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Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of immunization coverage: 2019 revision July 6, 2020; page 1 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Page 1: Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of ... · Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of immunization coverage: 2019 revision ... administrative reports from health service

Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of immunization coverage: 2019 revision

July 6, 2020; page 1 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

Page 2: Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of ... · Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of immunization coverage: 2019 revision ... administrative reports from health service

Equatorial Guinea: WHO and UNICEF estimates of immunization coverage: 2019 revision

BACKGROUND NOTE: Each year WHO and UNICEF jointly review reports submitted by MemberStates regarding national immunization coverage, finalized survey reports as well as data from thepublished and grey literature. Based on these data, with due consideration to potential biases and theviews of local experts, WHO and UNICEF attempt to distinguish between situations where theavailable empirical data accurately reflect immunization system performance and those where the dataare likely to be compromised and present a misleading view of immunization coverage while jointlyestimating the most likely coverage levels for each country.

WHO and UNICEF estimates are country-specific; that is to say, each country’s data are reviewedindividually, and data are not borrowed from other countries in the absence of data. Estimates are notbased on ad hoc adjustments to reported data; in some instances empirical data are available from asingle source, usually the nationally reported coverage data. In cases where no data are available for agiven country/vaccine/year combination, data are considered from earlier and later years andinterpolated to estimate coverage for the missing year(s). In cases where data sources are mixed andshow large variation, an attempt is made to identify the most likely estimate with consideration of thepossible biases in available data. For methods see:

*Burton et al. 2009. WHO and UNICEF estimates of national infant immunization coverage: methodsand processes.*Burton et al. 2012. A formal representation of the WHO and UNICEF estimates of nationalimmunization coverage: a computational logic approach.*Brown et al. 2013. An introduction to the grade of confidence used to characterize uncertainty aroundthe WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage.

DATA SOURCES.

ADMINISTRATIVE coverage: Reported by national authorities and based on aggregatedadministrative reports from health service providers on the number of vaccinations administeredduring a given period (numerator data) and reported target population data (denominator data).May be biased by inaccurate numerator and/or denominator data.

OFFICIAL coverage: Estimated coverage reported by national authorities that reflects theirassessment of the most likely coverage based on any combination of administrative coverage,survey-based estimates or other data sources or adjustments. Approaches to determineOFFICIAL coverage may differ across countries.

SURVEY coverage: Based on estimated coverage from population-based household surveys amongchildren aged 12-23 months or 24-35 months following a review of survey methods and results.Information is based on the combination of vaccination history from documented evidence orcaregiver recall. Survey results are considered for the appropriate birth cohort based on theperiod of data collection.

ABBREVIATIONS

BCG: percentage of births who received one dose of Bacillus Calmette Guerin vaccine.

DTP1 / DTP3: percentage of surviving infants who received the 1st / 3rd dose, respectively, ofdiphtheria and tetanus toxoid with pertussis containing vaccine.

Pol3: percentage of surviving infants who received the 3rd dose of polio containing vaccine. May beeither oral or inactivated polio vaccine.

IPV1: percentage of surviving infants who received at least one dose of inactivated polio vaccine. Incountries utilizing an immunization schedule recommending either (i) a primary series of threedoses of oral polio vaccine (OPV) plus at least one dose of IPV where OPV is included in routine

immunization and/or campaign or (ii) a sequential schedule of IPV followed by OPV, WHO andUNICEF estimates for IPV1 reflect coverage with at least one routine dose of IPV among infants<1 year of age among countries. For countries utilizing IPV containing vaccine use only, i.e., norecommended dose of OPV, the WHO and UNICEF estimate for IPV1 corresponds to coveragefor the 1st dose of IPV.

Production of IPV coverage estimates, which begins in 2015, results in no change of theestimated coverage levels for the 3rd dose of polio (Pol3). For countries recommending routineimmunization with a primary series of three doses of IPV alone, WHO and UNICEF estimatedPol3 coverage is equivalent to estimated coverage with three doses of IPV. For countries with asequential schedule, estimated Pol3 coverage is based on that for the 3rd dose of polio vaccineregardless of vaccine type.

MCV1: percentage of surviving infants who received the 1st dose of measles containing vaccine. Incountries where the national schedule recommends the 1st dose of MCV at 12 months or laterbased on the epidemiology of disease in the country, coverage estimates reflect the percentage ofchildren who received the 1st dose of MCV as recommended.

