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8/2/2019 Fin Mgmnt Ppt2 - Sapna Mallya
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Financial ManagementProf. Sapna U. Malya
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Analysis of Financial Statements using
RATIOSTopics covered:
Meaning of Ratio
Why Ratio?
Different types of ratios: Liquidity Ratios
Asset Management Ratios
Debt Management Ratios
Profitability Ratios Market Value Ratios
Du pont Equation
Limitation of Ratio Analysis
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Different Types of Ratios:
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
EBIT / Interest
Price per share / Earnings per shareEBIT / Total Assets
Sales / Inventories
Sales / Net Fixed Assets
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Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
Quick/ Acid Test Ratio = (Current Assets less inventories) /
Current Liabilities
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Asset Management Ratio Inventory turnover ratio = Sales / Inventory
Debtors turnover ratio = Sales / Debtors
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) = Receivables / Average sales per day
Creditors turnover = Purchases / Creditors
Fixed Assets turnover = Sales / Net fixed assets
Total Assets turnover = Sales / Total assets
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Debt Management Ratios Debt Ratio = Total Debt / Total Assets
Debt Equity = Debt / Equity or Debt / (Debt + Equity)
Interest Coverage Ratio = EBIT / Interest charges
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) =
EBIDTA + Lease payments / Interest + Principal payments + Lease
payments
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Profitability Ratios Profit margin = NPAT / Sales
Basic Earning Power ( BEP) = EBIT / Total Assets
Return on Total Assets =
Net income available to Equity / Total Assets
Return on Equity = Net income available to Equity / Equity
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Market Value Ratios Price earnings ratio = Market price per share / Earnings per share
Price / Cash flow ratio = Price per share / Cash profit per share
Market / Book ratio = Market price per share / Book value per
share
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Du Pont equation ROA = Net profit / Total Assets
ROA = Net profit * Sales
Sales Total Assets
ROA = Profit margin * Total Assets Turnover
OR
ROA = Net profit / Capital Employed
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Du Pont equation.. Other side to it ROE = Net profit / Equity( or Total Assets)
ROE = Net profit * Sales
Sales Total Assets
ROE = Net profit * Sales * Total assets
Sales Total Assets Equity
Equity multiplier = Total assets / Equity
Therefore ROE = ROA * Equity multiplier
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Certain questions to ponder over Is a high inventory turnover always better?
Why would the inventory turnover ratio be more important when
analysing a grocery chain than an insurance company?
There is an increase in current ratio and a drop in its total assets turnover
ratio. However, the companys sales, cash and marketable securities,
DSO and fixed assets turnover ratio have remained constant. What
explains these changes?
If a firm takes steps to improve its ROE, does this mean that shareholder
wealth will also increase?
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Limitations of Ratio Analysis
Benchmarking required for analysis
Inflation may distort comparative analysis
Window dressing techniques can be adopted to make ratios
look stronger
Different accounting practices can distort comparison
Difficult to generalise whether a ratio is good or bad
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Time Value of Money
Topics covered:
Concept of Time Value of Money
Present Value
Future Value
Annuity Present Value
Annuity Future Value
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A Rupee today is more valuable than a rupee a yearhence. Why ?
Current consumption is preferred to future consumption.
Purchasing power of money is greater today than a yearhence due to inflation.
Capital can be employed productively to generate
positive returns.Thus rupee discounts from time to time
Concept of Time Value
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Concept of Time Value
Time value thus brings to light two importantvalues:
Present ValueFuture Value
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Present Value & Future Value
Value of money at present that is at this point of time
is said to be the present value..
Future Value therefore is the value of money infuture..
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What is the value of Re.1 received a year later if
the rupee discounts at 10%?
Future Value of Re.1 = Present Value + InterestFV of Re.1 = PV of Re.1 + 10% on Re.1
FV = 1 + 1(10/100)
FV = PV + 1(10/100)
FV = PV + PV(10/100)FV = PV (1+ 10/100)
FV = PV (1 + r )
Present Value & Future Value
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Similarly PV = FV / (1+r)
And if this is to be calculated for the nth year it will be
PV = FV / (1+r)n
PV = FV * 1 /(1+r)n
Present Value & Future Value
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Annuity Future value
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
-100
Interest 5 5.25 5.51 5.79 6.08 6.38
Total 105.00 110.25 115.76 121.55 127.63 134.01
F.V2 = F.V.1( 1 + r )= P.V(1+r) (1+r)
= P.V. (1+r)^2
Therefore F.V.(n) = P.V. (1+r)^n
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Applications of Present Value in Business
How much can you borrow for an asset?
