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Setting the Stage for SEM
Environmental Scan
SEM Data TeamAugust 22, 2012
Indiana’s Education Pipeline
Strategic Initiatives for Higher Education in Indiana -2008
Moving from college access to degree success
Preparing K-12 teachers, school leaders and students for college success
Ensuring that college is affordable Focusing the role of the community
colleges Strengthening Indiana’s major research
universities Embracing accountability
Source: ICHE
ICHE Strategic Priorities and Policy Directives - 2012
Students and the state are not well served by an empty promise of college access without completion.
• Degree Completion• Remediation
Success• Student Persistence
A more productive higher education system will increase student success and safeguard college affordability.
• On-Time Completion
• Cost Per Degree• Student Debt
Increasing college completion and productivity need not come at the expense of academic quality
• Learning Outcomes
• Transfer• Return on
Investment
Source: ICHE
National Profile of Postsecondary Education
Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).
National Profile of Postsecondary Education
Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).
National Profile of Postsecondary Education
Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce (2012).
AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment
AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment
Between 2010 and 2050, Indiana’s population is expected to:
a) Decrease by 5%b) Remain stablec) Increase by 5%d) Increase by 15%
Projected Population Change by County, 2010 to 2050
Indiana’s population will increase 15%
Source: Indiana Business Research Center (IBRC)
Projected Shared of Total Population by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC)
Projected Population Change by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC)
Indiana Population by Age
Indiana HS Graduates 1991-2012
Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE)
Indiana Public HS Graduates
Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE)
High School Graduates by Region
Source: Indiana Department of Education
Online Enrollment – National Trend
Source: Going the Distance, Online Education in the United States, 2011Babson Survey Research Group
Indiana College NetworkICN’s mission is to be a learner-centered electronic-learning
collaboration that provides partner institutions with innovative means to meet lifelong learning needs of Indiana citizens.
• The ICN online catalog includes more than 200 complete certificate and degree programs available at a distance.
• Approximately 3,000 college credit classes are offered • Roughly 200 distance classes are available to high-school
students every semester.• Over 500 online continuing education classes are regularly
available.• Annual college credit enrollments in technology-delivered
classes have long since passed the 100,000 mark
Source: Indiana College Network
Distance Education Trend ISU
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Undergraduate Enrollment
No DistanceCombinationDistance Only
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Graduate Enrollment
No DistanceCombinationDistance Only
ISU Undergraduate Distance Education
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
UG Distance Only by Age
0-2526-3031-4041+
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
UG Combination by Age
0-2526-3031-4041+
Graduate Enrollment
NationalOverall graduate enrollment has increased on average 3.3% each year (2000-2010)Women and minorities, especially Hispanic students, drive most enrollment gains.Six out of ten were enrolled in public institutionsMore than half were enrolled in Education, Business or Health Sciences75% were enrolled in Master’s programs
Indiana State UniversityISU graduate enrollment is stable and represents 18% of total ISU enrollment 61% are women and 15% are minorities Nearly 1 in 4 have ISU Bachelors degrees75% are enrolled in 13 departments
Doctoral students represent 22% of total
Source: Council of Graduate Schools
IND INTL OUTST0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
20072008200920102011
ISU Graduate Enrollment by Origin
ISU Graduate Student Fall-to-Fall Return Rates 2007-2010
Educational Attainment
Source: Lumina Foundation
Indiana Labor Trends
Indiana ranks 40th nationally in higher education attainment and 41st in personal per capita income.
Source: US Census Bureau
AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment
What percentage of all Indiana Core40 graduates require remediation?
a) 8%b) 18%c) 28%d) 38%
National Indiana ISU National Indiana ISU National Indiana ISUCritical Reading Mathematics Writing
400
420
440
460
480
500
520
501497
467
514
507
473
493
483
455
497493
461
514
501
467
489
475
443
20072011
SAT Scores 2007 & 2011National, Indiana and ISU
Source: College Board
Increase in Core 40 and honors diplomas:◦ 70.4 percent to 80.9 percent
Increase in graduates passing AP exams:◦ 7.5 percent to 14.0 percent
Increase in Dual Credit Course-Taking ◦ 10,000 to over 43,000 students (317 percent
increase)
Rigorous High School Course-Taking
(Statewide 2006-11)
Source: ICHE
General Diploma Graduates – 66% Core40 Graduates - 38% Core40 with Honors Graduates – 7%
Remediation RatesRecent HS Graduates (2011)
One in four Indiana college students enrolled in remediation will earn a degree within 6 years
Source: Complete College America, 2011
AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment
How much did ISU’s tuition/mandatory fees increase between 2001 and 2010?
