Fin Mgmnt Ppt2 - Sapna Mallya

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    Financial ManagementProf. Sapna U. Malya

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    Analysis of Financial Statements using

    RATIOSTopics covered:

    Meaning of Ratio

    Why Ratio?

    Different types of ratios: Liquidity Ratios

    Asset Management Ratios

    Debt Management Ratios

    Profitability Ratios Market Value Ratios

    Du pont Equation

    Limitation of Ratio Analysis

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    Different Types of Ratios:

    Current Assets / Current Liabilities

    EBIT / Interest

    Price per share / Earnings per shareEBIT / Total Assets

    Sales / Inventories

    Sales / Net Fixed Assets

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    Liquidity Ratios

    Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities

    Quick/ Acid Test Ratio = (Current Assets less inventories) /

    Current Liabilities

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    Asset Management Ratio Inventory turnover ratio = Sales / Inventory

    Debtors turnover ratio = Sales / Debtors

    Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) = Receivables / Average sales per day

    Creditors turnover = Purchases / Creditors

    Fixed Assets turnover = Sales / Net fixed assets

    Total Assets turnover = Sales / Total assets

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    Debt Management Ratios Debt Ratio = Total Debt / Total Assets

    Debt Equity = Debt / Equity or Debt / (Debt + Equity)

    Interest Coverage Ratio = EBIT / Interest charges

    Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) =

    EBIDTA + Lease payments / Interest + Principal payments + Lease

    payments

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    Profitability Ratios Profit margin = NPAT / Sales

    Basic Earning Power ( BEP) = EBIT / Total Assets

    Return on Total Assets =

    Net income available to Equity / Total Assets

    Return on Equity = Net income available to Equity / Equity

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    Market Value Ratios Price earnings ratio = Market price per share / Earnings per share

    Price / Cash flow ratio = Price per share / Cash profit per share

    Market / Book ratio = Market price per share / Book value per

    share

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    Du Pont equation ROA = Net profit / Total Assets

    ROA = Net profit * Sales

    Sales Total Assets

    ROA = Profit margin * Total Assets Turnover

    OR

    ROA = Net profit / Capital Employed

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    Du Pont equation.. Other side to it ROE = Net profit / Equity( or Total Assets)

    ROE = Net profit * Sales

    Sales Total Assets

    ROE = Net profit * Sales * Total assets

    Sales Total Assets Equity

    Equity multiplier = Total assets / Equity

    Therefore ROE = ROA * Equity multiplier

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    Certain questions to ponder over Is a high inventory turnover always better?

    Why would the inventory turnover ratio be more important when

    analysing a grocery chain than an insurance company?

    There is an increase in current ratio and a drop in its total assets turnover

    ratio. However, the companys sales, cash and marketable securities,

    DSO and fixed assets turnover ratio have remained constant. What

    explains these changes?

    If a firm takes steps to improve its ROE, does this mean that shareholder

    wealth will also increase?

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    Limitations of Ratio Analysis

    Benchmarking required for analysis

    Inflation may distort comparative analysis

    Window dressing techniques can be adopted to make ratios

    look stronger

    Different accounting practices can distort comparison

    Difficult to generalise whether a ratio is good or bad

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    Time Value of Money

    Topics covered:

    Concept of Time Value of Money

    Present Value

    Future Value

    Annuity Present Value

    Annuity Future Value

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    A Rupee today is more valuable than a rupee a yearhence. Why ?

    Current consumption is preferred to future consumption.

    Purchasing power of money is greater today than a yearhence due to inflation.

    Capital can be employed productively to generate

    positive returns.Thus rupee discounts from time to time

    Concept of Time Value

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    Concept of Time Value

    Time value thus brings to light two importantvalues:

    Present ValueFuture Value

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    Present Value & Future Value

    Value of money at present that is at this point of time

    is said to be the present value..

    Future Value therefore is the value of money infuture..

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    What is the value of Re.1 received a year later if

    the rupee discounts at 10%?

    Future Value of Re.1 = Present Value + InterestFV of Re.1 = PV of Re.1 + 10% on Re.1

    FV = 1 + 1(10/100)

    FV = PV + 1(10/100)

    FV = PV + PV(10/100)FV = PV (1+ 10/100)

    FV = PV (1 + r )

    Present Value & Future Value

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    Similarly PV = FV / (1+r)

    And if this is to be calculated for the nth year it will be

    PV = FV / (1+r)n

    PV = FV * 1 /(1+r)n

    Present Value & Future Value

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    Annuity Future value

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    -100

    Interest 5 5.25 5.51 5.79 6.08 6.38

    Total 105.00 110.25 115.76 121.55 127.63 134.01

    F.V2 = F.V.1( 1 + r )= P.V(1+r) (1+r)

    = P.V. (1+r)^2

    Therefore F.V.(n) = P.V. (1+r)^n

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    Applications of Present Value in Business

    How much can you borrow for an asset?

