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HOUSING MARKET REPORT October 2020

HOUSING - NHHFA...The data reveal a surprisingly robust housing market here and nationally, due in large part to record-low interest rates. Unemployment data show the impact of COVID

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  • HOUSINGMARKET REPORTOctober 2020

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org2

    PERSPECTIVES ON HOUSING & DEMOGRAPHICS

    BEEN DOWN SO LONG IT LOOKS LIKE UP TO ME

    Russ Thibeault is the founder of Applied Economic Research, a Laconia-based economic and real estate consulting firm. AERH.com

    Every so often a phrase out of the blue seems to click. Such is the case with the title of Richard Fariña’s iconic 1960s novel “Been Down So Long It Looks Like Up to Me,” subsequently reprised by the Doors.

    For most of the past two decades New Hampshire’s population growth has been “down so long,” driven by a combination of no natural increase (births minus deaths) and low rates of in-migration.

    Research on New Hampshire’s migration by the Carsey School of Public Policy highlighted in this Housing Market Report “looks like up to me” in several respects.

    Their research indicates that recent migrants tend to be younger than current residents, helping to balance our aging demographic profile, with about 60% under age 49 versus 40% of our current population. Recent migrants also tend to be better educated and have higher incomes than current residents.

    What does their research say about the proverbial “New Hampshire Advantage”? Contrary to the conventional wisdom, it’s not all about low taxes. Taxes ranked sixth out of the seven factors frequently cited by recent migrants as a reason to move into the state, dwarfed by family reasons, the natural environment and quality of life, etc.

    With COVID-19’s work-from-home policies cutting the umbilical cord to expensive housing and work space in and near Boston, it’s likely we will see yet more migration into the state. If the profile of recent migrants holds, that will be a good thing for New Hampshire. But we need to create additional affordable housing if we want to attract and accommodate migration. Notably, affordable housing was not cited as one of the top factors attracting new migrants to the state — meaning that it is mostly those with higher incomes who can afford to move here. That will continue to pose a problem for expansion of the middle-income labor force.

    Dean J. Christon Executive DirectorNew Hampshire Housing Finance Authority

    With the arrival of fall, we are more than seven months into the COVID-19 pandemic and assessing its impact on the state’s economy and housing market. The data reveal a surprisingly robust housing market here and nationally, due in large part to record-low interest rates. Unemployment data show the impact of COVID on those who can — and can’t — work from home.

    In this edition of our Housing Market Report, we explore what the data show thus far about how COVID-19 is impacting New Hampshire’s homeowner and rental markets. We know that the state and federal eviction and foreclosure moratoria have so far kept many people in their homes despite financial stress from job loss or a reduction in work hours. And we offer two commentaries on migration into the state and the demographic implications for New Hampshire’s housing market.

    A new documentary airing on NHPBS October 22nd also focuses on the state’s demographics. Communities & Consequences II, produced by Jay Childs in partnership with Peter Francese and Lorraine Stuart Merrill, explores the economic and social realities of workforce shortages in our state. It examines what is needed to make the state welcoming to young people, families and essential workers. The companion book points to the frequently cited misperception that adding new housing stock will increase education costs as new housing is created to support the needs of our workforce. The film producers are planning community conversations, something that NHHFA and the state’s housing coalitions strongly support. Go to NHPBS.org/communitiesandconsequences for details on the film, book and conversations. (New Hampshire Housing is a sponsor of the documentary.)

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 3

    The housing needs of the state’s current residents as well as those moving to the state must be met in order for New Hampshire to grow and thrive. To understand the housing needs of these two groups, we need to know what encourages res-idents to move to and stay in the state. Only 33 percent of residents age 25 and older were born in the New Hampshire, so migrants are of considerable impor-tance to the state’s growth.

    In my research (summer 2018 – fall 2019) co-authored with Dr. Ken Johnson, we examined what attracted recent migrants and retains established residents in New Hampshire. For both groups, the top reasons are family, the natural environ-ment, quality of life, employment, taxes, culture and lifestyle, and the economy.

    Family was the top reason both for migrants and established residents. Quality of life and the natural environment ranked second and third among established residents, while the natural environment and employment were more important to recent migrants.

    Employment is particularly important to younger, well-educated, and higher- income recent migrants. These findings suggest that people at different stages likely have different housing needs and preferences. For example, established residents may want to upgrade their homes to make them more family-friendly, whereas younger migrants may be looking for affordable rentals. In our survey, housing and property values were mentioned by nearly 12 percent of recent migrants to the state.

