navarre Beach Santa Rosa County

July 18, 2005

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment

in Response to Sea Level Rise

• Beach Management Objectives

• Sea Level Rise in Florida - historical & projected

• Effectiveness of Alternatives – relative to Objectives

• Beach Fill

• Managed Retreat

• Coastal Armoring – Seawalls

• Conclusions

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

2

Presentation

Outline

• Protection - of upland property & infrastructure

(storm-damage reduction)

• Preserve Land

• Enhance Recreational Beach

(via creation, restoration, &/or expansion)

• Habitat Restoration

(turtle nesting, shorebirds, &/or beach mice)

Reference: USACE National Economic Development Manuals

Chapter 161 - Florida Statutes

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

3

Classic

Beach Management Objectives

Adapted From:

"Sea Level Variations of the

United States 1854-2006", NOAA

December 2009

Location Period (mm/yr) (in/yr)

Fernandina Beach 1897 - 2006 2.02 0.08

Mayport 1928 - 2006 2.40 0.09

Daytona Beach Shores 1925 - 1983 2.32 0.09

Miami Beach 1931 - 1981 2.39 0.09

Vaca Key 1971 - 2006 2.78 0.11

Key West 1913 - 2006 2.24 0.09

Naples 1965 - 2006 2.02 0.08

Fort Meyers 1965 - 2006 2.40 0.09

St. Petersburg 1947 - 2006 2.36 0.09

Clearwater Beach 1973 - 2006 2.43 0.10

Cedar Key 1914 - 2006 1.80 0.07

Apalachicola 1967 - 2006 1.38 0.05

Panama City 1973 - 2006 0.75 0.03

Pensacola 1923 - 2006 2.10 0.08

Average: 2.10 0.08

MSL Trend

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

4

Florida

Historical

Sea

Level

Rise

0.34’ – 2.82’

0.24’ – 2.72’

0.30’ – 2.78’

0.44’ – 2.91’

0.39’ – 2.87’

0.33’ – 2.80’

0.37’ – 2.84’

0.40’ – 2.87’

0.38’ – 2.86’

0.38’ – 2.86’

0.39’ – 2.87’

Adapted from: USACE Sea-Level Change Curve Calculator

https://corpsclimate.us/ccaceslcurves.cfm

State-wide

Lowest to Highest

Range per USACE

Overall: 0.24 feet to 2.91 feet

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

5

Florida

Projected Sea Level Change - 2065

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Sea

Lev

el R

ise

(ft

ab

ov

e 2

01

4 M

SL

)

Florida: All Gauges Average

NOAA Low / USACE Low NOAA Int Low / USACE Int NOAA Int High

USACE High NOAA High

2065

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

6

Florida

Projected Sea Level Change

Adapted from: USACE Sea-Level Change Curve Calculator

https://corpsclimate.us/ccaceslcurves.cfm

• Beach Fill

• Managed Retreat ≡ “No Action” to abate erosion

• Coastal Armoring – Seawalls

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

7

Alternatives

to offset longshore sediment transport gradient & sea level rise

𝜕𝑉

𝜕𝑡= ℎ∗ + 𝐵

𝜕𝑅0

𝜕𝑡+ 𝑊∗

𝜕𝑆

𝜕𝑡 −

𝜕𝑆0

𝜕𝑡

Where

•𝜕𝑉

𝜕𝑡 = Volumetric rate of nourishment addition per unit length of beach (cyds. / ft. / yr.)

•𝜕𝑅0

𝜕𝑡 = Existing background erosion rate (ft. / yr.)

•𝜕𝑆

𝜕𝑡 = Rate of sea level rise (ft. / yr.)

•𝜕𝑆0

𝜕𝑡 = Existing sea level rise rate (ft. / yr.)

• 𝑊∗ = Width of the active beach profile (ft.)

• ℎ∗ = Depth of closure (ft.)

• 𝐵 = Berm height (ft.)

Volume required

for present rate of

SLR

Amount due to

the increased

SLR rate

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

Adapted from: Dean, R.G and Dalrymple, R.A., 2002. “Coastal Processes with Engineering

Applications”. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 475 p. 8

Sea Level Rise

Effect on Beach Fills – future nourishment

From: Beaver, J.W., “Climate Readiness Planning at the SWFRPC and CHNEP 2009 to 2013.”