    Period of Loan amortisation.

    Finding the interest rate.

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    Applications of Future Value in Business

    Knowing what lies in store for you

    How much should you save annually

    Finding the interest rate

    Annual deposit in the sinking fund

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    Conclusion

    Present Value and Annuity Value is calculated assuming

    that the discounting is done at the end of each year and

    not any time during the year.

    Higher the Discounting rate..

    Lower the Present Value factor..

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    Stock Valuation

    Concepts to be known:

    Common Stock / Equity

    Preferred Stock

    Pre-emptive right

    Closely held company

    Publicly owned company

    Primary market (IPO) Secondary market

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    Valuation of Common stock / Equity

    Models used for valuation:

    Zero Growth or Constant Dividend Model

    Constant Growth Model / Gordon Model

    Valuation of stocks with non constant growth

    Capital Asset Pricing Model

    Other Approaches to valuing Equity:

    P/E Multiple

    EVA Approach

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    Zero Growth or Constant Dividend Model

    Dividends received annually

    Dividends received in perpetuity

    No growth in dividends

    There is an expectation of the investor from the company

    P0 = D1/ ke

    P0 = Price of the stock today

    D1 = Dividend received in future

    ke = expected return by the investor

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    Constant Growth Model / Gordon Model

    Dividends received annually

    Dividends received in perpetuity

    There is a growth in dividends which is constant

    There is an expectation of the investor from the company

    P0 = D1/ (keg)

    P0 = Price of the stock today

    D1 = Dividend received in future

    ke = expected return by the investor

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    Valuation of stocks with non constant growth

    Dividends received annually

    Dividends received for n periods

    There is a change in dividends which is not constant

    There is an expectation of the investor from the company

    P0 = D1 + D2 + Dn

    (1+ke)^1 (1+ke)^2 (1+ke)^n

    P0 = Price of the stock today

    D1 = Dividend received in future

    ke = expected return by the investor

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    MVA & EVA as a valuation technique

    MVA( Market Value Added)

    Market value of stockEquity share capital

    EVA (Economic Value Added)NOPAT(Capital Employed * Cost of capital)

    = EBIT(1T)(Capital Employed * Cost of capital)

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    Cost of Capital

    Types of Capital

    Debt

    Preference Capital Retained Earnings

    Equity Capital

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    Cost of CapitalDebt (kd)

    Debt is long term in nature

    Interest is paid on debt at a fixed rate

    Interest is tax deductible

    kd = I (1T)

    But if the debt is traded and has a different market

    price with maturity period, then the value of debt is

    the YTM of that debt which is:rd = I + ( Face value F Current market price P0 ) / n

    0.6 P0 + 0.4 F

    kd = rd (1-t)

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    Cost of CapitalPreference kp

    Preference capital forms a part of owners funds

    Dividends at a fixed rate are paid to these financers

    Dividends are always paid after tax

    kp = D / P

    But if the preference is traded and has a different

    market price with maturity period, then the value of

    preference is the YTM of that preference which is:rp = I + ( Face value F Current market price P0 ) / n

    0.6 P0 + 0.4 F

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    Cost of CapitalRetained Earnings (Ks)

    Profits accumulated every year

    Profits accumulated are after payment of interest, tax and

    preference dividend

    Profits belonging to the owner

    ks = ke(except ke at times increases due to floatation cost)

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    Cost of CapitalRetained Earnings (Ks)

    Various approaches used for valuation are:

    CAPM

    Bond Yield Plus Risk Premium Approach

    Dividend Yield Plus Growth Rate Approach

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    Cost of CapitalEquity (ke)

    P0 = D1/ (keg)

    ke = (D1 / P0) + g

    ke = (D1 / P0f) + g

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    Capital Asset Pricing Model ( CAPM)

    ke = kf + (km-kf)

    ke = Expected rate of return from equitykf= Risk free rate of return ( Treasury bills, PPF account)

    km - kf= Market risk premium

    = Stocks Beta

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    Weighted Average Cost of CapitalWACC

    WACC = wdkd+ wpkp + weke

    Weights can be according to book values or market values.

    However market values are more relevant for new issues of

    capital/ new sources of finance