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Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

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Page 1: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Gun Violence:How Big Is The Problem In

Maine

December 8th, 2004

Page 2: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

“Gun violence” includes the following:

• Violent Crimes with Guns– Homicides, Robberies, Aggravated Assaults

• Domestic Violence Where Guns Are Present or Used to Threaten or Intimidate

• Illegal possession of firearms

• Suicides

Page 3: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Data Sources and Methodology

• Violent Crimes with Guns– FBI – Uniform Crime Reports– Maine Department of Public Safety

• Domestic Violence Where Guns Are Present or Used to Threaten or Intimidate

– Maine Department of Public Safety– U.S. Attorney’s Office research

• Illegal possession of firearms– Examination of pre-sentencing reports of federal firearm cases

from 2002-2003

• Suicides– Maine Medical Center – CDC– Maine DHHS, Bureau of Health, Office of Data, Research and

Vital Statistics

Page 4: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Gun Culture in Maine

• 1,277,284 population• 1,250,122 total guns• 1 gun per person

– 71% long guns (rifles, shotguns, etc.)

– 29% handguns– At least one firearm in

almost half of the 626,000 households

* Statistics based on 2000 statewide survey

Page 5: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

• Gun Usage– Sporting and recreation– Hunting

• 172,626 hunting licenses issued in 2000

• Traditional part of family life

Gun Culture in Maine

Page 6: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Violent Crimes with Guns

Page 7: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

In 2003, Maine had the lowest rate of firearm use in violent crimes in the country

1 in 85327.5%252,645United States*

1 in 4,82321.3%184New Hampshire1 in 6,21219.4%77Vermont

1 in 14,1368.6%92Maine

Overall chance of being a

firearm victim

Percent of violent crimes w/ firearm

Total # of firearm crimesState

* - excluding Florida, Illinois, DC, Kentucky

Page 8: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Since 1996, the annual number of violent crimes with a firearm in Maine has remained under 100

Violent Crime with a Firearm in Maine, 1996-2003

94 94

81 79 81 78 8192

0

20

40

60

80

100

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Number ofViolent Crimeswith a Firearm

Total Violent Crime w/ Firearms

Source: Maine Department of Public Safety 1996-2003

Page 9: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Over the last 8 years, more than half the violent crimes with a firearm in Maine have been robberies

Source: Maine Department of Public Safety 1996-2003

7%35%55%11%8 yr. Ave

% of Total Violent

Crimes w/ Firearm

Agg. Assault w/

Firearm

Robbery w/

FirearmMurder w/ FirearmYear

1996-2003

Percent of Total Violent Crimes w/ Firearms,

Page 10: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Since 1996, nearly half the homicides in Maine were committed with a firearm

Homicide by Type of Weapon, 8 Year Avg. 1996-2003

Firearm, Shotgun, Handgun, Rifle

44%

Hands, Fists, Feet20%

Knife, Cutting Instrument18%

Blunt Instrument9%

Strangled3%

Fire/Smoke Inhalation2%

Unknown4%

Maine had an average of 21 Murders between 1996- 2003Source: Maine Department

of Public Safety 1996-2003

Page 11: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Domestic Violence Where Guns Are Present or Used

Page 12: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Between 1996-2003, more than half the homicides in Maine were DV related

Domestic Violence Homicides,1995-2003

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Percent of Total Homicides

% Domestic Violence

Source: Maine Department of Public Safety 1996-2003

Page 13: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Firearm violence in households with a domestic violence abuser

• What is a Protection from Abuse Order?A PFA is a court order which provides legal protection for a person in or just out of an abusive relationship.

• In a limited study of 5 courts during 6 mos. in 2003-2004, 18% of individuals against whom Protection from Abuse Orders were issued threatened to use a firearm against their victims.

Page 14: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Extrapolating firearm violence in households with a domestic violence abuser

• In FY 2003 there were 6,502 Protection from Abuse orders in Maine

• 18% of 6,502 Protection from Abuse Orders (n=1170 PFAs) where the defendant threatened to use a firearm.

Page 15: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Since 1999, the percent of NICS denials for persons with a DV conviction and/or a PFA order has

increased

13.3%

19.4%16.6%

29.6%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 16: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Suicides

Page 17: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Suicides in Maine

• Between 2000-2002 nearly 90% (481) of violent deaths in Maine were suicides

• The teen suicide rate in Maine is the 8th highest in the nation, at 14.74 suicides per 100,000 residents aged 15-24

Page 18: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Firearms and suicide in Maine

• Firearms accounted for 57% of suicide deaths in Maine between 2000-2002 (91 per year).