a) 33%b) 50%c) 66%d) 75%
$-
$200,000,000
$400,000,000
$600,000,000
$800,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,200,000,000
$1,400,000,000
2010-11 $1,228,799,413
state appropriations 1976 - 2011
State Operating Appropriations to Public
Postsecondary institutions
Compound Annual Growth Rate: 4.7%
Source: Higher Education Funding in Indiana: The Role of the Indiana Commission for Higher Education, Trustees Academy, Aug 30 2010
Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO)State Higher Education Finance FY 2011
State Funding per Resident Degree-Seeking
FTE
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
ISUIU-BPU-WLBSUVUUSIIUPUIITCC
Source: ICHE
Evolution of CHE Funding Recommendations
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013Enrollment Change (credit hours enrolled)
Enrollment Change (credit hours enrolled) Enrollment Change
(successfully completed credit hours)
Enrollment Change (successfully completed credit hours)
Enrollment Change (successfully completed credit hours)
Inflation Adjustments Inflation Adjustments
Equity Adjustment Equity Adjustment Research Support Incentive
Research Support Incentive
Research Support Incentive
Research Support Incentive
Remediation Success (VU & ITCC only)
Change in number of degrees
Change in number of degrees
Change in number of degrees Change in number of degrees
Change in On-Time graduation Rate
Change in On-Time graduation Rate
Change in On-Time graduation Rate
Change in On-Time graduation Rate
Two Year Transfer Incentive
Two Year Transfer Incentive Dual credit Student Persistence
Low Income Degree Completion Incentive
Low Income Degree Completion Incentive
Low Income Degree Completion Incentive
Workforce Development Incentive (funding non-credit coursework)
High Impact Degree Completion (IUB, PUWL, BSU only)
Institutional Defined Metric
Source: ICHE
Performance Funding Impact on ISU’s Funding 2011-13
ISU Contribution to Performance
Funding Pool
ISU Funds Recommended
by ICHE
ISU Funds Approved in Final Budget
Successful Completion of Credit Hours $733,248 $8,024 $0
Dual Credit Successful Completion of Credit Hours $89,420 $4,875 $5,025
Early College Successful Completion of Credit Hours $28,615 $0 $0Low Income Degree Attainment $143,073 $751,456 $228,375On-Time Degree Change $71,536 $1,681,129 $221,404Change in Degrees Attained $1,788,409 $0 $0Research Incentive $722,517 $0 $0Total $3,576,818 $2,445,484 $454,804
Source: ISU VP Business Affairs
ISU Performance Funding Metrics for 2013-15 Budget Submission
FY12
CHE Recommendation for allocation of performance funding dollars: 55% through increases in overall degree completion and on-time degrees 30% rewards progress in persistence and low income degrees 15% improvement in institution-defined metric
2011 College Costs by Type of Institution
Public 2yr Public 4yr Private 4yr$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$2,963
$8,244
$28,500
1981-821991-922001-022011-12
Source: College Board – Trends in College Pricing 2011
Indiana Public Institution Fees
2006 2008 2010$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
$10,000
Purdue - W.L.Indiana - BloomingtonBall State UIUPUI - IndianapolisIndiana State UU of Southern IndVincennes UIvy Tech CC
Year
Cost
(in 2
010 D
ollars
)
The College Board: Trends in College Pricing 2010
Indiana Public Institution Fees
Purd
ue -
W.L.
Indi
ana
- Blo
omin
gton
Ball S
tate
U
IUPU
I - In
dian
apol
is
Indi
ana
Stat
e U
U of S
outh
ern
Ind
Ivy
Tech
CC
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%77.9%
55.7%
66.3%
54.4%
66.0%
47.7%
33.9%
% Increase in Tuition from 2001 to 2010
The College Board: Trends in College Pricing 2010
Fall 2001 Fall 2011
Course LevelDistinct Courses
Course Enrollment
sTotal Fees
Distinct Courses
Course Enrollments
Total Fees
Undergraduate 114 2611 $76,259 202 5525 $558,099Graduate 35 82 $3,413 70 642 $161,958Total 149 2693 $79,672 272 6167 $720,057
ISU Course Fees
4 12 17 25 36 43 48 60 100
129
300
500
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Fall 2011 Course Fees
Flat feeHourly Fee
Fee Amount
Num
ber
of
Cours
es
Average per course enrollment $30 $117
Paying for College
• 70% of families are eliminating college choices based on cost
• More students are now choosing to enroll in community colleges
Source: How America Pays for College,Ipsos/Sallie Mae
2005 2009 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
28%
41%
49%
33%
57%
39%38%
51%54%54%
59%
65%
Federal Grants State Grants Institutional Grants Loans to Students* Dollar figures represent the average aid amounts *
$2,716 $3,993 $3,083 $6,143 $4,646 $4,115 $2,500 $6,619 $4,559 $4,481 $2,835 $6,171
Financial Aid to ISU Full-time First-time Freshman% of cohort receiving aid by type
Source: ISU IPEDS Financial Aid Survey
ISU Purchasing Power of Grants
AffordabilityDemographics Preparation Enrollment
What percentage of Fall 2010 Indiana college enrollment is at 4-yr public institutions?