MCV2: percentage of children who received the 2nd dose of measles containing vaccine according tothe nationally recommended schedule.

RCV1: percentage of surviving infants who received the 1st dose of rubella containing vaccine. Coverage estimates are based on WHO and UNICEF estimates of coverage for the dose of measlescontaining vaccine that corresponds to the first measles-rubella combination vaccine. Nationallyreported coverage of RCV is not taken into consideration nor are the data represented in theaccompanying graph and data table.

HepBB: percentage of births which received a dose of hepatitis B vaccine within 24 hours of delivery.Estimates of hepatitis B birth dose coverage are produced only for countries with a universalbirth dose policy. Estimates are not produced for countries that recommend a birth dose toinfants born to HepB virus-infected mothers only or where there is insufficient information todetermine whether vaccination is within 24 hours of birth.

HepB3: percentage of surviving infants who received the 3rd dose of hepatitis B containing vaccinefollowing the birth dose.

Hib3: percentage of surviving infants who received the 3rd dose of Haemophilus influenzae type bcontaining vaccine.

RotaC: percentage of surviving infants who received the final recommended dose of rotavirus vaccine,which can be either the 2nd or the 3rd dose depending on the vaccine.

PcV3: percentage of surviving infants who received the 3rd dose of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine.In countries where the national schedule recommends two doses during infancy and a boosterdose at 12 months or later based on the epidemiology of disease in the country, coverageestimates may reflect the percentage of surviving infants who received two doses of PcV prior tothe 1st birthday.

YFV: percentage of surviving infants who received one dose of yellow fever vaccine in countries whereYFV is part of the national immunization schedule for children or is recommended in at riskareas; coverage estimates are annualized for the entire cohort of surviving infants.

Disclaimer: All reasonable precautions have been taken by the World Health Organization andUnited Nations Children’s Fund to verify the information contained in this publication. However,the published material is being distributed without warranty of any kind, either expressed orimplied. The responsibility for the interpretation and use of the material lies with the reader. Inno event shall the World Health Organization or United Nations Children’s Fund be liable fordamages arising from its use.

July 6, 2020; page 2 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate 71 71 71 75 78 82 85 77 85 85 85 85

Estimate GoC • • • • • • • • • • • •Official 71 68 58 53 53 51 64 35 46 50 56 63

Administrative 71 68 58 53 53 51 64 35 46 50 56 63Survey NA NA 71 NA NA NA 85 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained varia-tion in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. WHOand UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 districts(50 percent). Estimate of 85 percent changed from previous revision value of 63 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Esti-mate of 85 percent changed from previous revision value of 63 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 85 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey estimatedcoverage for 2014. Reported number of doses in 2016 are similar to that reported in 2014at the time of the survey. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variation in reportedtarget population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Fluctuationsin reported data over time suggest poor quality administrative recording and report-ing systems. Unexplained increase of 33 percentage in target population between 2014and 2016. Estimate of 85 percent changed from previous revision value of 59 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2015: Programme reports district level stock-out of unknown duration. Estimate is based onthe change in recomputed coverage between 2014 and 2015, using the reported numberof doses and an independent denominator, applied to survey result in 2014. Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 64 percent to 35 percent withincrease to 46 percent. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poor quality ad-ministrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 percentage intarget population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 77 percent changed from previousrevision value of 48 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reportedcoverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2014: Survey evidence does not support reported data. Estimate based on survey results. Surveyevidence of 85 percent based on 1 survey(s). Reported data excluded due to an increasefrom 51 percent to 64 percent with decrease 35 percent. Estimate of 85 percent changedfrom previous revision value of 56 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctua-tion in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoringsystem.

2013: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of82 percent changed from previous revision value of 64 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-

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Equatorial Guinea - BCG

ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2012: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of78 percent changed from previous revision value of 66 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2011: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of75 percent changed from previous revision value of 66 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2010: Survey evidence does not support reported data. Estimate based on survey results. Surveyevidence of 71 percent based on 1 survey(s). GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctua-tion in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoringsystem.

