Upload
wayne
View
44
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
European Commission Enterprise and Industry. European Competitiveness Research Programme and ECR 2010 Michael Peneder (WIFO) Budapest, Institute for World Economics, 25.01.2011. Outline. European Competitiveness Research History & consortium Competitiveness - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
1 21.04.23
European Competitiveness Research Programme and ECR 2010
Michael Peneder (WIFO)
Budapest, Institute for World Economics, 25.01.2011
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
2 21.04.23
European Competitiveness Research History & consortium
Competitiveness A “dangerous obsession”? Firms, industries and the macro-level
The ECR 2010 Guiding questions Selected findings
Outline
3 21.04.23
History of the ECR 1994 – Decision of the Council
1997 – First Competitiveness Report
2005 – Refocusing more on Lisbon Agenda
2010 – Support measure for Europe 2020
– New Framework Contract with ...
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
4 21.04.23
Total of 16 partners from 11 countries
WIFO – Austrian Institute of Economic Research (consortium lead, Vienna)
CEPII – Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et d’Information Internationales (Paris)
CIREM – Centre d’Information et de Recherche sur L’Economie Mondiale (Paris)
CPB – Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (Den Haag)
ECORYS Nederland B.V. (Rotterdam) Etlatieto Oy – The Research Inistitute of the
Finnish Economy (Helsinki) Idea Consult (Brussels)
The research consortium (a)
5 21.04.23
IfW – The Kiel Institute for the World Economy IVIE – Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones
Economicas NIESR – National Institute of Economic and Social
Research (London) NIFU – Nordic Institute for Studies in Innovation,
Research and Education (Oslo) SGH – World Economy Research Institute, Warsaw VKI – Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian
Academy of Sciences (Budapest) VTT – Technical Research Center Finland (Helsinki) wiiw – Vienna Institute for International Economic
Studies ZEW – Center for European Economic Studies
(Mannheim)
The research consortium (b)
6 21.04.23
Associated (subcontractors or academic advisers)
EIM Business and Policy Research (Zoetermeer, Brussels)
ETH Zurich – Prof. Peter Egger, Dr. Heinz Hollenstein
Harvard Business School – Prof. Christian Ketels
Harvard University – Prof. Dale Jorgenson
Swansea University – Dr. Catherine Robinson
TNO – Dr. Frans van der Zee
University of Birmingham – Prof. Mary O’Mahony
University of Innsbruck – Prof. Michael Pfaffermayr
The research consortium (c)
7 21.04.23
Competitiveness a “dangerous obsession”?
Paul Krugman (MIT Press, 1996) “So let’s start telling the truth: competitiveness
is a meaningless word when applied to national economies. And the obsession with competitiveness is both wrong and dangerous”
Main arguments Illusion of conflict; trade is no zero-sum-game Domestic spending has larger impact than
negative terms of trade effects Wages rise with productivity: low factor prices
indicate low competitiveness!
8 21.04.23
Competitiveness a natural concern
Competition arises from scarcity, e.g. of Resources (capital, labour/skills, raw materials) Access to markets (EU integration;
international trade agreements; transport) Knowledge & competences (seeking rents
from high-value production)
Do these scarcities matter only for individual firms?
Sure, enterprises are at the core, but e.g. relative abundance of inputs affect industrial
location differences in productivity and industrial
structure affect aggregate income and the standards of living!
9 21.04.23
Competitiveness a refined view
Openness: the very notion of “competitiveness” implies the willingness and ability to face competition, being domestic or from abroad
Focus on productivity: the objective is to raise incomes, not lower wages !
Policy must define the preferences and constraints to account for interdependencies with other goals of society, e.g.
Social cohesion Sustainable environment
10 21.04.23
Competitiveness definitions – ECR 2010
“Competitiveness refers to the overall economic performance of a nation measured in terms of its ability to provide its citizens with growing living standards on a sustainable basis and broad access to jobs”
“... refers to the institutional and policy arrangements that create the conditions under which productivity can grow sustainably”
“external competitiveness refers to the ability to export goods and services in order to afford imports”
11 21.04.23
Competitiveness firms
- Labour & skills
- Capital
- Intermediates
- Raw materials (incl. energy)
Inputs Processes Outcomes
- Entrepreneurship
- Management
- Organisation
- Technology
- Productivity- Survival- Profits - Growth - Market shares
12 21.04.23
Competitiveness industries
Inputs Processes Outcomes
Industrial Organisation, e.g. Competition
Value chains
Technological Regimes
- Productivity
- Growth
- International market shares
- Profitability
Industrial Location, e.g. Firm entry
Foreign Direct Investment
Advanced customer base
13 21.04.23
Competitiveness countries & regions
Inputs Processes Outcomes
Locational Advantages, e.g.
- Relative prices & abundance of inputs
- Infrastructure
- Market access
Regulation & institutions , e.g.
- Efficiency of factor markets
- Administrative burden
- National systems of innovation
- Productivity
- Factor incomes
- Employment
- Growth
14 21.04.23
Competitivenessan integrated puzzle
Firm
s
Firm-level inputs
Inputs Processes Outcomes
Firm-level drivers
Firm performance
Industrial Location
Industrial Organisation
Industrial performance
Locational advantages
Regulation & institutions
Macro-performance
Ind
ust
ries
Cou
ntr
ies
/Reg
ion
s
15 21.04.23
How did imbalances accumulate, and did they affect the external competitiveness of EU industries ?