a) 60%b) 56%c) 51%d) 45%
Indiana Enrollmentby Type of Institution
Institutional ProfileIndiana 4yr Publics
Institution
Average (last 4) FR retention
rate
Actual graduation
rate
Percent of classes
with less than 20 students
Percent of classes with 50 or more
students
Percent FTE
faculty that are full-time
SAT V+M/ACT 25th-75th percentile
Percent of freshmen in top 10% of high school
class
Average alumni giving
rateIndiana University--Bloomington 90% 71% 34% 18% 95% 1060-1280 38% 16%Purdue Univ.--West Lafayette 87% 69% 37% 17% 96% 1040-1290 37% 19%Ball State University 78% 57% 34% 12% 92% 970-1160 19% 11% Indiana U.-Purdue U.--Indianapolis 70% 34% 35% 9% 86% 890-1120 16% 11%Indiana State University 66% 44% 30% 9% 89% 820-1030 8% 10% University of Southern Indiana 67% 32% 34% 7% 77% 860-1080 10% 4%
Source US News 2011
Student Profiles in Perspective
% P
ell R
ecip
ient
s
% U
nder
rep.
Min
ority
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
ISUIUPUIUSIBSUP-WLIU-BIllinois State
Source: IPEDS (2010).
Student Profiles in Perspective
Median SAT/ACT0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
ISUUSIIUPUIBSUP-WLIU-BIllinois State
Source: IPEDS (2010).
Indiana U
niversi
ty-Bloomingto
n
Purdue Unive
rsity-
West
Lafay
etteIUPUI
Ball St
ate Unive
rsity
Indiana S
tate Unive
rsity
Universi
ty Of S
outhern
Indian
a0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
FY06
FY10
FY11
Annualized Enrollment – 4Yr Publics
ISU largest 1yr change (9.4%)USI largest 5yr change (13.2%)
Source: ICHE
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY111yr
change 5yr
changeIvy Tech Community College Total 104,808 111,205 120,447 135,699 166,555 174,762 4.9% 66.7%Vincennes University Total 16,235 16,333 17,110 20,429 23,111 23,035 -0.3% 41.9%
Annualized Enrollment
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY111yr
change5yr
changeIndiana University-East 3,369 3,253 3,260 3,552 4,110 4,641 12.9% 37.8%Indiana University-Kokomo 4,131 3,922 3,848 3,695 4,119 4,225 2.6% 2.3%Indiana University-Northwest 6,890 6,871 6,576 6,669 7,475 7,947 6.3% 15.3%Indiana University-South Bend 10,263 10,086 10,069 10,391 11,194 11,012 -1.6% 7.3%Indiana University-Southeast 8,338 8,416 8,378 8,796 9,112 9,387 3.0% 12.6%
Indiana University-Purdue University-Fort Wayne 14,839 14,799 15,057 15,945 17,240 17,203 -0.2% 15.9%Purdue University-Calumet Campus 11,955 11,920 12,148 11,712 12,510 12,375 -1.1% 3.5%Purdue University-North Central Campus 4,480 4,662 4,797 5,117 5,712 6,012 5.3% 34.2%
Source: ICHE
Indiana Private College Enrollment
Source: Independent Colleges of Indiana
Fall 2010 ISU Admits who did not enrollWhere did they go?
Source: National Student Clearinghouse
New Freshmen from Indiana
Source: Chronicle (per IPEDS)
Based on our environment, what are the areas of opportunity for ISU’s enrollment?
How can we best prepare students for academic success, knowing that preparation is a significant issue for our students?
Guiding questions