October 17, 2013.

• Allows the shoreline to migrate landward unimpeded.

• Buildings & infrastructure either demolished or relocated.

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

9

Managed Retreat ≡ “No Action”

Assumes

1. Profile shape does not change with respect to the water line.

2. The sand volume in the profile must be conserved.

∆𝒚 = −𝑹 = −𝑺𝑾∗

𝒉∗ + 𝑩

Where

• ∆𝒚 = -R = Horizontal shoreline recession

• 𝑺 = Sea level rise

• 𝑾∗ = Width of the active beach profile

• 𝒉∗ = Depth of closure

• 𝑩 = Berm height

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

10

Sea Level Rise

Shoreline Recession: Bruun Rule

Adapted from: Dean, R.G and Dalrymple, R.A., 2002. “Coastal Processes with Engineering

Applications”. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 475 p.

Assumes

1. Beach shaped to equilibrium by steady state sea conditions

2. Erosion 2-dimensional mass balance of accretion & erosion

3. Profile shape given by

𝒉 = 𝑨𝒙𝒎

Where

• 𝒉 = stillwater depth above the equilibrated profile

• x = the horizontal distance from the shoreline

• m = exponent to fit

• A = Dimensional scale parameter related to sediment

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

11

Sea Level Rise

Shoreline Recession: Dean Equilibrium Profile

Adapted from: Dean, R.G and Dalrymple, R.A., 2002. “Coastal Processes with Engineering

Applications”. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 475 p.

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

12

Navarre Beach Santa Rosa County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

13

Navarre Beach Santa Rosa County

July 18, 2005

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

14

Navarre

Beach Santa Rosa County

Initial Construction:

2.95 Mcy

4.1 miles

136 cyds/ft

2006

R-200

Photo From: Google Earth

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

15

Navarre Beach Santa Rosa County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

R-200

16

Navarre Beach - Santa Rosa County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

17

Santa Rosa County

Navarre Beach

41.09 41.53 42.41 42.86 42.86 43.74 44.18 44.62 45.50 45.50 46.4 48.6

50.8 53.0

54.8 57.0

59.2 61.4

63.2 65.4

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Ren

ou

rish

men

t V

olu

me

(cy

ds/

ft)

USACE Int. USACE High

2006 Fill Density = 136 cyds/ft for 8-year cycle

2015 Fill Density = 73 cyds/ft for 8-year cycle

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

18

Navarre Beach - Santa Rosa County Nourishment - future needs based on 8 year cycle

to offset longshore sediment transport gradient & sea level rise

-5.0

-2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

-300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-200

Equilibrium Profile Zero Int Bruun Dean

40’

122’

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

19

Navarre Beach - Santa Rosa County No Action - Intermediate Sea Level Change - 2065

-5.0

-2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

-300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-200

Equilibrium Profile Zero High Bruun Dean

112’ 268’

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

20

Navarre Beach - Santa Rosa County No Action - High Sea Level Change - 2065

-5.0

-2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

-300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-200

Zero Int High Equilibrium Profile USACE Int. USACE High

Seawall at 30 ft. seaward of house

174’

103’

214’

21

Navarre Beach - Santa Rosa County

Seawall – by 2065

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

22

We are here!

R-219

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

23

Lovers

Key

Lovers Key - Lee County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

April 23, 2012

24

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

25

Initial Construction:

533,385 cy

1.1 miles

90cy/ft

2004

Lovers

Key Lee County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

R-219

26

Lovers Key - Lee County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

27

XLovers Key Lee County

R-219

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

28

Lovers Key Lee County

2004 Average Fill Density = 90.0 cyds/ft for 8 year cycle

2014 Average Fill Density = 58.1 cyds/ft for 8 year cycle

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

29

Lovers Key - Lee County

Nourishment - future needs based on 8 year cycle to offset longshore sediment transport gradient & sea level rise

57.9 58.4 59.0 60.0 60.0

61.0 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.1 64.2

66.8

69.4 71.5

74.1

76.7

79.3

81.4

84.1

86.7

50

60

70

80

90

2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Ren

ou

rish

men

t V

olu

me

(cy

ds/

ft)

