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TAURON Group’s Q1 2018 Financial Results May 17, 2018

Financial Results - TAURON Polska Energiaen.tauron.pl/tauron/investor-relations/doclib/tauron... · 2018-05-17 · Financial Results May 17, 2018. 2 Q1 2018 key data ... Work progress

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Page 1: Financial Results - TAURON Polska Energiaen.tauron.pl/tauron/investor-relations/doclib/tauron... · 2018-05-17 · Financial Results May 17, 2018. 2 Q1 2018 key data ... Work progress

TAURON Group’s Q1 2018

Financial Results

May 17, 2018

Page 2: Financial Results - TAURON Polska Energiaen.tauron.pl/tauron/investor-relations/doclib/tauron... · 2018-05-17 · Financial Results May 17, 2018. 2 Q1 2018 key data ... Work progress

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Q1 2018 key data

* Net profit attributable to the shareholders of the parent company

TAURON Group’s Q1 2018 results

Q1 2018

vs Q1 2017

Sales revenue [PLN m] 4 826 5%

EBITDA [PLN m] 1 292 6%

Net profit [PLN m]* 636 (1)%

CAPEX [PLN m] 569 (11)%

Net debt / EBITDA 2.28x up 0.01(vs 31.12.2017)

TAURON Group’s Q1 2018 operating data

Q1 2018

vs Q1 2017

Commercial coal production [tonne m] 1.42 (6)%

Electricity generation [TWh] 3.94 (19)%

Heat production [PJ] 5.68 7%

Electricity distribution [TWh] 13.42 1%

Electricity retail supply [TWh] 9.28 2%

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Highlights Summary

January 18Conclusion of the coal purchase agreement with Polska Grupa Górnicza for 2018-2021 with an estimated net value of PLN 2.15

billion

March 8 Obtaining of the new financing to complete the construction of the CCGT unit at Stalowa Wola

March 9 Extending the period of availability of funds under the Bond Issue Program

March 28Signing of the agreement with the Polish Development Fund defining the terms of engagement in the construction of the 910 MW

unit at Jaworzno III Power Plant worth up to PLN 880 million

April 6Dissolving of the provisions related to employee benefits at TAURON Wytwarzanie – a positive impact on Q1 2018 EBITDA: PLN

230 million

April 23 910 MW unit at Jaworzno III Power Plant completes a successful pressure test. Work progress on the project exceeded 60 percent

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Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Industrial power plants

Renewable energysources

Thermal gas-firedpower plants

Thermal lignite-firedpower plant

Thermal hard coal-firedpower plants

43,5444,29

48,8%

31,7%

3,6%9,6%

6,4%

50,2%

28,2%

6,0%

9,2%

6,4%

+1,0%

-12,5%

+64,7%

-1,1%

-5,1%

-1,7%

Macroeconomic and market situation

Source: * GUS ** Bankier.pl ***PSE

Structure of electricity generation in Poland*** [TWh]

5,3%

3,9% 4,3%

6,0%

3,0%

5,7%

2,5%

1,5%

7,3%

4,2%

6,3%

8,0%

5,6%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2015 2016 2017 2018

Increase of industrial production sold* and electricity consumption (change yoy)***

Sold production growth rate Domestic electricity consumption change

Electricity prices under one year BASE contracts

Average price [PLN/MWh] Volume [GWh]

Y-13 191.60 108 861

Y-14 160.40 142 841

Y-15 168.11 146 932

Y-16 166.47 147 923

Y-17 160.27 76 729

Y-18 165.98 65 227

Y-19 185.43 35 574

Y-20 187.94 2 310

Average electricity sales prices on the competitive market (acc. to ERO)::

2013: 181.55 PLN/MWh

2014: 163.58 PLN/MWh

2015: 169.99 PLN/MWh

2016: 169.70 PLN/MWh

2017: 163.70 PLN/MWh

2018: 177.91 PLN/MWh (estimate)