2009: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate challenged by: D-R-

2008: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate challenged by: D-R-

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Equatorial Guinea - DTP1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate 60 60 59 64 68 73 77 64 77 77 77 77

Estimate GoC • • • • • • • • • • • •Official 80 104 59 42 54 47 57 26 42 50 54 67

Administrative 80 104 59 42 54 47 57 23 42 50 54 67Survey NA NA 59 NA NA NA 77 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 54 level to 67percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. WHOand UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 districts(50 percent). Estimate of 77 percent changed from previous revision value of 44 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Esti-mate of 77 percent changed from previous revision value of 44 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 77 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey value for2014. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population aswell as in reported number of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data overtime suggest poor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplainedincrease of 33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 77percent changed from previous revision value of 40 percent. GoC=Assigned by workinggroup. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2015: Programme reports four month stock-out of DTP-HepB-Hib vaccine. Estimate is based onthe change in recomputed coverage between 2014 and 2015, using the reported numberof doses and an independent denominator, applied to survey result in 2014. Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 57 percent to 26 percent withincrease to 42 percent. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poor quality ad-ministrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 percentage intarget population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 64 percent changed from previousrevision value of 28 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reportedcoverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2014: Survey evidence does not support reported data. Estimate based on survey results. Sur-vey evidence of 77 percent based on 1 survey(s). Estimate of 77 percent changed fromprevious revision value of 59 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation inreported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2013: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of73 percent changed from previous revision value of 49 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

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2012: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of68 percent changed from previous revision value of 56 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2011: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. .Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 59 percent to 42 percent withincrease to 54 percent. Estimate of 64 percent changed from previous revision value of59 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage acrossthe time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2010: Estimate based on coverage reported by national government supported by survey. Surveyevidence of 59 percent based on 1 survey(s). The use of pentavalent DTP-HepB-Hib com-bination vaccine or trivalent DTP vaccine is unclear based on inconsistent informationreceived by WHO and UNICEF from the programme, the 2011 DHS report and reviewof existing home-based vaccination records used at GoC=Assigned by working group.Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routinemonitoring system.

2009: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Reported data excluded because 104 per-cent greater than 100 percent. Reported data excluded due to an increase from 80 percentto 104 percent with decrease 59 percent. Estimate challenged by: D-R-

2008: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate challenged by: R-

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate 50 52 54 54 54 53 53 40 53 53 53 53

Estimate GoC • • • • • • • • • • • •Official 74 74 44 54 41 24 45 17 33 48 46 61

Administrative 74 74 44 54 41 24 45 16 33 48 46 61Survey NA NA 41 NA NA NA 58 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 46 level to 61percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. WHOand UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 districts(50 percent). Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Esti-mate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey result for2014. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population aswell as in reported number of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data overtime suggest poor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplainedincrease of 33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 53percent changed from previous revision value of 19 percent. GoC=Assigned by workinggroup. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2015: Programme reports four month stock-out of DTP-HepB-Hib vaccine. Estimate is based onthe change in recomputed coverage between 2014 and 2015, using the reported numberof doses and an independent denominator, applied to survey result in 2014. Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 45 percent to 17 percent withincrease to 33 percent. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poor quality ad-ministrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 percentage intarget population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 40 percent changed from previousrevision value of 16 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reportedcoverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2014: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey. EPIExternal Revue 2016 - National Coverage survey card or history results of 58 percentmodifed for recall bias to 53 percent based on 1st dose card or history coverage of 77percent, 1st dose card only coverage of 32 percent and 3rd dose card only coverage of 22percent. Reported data excluded due to an increase from 24 percent to 45 percent withdecrease 17 percent. Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 24percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

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2013: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. .Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 41 percent to 24 percent withincrease to 45 percent. Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 6percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2012: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of54 percent changed from previous revision value of 26 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2011: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of54 percent changed from previous revision value of 41 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2010: Estimate of 54 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey. Equato-rial Guinea Demographic and Health Survey 2011 card or history results of 41 percentmodifed for recall bias to 54 percent based on 1st dose card or history coverage of 59percent, 1st dose card only coverage of 33 percent and 3rd dose card only coverage of 30percent. The use of pentavalent DTP-HepB-Hib combination vaccine or trivalent DTPvaccine is unclear based on inconsistent information received by WHO and UNICEFfrom the programme, the 2011 DHS report and review of existing home-based vaccina-tion records used at Estimate of 54 percent changed from previous revision value of 44percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2009: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate of 52 percent changed from pre-vious revision value of 43 percent. Estimate challenged by: R-

2008: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate of 50 percent changed from pre-vious revision value of 42 percent. Estimate challenged by: R-