    A complex array of factors motivates people to move to or stay in New Hamp-shire. It is not surprising, therefore, that there is no simple solution to developing housing policy for the state. Instead, it is important to remember that people’s connections to the state are the result of a matrix of social, economic, and environmental factors. These, together with residents’ stage in the life cycle, age, income, and education, will all influence their housing needs and preferences.

    Our Carsey Research brief has detailed analyses about why people move to and stay in New Hampshire: carsey.unh.edu/publication/why-people-move-to-stay-in-NH

    Kristine Bundschuh PhD Student in SociologyUniversity of New Hampshire

    Data were collected by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center’s Granite State Poll, a quarterly telephone survey to New Hampshire residents. From summer 2018 to fall 2019, the 2,063 respondents were asked their top three reasons for staying in the state rather than moving to a different state and, if relevant, the top three reasons they initially moved to the state. The questions were open ended.

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    Economy

    Culture and Lifestyle

    Taxes

    Employment

    Quality of Life

    Natural Environment

    Family

    Figure 1. Top Reasons to Stay in or Move to NH

    Recent Migrants Established ResidentsData Source: Granite State Poll, University of New Hampshire Figure Source: Johnson and Bundschuh (2020)

    SOCIAL, ECONOMIC, & ENVIRONMENTAL REASONS PEOPLE MOVE TO & STAY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org4

    Front cover photos: A Seabrook Celtics fan and his mom, participants in our Assisted Housing Family Self-Sufficiency program, enjoy time together at home before the work and school day starts; Twin Pines Housing’s Tracey Community Housing (29 new units) in West Lebanon, the first net zero affordable rental property in NH, is funded through NHHFA and the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit Program; Cathy received a grant from GSIL/NHHFA to fund the installation of a ramp in her Milford home.

    Perspectives on Housing & Demographics .......................................................... 2 - 3 Economic Indicators .................................................................................................... 5 • Unemployment Rate (US, New England, New Hampshire)• Unemployment Rates by Year (US, New England, New Hampshire)• New Hampshire Initial Unemployment Claims & Continued Claims by Week• Unemployment by Industry• Mortgage Delinquencies in New England & US• Foreclosure Deeds in New Hampshire• Eviction Indicators – NH Court Filings• Likelihood of Eviction or Foreclosure• Housing Insecurity• Owner and Renter Median Household Income • National Household Debt, 2004 - Q2 2020

    New Hampshire’s Homebuyer Market ...................................................................... 11• MLS Median Sales Price • MLS Closed Sales• MLS Current Listings• Months of Supply of Inventory• Comparison of Interest Rates• Where NH’s Homebuyers Are Coming From• Housing Permits (single-family & multi-family)• Real Estate Listings by NH County • Mortgage Activity

    New Hampshire’s Rental Market .............................................................................. 16• Monthly Median Gross Rent (2-bedroom, all units, statewide)• Percent Change in 2-Bedroom Median Gross Rent over 5-Years Statewide• Statewide Vacancy Rate (2-bedroom & all units, 2010-2020)

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYHOUSING MARKET REPORT OCTOBER 2020

    Donald L. Shumway, Hopkinton – Chair Mary Beth Rudolph, Dover – Vice Chair Kendall Buck, Wilmot John A. Cuddy, North Conway James E. Graham, Haverhill Pauline Ikawa, ManchesterConnie Boyles Lane, ConcordSarah Marchant, BrooklineMichael Skelton, Bedford

    Dean J. Christon Executive Director

    BOARD OF DIRECTORS

    REPORT PREPARED BY THE POLICY, PLANNING AND COMMUNICATIONS GROUP

    Ben Frost, Managing Director Heather McCann, Director of Housing Research Kathleen Moran, Housing Research Analyst For questions about this report and press inquiries: Grace Lessner, Public Information Manager | [email protected] | 603-310-9371

    P.O. Box 5087 | Manchester, NH 03108 | 603-472-8623 NHHFA.org | [email protected]

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 5

    Ben Frost, Managing Director Heather McCann, Director of Housing Research Kathleen Moran, Housing Research Analyst For questions about this report and press inquiries: Grace Lessner, Public Information Manager | [email protected] | 603-310-9371

    P.O. Box 5087 | Manchester, NH 03108 | 603-472-8623 NHHFA.org | [email protected]

    ECONOMIC INDICATORS

    UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (US, NEW ENGLAND, NEW HAMPSHIRE)Through August 2020, seasonally adjusted Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

    The unemployment rate in the state, region, and nationally abruptly and dramatically changed in April after the COVID-19 pandemic hit the US. New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for August was 6.5%, a decrease from its peak of 17.1% in April. New Hampshire now has the nation’s 17th lowest unemployment rate, tied with North Carolina.

