JapanAgeing_mar25mv

8/6/2019 JapanAgeing_mar25mv

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THE AGE-OLD PROBLEMT e u pre ede ted qu e d tsu m pummelled re J p t t s me ep t m se t e u trys dem gr p d lemm s r g d grey g p pT w s t e rt e st ve ee l s g y u g pe ple d dustry r ye rs, le

e d re s g um er t e elderly.

MARCH 2011

REUTERS/D m r S g


2/7

THE AGE-OLD PROBLEM MARCH 201

B y y oko k uBota

RIKUZENTAKATA, J ApAN , M ARch 24

Michiko YaMaDa, 75, Ran baRE ooT

w t er us d t t e r t p sp t l t s st l t w rt e stJ p , rely utr g t e super tsu mu le s ed y J p s str gest e rt qu e.T ey spe t ld g t t ere e re el pterplu ed t em t s ety.

T e r e g ur h y t Mur m , 73,s mpered up ll t r r m s me just

s t e rus g w ters t e g rg tu w vew s ed ver w ere e d ee st d g.

M y elderly pe ple re m g t e 25,600de d r m ss g J p s d u le d s ster,

lud g t le st 1,800 pe ple R uze t t .but m y t m st t e surv v rs see uddled

An elderly man makes his way through the ooded area o Rikuzentakata March 23, 2011, a ter the area was devastated by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami. REUTERS/Damir Sagol

t e r t t m m ts t e t w s temp r rys elters re ls ld. a d t t s e t e m rerem r le e tures t e st s g eve ts M r 11.

T ese elderly surv v rs, m st t em med t , l me d rm, drew up s me

er reserve stre gt t ru up lls dr t ps, s r m le t p rs, r l g t de r s t e sw rl g tsu m w ters t s ve t emselves.

n w t w w se p pul t s ee de l e r ye rs, d ed y m y ts y u gw ve m gr ted t t e g ty l g ts t dw r , s g tte eve lder. M y t se lled

ere were v t lly eeded w r ers. W t t e tylm st t t lly dev st ted, m re t e y u g w ll

le ve.T e e my ere w s t g d t eg

w t , d w we ve t g le t, s d 35-ye r-

JAPAns AGEinG TOwns POsE

REBuiLDinG cHALLEnGEld Tetsu k , w w r ed r l

pr ess r destr yed y t e tsu m . i i ve j , t e i m tr u led, s i m y ve t le ve.

t l e i ve t t mu tt me t t t s M re t t rd R uze t

p pul t w s 65 d ver, mp red we rly qu rter J p s w le, w

s e me t e stest ge g u try w rld. W t t d w t s ttered st l t wsu s R uze t t w ll e e t e ey

t e re u ld g e rt, d test ww ll dle ts ge g lle ges.

J p ese c e c et Se ret ry Yu Em de t t p t terv ew w t ReutT ursd y. T e uge t l e rt eede

ver me w t J p ese Pr me M ster nk s lled J p s ggest r s s s e t

W rld W r Tw uld elp J p t l


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deep-r ted pr lems st- ge gs ety d e my g st

mpet t r m gl l r v ls.T e e ergy eeded t ver me

t e qu e d s ster d u le r de tw ll e verw elm gly gre ter tt t eeded t ver me t se s rts pr lems, e s d. i t e pr ess, wem y t e g rst step t w rd d g

ut w t res lve su pr lems s t se ge g s ety w t l w rt r te.T se w re le t w ll ve t re u ld

t e r l ves ter l s g lm st everyt g,d d g t t uld, se se, e me

m del r w t ... re te mmu t esd s l wel re systems re s t t

y t s d s ster, e s d.S ls d sp t ls t t ve ee

tur ed t temp r ry s elters re ull se r surv v rs. alm st ll t em fed

w t t g ut t e l t es t ey werewe r g d seem u le t templ te

pr lem t uture. T ey rem st te stu ed d s el e ver w t

ppe ed.r tw terr y g m utes st rt g t 2:46

p.m. r d y M r 11, t e m g tude 9.0e rt qu e s mes d u ld gs, druptured streets t s t w 23,000 pe ple.M y ew tsu m w s u d t me dt ey eg ru g r m t e r uses.