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate 57 59 61 60 58 57 55 37 55 55 55 55

Estimate GoC • • • • • • • • • • • •Official 73 68 39 53 40 40 52 27 30 46 45 61

Administrative 73 NA 39 53 40 40 52 16 30 46 45 61Survey NA NA 34 NA NA NA 60 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 45 level to 61percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. WHOand UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 districts(50 percent). Estimate of 55 percent changed from previous revision value of 27 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Esti-mate of 55 percent changed from previous revision value of 27 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 55 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey result for2014. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population aswell as in reported number of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data overtime suggest poor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplainedincrease of 33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 55percent changed from previous revision value of 20 percent. GoC=Assigned by workinggroup. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2015: Estimate is based on the change in recomputed coverage between 2014 and 2015, usingthe reported number of doses and an independent denominator, applied to survey resultin 2014. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poor quality administrativerecording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 percentage in target pop-ulation between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 37 percent changed from previous revisionvalue of 17 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverageacross the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2014: Estimate of 55 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey. EPIExternal Revue 2016 - National Coverage survey card or history results of 60 percentmodifed for recall bias to 55 percent based on 1st dose card or history coverage of 74percent, 1st dose card only coverage of 31 percent and 3rd dose card only coverage of 23percent. Reported data excluded due to an increase from 40 percent to 52 percent withdecrease 27 percent. Estimate of 55 percent changed from previous revision value of 24percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2013: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of57 percent changed from previous revision value of 30 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-

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ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2012: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of58 percent changed from previous revision value of 30 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2011: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. .Reported dataexcluded due to an increase from 39 percent to 53 percent with decrease 40 percent. Es-timate of 60 percent changed from previous revision value of 39 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2010: Estimate based on interpolation between data reported by national government supportedby survey. Survey evidence of 59 percent based on 1 survey(s). Equatorial Guinea Demo-graphic and Health Survey 2011 card or history results of 34 percent modifed for recallbias to 59 percent based on 1st dose card or history coverage of 64 percent, 1st dose cardonly coverage of 35 percent and 3rd dose card only coverage of 32 percent. Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 68 percent to 39 percent withincrease to 53 percent. Estimate of 61 percent changed from previous revision value of59 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage acrossthe time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2009: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate of 59 percent changed from pre-vious revision value of 57 percent. Estimate challenged by: R-

2008: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate of 57 percent changed from pre-vious revision value of 55 percent. Estimate challenged by: R-

July 6, 2020; page 10 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - IPV1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 53 53 53

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA • • • •Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 NA NA 60

Administrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 45 45 60Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

Estimates for a dose of inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) begin in 2015 following the Global Po-lio Eradication Initiative’s Polio Eradication and Endgame Strategic Plan: 2013-2018which recommended at least one full dose or two fractional doses of IPV into routineimmunization schedules as a strategy to mitigate the potential consequences should anyre-emergence of type 2 poliovirus occur following the planned withdrawal of Sabin type2 strains from oral polio vaccine (OPV).

2019: Estimate based on estimated DTP3 coverage. Reported data excluded. Unexplainedvariation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vac-cinated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 45 level to 60percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Estimate based on estimated DTP3 coverage. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated.WHO and UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 dis-tricts (50 percent). Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Estimate based on estimated DTP3 coverage. Reported data excluded. Unexplainedvariation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vac-cinated. Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the timeseries suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate is exceptionally based on reported data during introduction year. Reporteddata excluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population as well as in re-ported number of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggestpoor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Inactivated polio vaccineintroduced in 2016. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverageacross the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

July 6, 2020; page 11 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - MCV1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate 45 45 44 46 49 51 53 50 53 53 53 53

Estimate GoC • • • • • • • • • • • •Official 76 77 NA 50 34 41 43 26 29 53 39 51

Administrative 76 77 51 50 34 41 42 23 29 53 39 51Survey NA NA 44 NA NA NA 53 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 39 level to 51percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variation inreported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated.Reporteddata excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 53 percent to 39 percent withincrease to 51 percent. WHO and UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conductedin 2016 in only 9 districts (50 percent). Estimate of 53 percent changed from previousrevision value of 30 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reportedcoverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to an increase from 29 percent to 53 percent withdecrease 39 percent. Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 30percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey result for2014. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population aswell as in reported number of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data overtime suggest poor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplainedincrease of 33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 53percent changed from previous revision value of 30 percent. GoC=Assigned by workinggroup. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2015: Estimate is based on the change in recomputed coverage between 2014 and 2015, usingthe reported number of doses and an independent denominator, applied to survey resultin 2014. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poor quality administrativerecording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 percentage in target pop-ulation between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 50 percent changed from previous revisionvalue of 27 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverageacross the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2014: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey result. Es-timate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 44 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2013: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of51 percent changed from previous revision value of 42 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