3,8%

3,3%3,6%

4,6%

3,1% 3,4%

2,7% 2,7%

4,4%4,0%

5,2% 4,9% 5,1%

50

52

54

56

58

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2015 2016 2017 2018

PMIPKB

Poland’s GDP growth rate* and manufacturing PMI (quarterly average)**

GDP growth rate Manufacturing PMI

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Q1 2018 key financial data

Q1 2017 Q1 20180

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Net profit attributable to the parent company’s

shareholders [PLN m]

Q1 2018 EBITDA vs Q1 2017 EBITDA [PLN m]

1 222

1 032 1 062

1 292

- 230-190

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

Reported Q1 2017 EBITDA Dissolving of ECSW provision Reported Q1 2017 EBITDA Comparable Q1 2018 EBITDA Dissolving of employee benefitsprovision in the Generation

segment

Reported Q1 2018 EBITDA

EBITDA Change

3%

Sales revenue [PLN m]

2 267 2 417

1 6911 777

252258156

15567

70158

147

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Electricity Distribution and trading services Heat Hard coal Gas Other revenue

4 591 4 826

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Key segments’ Q1 2018 results

[PLN m] Mining Generation Distribution SupplyOther and

exclusions*

Segment’s revenue 385 1 172 1 789 3 454 (1 974)

EBITDA 10 465 638 178 1

EBIT (23) 372 372 176 (20)

CAPEX 39 243 273 0.2 13

Items not included in the segments presented

-2%1%

31%

14%3%0,1%

1 222 1 292

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Other and exclusions

Supply

Distribution

Generation

Mining

PLN m

6%

Individual segments’ contribution to EBITDA [%]

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Q1 2018 EBITDA

40

237 31

-202 -36

26,6% 2,6% 39,7% 35,7% 5,2% 20,4% 26,8%

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

Q1 2017 EBITDA Mining Generation Distribution Supply Other and exclusions Q1 2018 EBITDA

EBITDA Segment's increase Segment's decrease EBITDA margin

PLN m PLN +70m, +6%

*

* Other operations segment’s EBITDA margin

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384 385

-2910

-60-23

29 39

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX

Mining Segment – Q1 2018

Financial data [PLN m] EBITDA change [PLN m]

1,42

1,51

1

0,14

0,19

0,09

0,09

0,95

1,24

0,16

0,21

0,10

0,05

1,43

1,79

0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0

Q1 2018

Q1 2017

Commercial coal production volumevs sales per product [Mg m]

Commercial coal production Large size lump coal salesMedium size lump coal sales Intra-Goup coal dust salesCoal dust sales outside the Group Sludge sales

* Total costs excluding depreciation, impairment charges, costs not directly related to coal production and costs that

do not have a permanent impact on the Company’s cash flow

• 22.4% increase of the sold coal unit price √

• 6.0% decline of commercial coal production

• 7.0% higher unit mining cash cost* (up from 193 PLN/Mg to 206 PLN/Mg) -

-29

10

54

-4

83

-90

-4

-140

-120

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

Q1 2017 Coal sales - volume Coal sales - price Coal productioncost

Change of inventorylevel

Other Q1 2018

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228

465

31 3

230 2

- 28

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q1 2017 Electricity margin Heat margin CO2 costs Provisions relatedto employee

benefits

Other Q1 2018

Generation Segment – Q1 2018

Financial data [PLN m]

1 221 1 172

228

465

129

372

335 243

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX

0,100,02

0,10

0,11

0,13

0,11

0,60 0,65

0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Biomass Hydro Wind Cogeneration

0,33

RES and cogeneration production [TWh]

0,24

EBITDA change [PLN m]

4,573,70

0,33

0,24

5,30 5,68

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Electricity (excl. RES) Electricity (RES) Heat

4,89

3,94

Gross production of electricity [TWh] and heat [PJ]

• Beneficial impact of dissolving provisions related to employee benefits √

• Increase of electricity prices √

• Increase of CO2 emission allowances prices -

• Increase of coal prices -

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3,53

3,38

4,66

4,45

2,02

2,03

2,71

2,70

0,50

0,74

Q1 2018

Q1 2017

0 5 10 15

Group A Group B Group C2+C1+R+O Group G Other*

Distribution Segment – Q1 2018

EBITDA change [PLN m]

EBIT depreciation and impairment charges

Electricity distribution [TWh]