R uze t t s l g ee used t tsu m sd du ts u l dr lls r t em. Just l st ye r,

tsu m tr ggered y c les e rt qu e used

s me d m ge ere. T e t w , w sts e t e m st e ut ul e es rt e st J pd t uted s v g e t e u trys 100 est

v ews, d u lt g se w lls t t w rt t em,m g t e m y r stru ture pr je ts J p

d u dert e ver t e p st tw de des t l tt e e my ut ts d ldrums.

but t e d r w ves t e s ze t ree-st reyuse, w ll wed t e qu e 20 m utes

l ter, r red r m h r t b y d ulld zedr g t t r ug t e rr er d t r ug t e t wu t l t ey sm ed t t e lls sever l l meters

ey d, t p w t e surv v rs w t ed rr r.T ere ve ee tsu m s e re ut t ey

were just l ttle t, Y m d s d r m er ewme t m ddle s l s elter t e ru ed

t w . T e tsu m w s l d i s w pe ple rs d ld uple get swept w y r g t

r t me.

SEA ALPST s re n rt e st J p s m u t use r t e st, d t e stl e tsel l rgely

s sts j gged l s d r p ll rs du edT e Se alps.

R uze t t s t e ex ept . its l g f te , l ed w t t ll p e trees d sp rt g

res rt tel, w s t e pr de t e t w d d dt g t mpede t e tsu m

ut s T , 46, w ly e me t e m y r R uze t t l st m t , l st s w e t t eller w ves, ut es rely d m me t t

m ur er. he l ste s p t e tly s ste dy stre m suppl ts mes t m w t t e r requests t

t e temp r ry ty ll e s set up slu ter g e ter, e t e ew u ldst d g.

a ut 80 t e 230 empl yees w r gc ty h ll re de d r m ss g ter t e tsupl ug ed t r ug t e u ld g. a t t e

r g de per s ed eve s t ey err ed ldret e elderly t s ety.

r m my p t v ew, m y t emve eld mp rt t r les ur ty, t e m

s ys. We d t ve e ug m p wer d t e ty s t u t g.a um er g s l stude ts re

m g t e de d d m ss g. a y u ger ge er tdesper tely eeded t elp reverse R uze t tl g sl w de l e s ee de m ted.

T e m y r d pl s e re ll t s ppt lure t e y u g w g t Se d m ty t s re r eve T y r

d ever me .

We used t ve e , e s rugs. i treg w ere t e stl e s s w-t t ed, erstl e w s str g t r 2 ms d p e tree

gr w g, w s very r re, s m y pe ple r m t e l d. i w ted t re u ld t ur sm, s t e l l se d dustry, w t t e elp

y u g pe ple. but w t e s tu t s l e t ss g w s mp rt t ere, lud g s

d l e. oyster eds were ult v ted hb y. T e dustry, t, w s just re verl st ye rs tsu m , t e m y r s ys. i t tel

w m y pe ple w uld w t t d t s gc stru t temp r ry us g s

egu R uze t t . T s ys t e t w sp

RESPEcT: Bodies discovered by soldiers rom Japans SelDe ence Force are agged with red and yellow markersa ter a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami struckRikuzentakata, northern Japan March 13, 2011 REUTERS/TORU HANAI

Source:

Reuters graphic/Catherine Trevethan

Source: USGS, *GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents. Modified Mercalli Intensity readingsfor resistant & vulnerable structures Reuters graphic/Catherine Trevethan

x x / 1 1

xxx

xxx

Sendai

Morioka

Koriyama

Utsunomiya

Fukushima

141E 142E 143E

38N

39N

37N

9.0 earthquake off the coast of Honshu, Japan

Pacific Ocean

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake ShakingSelected Cities Exposed*MMI City PopulationVII Sendai 1,038,000VII Iwaki 357,000VII Koriyama 341,000VII Morioka 295,000VII Fukushima 294,000VII Yamagata 255,000VI Utsunomiya 450,000VI Akita 320,000VI Mito 247,000VI Hachinohe 239,000VI Hitachi 186,000

KEY Perceived shaking Potential structure damageVII Very strong Moderate to heavyVI Strong Light to moderate

Epicentre0546 GMT

TOKYO

JAPAN

CHINA

MONGOLIA

RUSSIA

*

USGS upgraded quake to 9.0 March 14

Rikuzentakata


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Japans ageing population

Sources: Statistics Bureau of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, IPSSNote: 2010 to 2050 figures are estimates.