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Equatorial Guinea - MCV1

2012: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of49 percent changed from previous revision value of 35 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2011: Reported data calibrated to 2010 and 2014 levels. Reported data excluded. . Estimate of46 percent changed from previous revision value of 51 percent. GoC=Assigned by work-ing group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges inroutine monitoring system.

2010: Estimate of 44 percent assigned by working group. Estimate is based on survey result. Es-timate of 44 percent changed from previous revision value of 51 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2009: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate of 45 percent changed from pre-vious revision value of 51 percent. Estimate challenged by: R-

2008: Estimate based on interpolation between 1999 and 2010 levels. Unexplained temporalchange in numerator and denominator levels. Estimate of 45 percent changed from pre-vious revision value of 51 percent. Estimate challenged by: R-

July 6, 2020; page 13 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - MCV2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAAdministrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

July 6, 2020; page 14 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - RCV1

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAAdministrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

July 6, 2020; page 15 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - HepBB

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAAdministrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

July 6, 2020; page 16 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - HepB3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA 53 40 53 53 53 53

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA • • • • • •Official NA NA NA NA NA NA 45 17 33 48 46 61

Administrative NA NA NA NA NA NA 45 16 33 48 46 61Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA 58 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 46 level to 61percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. WHOand UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 districts(50 percent). Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Esti-mate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Estimate follows DTP3 Reported dataexcluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population as well as in reportednumber of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poorquality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 per-centage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 53 percent changedfrom previous revision value of 19 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctua-tion in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoringsystem.

2015: Programme reports four month stock-out of DTP-HepB-Hib vaccine. Estimate followsDTP level. Reported data excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 45 percentto 17 percent with increase to 33 percent. Fluctuations in reported data over time sug-gest poor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increaseof 33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 40 percentchanged from previous revision value of 16 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group.Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routinemonitoring system.

2014: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. HepB containing vaccine introducedduring 2013 in pentavalent DTP-HepB-Hib. Reporting began during 2014. Estimate isbased on estimated DTP coverage level. EPI External Revue 2016 - National Coveragesurvey card or history results of 58 percent modifed for recall bias to 53 percent based on1st dose card or history coverage of 77 percent, 1st dose card only coverage of 32 percentand 3rd dose card only coverage of 22 percent. Estimate of 53 percent changed fromprevious revision value of 20 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation inreported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

July 6, 2020; page 17 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - Hib3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA 53 40 53 53 53 53

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA • • • • • •Official NA NA NA NA NA NA 45 17 33 48 46 61

Administrative NA NA NA NA NA NA 45 16 33 48 46 61Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA 58 NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained vari-ation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated.Reported data excluded due to sudden change in coverage from 46 level to 61percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. WHOand UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only 9 districts(50 percent). Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent.GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time seriessuggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Reported data calibrated to 2016 levels. Reported data excluded. Unexplained variationin reported target population as well as in reported number of children vaccinated. Esti-mate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of 25 percent. GoC=Assignedby working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests chal-lenges in routine monitoring system.

2016: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Estimate follows DTP3 Reported dataexcluded. Unexplained variation in reported target population as well as in reportednumber of children vaccinated. Fluctuations in reported data over time suggest poorquality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increase of 33 per-centage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 53 percent changedfrom previous revision value of 19 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctua-tion in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoringsystem.

2015: Programme reports four month stock-out of DTP-HepB-Hib vaccine. Estimate followsDTP level. Reported data excluded due to decline in reported coverage from 45 percentto 17 percent with increase to 33 percent. Fluctuations in reported data over time sug-gest poor quality administrative recording and reporting systems. Unexplained increaseof 33 percentage in target population between 2014 and 2016. Estimate of 40 percentchanged from previous revision value of 16 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group.Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routinemonitoring system.