13,42

13,31

346 372

261266

57 7 17

-16-12

-22

607 638

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Q1 2017 Distributionservices sales

price

Sales volume Purchase ofTSO services

Otherdistribution

services

Cost of gridlosses

Other Q1 2018

Financial data [PLN m]

1 733 1 789

607 638

346 372

262273

0

1 000

2 000

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX

å Higher electricity distribution services sales volume by 114

GWh (0.9%), mainly in the manufacturing industry (groups A and B) in correlation to GDP growth

• One-off dissolving of the provision related to the adjustment (112 GWh)

-• Increase of the balancing difference indicator by 0.50 pp,

increase of the price of balancing electricity within the Group by 2.5%

• Drop of approved tariff by 1.54 PLN/MWh (1.2)% -

* Neighboring DSO and exports

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Distribution Segment – key parameters

15,616,3

16,9

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2016 2017 2018

Regulatory Asset Base [PLN bn]

WRA

150 150143

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2016 2017 Q1 2018

Customer connection time [days]

Consumer connection time

177

263

37 26

204188 188

148

110

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2016 2017 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 2020

SAIDI [min.]

SAIDI for the period SAIDI target for the year

2,82

3,50

0,680,47

3,163,00 3,00

2,23

1,67

0

1

2

3

4

2016 2017 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 2020

SAIFI [number]

SAIFI for the period SAIFI target for the year

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377

176

3

2

43

3

- 46- 12

- 190

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Q1 2017 Electricity- volumeand price

Property rights- price

Property rights- obligation

ECSW provision Other Q1 2018

178

380

Supply Segment – Q1 2018

Financial data [PLN m] EBITDA change [PLN m]

* Includes sales to cover the balancing difference and to the intra-Group final consumers

EBIT Depreciation and impairment charges

Retail electricity supply [TWh]

3 6173 454

380178377

176

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Sales revenue EBITDA EBIT

1,54

1,65

2,50

2,34

1,51

1,49

2,61

2,62

1,11

1,02

Q1 2018

Q1 2017

0 2 4 6 8 10

Group A Group B Group C2+C1+R+D Group G Other*

9,12

9,27

• Increase of the cost of purchasing black energy −

• Change of the obligation to redeem property rights: for PM OZE from 15.4% to 17.5% , for PM OZE-BIO from 0.6% to 0.5%, for PMGM from 7% to 8% and PMMET from 1.8% to 2.3%

• Lower purchase prices of PM OZE to be redeemed √

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Debt and financing

155

2020

340 340

1888

281 261 199 199

2289

170

777

0

800

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 … 2034

Bonds Credits, loans and leases

Financial debt (nominal value of debt due to credits, loans, leases

and bonds) as of 31.03.2018 is PLN 9 719m

Weighted average maturity of debt as of 31.03.2018 is 83 months

(assuming bonds rollover until 2022)

EUR denominated debt (eurobond issue, NSV and EIB bond issues)

represents 37% of the total debt

Debt structure based on interest rate [PLN m]

TAURON Group’s debt maturity as of 31.03.2018 [PLN m]

45 37 73 3… 22 37

1924

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2Q2018

3Q2018

4Q2018

1Q2019

2Q2019

3Q2019

4Q2019

Bonds Credits, loans and leases

8 661 89,1%

1 001 10,3%

34 0,3%

23 0,2%

TAURON Group’s debt structure as of 31.03.2018 [PLN m]

Bonds EIB loans NFOŚiGW / WFOŚiGW loans Leases

3006%

5 07094%

Financing available to TAURON Group as of 31.03.2018 [PLN m]

Cash pool Bond issue programs

9 719 5 370

* Assuming rollover of bonds issued as part of the Bond Issue Program (maturity date in accordance with

issue terms and conditions is 2020, rollover until the end of the funds availability period, i.e. until 2022)

*

*

collateralinterest ratedebt amount

9 719

floating rate

5 107

IRS

2 100

none

3 007 fixed rate

4 612

Net debt/EBITDA 2.28x

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CAPEX – key projects’ work progress

Investment projectCapacity

(MWe)