Reuters graphic/Christine Chan 23/03/11

Total population 000s

117,060123,611 126,926 127,176 122,735

Aged 15 64

0

30,000

60,000

90,000

120,000

150,000

20502040203020202010200019901980

Aged 0 14 Aged 64 and over

115,224105,695

95,152

w t t st y t get er d re u ld t e t w ,w s w v st eld ru le. but t w ll em y m t s t le st e re perm e t us g

e u lt r t e d spl ed, d s me e r t eyw ll e r ed t settle elsew ere.

Eve e re t s d s ster t e g ver me td egu merg g sm ll t w s t t ve ee

gr du lly ll w g ut r ye rs, t ug t m y

me u der pressure t eep t e d s ster-strues t t.T ere w ll e p l t l d em t l

resp se dem d g re u ld g m st t ee ted v ll ges, eve t ug t m y t m e

s l d e m se se t d s , s d M elausl , J p expert t t e amer E terpr sei st tute (aEi), W s gt t -t .

OLDER AND DEEPER IN DEBTL e m y t er t w s J p , d deed

t e t l g ver me t tsel , R uze t td p led up de t t mpr ve r stru ture

w le try g t m t t e s me qu l ty serv es t ts t ze s eve s ts s ur es

me dw dled.n w t e t w s es ve g e r m

d re t eve w rse.Pe ple l st t e r xed ssets s we w ll t

re e ve t xes r t t, t e m y r s ys. T erere pl es t w r , w me s me

t x. We w ll eed t e t l g ver me t td us s lly.but J p s de t s lre dy m re t

d u le t t ts $5 tr ll e my d t ere u ld g sts w ll dd e p m re t t.

T e J p g ver me t est m tes t ed s ster uld ult m tely s r t m re t$300 ll t ree t mes t t t e 1995

k e e rt qu e d dw r g eve t t hurr e k tr 2005, m g t t e

w rlds stl est tur l d s ster.St d rd & P rs d ut J p s red t

r t g wee s e re t e qu e, s y g T yd pl t de l w t ts m u t g de t.

T e r t g s w e t el w Sp s.J p s e rly tw -de de l g e m

d ldrums d lre dy set t t e t me t ek e qu e. but g ver me t de t t e st d just ve 50 per e t GDP. o ly 12 per e t t e p pul t w s ver 65, l w t t s t d y.

Eve e re t e d s ster, T y d t l ed t e eed t l se up mm gr t t ll wre g w r ers t ll t e gr w g g ps le t

y ts ge g d de l g p pul t . it dls wledged eed t re rm t e g ly

e e t ut p l t lly fue t l rm se t r.c uld t e d s ster spur su ges?

ausl t aEi s ys .i t just t e pp s te w ll ppe :

re ewed emp s s t pp g J p esetr d t l stre gt s d d g t y

urselves (w t l ts re g d, urse),s s t t le ve t e mpress t t t equ e w u d up re g t e J p ese sp r t

r perm e tly lter g J p ese ulture, ewr te e-m l terv ew.

a we Dem r t P rty J p g ver me tw ll e u der e rm us pressure t de l w tt e mult ple dem ds t e r s s , lud gt e e r meltd w t e u us m D

u le r pl t t e qu e z e.T ere w ll e s rt-term p l t l u ty

m g t e p rt es, ut i expe t s e ug

t ere w ll e ger-p t g d us t sm g p l t l p rt es, ausl dded.