2014: Estimate of 53 percent assigned by working group. Hib containing vaccine introducedduring 2013 in pentavalent DTP-HepB-Hib. Reporting began during 2014. Estimate isbased on estimated DTP coverage level. EPI External Revue 2016 - National Coveragesurvey card or history results of 58 percent modifed for recall bias to 53 percent based on1st dose card or history coverage of 77 percent, 1st dose card only coverage of 32 percentand 3rd dose card only coverage of 22 percent. Estimate of 53 percent changed fromprevious revision value of 20 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation inreported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

July 6, 2020; page 18 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - RotaC

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAAdministrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

July 6, 2020; page 19 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - PcV3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NAAdministrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

July 6, 2020; page 20 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020

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Equatorial Guinea - YFV

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Estimate NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2 53 53

Estimate GoC NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA • • •Official NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2 39 46

Administrative NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2 39 46Survey NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

The WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (wuenic) are based on data and informationthat are of varying, and, in some instances, unknown quality. Beginning with the 2011 revision we describethe grade of confidence (GoC) we have in these estimates. As there is no underlying probability model uponwhich the estimates are based, we are unable to present classical measures of uncertainty, e.g., confidenceintervals. Moreover, we have chosen not to make subjective estimates of plausibility/certainty ranges aroundthe coverage. The GoC reflects the degree of empirical support upon which the estimates are based. It isnot a judgment of the quality of data reported by national authorities.

••• Estimate is supported by reported data [R+], coverage recalculated with an independent denominatorfrom the World Population Prospects: 2019 revision from the UN Population Division (D+), and atleast one supporting survey within 2 years [S+]. While well supported, the estimate still carries a riskof being wrong.

•• Estimate is supported by at least one data source; [R+], [S+], or [D+]; and no data source, [R-], [D-], or[S-], challenges the estimate.

• There are no directly supporting data; or data from at least one source; [R-], [D-], [S-]; challenge the estimate.

In all cases these estimates should be used with caution and should be assessed in lightof the objective for which they are being used.

Description:

2019: Estimate based on estimated MCV1 coverage. Reported data excluded. Unexplainedvariation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage across thetime series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2018: Estimate based on estimated MCV1 coverage. Reported data excluded. Unexplainedvariation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vacci-nated. WHO and UNICEF received a subnational EPI survey conducted in 2016 in only9 districts (50 percent). Estimate of 53 percent changed from previous revision value of30 percent. GoC=Assigned by working group. Fluctuation in reported coverage acrossthe time series suggests challenges in routine monitoring system.

2017: Estimate is exceptionally based on reported data. Reported data excluded. Unexplainedvariation in reported target population as well as in reported number of children vac-cinated. Yellow fever vaccine introduced in 2017. GoC=Assigned by working group.Fluctuation in reported coverage across the time series suggests challenges in routinemonitoring system.

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2014 Revue Externe 2016 du PEV - Enquete de Couverture Vaccinale

Vaccine Confirmation method Coverage Age cohort Sample Cards seenBCG Card 28.7 12-23 m 1890 41BCG Card or History 85.2 12-23 m 1890 41DTP1 Card 32.5 12-23 m 1890 41DTP1 Card or History 77.2 12-23 m 1890 41DTP3 Card 22.5 12-23 m 1890 41DTP3 Card or History 58.1 12-23 m 1890 41HepB1 Card 32.5 12-23 m 1890 41HepB1 Card or History 77.2 12-23 m 1890 41HepB3 Card 22.5 12-23 m 1890 41HepB3 Card or History 58.1 12-23 m 1890 41Hib1 Card 32.5 12-23 m 1890 41Hib1 Card or History 77.2 12-23 m 1890 41Hib3 Card 22.5 12-23 m 1890 41Hib3 Card or History 58.1 12-23 m 1890 41MCV1 Card 18.9 12-23 m 1890 41MCV1 Card or History 52.6 12-23 m 1890 41Pol1 Card 31 12-23 m 1890 41Pol1 Card or History 74.3 12-23 m 1890 41Pol3 Card 22.6 12-23 m 1890 41Pol3 Card or History 60.2 12-23 m 1890 41

