Upload
chloe-mcpherson
View
214
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
First results from the Aqua-Planet Experiment
intercomparison
Mike Blackburn, Brian HoskinsUniversity of Reading
David WilliamsonNational Center for Atmospheric Research
Peter GlecklerProgram for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
Richard NealeNOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center
APE Modelling Groups
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
APE Modelling Groups
Group Location Model Resoln Features
AGU for APE Japan (consortium) AFES v.1.15 T39 L48 Spectral, eulerian
CGAM Reading, UK HadAM3 N48 L30 3.75º x 2.5º grid
CSIRO Aspendale, Australia CCAM-4-12 C48 L18 ~220km conformal cubic grid
DWD Mainz, Germany GME 29.1.1 ni=64 L31 ~1º icosahedral-hexagonal grid
ECMWF Reading, UK IFS Cycle 29r2 TL159 L60 Spectral, semi-lagrangian
FRCGC Yokohama, Japan NICAM 7km L54 icosahedral grid, non-hydro.
GSFC Maryland, USA NSIPP-1 N48 L34 3.75º x 3º grid
K1-Japan Japan (collaboration) CCSR/NIES 5.7 T42 L20 s-l moisture and cloud
LASG Beijing, China SAMIL R42 L9 Spectral, eulerian
MGO St. Petersburg, Russia MGO-gcm T30 L14 Spectral
MIT Cambridge, USA MIT-gcm C32 L40 ~280km cubed sphere
NCAR Boulder, USA CCSM-CAM3 T42 L26 Spectral, eulerian
UKMO Exeter, UK pre-HadGAM1 N96 L38 1.875º x 1.25º grid, s-lagrangian
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
The Experiment
• Complete GCMs but idealised planet
• More constrained experiment than real-world benchmark (AMIP)
• Facilitate understanding of model differences and sensitivities
• No land / orography
• 8 idealised sea surface temperature (SST) distributions
• 5 symmetric SSTs span a range of tropical climates
• Local and global-scale SST anomalies
• 3-year climate (following spin-up)
• Following Neale & Hoskins (2000)
Symmetric SST profiles
Latitude
SS
T (
degC
)
SST anomaly experiments
3KW1
1KEQ 3KEQ
Zonal Average Hydrological CyclePrecipitation (mm/day)
Evaporation (mm/day)
different scale
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Hydrological Cycle: NCAR model
Courtesy of David Williamson, NCAR
Precipitation: contributions to resolution dependence, T42 / T85
params.
timestep grid
Truncn. diffusion
params.at T42
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Inter-tropical Convergence Zone
• When does convection break through the trade-wind inversion?
• Many interacting processes
• ITCZ location sensitive to all these processes in models
Emanuel (1994)
[ Evap – Precip ] Surface Wind ECMWF - APE control (time average)
(mm/day)Cool 30º lat.SST
Eq. Warm SST
Tropical Variability (precipitation)
average 5ºN-5ºShttp://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
(mm/day)
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Observations + Theory
Observed variability (OLR)
• Hierarchy of convective organisation
Tim
e
Time-longitude section of transient OLR averaged between the equator and 5N from May to July in 1980. (Nakazawa, 1988)
Zonal Wavenumber
Fre
quen
cy (
CP
D)
UKMO_n96 sym. spectrum (precip)
Observed sym. spectrum (OLR)
Images from Yoshi-Yuki Hayashi; Yukiko Yamada; NOAA CDC
Wider SST maximum in tropics
Stronger SST gradient : displaced poleward
Response of zonal climate to SST
qobs-control
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
cntl
qobs
latitude
SS
T (
degC
)
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Storm-track statistics
• Tracking of storm features using 6 hourly sea-level pressure
• NCAR model for all 8 SSTs
Courtesy of Kevin Hodges, ESSC, Reading
Mean Intensity
latitude
Pre
ssur
e an
omal
y (h
Pa)
Track Density
latitude
Num
ber
per
mon
th in
5º
radi
us
peakcntlqobsflatcntl5n1keq3keq3kw1
Zonal speed
Zon
al s
peed
(m
s-1)
latitude
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Storm-track statistics
• Tracking of storm features using 6 hourly sea-level pressure
• 6 models for “flat” SST
Courtesy of Kevin Hodges, ESSC, Reading
Track Density
latitude
Num
ber
per
mon
th in
5º
radi
us
Mean Intensity
latitude
Pre
ssur
e an
omal
y (h
Pa)
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Low Frequency Variability
• Significant zonal wavenumber m=5 in 3-year means
• Slow propagation, c = 1.7ms-1
• Significant correlation with annular mode variability
Courtesy of Masahiro Watanabe,
Hokkaido University. GRL 32, L05701. (2005)
1-point correlation maps: 10-day low-pass surf. pressure
EOFs of 10-day low-pass streamfunction =0.3
Ref 51.6N
Global Energy Balance
APE control experiment:
3 year averages +
temporal variability
Net flux (toa; surface)
sw_dn TOA sw_up
sw TOA lw
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~mike/APE/
Working Group on Numerical Experimentation - WGNE
Summary
• APE is useful to test model changes
• Complex, difficult to understand - despite constrained setup
• Documenting a wide variety of model behaviours (not converged?)
• Attempts to understand sensitivities in individual models
• Additional experiments needed to understand model differences (eg fixed radiation to remove feedbacks)
• Diagnostic focus: Mean state: model/SST differences; tropical theory; maintenance Tropical wave activity Diurnal cycle Mid-latitude variability & storm-tracks
• Issues: Reference solution is unknown Expect resolution convergence with parameterizations?