    Economic indicators continue to reflect a strong economy in New Hampshire, with steady job opportunities. They also show household income has increased over the past five years but may be starting to slow.

    8.4% 9.5%

    6.5%

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    US NE NH

    UNEMPLOYMENT RATES, BY YEAR (US, NEW ENGLAND, NEW HAMPSHIRE)Through August 2020, seasonally adjusted Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

    8.4% 9.5%

    6.5%

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org6

    ECONOMIC INDICATORS

    -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10%

    Construction

    Manufacturing

    Wholesale Trade

    Retail Trade

    Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities

    Information

    Financial Activities

    Professional and Business Services

    Education and Health Services

    Leisure and Hospitality

    Other Services

    Government

    US NE NH

    NH INITIAL UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS & CONTINUED CLAIMS BY WEEK

    January - September 26, 2020

    Each week—both while a claim is pending determination and after it is approved—a worker must file a continued claim for benefits. “Week of unemployment” means when an individual registers in person, by mail or telephone with an employment office. For example: The claimant reported on Friday, February 8, and advised that he had been laid off on January 28. He did not contact the Department earlier because he was busy looking for work. He wished to claim benefits from the time of layoff. The effective date of the claim is February 3, the Sunday prior to the Friday on which he reported. This is termed the “reflected week.” Source: U.S. Department of Labor; count totals are compiled by reflecting week ended

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    Reflecting Week Ended

    Initial Claims Continued Claims

    EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY

    Percent change August 2019 to August 2020; seasonally adjusted

    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

    There were 2,005 initial claims filed for the week ending 9/26/2020, a 95% decrease compared to the peak in the state for the week ending 4/4/2020, when initial claims totaled 39,202. Continued claims are down 71% from the peak on 5/9/2020. Both initial and continued claims have been steadily declining week over week.

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 7

    MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES IN NEW ENGLAND & US Q1 & Q2, 2020

    Source: National Delinquency Survey, Mortgage Bankers Association; prepared by NHHFA

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    2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    The number of foreclosures was greatly reduced as a result of the state’s moratorium on them from March - July 1, 2020. Also, many homeowners with federally backed mortgages requested a forbearance from their mortgage companies to temporarily suspend or reduce payments required. Given these governmental restrictions on foreclosures, this graphic is not reflective of what foreclosure activity might look like in 2021.

    FORECLOSURE DEEDS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE By quarter

    Source: The Warren Group, compiled by NHHFA

    Mortgage delinquencies in New Hampshire in Q2 2020 have increased due to the pan-demic. Currently, 6.3% of all loans in the state have at least one payment past due, which is lower than other New England states and nationally. The delinquency rate includes loans at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure.

    ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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    CT RI ME VT MA NH NE US

    Q1-2020 Q2-2020

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org8

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39

    Landlord Tenant Writ cases filed Count of Writs of Possession issued

    Eviction MoratoriumCOVID-19 Emergency Order #4

    EVICTION INDICATORS - NH COURT FILINGS, BY WEEK

    2020 YTD through 9/25/2020

    Source: Landlord/Tenant Writ Filings & Writs of Possession, New Hampshire Judicial Branch

    ECONOMIC INDICATORS

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 YTD

    Landlord Tenant Writ Cases Filed Writs of Possession Issued

    EVICTION INDICATORS - NH COURT FILINGS, ANNUALLY 2020 YTD through 9/25/2020

    Source: Landlord/Tenant Writ Filings & Writs of Possession, New Hampshire Judicial Branch

    In order to legally evict a tenant in NH, a landlord must first file a Landlord/Tenant Writ with the court. A judge determines if a writ of possession court order will be issued, allowing a landlord to have a tenant lawfully removed from the home. Governmental actions to stop evictions during the pandemic have impacted the numbers seen in this graph.