Capacity

(MWt)

Work progress

(percentage)

Planned

completion

date

Construction of the hard coal-fired unit at Jaworzno III

Power Plant910 - 61 2019

Construction of the CCGT unit at Stalowa Wola

Combined Heat and Power Plant*450 240 86 2019

Construction of the 800m level at Janina coal mine - - 58 2020

Construction of Grzegorz shaft at Sobieski coal mine - - 20 2023

CAPEX program at Brzeszcze coal mine - - 29 2025

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29 39

335

243

262

273

10

13

Q1 2017 Q1 2018

Mining Generation Distribution Supply and other

(10,5)%

CAPEX – by segments

Key investment projects implemented in Q1 2018:

Mining:

- Brzeszcze coal mine CAPEX program (PLN 16m)

- construction of the Grzegorz shaft at Sobieski coal mine

(PLN 13m)

- construction of the 800 m level at Janina coal mine (PLN

7m)

Generation:

- construction of the 910 MW unit at Jaworzno III Power

Plant (PLN 190m)

- replacement and refurbishment outlays as well as

overhaul components at TAURON Wytwarzanie (PLN

8m)

- connections of new facilities (PLN 4m)

- maintenance and expansion of district heating network

(PLN 2m)

- connections of facilities heated using low emission

sources to district heating networks (PLN 2m)

Distribution:

- grid asset upgrades (refurbishing) and replacements

(PLN 140m)

- construction of new connections (PLN 116m)

Capital expenditures by segments [PLN m](excluding equity investments)

569636

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Efficiency Improvement Program

Segment

Financial effects

realized in 2016 –

Q1 2018

Financial effects

planned in 2016-

Q1 2018

Progress % Main initiatives

Mining PLN 180m PLN 255m 71%

Employment restructuring, reduction of labor costs and increasing their flexibility,

organizational measures

Use of electronic auctions in the purchasing process

CAPEX plan optimization

Generation

(including RES and

Heat)

PLN 449m PLN 367m 122%

Optimization of upgrades and of other asset maintenance costs

Employment restructuring

Purchasing efficiency improvement

Optimization of the carburizing and de-ashing systems’ operation services

Maintenance services costs control

CAPEX plan optimization

Distribution PLN 402m PLN 390m 103%

Reorganization and restructuring of employment

Asset maintenance costs control

Purchasing efficiency improvement

Reorganization of storage services

Sale of redundant real estate

Other PLN 195m PLN 291m 67%

Employment restructuring,

Reduction of the scope of IT services

Customer service costs and overhead (administration) costs control

Optimization of the costs of promotional and sponsoring activities

Total PLN 1 227m PLN 1 303m 94%

Under the Voluntary Redundancy Programs, being part of the Efficiency Improvement Program, TAURON Group’s headcount was

reduced by 1 065 FTEs in the period from 2016 until March 31, 2018.

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Thank you – Q & A

Investor Relations Team

Marcin Lauer

[email protected]

tel. + 48 32 774 27 06

Paweł Gaworzyński

[email protected]

tel. + 48 32 774 25 34

Mirosław Szczygielski

[email protected]

tel. + 48 516 112 858

Magdalena Wilczek

[email protected]

tel. + 48 723 600 894

Katarzyna Heinz

[email protected]

tel. + 48 32 774 25 38

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Legal disclaimer

This presentation serves for information purposes only and should not be treated as investment-related advice.

This presentation has been prepared by TAURON Polska Energia S.A. (“the Company”).

Neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries shall be held accountable for any damage resulting from the use of this presentation or a part thereof,

or its contents or in any other manner in connection with this presentation.

The recipients of this presentation shall bear exclusive responsibility for their own analyses and market assessment as well as evaluation of the

Company’s market position and its potential results in the future based on information contained in herein.

To the extent this presentation contains forward-looking statements related to the future, in particular such terms as ”designed”, ”planned”,

”anticipated”, or other similar expressions (including their negation), they shall be connected with the known and unknown risks, uncertainty and other

factors which might result in actual results, financial situation, actions and achievements being materially different from any future results, actions or

achievements expressed in such forward-looking statements.

