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Second Quarter Coupon Trends Update July 25, 2012 Matthew Tilley Director of Marketing, Promotions Network

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Page 1: First Quarter Coupon Trends Update - Q2 Webinar...© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar Long-term Trend:

Second Quarter Coupon Trends Update July 25, 2012

Matthew Tilley Director of Marketing, Promotions Network

Page 2: First Quarter Coupon Trends Update - Q2 Webinar...© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar Long-term Trend:

® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Network Orchestrator of Complex Transactions

2

We operate collaborative commerce networks and make them intelligent.

• Reverse Logistics • Remarketing • Transportation • Donation • Recalls • Hazardous

Material/Waste • Consulting • Value-Added Services • Business Intelligence

• Rx Returns • Medical Device • Hazardous • Material/Waste • Recalls • Reconciliation • Contract

Management • Value Added Services • Business Intelligence

• Digital Promotions • Coupons • Rebates • Promotion Consulting

Page 3: First Quarter Coupon Trends Update - Q2 Webinar...© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar Long-term Trend:

® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Where we’re going

• The Big Numbers • The Four Contributing Factors • Two Important Notes

–Counterfeit Coupons –Digital Promotions

• Your Questions

3

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Long-term Trend: Redemption Growth

4

2006 2.6 billion

2009 3.3 billion

2011 3.5 billion

growth rate! Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Redemption The Big Story

5

-11% H1 2012

vs. H1 2011

-7% Q1 -17% Q2

Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Redemption Declines Across the Board

6

Non-food Food -4.9% Decline

-11.0% Decline

Q1

Q2

H1

-16.3% Decline

-18.5% Decline

-10.7% Decline

-15.3% Decline

Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

ALL Major Methods See Redemption Declines

7

Share of Redemption Redemption Volume

Change

Free-standing Insert 46.8% -14%

Instant Redeemable 16.4% -21%

Electronic Checkout 8.7% -13%

Shelf Pad 5.7% -32%

Direct Mail 4.1% -8%

Internet 4.0% -24%

Handout 3.0% -11%

On-pack 2.6% -14%

In-pack 2.3% -29%

Electronic Shelf 1.5% -32% Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012, Q2 data only

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Four Contributing Factors

8

Promotion Support Pullback

Unattractive Offers

Private Label

Unemployment

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

-14-12-10

-8-6-4-202468

% Change Unit Price % Change Any Promo Unit Volume

CPG prices up & promotion support down All Departments 30 periods of price gains;

3.6% increase in latest period

Source: Nielsen Scantrack, Total U.S. All Outlets Combined; 4 week increments (vs. prior year); UPC-coded

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Distribution Continues to Fall Distribution

-3.0% H1 2012

vs. H1 2011

10

-1.5% Q1 -7.1% Q2

Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Distribution Declines Across the Board

Non-food Food

11

-1.9% Decline

-3.8% Decline

Q1

Q2

H1

-7.1% Decline

-7.1% Decline

-2.0% Decline

-3.6% Decline

Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Many Major Methods See Distribution Declines

12

Share of Redemption

Redemption Volume Change

Distribution Volume Change

Free-standing Insert 46.8% -14% -5%

Instant Redeemable 16.4% -21% +6%

Electronic Checkout 8.7% -13% +23%

Shelf Pad 5.7% -32% +9%

Direct Mail 4.1% -8% +62%

Internet 4.0% -24% -54%

Handout 3.0% -11% -40%

On-pack 2.6% -14% -58%

In-pack 2.3% -29% -59%

Electronic Shelf 1.5% -32% -6%

Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012, Q2 data only

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Four Contributing Factors

13

Promotion Support Pullback

Unattractive Offers

Private Label

Unemployment

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

Distributed:

$1.47/coupon (-9.3%)

Redeemed:

$1.28/coupon (+0.8%)

Distributed:

1.53 units/coupon (+2.7%)

Redeemed:

1.69 units/coupon (+1.8%)

Distributed: 2.1 months

(-12.5%)

Redeemed: 5.0 months

(-7.4%)

Marketer Tactics Are Muting Redemption

Average Face Value

Average Purchase Requirements

Average Redemption

Periods

14 Source: Inmar Coupon Report 2012, Q2 data only

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Four Contributing Factors

15

Promotion Support Pullback

Unattractive Offers

Private Label

Unemployment

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® © 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar

CPG Price Increases Due to Continue

16

2.5% - 3.5%

“Food At Home” Inflation

2012 Forecast

Source: USDA

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Private Brands

14%growth rate!

2009 $94 billion

2012 $107.1 billion

Source: Nielsen Scantrack, Total U.S. – All Outlets Combined; 52 weeks ending 12/26/2009 & 6/9/2012; UPC-coded

Page 18: First Quarter Coupon Trends Update - Q2 Webinar...© 2012 Inmar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Not to be reproduced or distributed without written permission from Inmar Long-term Trend:

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Four Contributing Factors

18

Promotion Support Pullback

Unattractive Offers

Private Label

Unemployment

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Unemployment Rates (Slightly) Improving

19

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+5%

20

Where is all of this going?

• Distribution still down • Redemption down 5-10%

by year’s end

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For more information:

[email protected] 336.631.2524 www.inmar.com/couponreport @matthewjtilley

Matthew Tilley