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11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

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Page 1: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes

for the

#8296

Page 2: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

49%

43% 39% 42%

11% 13% 13%12%

40%43%

49% 46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Right direction Unsure Wrong Track

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000

Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the

wrong track?

Q 1

Page 3: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Please tell me which one issue you think is most important for the next President to deal with.

2%

16%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

9%

11%

12%

16%

16%

0% 10% 20%

Restoring moral values

Improving education

Reducing gov't spending / Reducing taxes

Strengthening Social Security & Medicare

Improving Health Care

Fighting crime and drugs

Dealing with gun control

Strengthening the economy

Protecting the environment

Dealing with foreign affairs

Combination

Unsure

Q 2

Page 4: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

George W. Bush Name Identification

62%58% 56%

63%

9% 7% 9% 8%

29%34% 35%

28%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Favorable No opinion Unfavorable

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000 Q 3

Page 5: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Al Gore Name Identification

47%52% 50%

47%

9% 7% 8% 8%

43%40%

42%44%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Favorable No opinion Unfavorable

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000 Q 4

Page 6: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

59% 61% 57%56%

3% 4% 4% 2%

38%35%

38% 41%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000 Q 5

Page 7: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President, what is your impression of Bill

Clinton as a person?

27% 30% 29% 29%

8% 9% 9% 8%

65%61% 62% 64%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000Q 6

Page 8: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the

Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate?

44%43%

44% 46%

19%

14% 15%12%

37%

43% 41% 41%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Republican Undecided Democrat

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000Q 7

Page 9: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

If the election for U.S. Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate?

39% 41% 41%40%

24%

18% 19% 18%

37%41% 41% 42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Republican Undecided Democrat

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000Q 8

Page 10: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?

51%48% 48%

52%

11% 9% 10% 8%

38%44% 42%

40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Bush Undecided Gore

January 2000 March 2000 May 2000 June 2000Q 9

Page 11: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you

vote?Overall

Undecided8%

Gore40%

Bush52%

Most Likely to Vote

Undecided2%

Gore43%

Bush55%

Q 9

Page 12: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Please tell me whether you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore to deal with this issue.

Q10-13

41% 40% 3%5% 11%

44% 40% 4%3% 9%

47% 35% 5%4% 9%

53% 29% 1%5%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Holding the line on taxes

Keeping Americaprosperous

Improving education

Strengthening SocialSecurity

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 13: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Please tell me whether you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore to deal with this issue.

Q14-16

39% 46%2%

5%8%

44% 38%2%

5%12%

47% 37% 2%5%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Sharing your values

Dealing with the gunissue

Improving health care

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 14: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Please tell me whether you think George W. Bush or Al Gore better represents this quality.

Q17-21

38% 50% 4%2%5%

42% 39% 4%10% 6%

46% 37% 4%4% 9%

47% 35% 3% 9%7%

55% 30% 4%4%8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strength

Trustworthiness

Vision

Cares about peoplelike you

Experience

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 15: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Have you seen, read, or heard anything recently about Republican candidate George W. Bush?

No42%

Yes58%

Q 22

Page 16: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Thinking about what you have seen, read, or heard about George W. Bush, has it made

you more likely or less likely to vote for him for president?

Q 22-2

48%

5%

17%

30%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

More likely Unsure No difference Less Likely

Page 17: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Have you seen, read, or heard anything recently about Democratic candidate Al

Gore?

Q 23

No45%

Yes55%

Page 18: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Thinking about what you have seen, read, or heard about Al Gore, has it made you

more likely or less likely to vote for him for president?

Q 23-2

30%

4%

19%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

More likely Unsure No difference Less Likely

Page 19: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Which of the following best describes your position on guns?

Q 24

12%

31%

26%28%

3%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Few or norestrictions

Current lawssufficient / needto be enforced

Some additionalrestrictionsneeded

Not sold / if soldthen registeredand licensed

Unsure

Page 20: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

If a candidate’s position on guns differs from your own, how likely is it that this particular difference alone would determine your vote

on election day?

Q 25

13% 11%

27%

45%

4%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Extremelylikely

Very likely SomewhatLikely

Not verylikely at all

Unsure

Page 21: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Gun Control Intensity

12% 12%

76%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Focused anti-gun Focused pro-gun Unfocused

Page 22: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

June 1992 Battleground Survey Compared to November Popular Vote

24%

43%

31%

38%36%

19%

9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Bill Clinton George Bush Ross Perot UnsureBattleground Final Popular Vote

Page 23: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

June 1-3 1996 US News Character SurveyCompared to November Election Vote

47%49%

35%

41%

11%9% 7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Bill Clinton Bob Dole Ross Perot Unsure

US News Poll Final Popular Vote

Page 24: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

PRESIDENTIAL ISSUES ADVANTAGES

Please tell me, for each issue, whether you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore to deal with this issue.

-10

-24

-2

-4

-12

-6

+7

SHARES YOUR VALUES

DEALING WITH THE GUN ISSUE

HOLDING THE LINE ON TAXES

KEEPING AMERICA PROSPEROUS

STRENGTHENING SOCIAL SECURITY

IMPROVING EDUCATION

IMPROVING THE HEALTH CARE SYSTEM

Page 25: June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E. A Survey Of National Voter Attitudes for the #8296

June 11-13, 2000 / N=1000 “Likely” Voters Nationwide / ±3.1% M.O.E.

PRESIDENTIAL LEADERSHIP QUALITIES

Please tell me, for each leadership quality, whether you think George W. Bush or Al Gore better represents this quality.

-25

-12

-9

+3

+11

STRENGTH

TRUSTWORTHINESS

VISION

CARES ABOUTPEOPLE LIKE YOU

EXPERIENCE