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Analysts covering TAURON

Institution Analyst

Dom Maklerski mBanku Kamil Kliszcz

Societe Generale Bartłomiej Kubicki

Dom Maklerski BZ WBK Paweł Puchalski

Dom Maklerski PKO BP Stanisław Ozga

Dom Maklerski Banku Handlowego Piotr Dzięciołowski

Ipopema Robert Maj

Erste Group Tomasz Duda

Institution Analyst

Raiffeisen Centrobank Teresa Schinwald

Trigon Krzysztof Kubiszewski

WOOD & Company Bram Buring

Dom Maklerski BOŚ Jakub Viscardi

Exane BNP Paribas Michael Harleaux

Pekao Investment Banking Maksymilian Piotrowski

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Electricity market price trends

Electricity

Platforms: TGE, TFS, GFI,

GPW-POEE

2017 2018 (prices until April 2018 + estimation) 2018/2017

Price (PLN/MWh) Volume (GWh) Price (PLN/MWh) Volume (GWh) Price % Volume %

Forward BASE (Y+Q+M) 160.10 104 921 169.26 101 755 5.7% -3.0%

Forward PEAK (Y+Q+M) 208.87 11 417 216.82 12 222 3.8% 7.1%

Forward (weighted

average)164.88 116 338 174.05 113 978 5.6% -2.0%

SPOT (TGE) 158.14 25 210 194.75** 27 000 23.2% 7.1%

Weighted average total163.68 141 548 178.02 140 978 8.8% -0.4%

Property rights (PLN/MWh)

Certificate type Market prices(Q1 2018 weighted

average)

Substitution fee and obligation for:

2017 2018

OZE (PMOZE_A) 63.04

300.03 (Jan-Sep)

92.03 (Sep-Dec)

(15.4%)

48.53 (17.5%)

RES from biogas plants

(PMOZE_BIO)318.07 300.03 (0.6%) 300.03 (0.5%)

Coal-fired cogeneration

(PMEC-2017) 9.82 10.00 (23.2%) 9.00 (23.2%)

Gas-fired cogeneration

(PMGM-2017)117.55 120.00 (7.0%) 115.00 (8.0%)

Methane-fired cogeneration

(PMMET-2017)55.39 56.00 (1.8%) 56.00 (2.3%)

CO2 emission allowances (EUA/t)

CO2 market analysts survey*(updated in April 2018) Price (EUR/t)

2017 average 5.84 EUR/t

2018 average 11.51 EUR/t

2019 average 13.86 EUR/t

2018 average price forecast by

TAURON (**updated in April 2018 )

11.00-12.00 EUR/t

* Sources: Point Carbon, BNEF, Consus, GDF SUEZ Trading, HSE, Mkonline, Societe Generale, TAURON

** Average price in the January - April 2018 time frame + TPE analysts’ estimation

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2018 BASE contracts

Average price

[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]

Total 165.98 65 227

including

TGE 166.64 52 148

non TGE 163.35 13 079

Average electricity price that takes into account 2018 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 171.29 PLN/MWh, total 2018 BASE and PEAK volume: 73 108 GWh

165,98

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

145

150

155

160

165

170

175

180

185

GWhPLN/MWhBASE Y-18

Wolumen obrotu Notowania Średnia

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2019 BASE contracts

Average price

[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]

Total 183.68 31 711

including

TGE 184.05 29 994

non TGE 177.23 1 717

Average electricity price that takes into account 2019 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 185.33 PLN/MWh, total 2019 BASE and PEAK volume: 32 916 GWh

183,68

0

200

400

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800

1 000

150

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170

180

190

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210

GWhPLN/MWhBASE Y-19

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2020 BASE contracts

Average price

[PLN/MWh]Volume [GWh]

Total 185.30 1 950

including

TGE 185.27 1 924

non TGE 187.25 26

Average electricity price that takes into account 2020 one year BASE and PEAK contracts: 186.17 PLN/MWh, total 2020 BASE and PEAK volume: 1 988 GWh

185,30

0

20

40

60

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100

120

140

160

180

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190

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GWhPLN/MWhBASE Y-20

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Thank you for your attention