The economy here was noT good To beginwiTh, and now we have

noThing lefT Tetsuaki Konno, 35, employee o a local ood

processor that the tsunami destroyed

we do noT have enoughmanpower now, and The ciTy is noT funcTioning

Futoshi Toba, 46,Mayor o Rikuzentakata

i canT commiT suicide,so ill do my besT

Yukiko Yamaguchi, 70+,Rikuzentakata resident

i donT eXpecT Them

[my sons] To come bacK here

Takao Sato, 53, senior member o theRikuzentakata fre brigade

The enTire counTry is having a Tough Time deciding wheTher iT should invesT in Thisroad, This dam, This

porT, This airporT. (The quaKe) showed Japans

bigger problem Akira Yamasaki, economics pro essor at

Chuo University, Tokyo

VOICES


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5

i wanTed To rebuildTourism, as well asThe local seafood

indusTry, wiTh The helpof many young people.buT now The siTuaTion

is liKe This Futoshi Toba, 46,

Mayor o Rikuzentakata

leTs do our besT TaKaTa, leT us reJoice

ThaT we are alive Posters hung at the entrance to a gymnasium,

currently a temporary shelter

i feel ThaT iT willsomehow worK ouT,ThaT i will somehow

maKe iT worK ouT Koji Yamaguchi, 70+,

Rikuzentakata resident

There will be apoliTical and emoTional

response demandingrebuilding of mosT of

The affecTed villages,even Though iT may noT maKe social and

economic sense Michael Auslin, Japan expert,

American Enterprise Institute (AEI)

VOICES

R e u t e r s g r a p h i c / C h r i s t i n e C h a n

0 9 / 0 2 / 1 1

Sources: Statistics Bureau of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, National Institute of Population and Social Security ResearchNote: Data for 2010 and 2050 are projections.

An age-old issueJapans population is ageing at a rapid pace. Nearly one in fourJapanese are now aged 65 or over and the gure is expected toreach almost 40 percent by 2050. The population is also shrinkingand forecast to decline by about a quarter to 95 million in 2050.

1980

2010

2050

Male FemalePOPULATION BY AGE & SEX (in thousands)

0

AGE

> 90

80 8485 89

75 7970 7465 6960 6455 5950 5445 4940 4435 3930 3425 29

20 2415 1910 14

5 90 4

3000 6000030006000

0

AGE

> 90

80 8485 89

75 7970 7465 6960 6455 5950 5445 4940 4435 3930 3425 2920 2415 1910 14

5 90 4

3000 6000030006000

0

AGE

> 90

80 8485 89

75 7970 74

65 6960 6455 5950 5445 4940 4435 3930 3425 2920 2415 1910 14

5 90 4

3000 6000030006000

CLICK TO VIEW JAPANSCHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS
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PaSSinG TiME: People evacuated rom the disaster zone in a sports hall turned into a shelter in Rikuzentakata a ter thearea was devastated by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami March 2 1, 2011. REUTERS/Damir Sagolj

A COUNTRY FOR OLD MENYu d k j Y m gu , ret red

uple t e r 70s, es ped t e tsu mrry g ly t e r puppy c w t t em.

T ey s t ext t e t er t temp r rys elter t e gym s um R uze t tm ddle s l, s e re d g ewsp per, e m g m .

P sters u g t t e e tr e t t e gym

s y Lets d ur est T t , let us rej et t we re l ve. L e t er s elters t e s ttered t w , t ppe rs t e lledpred m tly w t t e elderly.

T e Y m gu s, w ve ee m rr edr 48 ye rs, re m g t e ge er t

t t elped re u ld J p r m t e s es W rld W r Tw t e me t e w rlds

se d- ggest e my d v t vem u tur g le der. T ey w uld l e t seet e r t w re u lt, ut just d t see w.

im re dy t d s mu s i , utw e y ure ver 70, y u ve pr lems w ty ur eyes d legs, t e w e Yu s ys. imw rr ed t e t w w ll d s ppe r. i w uld l e t

e r t e y u g pe ple s y d t w rry utt, ut m y t em ve d ed.

old pe ple t w r , d st res m yt e le t m e me , s e s ys.

its t just e sm ll t w ut t e e t rest. We elp e t er ut t ere

s l m t t t t, s e dds. i t mm tsu de, s ill d my est.

her us d k j s ys e t m g ew t t e uture w ll e l e w e t e uple

s t g t ll t t e r me w. i

eel t t t w ll s me w w r ut, t t i w lls me w m e t w r ut. T e e dds w t

l ug : My j w s just t sleep.i s mpler t mes, pe ple t e l d p rts

rmed d st l res de ts s ed. T e rt e ste suppl ed 20 per e t J p s r e eeds.