Period of Loan amortisation.
Finding the interest rate.
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Applications of Future Value in Business
Knowing what lies in store for you
How much should you save annually
Finding the interest rate
Annual deposit in the sinking fund
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Conclusion
Present Value and Annuity Value is calculated assuming
that the discounting is done at the end of each year and
not any time during the year.
Higher the Discounting rate..
Lower the Present Value factor..
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Stock Valuation
Concepts to be known:
Common Stock / Equity
Preferred Stock
Pre-emptive right
Closely held company
Publicly owned company
Primary market (IPO) Secondary market
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Valuation of Common stock / Equity
Models used for valuation:
Zero Growth or Constant Dividend Model
Constant Growth Model / Gordon Model
Valuation of stocks with non constant growth
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Other Approaches to valuing Equity:
P/E Multiple
EVA Approach
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Zero Growth or Constant Dividend Model
Dividends received annually
Dividends received in perpetuity
No growth in dividends
There is an expectation of the investor from the company
P0 = D1/ ke
P0 = Price of the stock today
D1 = Dividend received in future
ke = expected return by the investor
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Constant Growth Model / Gordon Model
Dividends received annually
Dividends received in perpetuity
There is a growth in dividends which is constant
There is an expectation of the investor from the company
P0 = D1/ (keg)
P0 = Price of the stock today
D1 = Dividend received in future
ke = expected return by the investor
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Valuation of stocks with non constant growth
Dividends received annually
Dividends received for n periods
There is a change in dividends which is not constant
There is an expectation of the investor from the company
P0 = D1 + D2 + Dn
(1+ke)^1 (1+ke)^2 (1+ke)^n
P0 = Price of the stock today
D1 = Dividend received in future
ke = expected return by the investor
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MVA & EVA as a valuation technique
MVA( Market Value Added)
Market value of stockEquity share capital
EVA (Economic Value Added)NOPAT(Capital Employed * Cost of capital)
= EBIT(1T)(Capital Employed * Cost of capital)
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Cost of Capital
Types of Capital
Debt
Preference Capital Retained Earnings
Equity Capital
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Cost of CapitalDebt (kd)
Debt is long term in nature
Interest is paid on debt at a fixed rate
Interest is tax deductible
kd = I (1T)
But if the debt is traded and has a different market
price with maturity period, then the value of debt is
the YTM of that debt which is:rd = I + ( Face value F Current market price P0 ) / n
0.6 P0 + 0.4 F
kd = rd (1-t)
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Cost of CapitalPreference kp
Preference capital forms a part of owners funds
Dividends at a fixed rate are paid to these financers
Dividends are always paid after tax
kp = D / P
But if the preference is traded and has a different
market price with maturity period, then the value of
preference is the YTM of that preference which is:rp = I + ( Face value F Current market price P0 ) / n
0.6 P0 + 0.4 F
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Cost of CapitalRetained Earnings (Ks)
Profits accumulated every year
Profits accumulated are after payment of interest, tax and
preference dividend
Profits belonging to the owner
ks = ke(except ke at times increases due to floatation cost)
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Cost of CapitalRetained Earnings (Ks)
Various approaches used for valuation are:
CAPM
Bond Yield Plus Risk Premium Approach
Dividend Yield Plus Growth Rate Approach
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Cost of CapitalEquity (ke)
P0 = D1/ (keg)
ke = (D1 / P0) + g
ke = (D1 / P0f) + g
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Capital Asset Pricing Model ( CAPM)
ke = kf + (km-kf)
ke = Expected rate of return from equitykf= Risk free rate of return ( Treasury bills, PPF account)
km - kf= Market risk premium
= Stocks Beta
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Weighted Average Cost of CapitalWACC
WACC = wdkd+ wpkp + weke
Weights can be according to book values or market values.
However market values are more relevant for new issues of
capital/ new sources of finance