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 9

    ECONOMIC INDICATORS

    0% 20% 40% 60%

    Rhode Island

    New Hampshire

    Massachusetts

    Vermont

    Maine

    Connecticut

    United States

    LIKELIHOOD OF EVICTION OR FORECLOSURE

    Data collected 9/2/2020 - 9/14/2020.

    Black bar in graph indicates the margin of error, a measure of an estimate’s variability. This number, when added to and sub-tracted from the estimate, forms a 90-percent confidence interval.

    Source: Census Bureau, Household Pulse Survey

    This graph shows the percentage of adults who reported living in households where eviction or foreclosure in the next two months is either very likely or somewhat likely.

    0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

    Rhode Island

    Connecticut

    Maine

    Massachusetts

    New Hampshire

    Vermont

    United States

    HOUSING INSECURITY

    Data collected 9/2/2020 - 9/14/2020

    Black bar in graph indicates the margin of error, a measure of an estimate’s variability. This number, when added to and sub-tracted from the estimate, forms a 90-percent confidence interval.

    Source: Census Bureau, Household Pulse Survey

    This graph shows the percentage of adults who reported that they are not current on rent or mortgage payments, or who have slight or no confidence that their household can pay next month’s rent or mortgage on time.

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org10

    ECONOMIC INDICATORS

    Household income has increased for both owners and renters in 2019. Renter- occupied household income increased by $4,000 to $45,000. Even with this income increase, it would still be challenging to purchase a home given current market conditions.

    $73 $74 $77 $78 $78

    $81 $86 $86

    $91 $92 $95

    $35 $36 $34 $36 $39 $39 $41

    $43 $42 $41 $45

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    THO

    USA

    NDS

    Median Owner-occupied Income Median Renter-occupied Income

    OWNER & RENTER MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME

    In thousands; based on 2019 dollars, adjusted for inflation.

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2019. One Year Estimates Median Household Income by Tenure, B25119.

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    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

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    Auto Loan Credit Card Student Loan Other

    National Household DebtNon-Housing Debt Balance 2004-2020 Q2Total Household Debt Declines for the First Time Since 2014

    Credit card balances declined sharply in the second quarter, by $76 billion, the steepest decline in card balances seen in the history of the data and reflecting the sharp declines in consumer spending due to the COVID-19 pandemic and related social distancing orders. Auto loan balances were roughly flat in the second quarter. Student loan balances increased slightly by $2 billion reflecting a wide application of forbearances on federal student loans and interest waiver. In total, non-housing balances (including credit card, auto loan, student loan, and other debts) saw the largest decline in the history of this report, with an $86 billion decline.

    Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax

    NATIONAL HOUSEHOLD DEBT, 2004 – Q2 2020 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax

    Credit card balances declined sharply in Q2, by $76 billion, the steepest decline in card balances in the history of the data. It reflects sharp declines in consumer spending due to the COVID-19 pandemic and related social distancing orders. Auto loan balances were roughly flat in Q2. Student loan balances increased slightly by $2 billion, reflecting a wide application of forbearance on federal student loans and interest waivers. In total, non-housing balances (including credit card, auto loan, student loan, and other debts) saw the largest decline in the history of this report ($86 billion).

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 11

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S HOMEBUYER MARKET

    While mortgage rates have fallen to record lows, an extremely low inventory of houses and continued high demand have pushed the median home sales price to record highs.

    MLS MEDIAN SALES PRICE

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    NDS

    All Homes 12-Month Moving Average (All Homes)

    Source: Based on information from the Northern New England Real Estate Network and compiled by NHHFA. Excludes land, interval ownership, seasonal camps/ cottages, multi-family property, mobile/ manufactured homes and commercial/ industrial property

    The median sales price reached a new peak in August 2020 of $335,000. This is a 14% increase from August of last year.

    MLS CLOSED SALES

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    August 2020 sales decreased less than 1% from the number of sales in August of last year. Sales are down 6% from January - August compared to the same period last year. These figures reflect extremely low inventory levels, not a lack of demand. Orange line reflects a six-month moving average

    Source: Based on information from the Northern New England Real Estate Network and compiled by NHHFA. Excludes land, interval ownership, seasonal camps/ cottages, multi-family property, mobile/ manufactured homes and commercial/ industrial property

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    All Homes 12-Month Moving Average (All Homes)

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org12

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    12-Month Moving Average (Total Listings) 12-Month Moving Average (Listings $300K)

    MLS CURRENT LISTINGSBased on information from the Northern New England Real Estate Network and compiled by NHHFA. Excludes land, interval ownership, seasonal camps/ cottages, multi-family property, mobile/manufactured homes and commercial/industrial property

    September 2020 listings in total have dropped 27% when compared to September 2019. As prices continue to rise, listings under $300,000 become scarcer; the number of homes below this price have decreased 37% from last year.