2010 Guinee Equatoriale Enquete Demographique et de Sante 2011

Vaccine Confirmation method Coverage Age cohort Sample Cards seenBCG C or H <12 months 70.8 12-23 m 529 37BCG Card 36.8 12-23 m 197 37BCG Card or History 70.8 12-23 m 529 37BCG History 34.2 12-23 m 332 37DTP1 C or H <12 months 58.6 12-23 m 529 37DTP1 Card 33 12-23 m 197 37DTP1 Card or History 58.9 12-23 m 529 37DTP1 History 26 12-23 m 332 37DTP3 C or H <12 months 41 12-23 m 529 37DTP3 Card 30.2 12-23 m 197 37DTP3 Card or History 41 12-23 m 529 37

DTP3 History 11.9 12-23 m 332 37MCV1 C or H <12 months 40.3 12-23 m 529 37MCV1 Card 27.4 12-23 m 197 37MCV1 Card or History 44.4 12-23 m 529 37MCV1 History 17 12-23 m 332 37Pol1 C or H <12 months 64 12-23 m 529 37Pol1 Card 34.9 12-23 m 197 37Pol1 Card or History 64.4 12-23 m 529 37Pol1 History 29.5 12-23 m 332 37Pol3 C or H <12 months 33 12-23 m 529 37Pol3 Card 31.5 12-23 m 197 37Pol3 Card or History 33.8 12-23 m 529 37Pol3 History 2.3 12-23 m 332 37

2009 Guinee Equatoriale Enquete Demographique et de Sante 2011

Vaccine Confirmation method Coverage Age cohort Sample Cards seenBCG C or H <12 months 70.8 24-35 m 499 37DTP1 C or H <12 months 53.5 24-35 m 499 37DTP3 C or H <12 months 31 24-35 m 499 37HepB1 C or H <12 months 53.5 24-35 m 499 37HepB3 C or H <12 months 31 24-35 m 499 37Hib1 C or H <12 months 53.5 24-35 m 499 37Hib3 C or H <12 months 31 24-35 m 499 37MCV1 C or H <12 months 41.3 24-35 m 499 37Pol1 C or H <12 months 62.6 24-35 m 499 37Pol3 C or H <12 months 25.4 24-35 m 499 37

2008 Guinee Equatoriale Enquete Demographique et de Sante 2011

Vaccine Confirmation method Coverage Age cohort Sample Cards seenBCG C or H <12 months 66.5 36-47 m 460 37DTP1 C or H <12 months 55.2 36-47 m 460 37DTP3 C or H <12 months 32.2 36-47 m 460 37HepB1 C or H <12 months 55.2 36-47 m 460 37HepB3 C or H <12 months 32.2 36-47 m 460 37Hib1 C or H <12 months 55.2 36-47 m 460 37Hib3 C or H <12 months 32.2 36-47 m 460 37

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MCV1 C or H <12 months 37.1 36-47 m 460 37Pol1 C or H <12 months 59 36-47 m 460 37Pol3 C or H <12 months 23.3 36-47 m 460 37

2007 Guinee Equatoriale Enquete Demographique et de Sante 2011

Vaccine Confirmation method Coverage Age cohort Sample Cards seenBCG C or H <12 months 62.4 48-59 m 399 37DTP1 C or H <12 months 47.8 48-59 m 399 37DTP3 C or H <12 months 27.3 48-59 m 399 37HepB1 C or H <12 months 47.8 48-59 m 399 37HepB3 C or H <12 months 27.3 48-59 m 399 37Hib1 C or H <12 months 47.8 48-59 m 399 37Hib3 C or H <12 months 27.3 48-59 m 399 37

MCV1 C or H <12 months 30.6 48-59 m 399 37Pol1 C or H <12 months 56 48-59 m 399 37Pol3 C or H <12 months 20.9 48-59 m 399 37

1999 Equatorial Guinea MICS 2000

Vaccine Confirmation method Coverage Age cohort Sample Cards seenBCG Card or History 73.2 12-23 m 457 42DTP1 Card or History 65 12-23 m 457 42DTP3 Card or History 32.9 12-23 m 457 42MCV1 Card or History 50.8 12-23 m 457 42Pol1 Card or History 75.8 12-23 m 457 42Pol3 Card or History 38.7 12-23 m 457 42

Further information and estimates for previous years are available at:

http://www.data.unicef.org/child-health/immunization

http://www.who.int/immunization/monitoring_surveillance/routine/coverage/en/index4.html

July 6, 2020; page 23 WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage - next revision available July 15, 2021 data received as of June 29, 2020