• Since 1998, more suicides with a gun than violent crimes with a gun in any year

• As of 2001, firearm suicide death rates are higher in Maine (6.7 per 100,000 individuals) than the national average (5.9).

Page 19: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Guns and SuicideSuicide Rate 1994-1998 per 100,000

4.92.412%New Jersey

5.82.414%Massachusetts

5.33.016%Rhode Island

5.23.721%Connecticut

5.36.833%New Hampshire

4.47.948%Vermont

5.67.945%Maine

NonfirearmSuicides

Firearm SuicidesHouseholds with Firearms

State

Page 20: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Men commit the overwhelming majority of firearm suicides

Maine Suicide Deaths w/ a Firearmby Gender, 1990-2000

84%89% 90%

85% 87% 90% 91%84% 88% 89% 91%

16%11% 10% 15% 13% 10% 9%

16% 12% 11% 9%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

% Female% Male

Source: Center for Disease Control

Page 21: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Handguns have become the leading cause of self-inflicted firearm injury deaths in Maine

25%

29%

45%

34%

31%

35%

41%

49%

10%

47%

4%

48%

51%

31%

18%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Self-Inflicted Firearm Injury Deaths by Type of Firearm in Maine, 1996-2000

Other & unspecified FirearmRifle, Shotgun, & Larger FirearmsHandgun

Maine DHS, Bureau of Health, Office of Data, Research and Vital Statistics

Page 22: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Rural counties tend to have higher rates of firearm suicides

Self-Inflicted Firearm Injury Deaths by County, 1991-2000

Maine Total

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0

York

Cumberland

Androscoggin

Sagadahoc

Aroostook

Kennebec

Franklin

Maine Total

Penobscot

Waldo

Lincoln

Knox

Somerset

Hancock

Oxford

Piscataquis

Washington

Rate per 100,000 Population

Maine DHS, Bureau of Health, Office of Data, Research and Vital Statistics

Page 23: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Characteristics of Gun Crimes and Offenders

Page 24: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

PSN Research Agenda

4 questions1) What are the characteristics of the gun offender?2) What is the geographic distribution of gun offenses?3) What are the characteristics of the gun incident (circumstances, relationship to victim, etc.)?4)What are the characteristics of the gun?

Page 25: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Previous Reports and Methodology

1) Examination of 93 state crime incidents with a firearm from 2002-03

• Descriptive analysis of the following:– Offense type and circumstance

2) Examination of 120 federal firearm offender characteristics from 2002-03

– Demographic profile of offender

Page 26: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Characteristics of state gun crimes n=93

• 21% of the cases were DV related

• 42% were drug/alcohol related offenses

• 64% of the offenses were committed with a handgun

Page 27: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Characteristics of state gun crimes cont’d

• The three highest state firearm charges were the following:

1. Robbery (30%)2. Burglary (12%) 3. Assault (11%)

• 60% of the firearm charges were against a person (i.e. robbery, assault, murder)

• 24% of the firearm charges were property crimes (burglary, theft)

• 12% of the cases the victim was the spouse or boyfriend/girlfriend of the offender

Page 28: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Ø Nearly 90% (89.1) are white males

Ø Average age: 34

Ø More than half (53%) are either unemployed or disabled

Ø 85% have at most a HS/GED degree

Ø Most have a prior criminal record (87%)

Who is committing gun crimes in Maine?(n=121)

Page 29: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Educational Attainment of Federal Firearm Offenders

34%30%

21%

14%

1%0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

Lessthan a

HSdegree

GED HS Morethan a

HSdegree

N/A

EducationalAttainment

Page 30: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Less than ¼ of the offenders work full-time

42%

12%

24%

22%

unemployeddisabledPart-timefull-time

Page 31: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

ØHistory of alcohol/drug abuse (76%)

ØMany have a history of mental illness (43%)

Ø 34% have a history of both alcohol/drug abuse and mental illness

History of the Offender

Page 32: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

43%

18%

3%

32%

Felons DV Conviction/PFA Drug Conviction Not Prohibited

At the time of arrest, the majority of offenders were prohibited from owning a firearm

Page 33: Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Mainemuskie.usm.maine.edu/justiceresearch/Publications/Adult/Gun... · Gun Violence: How Big Is The Problem In Maine December 8th, 2004

Maine Statistical Analysis Center

http://muskie.usm.maine.edu/justice

research