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S HOMEBUYER MARKET

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    Active & Pending Active Only Active ≤ $300K

    MONTHS OF SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

    Based on information from the Northern New England Real Estate Network and compiled by NHHFA. Excludes land, interval ownership, seasonal camps/ cottages, multi-family property, mobile/manufactured homes and commercial/industrial property

    Months of supply of inventory shows how many months it would take for the current inventory of homes on the market to sell, given the current pace of home sales. Active listings less than or equal to $300,000 had a high of eight months in August 2014. In September 2020, New Hampshire dropped to less than one month of supply of homes listed at or below $300,000.

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    12-Month Moving Average (Total Listings) 12-Month Moving Average (Listings $300K)

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 13

    New HampshireMassachusettsMaine Vermont Connecticut New YorkFloridaRhode IslandCaliforniaPennsylvaniaVirginiaNew Jersey TexasArizonaColoradoOther StatesUnknown

    8,7801,924

    131127124114103

    7774474538383534

    25081

    Total Sales 12,022

    WHERE NH’S HOMEBUYERS ARE COMING FROM

    Number of homes purchased in New Hampshire by in- and out-of-state buyers, January - August 2020 (top 15 states).

    Source: The Warren Group; filtered and analyzed by NHHFA

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S HOMEBUYER MARKET

    2.89%

    0.09%

    0.68%

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    Mortgage Interest Rates Federal Funds Rate 10-Year Treasury

    COMPARISON OF INTEREST RATES

    Source: Freddie Mac Primary National Mortgage Market Survey; US Federal Reserve Selected Interest Rate H.15.

    Interest rates remain historically low, leading to very favorable financing for those who already own a home and wish to refinance, or those who are purchasing a home. Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows an average commitment rate of 2.89% for the month of September with 0.8 points.

    While the great majority of New Hampshire’s homebuyers are moving within the state (73%), about a third of buyers come from elsewhere. These are the top 15 states of origin of homebuyers this year. (See pages 2 - 3 for insights on this in-migration to New Hampshire.)

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org14

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S HOMEBUYER MARKET

    NH HOUSING PERMITS (SINGLE-FAMILY AND MULTI-FAMILY)

    Seasonally adjusted, 6-month moving average, through August 2020

    Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Construction Statistics Division

    Single-family permits increased 24% cumulatively from January through August of this year when compared to last year, while multi-family permits have decreased 61%.

    INDEX OF NH & US SINGLE-FAMILY HOUSING PERMITS ISSUED Seasonally adjusted, 6-month moving average, indexed, through August 2020. Index 12-month average of year 2000 = 100

    Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Construction Statistics Division

    Nationally, single-family housing permits have increased 9% this year, collectively from January through August, when compared to the same period last year. New Hampshire has seen more growth (24%) when compared to last year, yet it remains behind the national average.

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  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 15

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S HOMEBUYER MARKET

    County Total Listings Median List

    Price

    Listings at or Below $300,000

    Percent of County Total

    Listings at or Above $300,000

    Percent of County Total

    Belknap County 444 349,900$ 175 39.4% 269 60.6%

    Carroll County 508 365,000$ 191 37.6% 317 62.4%

    Cheshire County 330 275,000$ 202 61.2% 128 38.8%

    Coos County 268 185,000$ 209 78.0% 59 22.0%

    Grafton County 620 297,200$ 332 53.5% 288 46.5%

    Hillsborough County 1,487 265,000$ 504 33.9% 983 66.1%

    Merrimack County 616 349,900$ 251 40.7% 365 59.3%

    Rockingham County 1,511 475,000$ 238 15.8% 1,273 84.2%

    Strafford County 459 319,000$ 217 47.3% 242 52.7%

    Sullivan County 263 264,900$ 163 62.0% 100 38.0%

    New Hampshire 6,506 359,900$ 2,482 4,024

    Real Estate Listings by CountyREAL ESTATE LISTINGS BY NH COUNTY

    Listings as of 9/1/20.