USACE Int. USACE High

-8.00

-6.00

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

-200 -100 0 100

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-219

Equilibrium Profile Zero Int Bruun Dean

75’

34’

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

30

Lovers Key - Lee County

No Action - Intermediate Sea Level Change - 2065

-8.00

-6.00

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

-400 -300 -200 -100 0 100

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-219

Equilibrium Profile Zero High Bruun Dean

199’ 97’

Estero Bay

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

31

Lovers Key - Lee County

No Action – High Sea Level Change - 2065

-8.00

-6.00

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

-100 0 100

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-219

Zero Int High Equilibrium Profile USACE Int. USACE High

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

50’

Seawall at 30 feet seaward of tram house

32

Lovers Key - Lee County

Seawall – by 2065

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

33

South

County St. Lucie County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

34

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

Martin County Line

Ft. Pierce Inlet

Initial Construction:

682,500 cy

3.4 miles

38.5cy/ft

2013

35

South County St. Lucie County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

Normandy Beach Park

R-101

36

South County - St. Lucie County

R-101

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

37

South County - St. Lucie County

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

38

South County - St. Lucie County

9.8 10.3 11.4 12.5 13.6 14.1 15.7 16.3

17.9

22.2

26.0

30.4

34.2

38.5

41.8

46.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Ren

ou

rish

men

t V

olu

me

(cy

ds/

ft)

USACE Int. USACE High

2013 Fill Density = 38.5 cyds/ft for 10-year cycle

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

39

South County - St. Lucie County

Nourishment - future needs based on 10 year cycle to offset longshore sediment transport gradient & sea level rise

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-101

Equilibrium Profile Zero Int Bruun Dean

36’

85’

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

40

No Action - Intermediate Sea Level Change - 2065

South County - St. Lucie County

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-101

Equilibrium Profile Zero High Bruun Dean

183’ 95’

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

41

No Action – High Sea Level Change - 2065

South County - St. Lucie County

-10.00

-5.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

-250.00 -200.00 -150.00 -100.00 -50.00 0.00 50.00 100.00

Hei

gh

t a

bo

ve

MS

L (

ft)

Distance from MSL (ft)

R-101

Zero Int High Equilibrium Profile USACE Int. USACE High

Seawall at 30 feet seaward of house

71’ 11’

107’

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

42

South County - St. Lucie County

Seawall – by 2065

Shoreline Recession (feet / year)

Navarre

Beach

SRC1

Lovers

Key

Lee2

South

County

SLC3

Int. High Int. High Int. High

Bruun 0.81 2.24 1.49 3.97 0.72 1.91

Dean 2.45 5.35 0.67 1.94 1.70 3.65

Historic 1.0 4.4 0.56

1: Historic based on 1970 – 2008 surveys

2: Historic based on 1972 – 2008 surveys

3: Historic based on 1972 – 2006 surveys

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

Historic data from: Absalonsen, L. and Dean, R. G., 2010. “Characteristics of the Shoreline

Change Along the Sandy Beaches of the State of Florida: An Atlas.” 43

Florida

Shoreline

Recession

Summary

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

44

Summary

Alternative Protection Preserve Land Recreational Beach Habitat

Yes Yes Yes Yes

limited by Design MHWL fluctuates beach width fluctuates habitat fluctuates

No No Yes Somewhat

"demolished/ relocated" MHWL recedes width same & migrates loss of upland habitat

Yes Somewhat No No

limited by Design landward of seawall beach width diminishes loss of beach habitat

Beach Fill

Retreat

Seawall

Classic Beach Management Objectives

• Sea level change is estimated to rise 0.36 feet to 2.84 feet

in Florida over the next 50 years.

• Over the next 50 years, fill quantities needed to offset

sea level rise are within range of historical values.

• Beach nourishment is the only viable alternative to meet classic Beach Management Objectives.

• A better understanding of the effects of sea level rise upon

beach nourishment is warranted.

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise

45

Conclusions

Thank you

Questions?

Effectiveness of Beach Nourishment in Response to Sea Level Rise