but rm g s e me p rt-t me up t m y re s, d t e s erme ve ee

r wded ut y m re e e t t ry s ps.D t r m t e rm g m stry s wed t eum er rm g use lds t e rt e stell y 30 per e t etwee 1985 d 2005. a d

2005 e rly t rd t e rmers were 65r ver mp red w t t l ver ge 17

per e t.T e g ver me t used t pr v de y u ger

w r ers t e re w t j s pu l w r spr je ts, w ls ept t e st g t J p esee my r m t pp g t re ess . but t sepr gr mmes eg dry g up ye rs g , s t e

t l s l de t m u ted.here t e u trys de, pu l w r s w s very

e ess ry, s d Tsu e o der , 71, s e surveyedt e ru ed t w r m t p ll. rm g s tsu e t t m e l v g, s pe ple used t w r

stru t t e summer. T e t e pu l w r sst pped m g d we st rted v g tr u le w t

ur l vel ds.T t uld s ge. ar u d 130,000

u ld gs were d m ged r destr yed t t l t e d s ster re , l g w t r ds, r dges,

p rts d r lw ys. T s w ll requ re t e ggestre stru t e rt J p s ed s e t eSe d W rld W r.

as t e w rlds t rd l rgest stru tm r et, J p s t e res ur es, s lls s l es ve ess requ red t re u ld qu

ut t e d s ster m y ls spur t t t rut w d w eret re u ld dev st t

t w s d v ll ges, experts s y.it w ll e g d e t re u ld ds t w s w, s d a r Y m s

e m s pr ess r t c u U vers ty Tit w uld t e very v g t re s w ere e w ll e l v g

ye rs. S t e ey t w et er t ese re s ulde re u lt s w et er t e pe ple t ere w ulde prep red t l ve t ere t e l g-term

pr du e t gs t ere d ve ldre .T e e t re u try s v g t ug t

de d g w et er t s uld vest t s t s d m, t s p rt, t s rp rt.(T e qus wed J p s gger pr lem.

BUILD A BASE?J p s lled w t t w s l e R uze t

ll g t sl w de l e l g w t Jp pul t . T e M r 11 t str p e

ly eler te t t tre d. by 2050 lm st40 per e t t e p pul t w ll e ged

d ver d t e ver ll p pul t y ts pr je ted t dw dle t 95.1 m ll r

pe 127 m ll 2010.over t e ext ur de des, rd g

urre t dem gr p tre ds, t e e mw ll st rt s r g l g w t t e p pulu less pr du t v ty s me w utp es tde l e t e l ur r e. i m lestt t de l e, c t t e e d l st ye r p sJ p s t e w rlds se d- ggest e my

aMiLY TiES:A woman carries her daughter in ashelter or those evacuated rom the disaster zonein Rikuzentakata March 23, 2011, a ter the area wasdevastated by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami.REUTERS/Damir Sagolj


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COVER PHOTO: a p t y s s ved r m t e ru s ll psed use s res ue w r ers se r r v t ms

tsu m -dev st ted R uze t t M r 21, 2011.REUTERS/Damir Sagolj

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oR MoRE in oRMaTion, conTacT:

BILL TARRANTENTERPRISE EDITOR, ASIA w ll m.t rr t@t ms reuters. m

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rem s e t s m l r per t i d esdur g t e 2004 i d o e tsu m .

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but t er t w res de ts see uture tll r R uze t t , let l e e s st t

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d spl ed pe ple w rry t ey m y e m vedw y r m t e t w . T ey ve de w ere

t eyll e l v g. it w s per ps l jest, utwe were t l g ut m y e v t g t e U.S.m l t ry t set up se ere.

S me 20 w rs ps r m t e U.S. Seve t leetve s led t t e d s ster z e l g w t s ld ersd rme t du t um t r m ss s,

kEEPinG WaRM: People sit around a fre as they burn trash at a shelter or those evacuated rom the disaster zone in

Rikuzentakata March 23, 2011, a ter the area was devastated by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami. REUTERS/Damir Sagolj

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R k mP ul E ert

Editing:b ll T rr t

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