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Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

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Page 1: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in GermanyDecember 16th, 2010Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbHGunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

Page 2: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 2

EUROPEAN HS NETWORK(Situation as at 06.2009)

Marseille

Izmir

Napoli

Vigo

SivasAnkara

KayseriKonya

St.Petersburg

Tampere

Turku

TallinnStockholm

Helsinki

Riga

Oulu

Minsk

PoznanBerlin

Bologna

Budapest

Praha

Gdansk

Warszawa

Katowice

Wien

KrakowNürnberg

Bratislava

ZürichMünchen

Strasbg

Milano

Bordeaux

Toulouse

Valencia

Alicante

BarcelonaZaragoza

SevillaLisboa

Vitoria

Valladolid

Coruña

FkftLux

KölnKiev

Chisinau

Bucuresti

Athinai

Tirana

Skopje

Thessaloniki

PodgoricaSofia

Brux

Sarajevo

Moskva

Lyon

Torino

Ljubljana

Zagreb

Oslo

Göteborg

Kobenhavn

Nantes

Paris

Hannover

Hamburg

Amsterdam

LondonBristol

Dublin

EdinburghGlasgow

Roma

BursaMadrid

Istanbul

Vilnius

Porto

Málaga

Beograd

Nice

Information given by the Railways

v > 250 km/h

180 < v < 250 km/h

Other lines

v > 250 km/h Planned

UIC - High-SpeedUpdated 14.03.2009

OG/IB

Page 3: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 3

HIGH SPEED TRAFFIC – EVOLUTION IN EUROPE

30.6

10.2

32.2

11.6

34.7

5.1

13.9

37.4

6.8

15.5

39.9

7.1

15.3

39.6

7.4

17.5

2.42.5

41.5

7.9

19.6

2.42.7

42.7

8.6

20.9

2.32.3

44.0

8.9

21.6

2.52.6

48.0

8.8

21.9

2.7753.6

52.6

8.9

23.3

2,8

6.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100B

illio

ns

PK

m

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

High Speed Rail Traffic in Europe

CP 0.5

CD 0.3

SBB 0.3

NSB 0.1

NS 0.8

VR 0.6

SNCB 1.0

RENFE

SJ

DB AG

FS

SNCF

Total EuropeEvolution %

48,615%

52,78%

59,413%

71,13%

68,84%

75,97%

79,24%

65,911%

88,77%

97,610%

82,95%

Page 4: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 4

HIGH SPEED RAIL WINS MARKET SHARE

before (left) and after HSR

For distances up to 700 - 800 km HSR is competitive !

Train (24%)Train (24%)

Car (43%)Car (43%)

Thalys (50%)Thalys (50%)

Car (61%)Car (61%)

Bus (5%)Bus (5%)Bus (8%)Bus (8%) Plane (7%)

Plane (7%)

Plane (2%)Plane (2%)

Train (33%)Train (33%) AVE (83,6%)AVE (83,6%)

Plane (67%)Plane (67%)Plane (16,4%)Plane (16,4%)

Eurostar (71%)Eurostar (71%) Plane (26%) Plane (26%)

Plane, low cost (3%) Plane, low cost (3%)

Paris – Brussels (all modes) Madrid – Sevilla (rail – air)

Paris - London Madrid – Barcelona

Train (11,8%)Train (11,8%)

Plane (88,2%)Plane (88,2%)

AVE (50,4%)AVE (50,4%)

Plane (49,6%)Plane (49,6%)

Page 5: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 5

Very ambitious plan 2200 km HSL (300 km/h) (number of HSL later

reduced; design speed reduced to 250 km/h) 1250 km UL (existing lines up to 200 km/h) Modernization of junctions New urban and regional mass transport Four new huge shunting yards for freight trains

Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008

DB’S INFRASTRUCTURE EXPANSION PROGRAM 1970

Page 6: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 6

HSR IN GERMANY

Kiel

Bremen

Passau

Nürnberg

Erfurt

München

Stuttgart

Köln

Hannover

Dresden

Hamburg Schwerin

Berlin

Magdeburg

Karlsruhe

Saarbrücken

Frankfurt/M

Düsseldorf

Actual situation

200 km/h Upgraded lines (UL) 230 km/h 250 km/h New HSL

New HSL / UL in construction or planned

200 km/h 230 km/h

250 km/h

Source: Feldwisch, DB

230

Page 7: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 7

HSL Hannover – Würzburg – Length: 327 km– 60 tunnels: 121 km 37 %

HSL Mannheim – Stuttgart– Length: 109 km– 15 tunnels: 31 km, 28 %

Both HSL– Mixed traffic– Minimum radius: 5100 m

– Maximum gradient: 1,25 %

Source map: W.Weigand, DB

HSL HANNOVER – WÜRZBURG AND MANNHEIM – STUTTGART1991 LAUNCH OF HSR IN GERMANY WITH ICE (InterCityExpress)

Page 8: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 8

German HSR started 1991,

1993 60 ICE 1 trains in service

ICE 1 push and pull, 12 coaches, 650 places, 358 m

Mixed traffic: HSR: 250 km/h,

Today: 280 km/h

freight: 120 km/h

- Day: HSR; EC, IC

- Night: freight trains

Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008

1993 HSR (ICE) ON TWO HSL AND ON CONVENTIONAL LINES

Page 9: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 9

MIXED TRAFFIC ON GERMAN HSL HANNOVER – WÜRZBURG

Section Göttingen – Kassel, 2001 Day: 6 – 22 h : passenger: ICE (red), IC, EC (orange) Night: 23 – 4 h: freight (blue)

Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008

0

4

8

12

16

6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 0 1 2 3 4 5

8

8

0

4

4

6 12 18 24 5

southbound

northbound

Passenger trains

Freight trains

Page 10: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

0

ICE 1 ON THE LEFT RHINE VALLEY (CONVENTIONAL LINE)

Page 11: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

1

DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH SPEED TRAINS

Triebkopf-Konzept

(Push-PullPP)

Verteilte Traktion(EMU)

Technologie

1981 1991 1995 2001 2008

Rev

olu

tio

n

Rev

olu

tio

n

Evolution

Rev

olu

tio

n

2. Generation

3. Generation4. Generation

EvolutionWettbewerb

ICE® ist eine registrierte Marke der DB AG, Source:Siemens

1. Generation Velaro CNVelaro E

Velaro RUSVelaro D

Evolution

ICE 3

ICE 2ICE 1TGV PSE

Page 12: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

2

ICE 3

Page 13: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

3

HSL Köln – Frankfurt, dedicated– Length: 180 km– 30 tunnels: 47 km, 26 %– Minimum Radius: 3425 m– Maximum Gradient: 4 %– Travel time: 1 h 15, before: 2 h 15– ICE 3: EMU

HSL Nürnberg – Ingolstadt, mixed– Length: 89 km– 9 tunnels: 27 km, 30 %– also regional trains: 200 km/h

Source map: W.Weigand, DB

HSL COLOGNE – FRANKFURT (2002) HSL NUREMBERG – INGOLSTADT (2006) BOTH 300 km/h

Page 14: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

4

GERMAN HSR MIXED – DEDICATED

Page 15: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

5

5 HSL (4 + Han – Bln) (red: NBS) 250 – 300 km/h, total length: 900 km

Several UL (green: ABS) 160 – 200 km/h 1 UL (blue) 230 km/h

ICE work on about 6900 km, of which 2100 km are HSL or UL

ICE 3 trains are running to 6 neighbor countries (1300 km)

Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008

GERMAN HSR 2007

Page 16: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

6

HSR AND ENVIRONMENT: CONSTRUCTION OF NEW LINES (1)

Impact on nature:

• geology

• microclimate

• vegetation

• land occupation

• impact on landscape

Targets:

• avoid damages

• reduce damages

• expertise / EIA

Page 17: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

7

HSR AND ENVIRONMENT: CONSTRUCTION OF NEW LINES (2)

Linkage with highways:

• Paris-Lille 135 km

• Paris-Lyon 60 km

• Paris-Atlantique 35 km

• Mannheim-Stuttgart 35 km

• Köln-Frankfurt 140 km

• Land occupation for German highways 9,3 ha/km

• HSL Hannover-Würzburg 3,0 ha/km

• HSL Mannheim-Stuttgart 4,0 ha/km

average 3,2 ha/km

Page 18: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

8

HSR AND ENVIRONMENT: OPERATION OF NEW LINES

Noise:

• big improvements of noise reduction to the source

• layout away from inhabited areas

• passive noise protection (walls, embankments, tunnels)

Air pollution:

• along electric lines: O

• by production of energy: very low (energy mix!)

• depends on energy consumption

Page 19: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 1

9

HSR AND EXTERNAL COSTS € / 1,000 PKM

0

10

20

30

40

50

Thalys Car Air

Up/downstream

Urban effects

Climate change

Air pollution

Noise

Accidents10

4448

Source: IWW-Infras - 3/2000

Corridor nr II Paris - Brussels results SRMC by mean of transport

Page 20: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 2

0

SPECIFIC CO2 EMISSIONS / PKM FRANCE (ADEME)

Page 21: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 2

1

LONG DISTANCE TRANSPORT 1978 – 2008

0,00

5,00

10,00

15,00

20,00

25,00

30,00

35,00

40,00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

1979 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008

SPFV gesamt ↓

ICE 60 %

↓IC/EC

Interregio (IR) D

E│ │ │ │ │ │ │

billion Pkm

Source: E.Jänsch

Page 22: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 2

2

Western Europe (old EU + Norway, CH)

Long distance passenger (more than 80 km) traffic

5 different scenarios:– Basis scenario (this figure)– WE: total 315 bn Pkm

of which 90 bn Pkm by HSR

( 30 % from air, 34 % from private car, 34 % induced traffic, 2 % bus)

– Environment Scenario + 100 bn Pkm for rail

UIC TRAFFIC FORECAST STUDY 2020

Page 23: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 2

3

modal split and trends of traffic are not sustainable

Sustainability only with more rail traffic:– Infrastructure policy (HSL, UL, Freight L)– Reduce distortion effects– Client oriented rail products (i.e.: HSR, CT, Quality, …)

CONCLUSIONS

Good future for HSR

Page 24: Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany December 16th, 2010 Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting

16.12.2010GERMAN HSR LINES 2

4

CONTACT:

NAME: HERMANN GITZELMANNMAIL: [email protected]: +49 6131 58495-0