    Based on information from the Northern New England Real Estate Network and compiled by NHHFA. Excludes land, interval ownership, seasonal camps/ cottages, multi-family property, mobile/manufactured homes and commercial/industrial property.

    Mortgage Activity in NHAugust 2019

    August 2020

    Percent Change

    YTD 2019

    YTD 2020

    Percent Change

    All Mortgages 4,427 6,185 + 40% 25,703 40,079 + 56%Purchase Mortgages 2,134 1,880 -12% 12,799 11,153 -13%Refinance Mortgages 2,293 4,305 + 88% 12,904 28,926 + 124%

    MORTGAGE ACTIVITY

    August 2020

    Source: The Warren Group

    Mortgage activity this calendar year in New Hampshire has been dominated by home refinances. Of all mortgage activity this year, 72% were home refinancings and 28% were for home purchases.

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org16

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S RENTAL MARKET

    A tight rental market with very low vacancy rates, along with a strong state economy, was reflected in the NHHFA 2020 Residential Rental Cost Survey. Despite the ongoing tightness of the rental market, there is a positive note: at 1.8%, the vacancy rate for all units is nearly 1% higher than last year. View the 2020 report at NHHFA.org.

    $1,056

    $1,157

    $1,413

    $980$1,069

    $1,283

    $750

    $850

    $950

    $1,050

    $1,150

    $1,250

    $1,350

    $1,450

    2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

    2-Bedroom Median Gross Rent All Units Median Gross Rent

    +22%

    MONTHLY MEDIAN GROSS RENT, 2-BEDROOM & ALL UNITS (STATEWIDE)

    Includes utilities

    Source: NHHFA 2020 Residential Rental Cost Survey

    The statewide median gross rent (including utilities) for a 2-bedroom unit has increased over 22% in the past 5 years.

    Monthly median gross rent 2-bedroom units

    Annual change in monthly median gross rent 2-bedroom units

    Vacancy rate for 2-bedroom units

    $1,413

    + 4.9%

    1.75%

    STATEWIDE

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 17

    Rockingham

    $1,62328%

    Hillsborough

    $1,53426%

    Cheshire

    $1,1185%

    Stra�ord

    $1,29126%

    Carroll

    $1,0777%

    Belknap

    $1,14515%

    Merrimack

    $1,20614%

    Sullivan

    $1,068 11%

    Grafton

    $1,307 21%

    Coos

    $88812.4%

    PERCENT CHANGE IN 2-BEDROOM MEDIAN GROSS RENT OVER 5-YEARS (STATEWIDE, 2015-2020)

    Source: NHHFA 2020 Residential Rental Cost Survey

    The statewide median gross rent for a 2-bedroom unit in 2020 was $1,413; 78% of the rental units surveyed are in the southern tier (Hillsborough, Rockingham, Merrimack, and Strafford counties) and they have the highest median gross rents overall. The rental costs seen in Grafton County are driven by the market in the Hanover/Lebanon area.

    NEW HAMPSHIRE’S RENTAL MARKET

    Median Monthly Gross Rental Cost for 2-Bedroom Units

    Percent Change in 2-Bedroom

    Median Gross Rent Over 2015-2020

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

    2-BR Vacancy Rate All Units Vacancy Rate

    STATEWIDE VACANCY RATE (2-BEDROOM & ALL UNITS, 2010-2020)

    Includes utilities

    Source: NHHFA 2020 Residential Rental Cost Survey

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITYNHHFA.org18

    NHHFA HOUSING RESEARCH, PUBLICATIONS AND RESOURCES

    HOUSING MARKET SNAPSHOT

    Q1 2020 7,603

    Q2 2019 105,733

    INITIAL CLAIMS FILED

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    40,000

    New Hampshire Unemployment: Initial Claims Filed

    1,291%

    3.62%

    1.76%

    1.55%

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    20

    00

    20

    02

    20

    04

    20

    06

    20

    08

    20

    10

    20

    12

    20

    14

    20

    16

    20

    18

    20

    20

    PE

    RC

    EN

    T

    Mortgage Interest Rates Fed Funds Rate 10 year Treasury

    WH

    AT’

