Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Investors’ Day
Investment Banking
Mehmet DalmanMember of the Board of Managing Directors
Frankfurt, September 4, 2002
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 1
Contents
Background
2002: First half review
Future
Conclusion
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 2
Investment Banking strategy
� Phase I 1997-1999To establish a fully integrated, profitable Equities business, in a controlled environment
� Phase III 2002-To establish a differentiated franchise integrating Commerzbank’s Corporate, Retail and Investment Banking strengths
� Phase II 2000-2002To establish a fully integrated Securities platform, and launch an advisory business
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 3
Phase I 1997-1999To establish a fully integrated, profitable Equities business, in a controlled environment
DerivativesECMOrigination
Equity Sales
Cash TradingResearch
1997 1998 1999
Cbk launchesnew Equity Initiative
Frankfurt, London,NY, Tokyo Offices
CFP and ECM Integrated
Global Equities
Launched
� CFP integrated� ECM integrated� Emerging markets
integrated� Regional activities
integrated
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 4
Phase I 1997-1999LondonFrankfurt
Research
Brokerage
Marketing
Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingDerivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative Distribution
Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingDerivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative Distribution
Management Centre
Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingDerivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative DistributionRetail Distribution
Management Centre
Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingDerivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative DistributionRetail Distribution
Derivatives
New York
Global Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingDerivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative Distribution
Global Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingDerivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative Distribution
Tokyo
Global Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingAsian Derivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative Distribution
Global Equity ResearchQuant Research
ECM
Equity TradingAsian Derivatives Trading
Equity DistributionDerivative Distribution
Risk
Account Management
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 5
Phase II: 2000-2002 To establish a fully integrated Securities platform
� Integration of businesses to provide multi-asset Securities platformresearch, origination, trading, distribution
� Integrating FX, short-end rates, local markets
1997 1998 1999 2000
Cbk launchesnew Equity Initiative
Frankfurt, London,NY, Tokyo Offices
opened
CFP and ECM Integrated
Global Equities
Launched
Commerzbank Securities Launched
2001 2002
Equity & Fixed Income Integrated
Corporate FinanceIntegrated
FX Integrated
FXEquitiesFixed
IncomeEquity
DerivativesCapitalMarkets
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 6
League Table performance
Neuer Markt IPOs 2000-2001, Bookrunner and joint lead, ranked by value
1 Commerzbank Securities2 Dresdner Kleinwort W'stein3 DZ Bank AG4 Goldman Sachs & Co5 Deutsche Bank6 Morgan Stanley7 HypoVereinsbank8 Westdeutsche Landesbank 9 Salomon Smith Barney
10 UBS WarburgSouce: Capital Data
1 Deutsche Bank2 JP Morgan3 Merrill Lynch & Co4 Commerzbank Securities5 Morgan Stanley6 Dresdner Kleinwort W'stein7 BNP Paribas8 Salomon Smith Barney9 Goldman Sachs & Co
10 Societe Generale
All Euro-denominated German Corporate Bonds 2000-2001, Bookrunner, ranked by value
Souce: Capital Data
IPOs on European Exchanges 2000-2001, Bookrunner and joint lead, number of deals
1 Credit Suisse First Boston2 Deutsche Bank3 Commerzbank Securities4 Goldman Sachs & Co5 Morgan Stanley6 Salomon Smith Barney7 DZ Bank AG8 HypoVereinsbank9 ABN AMRO
10 UBS WarburgSouce: Capital Data
All Jumbo Pfandbriefe2001, Bookrunner, ranked by value
Souce: IFR
1 Commerzbank Securities2 DrKW3 Deutsche Bank4 HypoVereinsbank5 CDC IXIS6 Barclays Capital7 Citigroup/SSSB8 DZ Bank9 Goldman Sachs
10 Credit Agricole
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 7
Contents
Background
2002: First half review
Future
Conclusion
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 8
The market environment in H1
Credit Spreads (bp)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02AAA
BBB
AAA
Moody's W European Upgrades & Downgrades (number)
-70-60-50-40-30-20-10
0102030
Q2 00 Q3 00 Q4 00 Q1 01 Q2 01 Q3 01 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02
Dow ngrade
Upgrade
10y Bund
104.00
105.00
106.00
107.00
108.00
109.00
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02
Eurostoxx 50
2800
3000
3200
3400
3600
3800
4000
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02
Source: Commerzbank Securities Research
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 9
Financials: 2002 H1
� Income 37% below 2001 H1 � Direct costs 25% below 2001 H1
� Allocated costs 95% above 2001 H1� Allocated costs make up 39% of
total costs for 2002 H1
(EUR M) 2001 H1 2002 H1 change
Income (excl co-man.) 534 339 -37%
Direct Costs 371 280 -25%Alloc Costs 91 177 +95%
Post-Tax Profit 65 (54)(inc co-managed)
Capital 1,277 1,068 -16%
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 10
Divisional analysis - Equities
� Market has not recovered� Business has been refocused
� Pan European Equities model adapted to meet market challenges
� Research aligned around global core sectors
� Japanese business re-sized; positioned to benefit from any recovery
� Cost growth curtailed & costs reduced
� Pan European commissions and net performance improved
Eurostoxx 50
2800
3000
3200
3400
3600
3800
4000