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
16 21.04.23
Accumulation of disequilibria: speculative bubble and spiral in real estate prices >> overstated wealth Distorted choices: consumption vs. saving and
lending vs. borrowing Adjustment when bubble burst: households save
more and consume less Contagion of other countries (trade, financial
system)
Was there a direct impact of imbalances on EU external competitiveness?
no obvious indication for crowding out of productive investments or a decline in export performance because of wage inflation
ECR 2010Growing imbalances
17 21.04.23
What share of value added does the EU capture when the production of a single phone is scattered all over the world?
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
18 21.04.23
Example of a Nokia ‘high-end’ mobile phone
Even when assembled in China and sold to the US, Europe captures 51% of the value
For high-tech goods, capturing value is largely detached from the physical flows, while attributed mainly to R&D, design, marketing, distribution and management
See presentation by Mats Marcusson …
ECR 2010Trade in intermediate
goods
19 21.04.23
What if corporate R&D and innovation activities are increasingly off-shored?
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
20 21.04.23
Increasing internationalisation of R&D (though traditionally less easily offshored)
Only 5% of all patents of EU firms are invented outside Europe, mostly in the US
17% of EU patent inventions are foreign-owned, 9% by non-EU organisations
Foreign-owned firms have a lower innovation input intensity, but similar innovation output and similar degree of cooperation in host country
Links between EU-12 and EU-15 are rare Language, culture and history matter
much !
ECR 2010Foreign R&D and innovation
21 21.04.23
Do you know which technologies can radically change the future of EU manufacturing?
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
22 21.04.23
New technologies of systemic relevance that facilitate innovation in many other industries
Selected areas Nanotechnology, micro- and nanoelectronics Industrial biotechnology Photonics Advanced materials Advanced manufacturing technologies
See presentation by Agnes Magai …
ECR 2010Key enabling technologies
23 21.04.23
Why do activities such as media, design, software, video games and advertising matter so much for economic growth?
European CommissionEnterprise and Industry
24 21.04.23
Activities at the Crossroads between the Arts, Business and Technology
Ideas & IPRs are major input and output
Competitive edge derived from originality, service and customization
Concentrated in urban areas
Promote technology diffusion & development
Positive impact on growth of local GDP p.c.
ECR 2010Creative industries
25 21.04.23
Thank you for your attention!
26 21.04.23
Annex: Old and new topicsinputs
Labour skills
Migration, skills and productivity (2009) Training, education and productivity (2009) Skill problems (2007) Human capital and productivity growth (2002)
Skill shortages in ICT (2001)
ICT ICT, regulation and productivity (2009) ICT-linked firm reorganisation and productivity gains (2003)
ICT, growth and productivity (2001)
Other Industrial non-energy raw materials (2011)
Intangible investments (1999)
27 21.04.23
Old and new topicsprocesses
International economics
Trade in intermediate products and manufacturing supply chains (2010)
EU and BRICs (2009) Trade costs, openness and productivity: market access (2008)
Challenge of a rising Chinese economy (2004)
EU enlargement and competitiveness of manufacturing (2003)
Internationalisation of EU services (2000)
28 21.04.23
Old and new topicsprocesses
Innovation
Convergence of knowledge intensive sectors (2011)
Foreign corporate R&D and innovation (2010)
Key Enabling Technologies (2010) Financing of innovation (2006) Lead Markets (2006) Productivity and public sector R&D (2004)
Impact of innovation (2001) Biotechnology (2001) Quality based competitiveness (2000) “B2B E-Commerce“ (2000) Technology and innovation (1998)
29 21.04.23
Old and new topicsprocesses
SMEs Entrepreneurship and SMEs: Policy implications for the EU (2008)
Access to finance for SMEs (1999)
Regulation
Microeconomic reforms (2007) The regulatory environment in the context of the Strategy for Growth and Jobs (2006)
Synergies between EU enterprise and competition policies (2002)
30 21.04.23
Old and new topicsoutcomes
General Growing imbalances of EU industry (2010)
Competitiveness and the crisis (2009) General developments (2008, 2007) Growth and standards of living (2006, 2001)
Growth, productivity and employment (2003)
Regional aspects of competitiveness (2003)
Sensitivity to external shocks (1999)
31 21.04.23
Old and new topicsoutcomes
Structural change
Sectoral growth drivers (2008, 2007) The future of manufacturing (2007) Structural change (2000, 1999) External services and performance (2000)
Firm location (1999) Sectoral development (1998)
32 21.04.23
Old and new topicsother
Sector studies
Space Sector (2011) Creative Industries (2010) Liberalisation of Energy markets (2006) ICT sector (2006) Pharmaceutical industry (2006) Productivity and the public sector (2004) Health sector (2004) Automotive sector (2004) Productivity growth in EU services (2002)
33 21.04.23
Old and new topicsother
Societal goals
EU industry in a sustainable growth context (2011)
Competitiveness aspects of the Sustainable Industrial Policy (2008)
Corporate Social Responsibility (2008) Sustainable development in EU manufacturing (2002)