    S IN

    SID

    ECommentary p.2Unemployment Rate

    (US, NE, NH) p.3

    Unemployment Claims Filed in NH

    Employment by Type of Business p.4

    Interest Rates Mortgage Activity in NH p.5

    MLS Listings Months of Supply p.6

    MLS Closed Sales MLS Median Sales Price p.7

    Building Permits p.8

    Where Do NH Homebuyers Come From? p.9

    Rents & Vacancies p.10

    JUNE/JULY 2020

    NEW HAMPSHIRE HOUSING FINANCE AUTHORITY

    Report prepared by NHHFA’s Policy, Planning and

    Communications Group

    P.O. Box 5087 | Manchester, NH 03108 | 603-472-8623

    NHHFA.org | [email protected]

    2020 NEW HAMPSHIRERESIDENTIAL RENTAL COST SURVEY REPORT

    HOUSING ADVOCACY AND GRANTSNHHFA provides funding to support local housing advocacy and public education activities. NHHFA also focuses on engaging partners such as local and regional chambers of commerce and economic development organizations. The state’s network of workforce housing coalitions, along with Housing Action NH, are key to raising awareness about the need for a diverse and affordable range of housing in our communities. NHHFA provides grants to support the housing coalitions such as Vital Communities (Upper Valley); the Workforce Housing Coalition of the Greater Seacoast; and the Mt. Washington Valley Housing Coalition.

    MUNICIPAL TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE GRANT PROGRAMTo provide towns and cities with assistance to address locally identified planning needs, NHHFA partners with Plan NH in offering the Municipal Technical Assistance Grant Program (MTAG). Grants of up to $25,000 are available, and a match of 15% of the grant amount (in-kind or cash) is required. NHHFA staff provide direct technical assistance to municipalities upon request.

    NHHFA published A New Hampshire Homeowner’s Guide to Accessory Dwelling Units in 2018 and an ADU guide for local officials in 2017. These guides provide assistance in implementing the Accessory Dwelling Unit statute (RSA 674:71-73). The intent of that law is to expand affordable housing options in New Hampshire communities by encouraging the efficient use of existing housing stock and infrastructure.

    HOUSING CONFERENCE SERIESNHHFA hosts a series of conferences each year for the financial, real estate, lending, development, nonprofit, and other housing-related sectors, as well as public officials and business leaders. These events encourage discussion about addressing the Granite State’s affordable housing and economic development needs. In 2020, NHHFA presented its Homeownership Conference on March 3. In the fall, there will be virtual sessions in lieu of an in-person Multi-Family Housing Development Conference and Housing and the Economy Conference.

    HOUSING-RELATED STUDIES, GUIDES AND REPORTS • A Housing Needs Assessment for New Hampshire (Part 1&2) (October 2020)• Housing Solutions Handbook (updated 2019)• A New Hampshire Homeowner’s Guide to Accessory Dwelling Units (2018) • Accessory Dwelling Units in New Hampshire: A Guide for Municipalities (2017) • Affordable Rental Housing Developments: Characteristics of Residents of New Hampshire Low Income Housing Tax Credit Apartments (2017) • Analysis of Impediments to Fair Housing (2004 & 2015) • Housing Needs in NH (NH Center for Public Policy Studies) (2014) • Community Planning Grant Case Studies (2014) • Information Briefs: A Planning Resource for Municipalities (2014) • Fair Housing for Regional and Municipal Planners (2014) • New Hampshire Employer Survey (2005, 2008 & 2014)

    OTHER NHHFA PUBLICATIONS • Annual Report • Financial Statements and

    Independent Auditor’s Report • Strategic / Program Plan • Annual Residential Rental Cost

    Survey Report (& Utility Allowance)

    • Housing Market Report (Spring - Fall)

    • Housing Market SNAPSHOT • HUD Required Consolidated

    Plan / Action Plan • State Biennial Housing Plan

    (every 2 years)

    NHHFA’s Policy, Planning and Communications Group focuses on researching and identifying the state’s housing needs and conditions, and publishing housing reports and studies. It also provides technical assistance and information to local governments and the public on housing-related matters, and administers grant programs to support non-profits engaged in affordable housing activities.

  • October 2020HOUSING MARKET REPORT 19

  • P.O. Box 5087 | Manchester, NH 03108 603-472-8623 | NHHFA.org | [email protected]

    As a self-supporting public corporation created by the state legislature, New Hampshire Housing Finance Authority promotes, finances, and supports affordable housing.

    New Hampshire housing market, economic and demographic data are available at NHHFA.org/data-resources-planning.

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