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02
S&P 500
950
1000
1050
1100
1150
1200
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 11
Research & Extel Survey
Extel 1999-2002
13579
1113151719
1999 2000 2001 2002
17th & "Rising Star Broker"
7th
9th11th
1 UBS Warburg2 Schroder Salomon Smith Barney3 Deutsche Bank4 CSFB5 Merrill Lynch International6 Morgan Stanley7 Commerzbank Securities8 Goldman Sachs International9 Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein10 ABN AMRO11 JP Morgan12 Lehman Brothers13 HSBC Securities14 Cazenove15 Credit Agricole Indosuez Chevreaux16 ING 17 SG Securities18 Exane19 WestLB Panmure20 Enskilda Securities
Extel Survey 2002:Overall Pan-European Brokerage Firm
*based upon aggregation of votes in all categories
Recognition for our Research, Sales and Trading across Equities, Fixed Income and Derivatives
� Differentiated Research Product� Integrated Credit and Equity
Research� Quantitative expertise and Risk
Management analytics
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 12
Divisional analysis - Capital Markets� Capital Markets restructured for
the new environment
� New structure� Equity Product� Debt Product� Financial Sponsors� Sector and Country Teams� Capital Structuring
� Re-designed to capture anticipated opportunities in corporate restructuring
Moody's W European Upgrades & Downgrades (number)
-70-60-50-40-30-20-10
0102030
Q2 00 Q3 00 Q4 00 Q1 01 Q2 01 Q3 01 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02
Dow ngrade
Upgrade
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 13
Selected Transactions in H1 2002
M&AAdvised RWE on the EUR4.1bn acquisition of Transgas in the Czech Republic
Debt MarketsJoint Bookrunner of EUR250m 10 yr bond issue for Republic of Iceland
Joint Bookrunner for Iran’s debut EUR625m Eurobond issue
Arranger and Lead Manager of an EUR1bn synthetic RMBS issue for Rheinhyp
Joint Lead Manager of a EUR500m 10 yr Landesschatzanweisung for Free State of Bavaria
Joint Bookrunner of a GBP200m 10 yr issue for GKN plc
Equity MarketsJoint Lead Manager of EUR111m IPO of Astaldi - A successful issue completedin difficult market conditions
Syndicated LoansCompleted first round syndication of the EUR830m Vaillant syndicated loan facilitySole Arranger EUR300m revolving credit facility for Epcos
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 14
Divisional analysis - Equity Derivatives
� Equity Derivatives market very difficult, with flow product volumes down 85% from 2000 levels� our market share is very
strong, but overall levels very weak
� Failing investor confidence in equity markets
� Risk platform fully integrated
CBOE S&P100 Volatility Index
15
20
25
30
35
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02
Amsterdam warrant market share, July 2002
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Commerzbank SocieteGenerale
ING Fortis ABN
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 15
Divisional analysis - Fixed Income
� Interest rate markets volatile, responding to equity market
� Difficult credit markets� accounting revelations
producing many problem corporates
� Strong overall performance in H1
10y Bund
104.00
105.00
106.00
107.00
108.00
109.00
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02
Credit Spreads (bp)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02AAA
BBB
AAA
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 16
New businesses integrated from June 2002
� Short-term interest rates integrated with existing rates business
� Local Market activities integrated into Credit business
� Commerz Futures Chicago integrated into global Derivatives business
� Foreign Exchange integrated into ComSec
� Credit and Equity Research integrated
� Fully integrated, multi-product sales force established
� Fully integrated risk platform
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 17
Contents
Background
2002: First half review
Future
Conclusion
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 18
� leveraging corporate relationships� innovation in product, research and use of technology� attracting, developing and retaining the best staff in the
industry
To be a leading provider of high quality risk intermediation for our clients
SovereignsSupranationals
Corporates
Major Investing InstitutionsHedge Funds
Retail
Corporate Risk and Capital Structure
Investment Banking Strategy
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 19
� Corporate clients need both Corporate Banking and Investment Banking services
� Our strategy is to enhance value through a deep understanding ofcorporate risk and capital structure
� Increasing use of securitisation, derivatives
� Blurring of lines between lending and credit trading
� Managing relationships with both corporates and investors
� Focusing capital and credit resources to support this strategy
Corporate and Investment Banking
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 20
Sector
Sector
Sector
Sector
Sector
Sector
Sector
InvestmentBanking
CorporateBanking
� Credit Management
� Know-how in Corporates
� Cross-Selling
� Lending and High Margin Business
� Risk Management
� Quality Credit Portfolio
Corporate and Investment Banking
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 21
� Developments in the financial environment� German financial environment� Broader market backdrop
� equity recovery?� bond markets?� asset-backed markets?� corporate restructuring?
� Internal Issues� Human resources� Alignment between divisions � Cost-efficiency
Challenges
Investors’ Day September 4, 2002 22
� Corporate and Investment Banking coming together
� We have a unique business platform
� A leading provider of risk intermediation
� Corporate structuring and restructuring
� Integration across asset classes
� Strong Retail distribution
� Stable management team
� Able to compete and win
Conclusion